Docusign (DOCU)
Market Price (12/8/2025): $65.7 | Market Cap: $13.3 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Docusign (DOCU)
Market Price (12/8/2025): $65.7Market Cap: $13.3 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -6.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -29% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.9% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Identity Management. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.9% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Identity Management. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -6.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -29% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DOCU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Docusign (DOCU) experienced a decline in its stock price of approximately -14.3% between August 31, 2025, and December 8, 2025, primarily due to market reactions surrounding its third-quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings report and subsequent guidance.
1. Conservative Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Revenue Guidance: Despite surpassing analyst estimates for its third-quarter fiscal year 2026 revenue, Docusign's management provided a conservative outlook for the fourth quarter. The company projected Q4 revenue to be between $825 million and $829 million, which, at its midpoint, slightly trailed the Wall Street consensus estimate of $827.4 million. This technical miss on guidance negatively impacted investor sentiment.
2. Projected Slower Growth Rate: The midpoint of Docusign's fourth-quarter fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance represented an anticipated annual growth rate of 6.5%, a noticeable deceleration compared to the growth rate achieved in the prior quarter. This forecast for slowing growth raised questions among investors regarding the company's future growth potential.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DOCU Return | 200% | -31% | -64% | 7% | 51% | -21% | -4% |
| Peers Return | 30% | 32% | -13% | 36% | 15% | 4% | 142% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DOCU Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 25% | 50% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 63% | 37% | 63% | 55% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DOCU Max Drawdown | -7% | -39% | -74% | -30% | -16% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -7% | -30% | -10% | -13% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADBE, MSFT, DBX, BOX, ORCL. See DOCU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/5/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DOCU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -87.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 704.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 274 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -44.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 350 days | 120 days |
Compare to ADBE, PANW, CDNS, FICO, DBX
In The Past
Docusign's stock fell -87.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/3/2021. A -87.6% loss requires a 704.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DOCU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.3% | 8.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.7% | 14.7% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | DOCU | Docusign | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| 02292024 | DOCU | Docusign | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 10.8% | 56.1% | -6.6% |
| 06302022 | DOCU | Docusign | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -2.8% | -11.0% | -30.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.3% | 8.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.7% | 14.7% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | DOCU | Docusign | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| 02292024 | DOCU | Docusign | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 10.8% | 56.1% | -6.6% |
| 06302022 | DOCU | Docusign | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -2.8% | -11.0% | -30.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Docusign
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 141.62 |
| Mkt Cap | 79.9 |
| Rev LTM | 13,138 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,510 |
| FCF LTM | 926 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,894 |
| CFO LTM | 5,416 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,540 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 28.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 25.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 36.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 28.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 79.9 |
| P/S | 6.1 |
| P/EBIT | 31.9 |
| P/E | 30.1 |
| P/CFO | 15.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -0.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 40.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -21.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -36.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 2,762 | 2,516 | |||
| Professional services and other | 70 | 72 | 56 | ||
| Subscription | 2,037 | 1,381 | 918 | ||
| Total | 2,762 | 2,516 | 2,107 | 1,453 | 974 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 74 | -97 | |||
| Total | 74 | -97 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 2,971 | ||||
| Total | 2,971 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/4/2025 | -7.6% | ||
| 9/4/2025 | 4.7% | 5.2% | -8.5% |
| 6/5/2025 | -19.0% | -18.2% | -14.3% |
| 3/13/2025 | 14.8% | 13.9% | -0.5% |
| 12/5/2024 | 27.9% | 13.0% | 5.5% |
| 9/5/2024 | 4.0% | -0.8% | 12.1% |
| 6/6/2024 | -4.7% | -6.3% | -4.9% |
| 12/7/2023 | 4.8% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| # Negative | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 7.9% | 11.7% | 18.2% |
| Median Negative | -7.6% | -8.1% | -11.5% |
| Max Positive | 27.9% | 24.8% | 43.2% |
| Max Negative | -42.2% | -36.1% | -32.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9052025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6062025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3182025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12062024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9062024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6072024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3212024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12082023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9072023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6082023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3272023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12082022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9082022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6092022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3252022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12062021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Thygesen Allan C. | President and CEO | 10022025 | Sell | 69.03 | 23,982 | 1,655,477 | 10,510,784 | Form |
| 1 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | Chief Financial Officer | 10022025 | Sell | 70.73 | 1,751 | 123,848 | 7,809,229 | Form |
| 2 | Shaughnessy James P | Chief Legal Officer | 10022025 | Sell | 70.71 | 1,918 | 135,622 | 4,315,007 | Form |
| 3 | Chatwani Robert | President General Mgr, Growth | 9162025 | Sell | 80.30 | 1,682 | 135,065 | 5,577,718 | Form |
| 4 | Marrs Anna | 9162025 | Sell | 80.30 | 728 | 58,458 | 867,160 | Form |
External Quote Links
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