Docusign (DOCU)
Market Price (11/24/2025): $65.42 | Market Cap: $13.3 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Docusign (DOCU)
Market Price (11/24/2025): $65.42Market Cap: $13.3 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -35% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.1% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Identity Management. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Identity Management. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -35% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DOCU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Docusign's stock underperformed its industry and peers.
The company's stock declined 26% in the six months leading up to November 21, 2025, while its industry experienced only a 3.7% dip. This performance also trailed competitors like Appian and StoneCo, which saw 27.6% and 8.6% growth, respectively, during the same period.
2. The stock reached new 52-week lows in November 2025.
Docusign's shares hit a new 52-week low of $63.77 USD on November 21, 2025, trading approximately 41% below its 52-week high of $107.86 USD. This continued to a low of $63.50 on November 22, 2025, reflecting significant investor concerns and market volatility.
3. Mixed analyst sentiment persisted despite beating Q2 FY26 earnings estimates.
Although Docusign reported better-than-expected Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings on September 4, 2025, with EPS of $0.92 (vs. $0.84 consensus) and revenue of $800.64 million (vs. $780.35 million consensus), the overall analyst consensus remained a "Hold" rating. This mixed sentiment, with an average price target of $94.14, suggested a cautious outlook from the market.
4. Concerns arose regarding market risks and potential competition in the SaaS sector.
Investors expressed worries about increasing risks to Docusign's business, particularly concerning the relatively small but growing electronic signature market. Broader concerns within the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) sector, including potential competition from new AI tools like those announced by OpenAI, may have also contributed to negative sentiment.
5. Significant insider selling occurred, exceeding the specified threshold.
Insider selling accelerated, with CEO Allan Thygesen selling 40,000 shares (a 22.7% reduction in his holdings). Additionally, insiders collectively sold 102,533 shares valued at approximately $7.71 million in the quarter prior to November 22, 2025, indicating a lack of confidence from company executives.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DOCU Return | 200% | -31% | -64% | 7% | 51% | -27% | -12% |
| Peers Return | 52% | 20% | -10% | 77% | 16% | -8% | 214% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 12% | 104% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DOCU Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 25% | 50% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 63% | 40% | 68% | 62% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DOCU Max Drawdown | -7% | -39% | -74% | -30% | -16% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -15% | -30% | -6% | -16% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADBE, PANW, CDNS, FICO, DBX. See DOCU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/21/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DOCU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -87.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 704.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 274 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -44.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 350 days | 120 days |
Compare to ADBE, PANW, CDNS, FICO, DBX
In The Past
Docusign's stock fell -87.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/3/2021. A -87.6% loss requires a 704.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DOCU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.5% | -10.5% | -15.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -4.0% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -8.2% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -5.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.9% | -7.9% | -8.9% |
| 02292024 | DOCU | Docusign | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 10.8% | 56.1% | -6.6% |
| 06302022 | DOCU | Docusign | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -2.8% | -11.0% | -30.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.5% | -10.5% | -15.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -4.0% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -8.2% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -5.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.9% | -7.9% | -8.9% |
| 02292024 | DOCU | Docusign | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 10.8% | 56.1% | -6.6% |
| 06302022 | DOCU | Docusign | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -2.8% | -11.0% | -30.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Docusign
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 241.74 |
| Mkt Cap | 62.1 |
| Rev LTM | 4,154 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,089 |
| FCF LTM | 1,207 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,030 |
| CFO LTM | 1,328 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,122 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 27.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 38.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 36.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 62.1 |
| P/S | 9.6 |
| P/EBIT | 45.5 |
| P/E | 56.4 |
| P/CFO | 23.5 |
| Total Yield | 1.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 60.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -23.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 2,762 | 2,516 | |||
| Professional services and other | 70 | 72 | 56 | ||
| Subscription | 2,037 | 1,381 | 918 | ||
| Total | 2,762 | 2,516 | 2,107 | 1,453 | 974 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 74 | -97 | |||
| Total | 74 | -97 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 2,971 | ||||
| Total | 2,971 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 9/4/2025 | 4.7% | 5.2% | -8.5% |
| 6/5/2025 | -19.0% | -18.2% | -14.3% |
| 3/13/2025 | 14.8% | 13.9% | -0.5% |
| 12/5/2024 | 27.9% | 13.0% | 5.5% |
| 9/5/2024 | 4.0% | -0.8% | 12.1% |
| 6/6/2024 | -4.7% | -6.3% | -4.9% |
| 12/7/2023 | 4.8% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| 9/7/2023 | -3.7% | -13.8% | -19.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 9 | 8 |
| # Negative | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 8.7% | 10.5% | 15.2% |
| Median Negative | -8.6% | -8.1% | -11.5% |
| Max Positive | 27.9% | 24.8% | 43.2% |
| Max Negative | -42.2% | -36.1% | -32.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9052025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6062025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3182025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12062024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9062024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6072024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3212024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12082023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9072023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6082023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3272023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12082022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9082022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6092022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3252022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12062021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Thygesen Allan C. | President and CEO | 10022025 | Sell | 69.03 | 23,982 | 1,655,477 | 10,510,784 | Form |
| 1 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | Chief Financial Officer | 10022025 | Sell | 70.73 | 1,751 | 123,848 | 7,809,229 | Form |
| 2 | Shaughnessy James P | Chief Legal Officer | 10022025 | Sell | 70.71 | 1,918 | 135,622 | 4,315,007 | Form |
| 3 | Chatwani Robert | President General Mgr, Growth | 9162025 | Sell | 80.30 | 1,682 | 135,065 | 5,577,718 | Form |
| 4 | Marrs Anna | 9162025 | Sell | 80.30 | 728 | 58,458 | 867,160 | Form |
External Quote Links
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