Walt Disney (DIS)
Market Price (10/19/2025): $110.85 | Market Cap: $199.4 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment
Walt Disney (DIS)
Market Price (10/19/2025): $110.85Market Cap: $199.4 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Movies & Entertainment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 5.8% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% | |
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 19 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil | ||
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 5.8% |
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 19 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil |
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
DIS Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
DIS Return | 25% | -15% | -44% | 4% | 24% | -0% | -22% |
Peers Return | 15% | 6% | -16% | 9% | 10% | -23% | -5% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 106% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
DIS Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 44% | |
Peers Win Rate | 35% | 32% | 29% | 43% | 48% | 41% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
DIS Max Drawdown | -41% | -22% | -46% | -9% | -5% | -27% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -5% | -27% | -17% | -14% | -38% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NFLX, CMCSA, FUN, AC, ANGH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | DIS | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -60.7% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 154.6% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -42.1% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 72.8% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -16.3% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 19.5% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 298 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -57.3% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 134.4% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 408 days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
Walt Disney's stock fell -60.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/8/2021. A -60.7% loss requires a 154.6% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Title | Topic | Date | |
---|---|---|---|
DASHBOARDS | |||
Walt Disney Earnings Notes | |||
How Low Can Walt Disney Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
High Cash Flow Yield And Solid Fundamentals, You Might Want To Look At DIS | Actionable | ||
DIS At Support Zone: Bargain or Bear Trap? | Actionable | ||
Walt Disney vs T-Mobile US: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
null | |||
Better Bet Than DIS Stock: Pay Less Than Walt Disney To Get More From CCL, FTI | |||
DIS Dip Buy Analysis | |||
Day 6 of Gains Streak for Walt Disney Stock with 5.4% Return (vs. 12% YTD) [6/30/2025] | |||
Day 6 of Gains Streak for Walt Disney Stock with 5.4% Return (vs. 12% YTD) [6/30/2025] | |||
ARTICLES | |||
Walt Disney Stock Is Delivering Strong Cash Yield, Are You Paying Attention? | October 8th, 2025 | ||
Is Market Overlooking DIS Right Now? | October 7th, 2025 | ||
DIS At Support Zone: Bargain or Bear Trap? | October 1st, 2025 | ||
Why Is DIS With Its High Cash Flow Yield Not on Your Watchlist? | September 30th, 2025 | ||
What If You Were Missing The Value In DIS Stock? | September 27th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DIS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
09302025 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -8.1% | -8.1% | -11.7% |
07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -10.2% | -10.2% | -11.0% |
05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.1% | 4.1% | -2.3% | |
04302025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -22.0% | -22.0% | -27.4% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
09302025 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -8.1% | -8.1% | -11.7% |
07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -10.2% | -10.2% | -11.0% |
05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.1% | 4.1% | -2.3% | |
04302025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -22.0% | -22.0% | -27.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Walt Disney
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 29.54 |
Mkt Cap | 155.2 |
Rev LTM | 68,114 |
Op Inc LTM | 13,139 |
FCF LTM | 10,024 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 6,988 |
CFO LTM | 14,108 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 10,139 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 9.9% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
Rev Chg Q | 9.0% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
Op Mgn LTM | 16.8% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.3% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 21.0% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.9% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 11.5% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 155.2 |
P/S | 1.5 |
P/EBIT | 25.5 |
P/E | 12.2 |
P/CFO | 8.5 |
Total Yield | 4.1% |
Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
D/E | 0.6 |
Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | -5.6% |
3M Rtn | -13.6% |
6M Rtn | -11.4% |
12M Rtn | -26.9% |
3Y Rtn | 10.3% |
1M Excs Rtn | -6.1% |
3M Excs Rtn | -20.4% |
6M Excs Rtn | -37.6% |
12M Excs Rtn | -41.8% |
3Y Excs Rtn | -69.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
8/6/2025 | -2.7% | -3.9% | 0.4% |
5/7/2025 | 10.8% | 20.8% | 22.1% |
2/5/2025 | -2.4% | -3.8% | -6.9% |
11/14/2024 | 6.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% |
8/7/2024 | -4.5% | -4.9% | -1.5% |
5/7/2024 | -9.5% | -9.1% | -12.9% |
2/7/2024 | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% |
11/8/2023 | 6.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 11 | 10 | 12 |
# Negative | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Median Positive | 4.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% |
Median Negative | -2.6% | -3.8% | -8.2% |
Max Positive | 11.5% | 20.8% | 24.9% |
Max Negative | -13.2% | -9.8% | -21.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
9302024 | 11142024 | 10-K 9/28/2024 |
6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
9302023 | 11212023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
12312022 | 2082023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
9302022 | 11292022 | 10-K 10/1/2022 |
6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
12312021 | 2092022 | 10-Q 1/1/2022 |
9302021 | 11242021 | 10-K 10/2/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for MoreOwner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | Coleman Sonia L | Sr. EVP and Chief HR Officer | 8252025 | Sell | 118.57 | 1,971 | 233,701 | Form | |
1 | WOODFORD BRENT | EVP, Control, Fin Plan & Tax | 5132025 | Sell | 110.84 | 1,000 | 110,845 | 5,190,982 | Form |
2 | Coleman Sonia L | Sr. EVP and Chief HR Officer | 1222025 | Sell | 108.76 | 689 | 74,936 | Form | |
3 | Coleman Sonia L | Sr. EVP and Chief HR Officer | 11122024 | Sell | 99.99 | 2,798 | 279,772 | Form |
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