Tearsheet

Duke Energy (DUK)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $125.4 | Market Cap: $97.6 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities

Duke Energy (DUK)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $125.4
Market Cap: $97.6 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Electric Utilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 91%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -22%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -22%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 91%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

DUK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Duke Energy's (DUK) stock movement from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:

1. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat: Duke Energy reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.81 for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing analyst forecasts of $1.76 and consensus estimates of $1.75. The company also posted revenues of $8.54 billion, exceeding expectations and demonstrating robust financial performance.

2. New Five-Year Capital Plan and Bullish Outlook: Management previewed a significant new five-year capital plan, signaling substantial future capital investments and anticipating robust regional demand. This outlook positioned the company for sustained growth and instilled confidence among investors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DUK Return5%19%2%-2%16%20%74%
Peers Return1%18%2%1%31%24%98%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DUK Win Rate58%67%58%58%58%90% 
Peers Win Rate42%48%64%53%62%66% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DUK Max Drawdown-29%-6%-16%-14%-6%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-8%-12%-19%-7%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEE, CEG, AEP, EXC, EIX. See DUK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDUKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven692 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven413 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven288 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-42.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven969 days1480 days

Compare to NEE, CEG, AEP, EXC, EIX


In The Past

Duke Energy's stock fell -24.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/27/2022. A -24.9% loss requires a 33.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Duke Energy (DUK)

Better Bets than Duke Energy (DUK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DUK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.3%10.3%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.2%8.2%-3.2%
VST_5312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312025VSTVistraQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
9.0%9.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.3%10.3%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.2%8.2%-3.2%
VST_5312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312025VSTVistraQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
9.0%9.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Duke Energy

Financials

DUKNEECEGAEPEXCEIXMedian
NameDuke Ene.NextEra .Constell.American.Exelon Edison I. 
Mkt Price125.1885.75338.67123.7246.6057.76104.73
Mkt Cap97.4177.0106.066.247.122.281.8
Rev LTM31,65926,29824,84121,25724,31718,08824,579
Op Inc LTM8,5837,4043,0175,3005,0605,2275,264
FCF LTM-9213,073-276-1,736-1,595-722-822
FCF 3Y Avg-2,1222,421-4,768-1,932-2,186-1,201-2,027
CFO LTM12,04911,9672,4166,8586,4365,3986,647
CFO 3Y Avg10,53911,847-2,2525,8345,3374,5825,586

Growth & Margins

DUKNEECEGAEPEXCEIXMedian
NameDuke Ene.NextEra .Constell.American.Exelon Edison I. 
Rev Chg LTM4.8%0.2%3.6%8.4%6.1%4.4%4.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.2%11.4%3.7%4.2%8.9%3.1%4.7%
Rev Chg Q4.8%5.3%0.3%10.9%9.0%10.6%7.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%1.5%0.1%2.9%2.3%3.1%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM27.1%28.2%12.1%24.9%20.8%28.9%26.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.1%31.5%11.1%21.6%19.0%20.5%21.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-1.4%-1.7%0.1%0.8%2.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM38.1%45.5%9.7%32.3%26.5%29.8%31.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.6%44.6%-8.9%29.0%23.3%26.3%27.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.9%11.7%-1.1%-8.2%-6.6%-4.0%-3.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.1%9.3%-19.0%-9.7%-9.9%-7.0%-8.4%

Valuation

DUKNEECEGAEPEXCEIXMedian
NameDuke Ene.NextEra .Constell.American.Exelon Edison I. 
Mkt Cap97.4177.0106.066.247.122.281.8
P/S3.16.74.33.11.91.23.1
P/EBIT10.523.625.411.78.94.011.1
P/E19.527.238.718.116.77.018.8
P/CFO8.114.843.99.67.34.18.9
Total Yield5.9%6.2%3.0%8.6%9.4%20.0%7.4%
Dividend Yield0.8%2.6%0.4%3.0%3.4%5.7%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.9%1.3%-9.5%-4.3%-5.5%-4.7%-4.5%
D/E0.90.50.10.71.11.80.8
Net D/E0.90.50.00.71.01.80.8

Returns

DUKNEECEGAEPEXCEIXMedian
NameDuke Ene.NextEra .Constell.American.Exelon Edison I. 
1M Rtn-1.8%1.4%-12.3%6.1%-1.6%1.9%-0.1%
3M Rtn4.0%14.1%5.0%12.6%6.8%5.4%6.1%
6M Rtn8.9%17.9%15.5%21.1%6.8%2.7%12.2%
12M Rtn15.6%15.8%51.8%32.9%23.5%-26.9%19.6%
3Y Rtn45.6%12.3%272.0%51.9%35.1%8.0%40.4%
1M Excs Rtn-1.9%1.3%-12.4%6.0%-1.7%1.8%-0.2%
3M Excs Rtn-2.1%8.9%2.8%6.6%1.0%0.0%1.9%
6M Excs Rtn-3.0%6.1%3.6%9.3%-5.0%-9.2%0.3%
12M Excs Rtn6.2%7.6%39.5%25.7%15.1%-37.1%11.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-22.0%-56.4%196.7%-17.6%-33.8%-58.1%-27.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,605,957
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-5.9%
Average Daily Volume2,910,534
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.67
Basic Shares Quantity778,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/7/2025-0.6%0.1% 
8/5/2025-0.1%1.1%-1.3%
5/6/2025-0.3%-8.0%-5.0%
2/13/2025-1.2%2.3%7.0%
11/7/20241.9%-0.4%1.7%
8/6/20240.5%0.7%4.4%
5/7/20240.1%0.0%1.6%
2/8/2024-1.0%0.8%4.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131413
# Negative111011
Median Positive0.7%1.4%4.4%
Median Negative-0.6%-1.5%-2.2%
Max Positive3.2%4.6%8.5%
Max Negative-2.5%-8.0%-11.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Weintraub Alexander J.SVP, Chief Customer Officer8212025Sell121.6440048,656956,090Form
1Titone Bonnie B.SVP, Chief Admin Officer8212025Sell124.382,000248,7642,438,880Form
2Gillespie Thomas Preston Jr.EVP-Chf Gen Off-Entrp Op Excel8132025Sell124.266,700832,5425,768,398Form
3Renjel Louis E.EVP&CEO Duke Energy FL&Midwest8082025Sell125.561,580198,3782,653,243Form
4MCKEE E MARIE 8082025Sell124.881,610201,057125Form