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Walt Disney (DIS)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $111.94 | Market Cap: $201.3 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Walt Disney (DIS)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $111.94
Market Cap: $201.3 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 18 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil
  Key risks
DIS key risks include [1] the decline of its highly profitable linear networks, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Experiential Retail, Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 18 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Experiential Retail, Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.5%
6 Key risks
DIS key risks include [1] the decline of its highly profitable linear networks, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DIS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) experienced a stock movement of -5.1% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 17, 2025, influenced by several key factors:

1. Walt Disney reported mixed fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 results on November 13, 2025, with revenues falling short of analyst expectations. The company's revenue of $22.46 billion missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.72% and analysts' forecasts of $22.7 billion, leading to a significant stock tumble of around 8% on November 13th and 14th, despite beating adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimates.

2. The Entertainment division, including linear television and theatrical releases, experienced declines. The Entertainment division's revenue dropped by 6%, and its operating income saw a substantial 35% decline in Q4 fiscal 2025, partly due to less favorable comparisons with major box office successes in Q4 fiscal 2024. Content sales and licensing revenue also declined by 26%, and the theatrical division reported an operating loss.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DIS Return25%-15%-44%4%24%0%-22%
Peers Return12%16%-40%30%34%44%96%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DIS Win Rate50%42%33%50%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate53%48%37%52%62%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DIS Max Drawdown-41%-22%-46%-9%-5%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-11%-49%-2%-14%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NFLX, CMCSA, WBD, FOXA, LYV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDISS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven72.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven298 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven134.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven408 days1480 days

Compare to NFLX, CMCSA, FUN, ANGX, DCR


In The Past

Walt Disney's stock fell -60.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/8/2021. A -60.7% loss requires a 154.6% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Walt Disney (DIS)

Better Bets than Walt Disney (DIS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DIS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.4%-1.4%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.9%-5.9%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.9%-3.9%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.7%5.7%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-29.8%-29.8%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.4%-1.4%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.9%-5.9%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.9%-3.9%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.7%5.7%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-29.8%-29.8%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Walt Disney

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DISNFLXCMCSAWBDFOXALYVMedian
NameWalt Dis.Netflix Comcast Warner B.Fox Live Nat. 
Mkt Price111.6294.5729.7328.9070.36138.1082.47
Mkt Cap200.7401.4110.671.631.532.091.1
Rev LTM94,42543,379124,18437,86316,47424,56940,621
Op Inc LTM13,83212,64322,5051,4123,2431,1317,943
FCF LTM10,0778,96716,5884,1342,6651,5806,550
FCF 3Y Avg7,8447,25613,3804,9251,8341,1416,091
CFO LTM18,1019,57531,2105,2303,0362,4947,402
CFO 3Y Avg13,9797,70628,3716,0712,1881,8156,888

Growth & Margins

DISNFLXCMCSAWBDFOXALYVMedian
NameWalt Dis.Netflix Comcast Warner B.Fox Live Nat. 
Rev Chg LTM3.4%15.4%2.5%-4.3%14.9%5.5%4.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.5%11.4%0.7%17.2%5.6%18.6%8.5%
Rev Chg Q-0.5%17.2%2.1%-6.0%4.9%11.1%3.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%4.0%0.5%-1.5%1.1%3.6%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM14.6%29.1%18.1%3.7%19.7%4.6%16.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.6%24.4%18.9%-0.5%18.4%4.6%15.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.4%-0.6%1.2%-0.1%0.4%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM19.2%22.1%25.1%13.8%18.4%10.2%18.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.2%20.2%23.2%15.2%14.2%7.8%15.2%
FCF/Rev LTM10.7%20.7%13.4%10.9%16.2%6.4%12.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.5%19.0%10.9%12.3%11.9%4.9%11.4%

Valuation

DISNFLXCMCSAWBDFOXALYVMedian
NameWalt Dis.Netflix Comcast Warner B.Fox Live Nat. 
Mkt Cap200.7401.4110.671.631.532.091.1
P/S2.1117.30.91.31.71.51.6
P/EBIT14.9396.83.713.19.031.014.0
P/E16.2487.85.199.813.942.229.2
P/CFO11.1531.53.79.39.315.210.2
Total Yield6.6%0.2%23.8%1.0%8.2%2.4%4.5%
Dividend Yield0.4%0.0%4.2%0.0%1.0%0.0%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.4%0.3%9.3%18.3%8.5%4.3%6.5%
D/E0.20.00.90.70.30.20.3
Net D/E0.20.00.80.60.10.10.1

Returns

DISNFLXCMCSAWBDFOXALYVMedian
NameWalt Dis.Netflix Comcast Warner B.Fox Live Nat. 
1M Rtn6.2%-15.0%8.1%25.5%8.5%1.6%7.1%
3M Rtn-2.5%-21.2%-7.0%58.4%22.4%-19.0%-4.7%
6M Rtn-4.5%-22.5%-12.2%173.2%30.7%-5.1%-4.8%
12M Rtn0.7%2.7%-20.6%149.1%50.9%0.2%1.7%
3Y Rtn26.8%225.3%-5.1%191.6%138.2%99.1%118.7%
1M Excs Rtn5.2%-16.0%7.1%24.5%7.5%0.7%6.2%
3M Excs Rtn-6.2%-26.0%-10.4%57.6%15.8%-21.5%-8.3%
6M Excs Rtn-18.1%-36.2%-25.9%159.5%17.0%-18.8%-18.5%
12M Excs Rtn-13.7%-10.2%-35.7%119.0%37.7%-10.7%-10.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-50.5%122.7%-80.2%87.8%61.1%19.6%40.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Entertainment41,18640,63539,231  
Experiences34,15132,54928,08516,55217,038
Sports17,61917,11116,429  
Eliminations-1,595-1,397   
Content License Early Termination 0-1,023  
Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution   50,86648,350
Total91,36188,89882,72267,41865,388


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Experiences9,2728,9567,295490474
Entertainment3,3947591,343  
Sports2,3482,4102,655  
Amortization of Twenty-First Century Fox (TFCF) intangible assets related to equity investees1212121526
Corporate and unallocated shared expenses-1,435-1,147-1,159-928-817
Twenty-First Century Fox (TFCF) and Hulu Acquisition Amortization-1,677-1,998-2,353-2,418-2,846
Content License Early Termination 0-1,023  
Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution   6,5006,957
Total11,9148,9926,7703,6593,794


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18,531,484
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-5.0%
Average Daily Volume11,392,553
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.63
Basic Shares Quantity1,798,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/2025-7.7%-10.3%-4.6%
8/6/2025-2.7%-3.9%0.4%
5/7/202510.8%20.8%22.1%
2/5/2025-2.4%-3.8%-6.9%
11/14/20246.2%11.2%10.3%
8/7/2024-4.5%-4.9%-1.5%
5/7/2024-9.5%-9.1%-12.9%
2/7/202411.5%12.5%11.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10911
# Negative141513
Median Positive5.6%11.2%10.3%
Median Negative-2.6%-3.9%-7.4%
Max Positive11.5%20.8%24.9%
Max Negative-13.2%-10.3%-21.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-K 9/27/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241114202410-K 9/28/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023207202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231121202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023510202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221129202210-K 10/1/2022
6302022810202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022511202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021209202210-Q 1/1/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Coleman Sonia LSr. EVP and Chief HR Officer8252025Sell118.571,971233,701 Form
1WOODFORD BRENTEVP, Control, Fin Plan & Tax5132025Sell110.841,000110,8455,190,982Form
2Coleman Sonia LSr. EVP and Chief HR Officer1222025Sell108.7668974,936 Form