Dollar General (DG)
Market Price (3/18/2026): $130.05 | Market Cap: $28.6 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Dollar General (DG)
Market Price (3/18/2026): $130.05Market Cap: $28.6 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%, FCF Yield is 8.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 53% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 3.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.3 Bil | Key risksDG key risks include [1] heightened vulnerability to economic pressures impacting its core lower-income customer base and [2] failures in operational execution, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Supply Chain Digitization, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%, FCF Yield is 8.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 3.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.3 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Supply Chain Digitization, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 53% |
| Key risksDG key risks include [1] heightened vulnerability to economic pressures impacting its core lower-income customer base and [2] failures in operational execution, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Financial Performance Exceeding Expectations.
Dollar General reported robust financial results during this period, consistently beating analyst expectations. In Q3 2025, diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.28 significantly surpassed estimates by 39.13%, prompting the company to raise its fiscal year 2025 guidance. This positive trend continued into Q4 2025, with diluted EPS of $1.93 beating the FactSet consensus by 19.88%. Net sales also showed healthy growth, increasing 4.6% to $10.6 billion in Q3 2025 and 5.9% to $10.9 billion in Q4 2025.
2. Improved Operational Efficiency and Expanding Profit Margins.
The company demonstrated enhanced operational efficiency, leading to significant gross profit margin expansion. In Q3 2025, the gross profit margin increased by 107 basis points to 29.9%, and in Q4 2025, it rose by 105 basis points to 30.4%. These improvements were primarily driven by factors such as lower shrink (inventory loss), higher inventory markups, and reduced inventory damages. Additionally, Selling, General and Administrative Expenses (SG&A) as a percentage of net sales decreased by 165 basis points in Q4 2025 compared to the prior year.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 20.1% change in DG stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 109.03 | 130.93 | 20.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 41,652 | 42,118 | 1.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.1 | 22.6 | 12.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 220 | 220 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 20.1% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DG | 20.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -1.8% | 19.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 6.7% | 29.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 21.6% change in DG stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 107.65 | 130.93 | 21.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 41,652 | 42,118 | 1.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.9 | 22.6 | 13.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 220 | 220 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 21.6% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DG | 21.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 17.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.6% | 34.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 80.4% change in DG stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 88.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 72.58 | 130.93 | 80.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 40,166 | 42,118 | 4.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.3% | 3.0% | -8.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.9 | 22.6 | 88.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 220 | 220 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 80.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DG | 80.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.9% | -1.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 3.9% | 33.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -35.7% change in DG stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -53.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 203.48 | 130.93 | -35.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 36,293 | 42,118 | 16.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.5% | 3.0% | -53.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.4 | 22.6 | 16.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 225 | 220 | 2.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -35.7% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DG | -35.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 3.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 26.5% | 32.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DG Return | 13% | 6% | -44% | -43% | 80% | 2% | -31% |
| Peers Return | 3% | -6% | 24% | 5% | 42% | -12% | 59% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -2% | 78% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DG Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 33% | 25% | 67% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 48% | 69% | 50% | 67% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DG Max Drawdown | -15% | -20% | -58% | -45% | -9% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -25% | -12% | -34% | -21% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -3% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WMT, DLTR, FIVE, OLLI, VHUB. See DG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/17/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 155.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -18.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 120 days |
Compare to WMT, DLTR, FIVE, OLLI, VHUB
In The Past
Dollar General's stock fell -60.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/28/2022. A -60.9% loss requires a 155.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Dollar General (DG)
AI Analysis | Feedback
A mini-Walmart for household essentials and general merchandise.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Consumable Products: Includes everyday essentials such as paper and cleaning supplies, a wide range of packaged and perishable foods, snacks, health and beauty items, and pet supplies.
- Seasonal Products: Offers holiday items, toys, small electronics, greeting cards, gardening supplies, hardware, and automotive and home office supplies.
- Home Products: Provides kitchenware, small appliances, light bulbs, storage solutions, decorative items, craft supplies, and various soft goods for the home.
- Apparel: Features casual clothing for all ages, including infants, children, and adults, along with socks, underwear, shoes, and accessories.
- Tobacco Products: Sells a variety of tobacco items.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlDollar General (symbol: DG) primarily sells its products to individuals rather than other companies. As a discount retailer, it serves a broad customer base. Its major customer categories include:
- Budget-conscious consumers: Individuals and families seeking everyday essentials, groceries, and household goods at affordable prices. This group prioritizes value and savings on their purchases.
- Convenience shoppers: Customers looking for quick and easy access to a wide range of products, particularly in rural or underserved areas where Dollar General stores are often a primary retail option. These customers value the proximity and one-stop shopping experience.
- Lower to middle-income households: Customers for whom price is a significant factor in their purchasing decisions, often relying on Dollar General for their essential needs due to the competitive pricing.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Todd Vasos, Chief Executive Officer
Todd Vasos returned as Chief Executive Officer of Dollar General Corporation in October 2023, after previously serving in the role from June 2015 to November 2022. He also served as a Senior Advisor from November 2022 until April 2023. Vasos has been a member of Dollar General's Board of Directors since 2015. He first joined Dollar General in 2008 as Executive Vice President, Division President, and Chief Merchandising Officer, and was promoted to Chief Operating Officer in November 2013. During his combined tenures as CEO, he led the company through periods of significant strategic advancement, robust new store growth, format evolution, digital innovation, and international expansion. Before joining Dollar General, Vasos held leadership positions with Longs Drug Stores Corporation, Phar-Mor Food and Drug Inc., and Eckerd Corporation.
Donny Lau, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Donny Lau was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Dollar General, effective October 20, 2025. Prior to this role, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Zaxby's Franchising LLC since July 2023. Lau has a history with Dollar General, having held various roles of increasing responsibility from 2017 to 2023, including Senior Vice President, Finance and Chief Strategy Officer; Senior Vice President, Chief Strategy Officer; Vice President, Investor Relations and Corporate Strategy; and Vice President, Strategy and Corporate Development. Before his initial time at Dollar General, he spent six years at Yum! Brands, where he held positions such as head of financial planning and analysis.
Emily Taylor, Chief Operating Officer
Emily Taylor currently serves as the Chief Operating Officer for Dollar General.
Tracey Herrmann, Executive Vice President, Store Operations
Tracey Herrmann was promoted to Executive Vice President of Store Operations in February 2025.
Kathy Reardon, Executive Vice President and Chief People Officer
Kathy Reardon holds the position of Executive Vice President and Chief People Officer at Dollar General.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Dollar General's business:
- Intense Competitive Pressure and Pricing: Dollar General operates in a highly competitive discount retail environment, contending with major retailers such as Walmart, Dollar Tree, and Family Dollar, as well as an increasing presence of online platforms. This intense competition, especially from larger retailers with greater economies of scale, can lead to aggressive pricing strategies that may force Dollar General to adjust its own pricing, potentially squeezing profit margins. The expansion of competitors into e-commerce and smaller-format stores further challenges Dollar General's traditional customer base.
- Economic Sensitivity and Impact on Core Customer Base: Dollar General's primary customer demographic consists of low- and fixed-income households who are particularly vulnerable to economic shifts. Factors such as high inflation, potential reductions in government assistance programs (like SNAP benefits), and broader economic downturns can significantly reduce the discretionary spending of these customers, directly impacting Dollar General's sales, particularly beyond essential consumable products. While some "trade-down" from higher-income shoppers can occur during challenging economic times, rising operational costs can still compress Dollar General's margins.
- Operational Challenges, Labor Costs, and Regulatory Scrutiny: The company has faced ongoing operational issues, including problems with store execution, significant inventory shrinkage (retail theft and loss), and increasing labor costs. Dollar General has also been under scrutiny from regulatory bodies like OSHA due to repeated safety violations, such as blocked fire exits and unsafe working conditions. These violations can lead to substantial fines, increased regulatory oversight, reputational damage, and necessitate costly remediation efforts and higher ongoing maintenance spending. Additionally, rising retail labor costs and increased incentive compensation directly contribute to higher Selling, General, and Administrative (SG&A) expenses, impacting overall profitability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The aggressive expansion of highly efficient discount grocery chains, such as Aldi and Lidl, poses a clear emerging threat to Dollar General. As Dollar General increasingly focuses on expanding its perishable and fresh food offerings to drive customer traffic and sales, these specialized retailers offer a much broader selection of groceries, often with superior quality private-label brands and extremely competitive pricing within a dedicated and optimized grocery format. This threatens to undercut Dollar General's efforts to grow its food segment, particularly in the same geographic regions where these discount grocers are rapidly expanding.AI Analysis | Feedback
For Dollar General (symbol: DG), the addressable markets for its main products and services in the United States are sized as follows:
- Grocery/Food & Beverages: The total sales for supermarkets in the U.S. reached approximately $1 trillion in 2024.
- Household Cleaning Products: The U.S. household cleaning products market size was approximately $85.71 billion in 2024.
- Health & Beauty Products: The United States Beauty and Personal Care Products Market was valued at approximately $136.03 billion in 2024.
- Pet Supplies and Pet Food: Total U.S. pet industry expenditures were $152 billion in 2024, which includes $65.8 billion for Pet Food & Treats and $33.3 billion for Supplies, Live Animals & OTC Medicine. For categories relevant to Dollar General (excluding live animals), this represents a combined market of approximately $99.1 billion in 2024.
- Apparel: The apparel market in the United States is projected to generate $358.7 billion in revenue in 2024.
- Home Products (including home decor, seasonal items, kitchen supplies, etc.): The U.S. home decor market generated revenue of approximately $237.87 billion in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Dollar General (DG) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives aimed at expanding its footprint, enhancing customer experience, and optimizing its sales channels:
- New Store Expansion: Dollar General plans to continue its extensive store expansion, including opening approximately 450 new stores in the US and 10 in Mexico in fiscal 2026. This strategy of establishing new locations, particularly in underserved rural areas, is a consistent driver of top-line growth.
- Same-Store Sales Growth through Enhanced Customer Traffic and Transaction Value: The company aims for same-store sales growth in the range of 2.2% to 2.7% for fiscal 2026. This growth is anticipated to be fueled by an increase in customer traffic and average transaction amounts, partly driven by value-driven initiatives such as expanded $1 price-point offerings and strong private brand penetration. Dollar General is also attracting a broader customer base, including higher-income shoppers seeking value.
- Store Remodels and Strategic Initiatives (Project Elevate & Project Renovate): Dollar General is investing significantly in store remodels, with plans to update approximately 20% of its store base annually through programs like Project Elevate and Project Renovate. These remodels are designed to enhance the in-store experience, improve product assortments, and are projected to generate first-year annualized comparable sales lifts ranging from 3% to 5% for Project Elevate stores.
- Digital and E-commerce Expansion: The company is expanding its digital capabilities, including ramping up delivery services through partnerships (such as DoorDash and Uber Eats) and its in-house same-day delivery. The integration of SNAP and EBT payment options for online orders is also expected to broaden customer access and engagement with its digital platforms.
- Merchandising Strategy and Sales Mix Optimization: Dollar General is focusing on merchandising initiatives, including SKU rationalization to prioritize high-velocity items and a strategic shift to diversify its sales mix. This involves improving execution and performance in seasonal and non-consumable categories, which have shown signs of outperforming consumables.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Dollar General did not repurchase any shares under its share repurchase program in fiscal year 2025 (ended January 30, 2026), and its financial guidance for fiscal year 2026 assumes no share repurchases.
- As of the end of the third quarter of fiscal year 2025 (around December 2024), the total remaining authorization for future stock buybacks stood at $1.4 billion.
- A stock buyback program initially announced in September 2012, totaling over $14.6 billion, was completed as of March 2026, with 123,531,571 shares repurchased.
Share Issuance
- Dollar General has not reported significant share issuances for capital raising purposes in the last 3-5 years. The number of shares outstanding has generally declined due to repurchase programs.
Capital Expenditures
- Dollar General's capital expenditures were approximately $1.31 billion for fiscal year 2025 (ended January 30, 2026).
- For fiscal year 2026, Dollar General projects capital expenditures to be in the range of $1.4 billion to $1.5 billion.
- The primary focus of these expenditures is on real estate projects, including opening approximately 450 new stores in the United States and 10 new stores in Mexico, remodeling around 2,000 stores through "Project Renovate" and 2,250 stores through "Project Elevate," and relocating approximately 20 stores in fiscal year 2026. Investments also support IT modernization and supply chain enhancements.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to DG.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | BRBR | BellRing Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | STZ | Constellation Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -1.7% |
| 02062026 | AVO | Mission Produce | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.1% | 1.1% | -2.7% |
| 01022026 | CALM | Cal-Maine Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 12.0% | -7.7% |
| 08312024 | DG | Dollar General | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.3% | 34.6% | -16.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 118.46 |
| Mkt Cap | 22.7 |
| Rev LTM | 11,694 |
| Op Inc LTM | 943 |
| FCF LTM | 1,212 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,041 |
| CFO LTM | 2,376 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,576 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 22.7 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/EBIT | 21.0 |
| P/E | 28.6 |
| P/CFO | 23.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 56.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -3.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 16.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 39.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -79.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $130.93 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 28.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/13/2009 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -16.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $147.01 | $119.20 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -10.9% | 9.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 31.1% | 37.1% |
| Downside Capture | 79.71 | 22.35 |
| Upside Capture | 71.73 | 71.77 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 25.3% | 0.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.12 | 0.48 | 0.46 | 0.37 | -0.07 | 0.07 |
| Up Beta | 0.23 | -0.61 | -2.55 | -0.59 | -0.33 | -0.04 |
| Down Beta | -0.28 | 0.02 | -0.12 | -0.03 | -0.31 | -0.19 |
| Up Capture | 76% | 165% | 304% | 136% | 68% | 5% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 24 | 37 | 71 | 131 | 378 |
| Down Capture | -42% | 41% | 36% | 38% | 0% | 60% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 17 | 24 | 53 | 120 | 374 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DG | 69.7% | 37.0% | 1.49 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 8.6% | 13.9% | 0.36 | 33.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 20.3% | 18.8% | 0.85 | -0.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 68.2% | 26.2% | 1.97 | 14.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.1% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 4.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.6% | 16.1% | 0.27 | 13.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.5% | 44.3% | -0.12 | 8.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DG | -5.5% | 35.5% | -0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.8% | 13.1% | 0.38 | 38.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.0% | 17.0% | 0.60 | 17.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.4% | 17.2% | 1.11 | 8.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.0% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 3.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 21.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.1% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 6.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DG | 7.2% | 31.3% | 0.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.8% | 14.7% | 0.40 | 40.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.8% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 28.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.76 | 7.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 5.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 26.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.3% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 6.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/12/2026 | -6.1% | ||
| 12/4/2025 | 14.0% | 14.6% | 32.2% |
| 8/28/2025 | 0.5% | -2.5% | -8.2% |
| 6/3/2025 | 15.8% | 16.6% | 18.8% |
| 3/13/2025 | 6.8% | 10.0% | 17.2% |
| 12/5/2024 | 0.1% | 0.4% | -4.6% |
| 8/29/2024 | -32.1% | -35.1% | -29.5% |
| 5/30/2024 | -8.1% | -3.5% | -5.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 10 | 12 |
| # Negative | 17 | 14 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 5.6% | 4.7% | 11.7% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -4.0% | -6.7% |
| Max Positive | 15.8% | 16.6% | 32.2% |
| Max Negative | -32.1% | -35.1% | -32.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10/31/2025 | 12/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 08/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 08/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 05/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/25/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 08/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 08/25/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 05/26/2022 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2022 | 03/18/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wheeler, Bryan D | EVP & Chief Merchandising Ofc | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 135.32 | 9,776 | 1,322,890 | 3,016,964 | Form |
| 2 | West, Roderick J | EVP, Global Supply Chain | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 133.35 | 2,282 | 304,316 | 4,815,175 | Form |
| 3 | Taylor, Rhonda | EVP & General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 134.89 | 7,500 | 1,011,676 | 9,913,351 | Form |
| 4 | Elliott, Anita C | SVP & Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 12152025 | 132.52 | 2,516 | 333,424 | 3,888,708 | Form |
| 5 | Herrmann, Tracey N | EVP, Store Operations | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 125.07 | 12,583 | 1,573,700 | 3,870,530 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.