Tearsheet

Duke Energy (DUK)


Market Price (10/19/2025): $128.61 | Market Cap: $99.9 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities

Duke Energy (DUK)


Market Price (10/19/2025): $128.61
Market Cap: $99.9 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Electric Utilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 88%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -18%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -18%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 88%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

DUK Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DUK Return5%19%2%-2%16%23%77%
Peers Return1%18%2%1%31%26%102%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DUK Win Rate58%67%58%58%58%89% 
Peers Win Rate42%48%64%53%62%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DUK Max Drawdown-29%-6%-16%-14%-6%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-8%-12%-19%-7%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEE, CEG, AEP, EXC, EIX. See DUK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventDUKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven692 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven413 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven288 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-42.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven969 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Duke Energy's stock fell -24.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/27/2022. A -24.9% loss requires a 33.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Duke Energy (DUK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DUK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
AES_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%10.8%0.0%
VST_5312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312025VSTVistraQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
25.7%25.7%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
AES_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%10.8%0.0%
VST_5312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312025VSTVistraQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
25.7%25.7%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Duke Energy

Financials

DUKNEECEGAEPEXCEIXMedian
NameDuke Ene.NextEra .Constell.American.Exelon Edison I. 
Mkt Price128.5384.53386.50117.5347.7856.66101.03
Mkt Cap99.9173.9121.462.848.221.881.3
Rev LTM31,27125,89924,82120,66723,70017,33224,260
Op Inc LTM8,3987,6453,4385,1304,7344,8274,979
FCF LTM-5633,735-2,398-3,236-1,499-641-1,070
FCF 3Y Avg-2,8082,046-5,749-2,495-2,372-1,690-2,433
CFO LTM11,94112,2084566,5715,7775,1956,174
CFO 3Y Avg9,71311,329-3,2665,5954,8534,0215,224

Growth & Margins

DUKNEECEGAEPEXCEIXMedian
NameDuke Ene.NextEra .Constell.American.Exelon Edison I. 
Rev Chg LTM4.1%0.2%5.4%5.9%6.7%5.4%5.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.0%16.7%6.8%4.9%8.5%3.0%6.4%
Rev Chg Q4.7%10.4%11.4%11.1%11.1%-6.5%10.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%2.5%2.6%2.5%2.9%-1.5%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM26.9%29.5%13.9%24.8%20.0%27.9%25.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.0%31.1%8.8%21.2%18.8%17.5%20.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%0.3%-2.6%2.2%1.3%11.2%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM38.2%47.1%1.8%31.8%24.4%30.0%30.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.0%43.4%-13.2%28.1%22.1%23.7%25.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.8%14.4%-9.7%-15.7%-6.3%-3.7%-5.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-9.6%8.0%-23.2%-12.5%-11.3%-9.9%-10.6%

Valuation

DUKNEECEGAEPEXCEIXMedian
NameDuke Ene.NextEra .Constell.American.Exelon Edison I. 
Mkt Cap99.9173.9121.462.848.221.881.3
P/S3.26.74.93.02.01.33.1
P/EBIT11.022.027.411.49.74.111.2
P/E20.629.440.317.217.87.419.2
P/CFO8.414.2266.19.68.34.29.0
Total Yield5.7%6.0%2.9%8.9%8.8%19.1%7.4%
Dividend Yield0.8%2.6%0.4%3.1%3.2%5.6%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.9%1.4%-12.8%-5.2%-6.1%-6.6%-5.6%
D/E0.90.50.10.71.01.80.8
Net D/E0.90.50.10.71.01.80.8

Returns

DUKNEECEGAEPEXCEIXMedian
NameDuke Ene.NextEra .Constell.American.Exelon Edison I. 
1M Rtn6.8%19.4%19.8%10.4%10.8%3.5%10.6%
3M Rtn9.5%12.2%20.4%10.3%11.1%12.5%11.6%
6M Rtn7.4%29.5%87.5%11.0%2.9%1.8%9.2%
12M Rtn10.4%3.3%43.9%21.0%21.1%-29.8%15.7%
3Y Rtn62.4%25.0%362.5%53.6%45.0%15.2%49.3%
1M Excs Rtn6.3%18.9%19.3%9.9%10.3%3.0%10.1%
3M Excs Rtn2.5%6.1%16.0%3.5%4.6%7.3%5.3%
6M Excs Rtn-18.7%3.4%61.3%-15.1%-23.2%-24.3%-16.9%
12M Excs Rtn-0.8%-9.3%31.5%7.7%7.7%-44.1%3.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-17.7%-59.7%296.0%-24.9%-37.7%-68.6%-31.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,722,710
Short Interest: % Change Since 91520251.9%
Average Daily Volume3,018,081
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.88
Basic Shares Quantity777,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/2025-0.1%1.1%-1.3%
5/6/2025-0.3%-8.0%-5.0%
2/13/2025-1.2%2.3%7.0%
11/7/20241.9%-0.4%1.7%
8/6/20240.5%0.7%4.4%
5/7/20240.1%0.0%1.6%
2/8/2024-1.0%0.8%4.6%
11/2/20230.4%-2.1%4.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131313
# Negative111111
Median Positive0.7%1.7%4.4%
Median Negative-1.0%-2.1%-2.5%
Max Positive3.2%4.6%8.5%
Max Negative-2.8%-8.0%-11.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Weintraub Alexander J.SVP, Chief Customer Officer8212025Sell121.6440048,656956,090Form
1Titone Bonnie B.SVP, Chief Admin Officer8212025Sell124.382,000248,7642,438,880Form
2Gillespie Thomas Preston Jr.EVP-Chf Gen Off-Entrp Op Excel8132025Sell124.266,700832,5425,768,398Form
3Renjel Louis E.EVP&CEO Duke Energy FL&Midwest8082025Sell125.561,580198,3782,653,243Form
4MCKEE E MARIE 8082025Sell124.881,610201,057125Form