Tearsheet

Brinker International (EAT)


Market Price (10/22/2025): $133.97 | Market Cap: $6.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Brinker International (EAT)


Market Price (10/22/2025): $133.97
Market Cap: $6.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
 
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

EAT Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EAT Return36%-35%-13%35%206%1%208%
Peers Return-11%17%-15%10%-24%-8%-33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EAT Win Rate67%42%42%58%83%33% 
Peers Win Rate48%53%38%50%42%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EAT Max Drawdown-82%-41%-40%-9%-12%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-72%-10%-26%-16%-35%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CBRL, BJRI, BLMN, DIN, BDL. See EAT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/21/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEATS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven253.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven816 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-83.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven500.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven167 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven279 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-88.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven789.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1389 days1480 days

Compare to CBRL, BJRI, BLMN, DIN, BDL


In The Past

Brinker International's stock fell -71.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -71.7% loss requires a 253.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Brinker International (EAT)

Better Bets than Brinker International (EAT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EAT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.1%-22.1%-22.1%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.2%-1.2%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.4%-7.4%-7.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-4.2%-4.2%-11.7%
EAT_11302021_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11302021EATBrinker InternationalDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-12.3%-3.3%-36.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.1%-22.1%-22.1%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.2%-1.2%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.4%-7.4%-7.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-4.2%-4.2%-11.7%
EAT_11302021_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11302021EATBrinker InternationalDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-12.3%-3.3%-36.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Brinker International

Financials

EATCBRLBJRIBLMNDINBDLMedian
NameBrinker .Cracker .BJ's Res.Bloomin .Dine Bra.Flanigan. 
Mkt Price133.4637.3231.947.7028.0132.1332.04
Mkt Cap6.00.80.70.70.40.10.7
Rev LTM5,3843,4841,3843,6888452022,434
Op Inc LTM55475451431518109
FCF LTM41460533893256
FCF 3Y Avg236751211890-182
CFO LTM6792191262351099172
CFO 3Y Avg4522139835211714165

Growth & Margins

EATCBRLBJRIBLMNDINBDLMedian
NameBrinker .Cracker .BJ's Res.Bloomin .Dine Bra.Flanigan. 
Rev Chg LTM21.9%0.4%4.1%-3.9%2.9%8.8%3.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.5%2.2%4.9%-5.1%-2.9%10.0%3.6%
Rev Chg Q21.0%-2.9%4.5%0.3%11.9%6.2%5.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.9%-0.8%1.1%0.1%3.0%1.5%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM10.3%2.2%3.2%3.9%17.8%4.0%3.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.9%2.7%2.3%6.0%20.1%4.2%5.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%-0.0%0.4%-0.8%-1.9%0.3%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM12.6%6.3%9.1%6.4%12.9%4.2%7.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.5%6.1%7.3%9.0%14.0%7.5%8.2%
FCF/Rev LTM7.7%1.7%3.8%1.0%10.9%1.2%2.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.8%2.2%0.8%2.9%10.7%-0.8%2.6%

Valuation

EATCBRLBJRIBLMNDINBDLMedian
NameBrinker .Cracker .BJ's Res.Bloomin .Dine Bra.Flanigan. 
Mkt Cap6.00.80.70.70.40.10.7
P/S1.10.20.50.20.50.30.4
P/EBIT11.614.324.86.33.07.09.3
P/E15.517.925.8-131.59.013.814.7
P/CFO8.83.85.62.83.87.04.7
Total Yield6.4%8.4%3.9%9.4%18.6%7.2%7.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.8%0.0%10.1%7.5%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.5%4.9%0.9%6.8%18.0%-2.0%5.2%
D/E0.31.40.73.33.90.81.1
Net D/E0.31.40.63.23.50.51.0

Returns

EATCBRLBJRIBLMNDINBDLMedian
NameBrinker .Cracker .BJ's Res.Bloomin .Dine Bra.Flanigan. 
1M Rtn-2.1%-13.7%7.4%12.7%21.7%1.3%4.3%
3M Rtn-17.3%-44.9%-21.8%-21.0%13.8%2.8%-19.1%
6M Rtn-14.9%-15.4%-4.5%-6.4%39.6%39.1%-5.4%
12M Rtn42.4%-23.9%-10.5%-49.6%-3.5%25.4%-7.0%
3Y Rtn351.9%-58.1%13.7%-57.6%-52.7%31.9%-19.5%
1M Excs Rtn-4.4%-14.6%5.5%10.3%19.2%3.0%4.2%
3M Excs Rtn-22.8%-53.7%-27.4%-31.3%4.4%-11.7%-25.1%
6M Excs Rtn-42.3%-42.7%-31.9%-33.7%12.2%11.7%-32.8%
12M Excs Rtn34.1%-38.4%-25.1%-66.1%-23.6%9.8%-24.4%
3Y Excs Rtn320.4%-143.8%-65.8%-143.5%-138.7%-58.1%-102.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Chili's3,6463,3803,0602,7322,700
Maggiano's487424278347435
Corporate000  
Other    0
Total4,1333,8043,3383,0783,135


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Chili's222241312167287
Maggiano's544161350
Corporate-132-122-119  
Other   -117-111
Total14416019963226


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Chili's2,080  1,9671,122
Maggiano's244  228151
Corporate163    
Other   16074
Total2,487  2,3561,347


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,695,309
Short Interest: % Change Since 915202519.1%
Average Daily Volume1,552,236
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.31
Basic Shares Quantity44,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares15.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/13/20251.6%-0.7%2.6%
4/29/2025-14.8%-19.9%2.7%
1/29/202516.3%21.6%0.6%
10/30/20247.5%13.2%34.7%
8/14/2024-10.7%-5.3%-1.6%
4/30/20247.9%15.8%38.0%
1/31/20245.2%9.5%13.9%
11/1/20231.7%0.8%6.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131313
# Negative999
Median Positive5.2%7.2%11.6%
Median Negative-7.3%-6.6%-11.0%
Max Positive29.8%25.1%47.2%
Max Negative-14.8%-19.9%-22.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025815202510-K 6/25/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/26/2025
12312024129202510-Q 12/25/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/25/2024
6302024821202410-K 6/26/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/27/2024
12312023131202410-Q 12/27/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/27/2023
6302023823202310-K 6/28/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/29/2023
12312022201202310-Q 12/28/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/28/2022
6302022826202210-K 6/29/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/30/2022
12312021202202210-Q 12/29/2021
93020211103202110-Q 9/29/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Ranade Prashant 9082025Sell159.6451181,5761,670,952Form
1Hochman KevinPres. & CEO8282025Sell157.8244,0006,944,08033,594,670Form
2Felix George SSVP, Chief Marketing Officer8272025Sell159.1911,7691,873,5073,756,247Form
3Ranade Prashant 8272025Sell154.061,882289,9411,652,910Form
4DePinto Joseph Michael 6092025Sell170.3610,0001,703,60016,916,237Form