Tearsheet

Duke Energy (DUK)


Market Price (3/14/2026): $133.01 | Market Cap: $103.3 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities

Duke Energy (DUK)


Market Price (3/14/2026): $133.01
Market Cap: $103.3 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Electric Utilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 88%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.3%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 16%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 16%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 88%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Duke Energy (DUK) stock has gained about 10% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q4 2025 Financial Results and Optimistic Outlook.

Duke Energy reported robust financial performance for Q4 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.50, slightly exceeding the forecasted $1.49, and revenue of $7.94 billion, surpassing the projected $7.57 billion. The company's full-year 2025 adjusted EPS reached $6.31, representing a 7% increase over 2024. Furthermore, Duke Energy provided an encouraging 2026 adjusted EPS guidance ranging from $6.55 to $6.80 and extended its long-term EPS growth target of 5% to 7% through 2030.

2. Record Capital Investment Plan for Infrastructure and Renewables.

The company unveiled a significant five-year (2026-2030) capital spending plan totaling $103 billion, an 18% increase from its previous plan, positioning it as the largest such plan among regulated U.S. utilities. Approximately 65% of this investment is allocated to grid infrastructure and increasing power generation, with a focus on modernizing the grid and expanding renewable energy projects. This extensive capital program is anticipated to drive 9.6% earnings-based growth through 2030.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.3% change in DUK stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253132026Change
Stock Price ($)122.89133.158.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)31,65932,2371.8%
Net Income Margin (%)15.8%15.4%-2.2%
P/E Multiple19.220.88.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7787770.1%
Cumulative Contribution8.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DUK8.3% 
Market (SPY)-3.1%-37.7%
Sector (XLU)3.6%67.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 10.6% change in DUK stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253132026Change
Stock Price ($)120.41133.1510.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)31,27132,2373.1%
Net Income Margin (%)15.5%15.4%-0.6%
P/E Multiple19.320.87.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7777770.0%
Cumulative Contribution10.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DUK10.6% 
Market (SPY)3.0%-28.6%
Sector (XLU)12.1%63.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.3% change in DUK stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820253132026Change
Stock Price ($)113.47133.1517.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)30,35732,2376.2%
Net Income Margin (%)14.9%15.4%3.4%
P/E Multiple19.420.87.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)772777-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution17.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DUK17.3% 
Market (SPY)12.4%-7.0%
Sector (XLU)21.0%67.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 58.8% change in DUK stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 73.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820233132026Change
Stock Price ($)83.86133.1558.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)28,76832,23712.1%
Net Income Margin (%)8.9%15.4%73.9%
P/E Multiple25.320.8-17.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)770777-0.9%
Cumulative Contribution58.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DUK58.8% 
Market (SPY)73.4%4.3%
Sector (XLU)57.3%76.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
DUK Return19%2%-2%16%13%12%74%
Peers Return20%-0%-13%18%18%12%62%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-1%80%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DUK Win Rate67%58%58%58%83%67% 
Peers Win Rate57%62%50%60%60%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DUK Max Drawdown-6%-16%-14%-6%-2%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-15%-25%-6%-4%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-2% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NEE, SO, D, AEP, EXC. See DUK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDUKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven692 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven413 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven288 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-42.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven969 days1,480 days

Compare to NEE, SO, D, AEP, EXC

In The Past

Duke Energy's stock fell -24.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/27/2022. A -24.9% loss requires a 33.1% gain to breakeven.

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About Duke Energy (DUK)

Duke Energy Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Commercial Renewables. The Electric Utilities and Infrastructure segment generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity in the Carolinas, Florida, and the Midwest; and uses coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewable generation, and nuclear fuel to generate electricity. It also engages in the wholesale of electricity to municipalities, electric cooperative utilities, and load-serving entities. This segment serves approximately 8.2 million customers in 6 states in the Southeast and Midwest regions of the United States covering a service territory of approximately 91,000 square miles; and owns approximately 50,259 megawatts (MW) of generation capacity. The Gas Utilities and Infrastructure segment distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and power generation natural gas customers; and owns, operates, and invests in pipeline transmission and natural gas storage facilities. It has approximately 1.6 million customers, including 1.1 million customers in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee, as well as 550,000 customers in southwestern Ohio and northern Kentucky. The Commercial Renewables segment acquires, owns, develops, builds, and operates wind and solar renewable generation projects, including nonregulated renewable energy and energy storage services to utilities, electric cooperatives, municipalities, and corporate customers. It has 23 wind, 178 solar, and 2 battery storage facilities, as well as 71 fuel cell locations with a capacity of 3,554 MW across 22 states. The company was formerly known as Duke Energy Holding Corp. and changed its name to Duke Energy Corporation in April 2005. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Duke Energy is like the AT&T of electricity and natural gas, providing essential power and fuel to millions of homes and businesses across several states, and actively expanding into renewable energy like wind and solar.

Alternatively, it's like the Union Pacific Railroad for energy infrastructure, owning vast networks of power lines and gas pipelines across the Southeast and Midwest, while also developing a significant portfolio of wind and solar power plants.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Electricity Supply: Generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity to residential, commercial, industrial, and wholesale customers.
  • Natural Gas Distribution: Delivers natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and power generation customers.
  • Renewable Energy Generation: Develops, owns, and operates wind and solar renewable generation projects for various customers.
  • Energy Storage Services: Provides non-regulated battery storage solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) primarily sells electricity and natural gas directly to a large base of end-users within its regulated service territories across the Carolinas, Florida, the Midwest, Tennessee, Ohio, and Kentucky.

The company serves millions of direct customers, which can be categorized as follows:

  1. Residential Customers: This category includes individual households and families that consume electricity and natural gas for personal use in their homes.
  2. Commercial Customers: This category encompasses various businesses and organizations, such as offices, retail stores, restaurants, healthcare facilities, and small to medium-sized enterprises, that utilize electricity and natural gas for their operational needs.
  3. Industrial Customers: This category refers to large-scale manufacturing facilities, industrial plants, and other major enterprises that require substantial amounts of electricity and natural gas for their production processes and operations.

In addition to these direct end-users, Duke Energy's Electric Utilities and Infrastructure and Commercial Renewables segments also engage in wholesale sales of electricity and renewable energy services to other entities, including municipalities, electric cooperative utilities, load-serving entities, and corporate customers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Clear emerging threats for Duke Energy (DUK) include:

  • Decentralized Electricity Generation and Storage: The rapidly declining costs and increasing efficiency of distributed energy resources, particularly rooftop solar panels combined with battery storage systems, empower customers to generate and store their own electricity. This trend directly reduces customer reliance on Duke Energy's centralized grid for power, leading to decreased demand for electricity sales, potential underutilization of existing generation and transmission infrastructure, and a fundamental shift in the traditional utility business model. This mirrors the disruption seen with Netflix providing an alternative to Blockbuster's centralized distribution.
  • Electrification of Building Systems: Driven by climate goals, evolving building codes, and technological advancements in electric alternatives like highly efficient heat pumps, there is a clear emerging movement to replace natural gas appliances (for heating, cooking, and water heating) in homes and businesses with electric versions. This trend directly threatens Duke Energy's Gas Utilities and Infrastructure segment by reducing the demand for natural gas distribution, potentially leading to declining customer usage and revenue, and raising questions about the long-term viability and asset utilization of its natural gas pipeline network. This is akin to a new technology making a previous one less essential, much like the iPhone's impact on BlackBerry.

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Trade Ideas

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Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CTRI_12122025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V212122025CTRICenturiInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
16.6%16.6%-5.5%
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.8%6.8%-4.0%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.5%27.5%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
36.9%36.9%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DUKNEESODAEPEXCMedian
NameDuke Ene.NextEra .Southern Dominion.American.Exelon  
Mkt Price133.1592.7898.0163.21133.6149.8295.40
Mkt Cap103.5193.1108.754.271.650.587.5
Rev LTM32,23727,41329,55216,50621,87624,25825,836
Op Inc LTM8,5778,0207,2854,9315,3855,1456,335
FCF LTM-1,6943,211-2,935-7,280-1,639-2,275-1,984
FCF 3Y Avg-1,4573,237-1,215-6,033-1,700-2,169-1,579
CFO LTM12,33012,4859,8025,3616,9446,2548,373
CFO 3Y Avg11,51212,3499,0485,6506,2535,5097,650

Growth & Margins

DUKNEESODAEPEXCMedian
NameDuke Ene.NextEra .Southern Dominion.American.Exelon  
Rev Chg LTM6.2%10.8%10.6%14.2%10.9%5.3%10.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.9%11.0%0.9%2.2%3.8%8.4%3.9%
Rev Chg Q7.9%20.7%10.1%20.4%13.2%-1.1%11.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.8%4.2%2.2%4.4%2.9%-0.2%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM26.6%29.3%24.7%29.9%24.6%21.2%25.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.7%31.0%24.7%27.4%22.3%19.5%25.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%1.1%-1.0%0.4%-0.3%0.4%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM38.2%45.5%33.2%32.5%31.7%25.8%32.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg37.6%46.4%33.2%37.6%30.9%23.9%35.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.3%11.7%-9.9%-44.1%-7.5%-9.4%-8.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.8%12.4%-4.3%-39.7%-8.5%-9.5%-6.7%

Valuation

DUKNEESODAEPEXCMedian
NameDuke Ene.NextEra .Southern Dominion.American.Exelon  
Mkt Cap103.5193.1108.754.271.650.587.5
P/S3.27.03.73.33.32.13.3
P/EBIT11.121.213.29.012.49.311.8
P/E20.828.325.018.220.018.320.4
P/CFO8.415.511.110.110.38.110.2
Total Yield5.6%6.0%6.8%9.7%7.8%8.7%7.3%
Dividend Yield0.8%2.4%2.8%4.2%2.8%3.2%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.8%2.2%-1.4%-13.2%-3.5%-5.6%-2.7%
D/E0.90.50.70.90.71.00.8
Net D/E0.90.50.70.90.71.00.8

Returns

DUKNEESODAEPEXCMedian
NameDuke Ene.NextEra .Southern Dominion.American.Exelon  
1M Rtn6.3%2.2%7.9%-1.2%9.3%13.0%7.1%
3M Rtn16.5%14.4%17.0%7.7%18.0%15.3%15.9%
6M Rtn11.1%31.3%7.9%7.6%24.0%16.8%14.0%
12M Rtn16.6%31.4%12.9%22.3%32.5%18.7%20.5%
3Y Rtn57.4%35.8%66.5%34.0%65.7%34.8%46.6%
1M Excs Rtn8.7%4.6%10.3%1.2%11.7%15.4%9.5%
3M Excs Rtn19.4%16.6%19.1%11.6%19.6%17.7%18.4%
6M Excs Rtn8.1%29.0%5.2%4.8%22.0%13.7%10.9%
12M Excs Rtn-2.8%10.0%-6.9%2.1%13.1%0.1%1.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-11.6%-33.3%0.5%-36.4%-2.3%-34.7%-22.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Electric Utilities and Infrastructure164,010155,449152,104143,841138,225
Gas Utilities and Infrastructure18,13117,34916,41115,17913,849
Other4,2024,0959,57110,5673,598
Eliminations00000
Commercial Renewables    6,716
Total186,343176,893178,086169,587162,388


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$133.15 
Market Cap ($ Bil)103.6 
First Trading Date04/06/1983 
Distance from 52W High0.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$123.19$119.82
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA8.1%11.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility13.5%16.0%
Downside Capture-88.55-25.86
Upside Capture-5.95-4.95
Correlation (SPY)-36.9%-6.2%
DUK Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.57-0.39-0.42-0.31-0.040.05
Up Beta-0.15-0.25-0.07-0.02-0.000.07
Down Beta0.01-0.07-0.34-0.320.020.04
Up Capture-25%-7%-30%-18%-2%3%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days16273770137402
Down Capture-164%-124%-86%-68%-38%-8%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days5142454114350

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DUK
DUK18.3%16.0%0.86-
Sector ETF (XLU)24.4%15.4%1.2166.7%
Equity (SPY)19.6%18.9%0.81-6.5%
Gold (GLD)71.9%26.3%2.0517.9%
Commodities (DBC)19.3%17.3%0.89-2.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.2%16.3%0.1935.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-15.0%44.2%-0.24-7.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DUK
DUK12.4%17.7%0.55-
Sector ETF (XLU)12.4%17.1%0.5782.9%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.0%0.6121.8%
Gold (GLD)24.1%17.3%1.1418.0%
Commodities (DBC)11.2%19.0%0.473.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.1652.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.4%56.7%0.333.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DUK
DUK10.3%20.3%0.45-
Sector ETF (XLU)10.5%19.1%0.4888.9%
Equity (SPY)14.5%17.9%0.7041.2%
Gold (GLD)14.4%15.6%0.7715.9%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.409.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2364.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.5%66.8%1.076.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2272026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 21520265.9%
Average Daily Volume4.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity777.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/10/20261.3%1.3%6.6%
11/7/2025-0.6%0.1%-7.0%
8/5/2025-0.1%1.1%-1.3%
5/6/2025-0.3%-8.0%-5.0%
2/13/2025-1.2%2.3%7.0%
11/7/20241.9%-0.4%1.7%
8/6/20240.5%0.7%4.4%
5/7/20240.1%0.0%1.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131414
# Negative111010
Median Positive0.7%1.2%4.4%
Median Negative-0.6%-1.5%-2.2%
Max Positive2.9%4.0%8.5%
Max Negative-2.5%-8.0%-7.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Glenn, Robert AlexanderEVP & Chief Legal OfficerDirectSell11202025123.808,2001,015,1601,407,235Form
2Renjel, Louis EEVP&CEO DEF&MW&ChiefCorpAffOffDirectSell11192025125.65800100,5202,554,716Form
3Weintraub, Alexander JSVP, Chief Customer OfficerDirectSell8212025121.6440048,656956,090Form
4Titone, Bonnie BSVP, Chief Admin OfficerDirectSell8212025124.382,000248,7642,438,880Form
5Gillespie, Thomas Preston JrEVP-Chf Gen Off-Entrp Op ExcelDirectSell8132025124.266,700832,5425,768,398Form