Tearsheet

Diageo (DEO)


Market Price (10/20/2025): $97.65 | Market Cap: $60.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Distillers & Vintners

Diageo (DEO)


Market Price (10/20/2025): $97.65
Market Cap: $60.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Distillers & Vintners

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.3 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.9%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.3 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.9%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

DEO Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DEO Return-3%42%-17%-16%-10%-20%-32%
Peers Return217%24%-2%31%-10%30%492%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DEO Win Rate50%75%25%50%33%22% 
Peers Win Rate53%43%30%45%32%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DEO Max Drawdown-39%-3%-25%-20%-17%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-19%-29%-10%-23%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BUD, CELH, COKE, SAM, EPSM. See DEO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventDEOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven381 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-12.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven14.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-55.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven125.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1061 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Diageo's stock fell -37.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -37.4% loss requires a 59.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Diageo (DEO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DEO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%-0.0%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-15.9%-15.9%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.5%-12.5%-22.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%-0.0%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-15.9%-15.9%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.5%-12.5%-22.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Diageo

Financials

DEOBUDCELHCOKESAMEPSMMedian
NameDiageo Anheuser.Celsius Coca-Col.Boston B.Epsium E. 
Mkt Price97.6362.1464.86131.68223.8328.9881.25
Mkt Cap60.9123.916.711.52.5-16.7
Rev LTM16,10058,8481,6666,9482,050-6,948
Op Inc LTM-1,26815,095173908183-183
FCF LTM--211476222-222
FCF 3Y Avg--185480172-185
CFO LTM--236845286-286
CFO 3Y Avg--206801240-240

Growth & Margins

DEOBUDCELHCOKESAMEPSMMedian
NameDiageo Anheuser.Celsius Coca-Col.Boston B.Epsium E. 
Rev Chg LTM7.4%-1.5%11.9%3.2%2.5%-3.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.2%54.7%5.9%1.6%-4.0%
Rev Chg Q3.4%-6.3%83.9%3.3%1.5%-3.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%-1.5%25.4%0.9%0.4%-0.8%
Op Mgn LTM-7.9%25.7%10.4%13.1%8.9%-10.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.2%25.3%8.5%12.8%7.3%-8.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-5.3%0.3%1.0%0.1%0.6%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM--14.1%12.2%14.0%-14.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--14.7%11.9%11.8%-11.9%
FCF/Rev LTM--12.7%6.9%10.8%-10.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--13.2%7.1%8.5%-8.5%

Valuation

DEOBUDCELHCOKESAMEPSMMedian
NameDiageo Anheuser.Celsius Coca-Col.Boston B.Epsium E. 
Mkt Cap60.9123.916.711.52.5-16.7
P/S3.82.110.01.61.2-2.1
P/EBIT-241.18.094.014.313.6-13.6
P/E20.617.9126.919.631.2-20.6
P/CFO--70.913.68.7-13.6
Total Yield4.8%5.6%0.8%5.7%3.2%-4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--1.5%5.8%6.2%-5.8%
D/E0.20.00.10.20.0-0.1
Net D/E0.20.00.00.0-0.1-0.0

Returns

DEOBUDCELHCOKESAMEPSMMedian
NameDiageo Anheuser.Celsius Coca-Col.Boston B.Epsium E. 
1M Rtn2.6%4.7%18.5%16.3%0.3%-16.7%3.6%
3M Rtn-3.0%-8.5%46.0%16.2%16.4%58.3%16.3%
6M Rtn-8.6%-3.8%74.2%-6.6%-6.5%479.7%-5.1%
12M Rtn-27.0%-4.4%91.6%3.1%-25.1%--4.4%
3Y Rtn-34.5%43.5%132.9%217.5%-33.4%-43.5%
1M Excs Rtn1.5%5.6%17.0%17.2%-0.3%-20.0%3.6%
3M Excs Rtn-7.7%-14.5%43.0%9.1%9.6%60.0%9.3%
6M Excs Rtn-34.7%-29.9%48.0%-32.8%-32.6%453.6%-31.3%
12M Excs Rtn-39.0%-18.1%75.3%-12.9%-33.9%--18.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-121.8%-44.1%29.1%124.3%-125.5%--44.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
North America8,1098,1067,2095,690 
Europe4,3034,2383,5403,160 
Asia Pacific3,8413,8373,4432,794 
Supply Chain and Procurement (SC&P)3,6872,6722,1271,653 
Latin America and Caribbean2,1592,0271,4481,118 
Africa2,0392,2381,9541,657 
Corporate and other104702847 
Eliminate inter- segment sales-3,687-2,672-2,127-1,653 
Premium drinks    16,904
Total20,55520,51617,62314,46516,904


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
North America3,1043,2673,096  
Europe1,3001,161858  
Latin America and Caribbean783712419  
Asia Pacific523655841  
Africa234419237  
Eliminate inter- segment sales000  
Supply Chain and Procurement (SC&P)000  
Corporate and other-397-317-288  
Total5,5475,8975,164  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity943,745
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-29.3%
Average Daily Volume1,662,884
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity623,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202520-F 6/30/2025
63020248012024Annual 6/30/2024
6302023803202320-F 6/30/2023
1231202212720236-K 12/31/2022
1231202112720226-K 12/31/2021
1231202012820216-K 12/31/2020
1231201913020206-K 12/31/2019
1231201820520196-K 12/31/2018
1231201712520186-K 12/31/2017
1231201620220176-K 12/31/2016
1231201320620146-K 12/31/2013
1231201222220136-K 12/31/2012
6302012905201220-F 6/30/2012
1231201141620126-K 12/31/2011
6302011913201120-F 6/30/2011
1231201042120116-K 12/31/2010

Insider Activity

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