Dollar Tree (DLTR)
Market Price (3/23/2026): $106.76 | Market Cap: $21.2 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Dollar Tree (DLTR)
Market Price (3/23/2026): $106.76Market Cap: $21.2 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 6.6% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92% | Key risksDLTR key risks include [1] the heightened sensitivity of its core lower-income customer base to macroeconomic pressures, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Affordability & Value Retail. Themes include Discount Retail, and Value-Oriented Consumer Goods. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 6.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Affordability & Value Retail. Themes include Discount Retail, and Value-Oriented Consumer Goods. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92% |
| Key risksDLTR key risks include [1] the heightened sensitivity of its core lower-income customer base to macroeconomic pressures, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Dollar Tree (DLTR) stock has lost about 5% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Weakened Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Outlook: Despite reporting Q4 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.56, which slightly beat analyst estimates of $2.53, Dollar Tree's forward guidance for fiscal year 2026 was less optimistic. The company projected adjusted diluted EPS for fiscal 2026 in the range of $6.50 to $6.90, with a midpoint of $6.70, which missed analyst estimates by 0.6%. The Q1 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance of $1.45 to $1.60 also fell short of the average analyst estimate of $1.57. This subdued outlook for the upcoming year likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
2. Increased Operating Costs and Margin Pressure: Dollar Tree experienced higher tariff costs and increased markdowns during Q4 2025, which partially offset other benefits. This resulted in a decrease of 30 basis points in the adjusted operating income margin, falling to 8.6% from the prior year. Broader macroeconomic factors, including inflation and elevated labor costs, continued to put pressure on discount retailers during this period.
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1. Weakened Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Outlook: Despite reporting Q4 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.56, which slightly beat analyst estimates of $2.53, Dollar Tree's forward guidance for fiscal year 2026 was less optimistic. The company projected adjusted diluted EPS for fiscal 2026 in the range of $6.50 to $6.90, with a midpoint of $6.70, which missed analyst estimates by 0.6%. The Q1 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance of $1.45 to $1.60 also fell short of the average analyst estimate of $1.57. This subdued outlook for the upcoming year likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
2. Increased Operating Costs and Margin Pressure: Dollar Tree experienced higher tariff costs and increased markdowns during Q4 2025, which partially offset other benefits. This resulted in a decrease of 30 basis points in the adjusted operating income margin, falling to 8.6% from the prior year. Broader macroeconomic factors, including inflation and elevated labor costs, continued to put pressure on discount retailers during this period.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.4% change in DLTR stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 110.81 | 105.92 | -4.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18,551 | 19,412 | 4.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.2 | 1.1 | -12.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 207 | 199 | 4.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.4% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DLTR | -4.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -4.8% | 27.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.4% | 40.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -3.0% change in DLTR stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 109.17 | 105.92 | -3.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18,049 | 19,412 | 7.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.3 | 1.1 | -16.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 214 | 199 | 7.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -3.0% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DLTR | -3.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.1% | 30.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 1.3% | 37.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 45.4% change in DLTR stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 162.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 72.86 | 105.92 | 45.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7,396 | 19,412 | 162.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.1 | 1.1 | -48.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 215 | 199 | 8.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 45.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DLTR | 45.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.4% | 29.9% |
| Sector (XLP) | -0.3% | 33.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -27.1% change in DLTR stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 145.28 | 105.92 | -27.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 27,692 | 19,412 | -29.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.8% | 6.6% | 13.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.0 | 16.4 | -17.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 222 | 199 | 11.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -27.1% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DLTR | -27.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 70.3% | 24.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 21.4% | 30.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DLTR Return | 30% | 1% | 0% | -47% | 64% | -14% | -2% |
| Peers Return | 24% | -12% | 7% | 3% | 31% | 12% | 76% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -3% | 76% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DLTR Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 58% | 25% | 67% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 60% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DLTR Max Drawdown | -22% | -10% | -27% | -57% | -17% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -30% | -22% | -26% | -21% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -3% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DG, WMT, TGT, FIVE, COST. See DLTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DLTR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 71 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 369 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 113.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 504 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to DG, WMT, TGT, FIVE, COST
In The Past
Dollar Tree's stock fell -40.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -40.5% loss requires a 68.0% gain to breakeven.
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About Dollar Tree (DLTR)
Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety retail stores. It operates in two segments, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree segment offers merchandise at the fixed price of $ 1.25. It provides consumable merchandise, including candy and food, and health and personal care, as well as everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise comprising toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods that include Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. As of January 29, 2022, this segment operated 8,061 stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, as well as 15 distribution centers in the United States and 2 distribution centers in Canada. The Family Dollar segment operates general merchandise retail discount stores that offer consumable merchandise, which comprise food and beverages, tobacco, health and personal care, household chemicals, paper products, hardware and automotive supplies, diapers, batteries, and pet food and supplies; and home products, including housewares, home décor, and giftware, as well as domestics, such as comforters, sheets, and towels. It also provides apparel and accessories merchandise comprising clothing, fashion accessories, and shoes; and seasonal and electronics merchandise that include Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise, as well as personal electronics, which comprise pre-paid cellular phones and services, stationery and school supplies, and toys. As of January 29, 2022, this segment operated 8,016 stores under the Family Dollar brand; and 11 distribution centers. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.
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Here are a few analogies for Dollar Tree:
- Imagine a store like Five Below, but focused on everyday essentials and party supplies, with everything fixed at $1.25.
- It also operates a chain of neighborhood discount stores, similar to a smaller, more value-focused Walmart or Target.
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- Consumable Goods: A wide assortment of everyday essentials including food, beverages, health and personal care items, household chemicals, and pet supplies.
- General Merchandise: A diverse range of non-consumable items such as toys, durable housewares, home décor, gifts, stationery, party goods, and arts & crafts supplies.
- Apparel and Accessories: Clothing, fashion accessories, and footwear offered primarily through the Family Dollar segment.
- Seasonal and Holiday Products: Merchandise specific to holidays and seasons, including items for Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day.
- Electronics and Communication: Personal electronics, including prepaid cellular phones and related services.
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Dollar Tree (DLTR) sells primarily to individuals through its retail stores. Its major customer categories include:
- Budget-Conscious Consumers: These are individuals and families who prioritize affordability and seek to maximize their purchasing power on everyday essentials, groceries, health and personal care products, and household items. The fixed low price point of $1.25 at Dollar Tree and the general discount nature of Family Dollar stores directly cater to this segment.
- Convenience-Oriented Shoppers: Customers who value accessibility and often make quick trips to Dollar Tree or Family Dollar stores for immediate needs, such as snacks, beverages, small household items, or specific party and seasonal supplies, due to the stores' widespread local presence and convenient locations.
- Value Seekers & Opportunistic Buyers: This category includes shoppers who are drawn to the stores for the opportunity to find various goods at low prices. They might be looking for specific craft supplies, seasonal decorations, party goods, or simply browsing for unexpected deals and unique items that offer high perceived value for their cost.
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Michael C. Creedon Jr., Chief Executive Officer
Michael C. Creedon Jr. was appointed Chief Executive Officer in December 2024, after serving as interim CEO from November 2024. He joined Dollar Tree as Chief Operating Officer in October 2022, with his role expanding in February 2024 to include oversight of Dollar Tree and Family Dollar Merchandising and Supply Chain. Before joining Dollar Tree, Mr. Creedon spent nearly a decade at Advance Auto Parts, where he held several leadership positions, most recently as Executive Vice President and President of its U.S. stores. He also held executive positions with Tyco International and ADT Security.
Stewart Glendinning, Chief Financial Officer
Stewart Glendinning was named Chief Financial Officer in March 2025, having previously served as Chief Transformation Officer. He joined Dollar Tree in early 2025 in a senior role focusing on enterprise-wide transformation initiatives. Prior to Dollar Tree, Mr. Glendinning served as CEO of Express, Inc. He has also held global CFO roles at Tyson Foods and Molson Coors Brewing Company, and served as President and CEO of several operating segments at both Fortune 500 companies.
Bobby Aflatooni, Chief Information Officer
Bobby Aflatooni joined Dollar Tree as Chief Information Officer in July 2022. Before this, he was Executive Vice President, Chief Information Officer for The Howard Hughes Corporation. Mr. Aflatooni also held leadership positions at Dollar General, including Vice President of IT Operations, Architecture, Merchandising from March 2011 to April 2018, and Senior Director IT Infrastructure and Architecture from January 2009 to March 2011.
Jocelyn Konrad, Executive Vice President, Chief Retail Officer
Jocelyn Konrad was named Executive Vice President, Chief Retail Officer in February 2026. She most recently served as the Chief of Stores and Enterprise Store Operations for Dollar Tree. Ms. Konrad joined the organization as Chief of Stores for Family Dollar in September 2023. Her role expanded in November 2024 to Chief of Dollar Tree Stores and Enterprise Store Operations, and further in 2025 to include oversight of Asset Protection.
Brent Beebe, Chief Merchandising Officer
Brent Beebe joined Dollar Tree in 2020 and was appointed Chief Merchandising Officer in February 2026. Prior to this appointment, he was Senior Vice President of Merchandising with oversight of Marketing. Before joining Dollar Tree, Mr. Beebe held various leadership positions at Seattle-based Bartell Drugs, culminating as Executive Vice President. He also held senior merchandising roles at Jo-Ann Stores and Fred Meyer (a banner of The Kroger Company).
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Here are the key risks to Dollar Tree's business:- Persistent Cost Inflation and Pressure on Operating Margins: Dollar Tree continues to face significant headwinds from persistent cost inflation, including elevated Selling, General, and Administrative (SG&A) expenses, wage increases, utility costs, and higher tariff costs. This leads to a squeeze on operating margins and impacts overall profitability, even amidst efforts to expand gross margins through strategic pricing and a multi-price point strategy.
- Challenges Related to the Divestiture of the Family Dollar Segment: Dollar Tree has announced an agreement to divest its underperforming Family Dollar business. While intended to unlock value and resolve long-standing operational and integration issues, the divestiture itself presents risks. These include the successful completion of the sale, potential disruptions to business operations, and the overall impact on Dollar Tree's financial and strategic positioning post-divestiture.
- Intense Competitive Pressure and Maintaining Value Perception: The discount retail sector is highly competitive, with Dollar Tree facing strong competition from larger retailers like Walmart and Dollar General. The company's shift to a multi-price point strategy, while aimed at broadening its customer base, introduces operational complexity and the ongoing challenge of maintaining its value perception. Customers may seek out competitors offering comparable products at potentially lower prices, impacting sales and market share.
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The emergence of ultra-low-cost online retailers (e.g., Temu, Shein, and TikTok Shop) poses a clear emerging threat. These platforms leverage direct-from-manufacturer sourcing and digital distribution to offer a wide array of non-consumable goods at extremely low price points, often competing with or undercutting the pricing of dollar stores. This model directly challenges the value proposition and market share of Dollar Tree and Family Dollar, particularly for discretionary items such as toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, softlines, arts and crafts, home décor, apparel, electronics, and seasonal merchandise.AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for Dollar Tree, Inc.'s main products and services encompass various segments of the retail industry in the United States and Canada.
United States
- Discount Department Stores: The U.S. addressable market for discount department stores, which includes operations similar to Dollar Tree, was part of the North American market valued at approximately $192.3 billion in 2024. The broader global discount department stores market is projected to grow from $411.1 billion in 2024 to $871.2 billion by 2034, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.8% from 2025 to 2034.
- General Merchandise: Spending on Discount & Dollar Stores in the U.S. saw a year-over-year increase of 4.2% in 2024. North America holds a 25-28% share of the global General Merchandise Market, which is estimated to be valued at approximately $6,297.43 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach $9,011.84 billion by 2035.
- Consumable Merchandise (Food, Beverages, Health & Personal Care, Household Goods): The U.S. health and personal care market alone reached $433.1 billion in sales in 2023. The North American food & grocery retail market was valued at $1,872.4 billion in 2023, with the U.S. market accounting for over 40.0% of this.
- Apparel & Accessories: The U.S. apparel market is valued at $365.70 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 2.11% between 2025 and 2028. In 2023, spending on clothes and accessories in the U.S. amounted to approximately $312.7 billion.
- Home Products (Housewares, Home Décor, Furniture): Sales in the U.S. furniture and home furnishings category were nearly $133.6 billion in 2023. The U.S. household furniture market was valued at $91.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to increase to $118.6 billion by 2032. The broader furniture and home furnishings market was forecasted to reach $338 billion in value in 2023.
Canada
- Retail Trade (Overall): Canadian retail spending reached $839.8 billion in 2023. The total Canada retail market size was valued at $834.55 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $1,346.50 billion by 2035.
- General Merchandise Retailers: General merchandise retailers in Canada generated $103.8 billion in operating revenue in 2023.
- Food and Beverage Retailers: In Canada, total sales by food and beverage retailers rose to $156.4 billion in 2023. The Canadian instant grocery market, a segment of the food market, was valued at $11.05 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to exceed $64.75 billion by 2033.
- Discounters: Consumers in Canada are increasingly shifting towards discounters, indicating a growing market for value-oriented retail.
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For Dollar Tree (DLTR), several key initiatives and market trends are expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years:
- Expansion of Multi-Price Point Strategy within Dollar Tree Stores: Dollar Tree's "More Choices" initiative, which involves offering a broader assortment of products at various price points beyond the traditional $1.25, is a significant driver. This strategy aims to enhance relevance, flexibility, and profitability, leading to an increase in average transaction ticket and attracting a wider customer base, thereby boosting comparable store sales.
- New Dollar Tree Store Openings and Strategic Conversions: The company is actively expanding its physical footprint by opening new Dollar Tree stores, with plans for approximately 400 new openings in fiscal year 2026. Additionally, Dollar Tree is converting some existing Family Dollar locations to the Dollar Tree banner, which contributes to overall store count growth and focuses on higher-performing formats.
- Increased Customer Traffic and Acquisition: Dollar Tree has demonstrated a strong ability to attract new customers, including a significant number from higher-income households. The company added 3.4 million new customers in 2023, primarily from households earning over $125,000 a year. Continued success in drawing diverse customer segments through compelling value and merchandise offerings is expected to drive higher transaction volumes and overall revenue.
- Enhanced Focus on the Dollar Tree Brand Post-Family Dollar Divestiture: The strategic decision to sell the Family Dollar segment, anticipated around July 2025, will allow Dollar Tree to consolidate its resources and operational focus entirely on the Dollar Tree brand. This unified approach is expected to streamline operations, optimize investments, and accelerate growth within its core, more profitable Dollar Tree business.
- Sustained Comparable Store Sales Growth: The company anticipates continued growth in sales from existing Dollar Tree stores. For fiscal year 2026, Dollar Tree projects comparable store net sales growth in the range of 3% to 4% for its continuing operations. This ongoing momentum in existing stores is a result of effective merchandising, pricing strategies, and positive customer traffic trends.
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Share Repurchases
- Dollar Tree's Board of Directors replenished its share repurchase authorization to $2.5 billion in July 2025, reinstating the limit previously approved in September 2021.
- Through early December 2025, the company had repurchased $1.5 billion worth of stock under this program.
- The company repurchased 10,957,077 shares of common stock for $938.2 million during the 26 weeks ended August 2, 2025, and 3,283,837 shares for $403.6 million during the 26 weeks ended August 3, 2024.
Outbound Investments
- Dollar Tree completed the sale of its Family Dollar business to private investment firms Brigade Capital and Macellum Capital for approximately $1 billion, expected to yield about $800 million in net proceeds.
- This divestiture allows Dollar Tree to focus on its primary brand.
Capital Expenditures
- Dollar Tree's capital expenditures for fiscal years ending January 2021 to 2025 averaged $1.012 billion, with a peak of $1.3 billion in February 2025.
- The company plans to open approximately 400 new stores annually, requiring $375 million in initial capital expenditures and working capital investments.
- An additional $100 million is planned for annual maintenance capital expenditures to refresh 3,000 stores and renovate 125 others, alongside efforts to improve store-level execution.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | BRBR | BellRing Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | STZ | Constellation Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -1.7% |
| 02062026 | AVO | Mission Produce | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.1% | 1.1% | -2.7% |
| 01022026 | CALM | Cal-Maine Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 12.0% | -7.7% |
| 04302025 | DLTR | Dollar Tree | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 23.9% | 54.7% | -0.6% |
| 12312023 | DLTR | Dollar Tree | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -24.8% | -47.4% | -56.9% |
| 03312023 | DLTR | Dollar Tree | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -25.8% | -7.2% | -27.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 121.77 |
| Mkt Cap | 39.4 |
| Rev LTM | 73,752 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,660 |
| FCF LTM | 2,614 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,650 |
| CFO LTM | 5,098 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,262 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 39.4 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 20.9 |
| P/E | 29.4 |
| P/CFO | 15.6 |
| Total Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 20.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 45.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -2.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 11.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 18.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 32.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -70.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar Tree | 17,566 | 13,265 | |||
| Other revenue | 13 | 1 | |||
| Corporate, support and Other | 0 | ||||
| Family Dollar | 12,243 | ||||
| Total | 17,578 | 25,509 |
| $ Mil | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar Tree | 2,089 | 1,598 | |||
| Corporate, support and Other | -627 | -366 | |||
| Family Dollar | 656 | ||||
| Total | 1,462 | 1,888 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $105.92 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 21.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/09/1995 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -25.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $123.62 | $110.73 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | -14.3% | -4.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.5% | 42.6% |
| Downside Capture | 101.10 | 54.81 |
| Upside Capture | 10.39 | 94.89 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 26.9% | 30.6% |
DLTR Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.50 | 0.64 | 0.72 | 0.87 | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| Up Beta | 1.64 | 0.25 | -0.83 | 0.84 | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| Down Beta | 0.15 | 0.85 | 0.97 | 1.08 | 0.96 | 0.83 |
| Up Capture | 74% | 72% | 147% | 88% | 87% | 21% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 31 | 64 | 134 | 373 |
| Down Capture | -24% | 55% | 60% | 65% | 54% | 88% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 30 | 60 | 116 | 377 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DLTR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DLTR | 63.1% | 42.7% | 1.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 3.9% | 14.1% | 0.04 | 32.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.8% | 18.9% | 0.64 | 30.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 48.2% | 27.0% | 1.45 | -1.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.4% | 0.83 | 16.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.0% | 16.4% | -0.11 | 31.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -18.9% | 44.2% | -0.35 | 14.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DLTR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DLTR | -0.9% | 39.1% | 0.09 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.7% | 13.2% | 0.30 | 35.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 30.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.5% | 0.97 | 3.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 19.0% | 0.46 | 11.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.8% | 18.8% | 0.06 | 27.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.8% | 56.7% | 0.31 | 10.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DLTR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DLTR | 2.7% | 36.4% | 0.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.2% | 14.7% | 0.36 | 36.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.9% | 0.68 | 35.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.7% | 0.70 | 2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 12.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 31.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.9% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 11.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/3/2025 | 3.6% | 9.8% | 18.0% |
| 9/3/2025 | -8.4% | -13.5% | -18.9% |
| 6/4/2025 | -8.4% | -3.7% | 7.8% |
| 3/26/2025 | 3.1% | 12.2% | 21.0% |
| 12/4/2024 | 1.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% |
| 9/4/2024 | -22.2% | -19.9% | -14.9% |
| 6/5/2024 | -4.9% | -8.9% | -11.3% |
| 3/13/2024 | -14.2% | -14.4% | -13.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 8.7% | 14.8% |
| Median Negative | -8.4% | -12.5% | -14.2% |
| Max Positive | 21.9% | 19.1% | 22.6% |
| Max Negative | -22.2% | -19.9% | -26.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 03/16/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 11/29/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 08/24/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 05/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 11/22/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 08/25/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 05/26/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beebe, Brent A | Chief Merchandising Officer | Direct | Sell | 12102025 | 124.65 | 2,200 | 274,230 | 1,712,691 | Form |
| 2 | Aflatooni, Robert | Chief Information Officer | Direct | Sell | 10212025 | 94.70 | 1,260 | 119,328 | 2,026,876 | Form |
| 3 | Glendinning, Stewart | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 9092025 | 99.50 | 500 | 49,750 | 4,960,374 | Form |
| 4 | Glendinning, Stewart | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 9092025 | 97.46 | 3,000 | 292,380 | 5,151,053 | Form |
| 5 | Stahl, Stephanie | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 100.32 | 1,185 | 118,878 | 410,206 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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