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Dell Technologies (DELL)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $121.75 | Market Cap: $82.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Dell Technologies (DELL)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $121.75
Market Cap: $82.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 5.9%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 7.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.9 Bil
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 5.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 7.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.9 Bil
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

DELL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Weak Q3 Fiscal 2026 Profit Outlook. Dell Technologies reported stronger-than-expected second quarter Fiscal 2026 earnings and revenue on August 28, 2025, driven by robust AI server demand. However, the company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance for the third quarter of Fiscal 2026 was projected at $2.45, falling below analysts' consensus estimate of $2.55. This softer profit outlook raised concerns among investors regarding increasing costs and margin pressures related to meeting high AI server demand, alongside continued softness in the traditional PC and storage divisions, leading to an approximate 10% drop in stock price after the announcement.

2. Morgan Stanley Double-Downgrade. On November 17, 2025, Morgan Stanley significantly impacted Dell's stock by issuing a double-downgrade, moving its rating from "overweight" to "underweight" and reducing its price target from $144 to $110. The downgrade was primarily attributed to anticipated pressure on Dell's gross margins through 2026 due to surging prices for memory components like NAND and DRAM, in addition to "tepid" demand for non-AI hardware. This analyst action resulted in Dell's stock plunging over 8% on the day of the downgrade.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DELL Return43%52%-27%96%53%8%416%
Peers Return21%5%-27%103%4%-4%90%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DELL Win Rate67%75%33%75%75%60% 
Peers Win Rate45%47%28%52%43%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DELL Max Drawdown-44%-3%-39%-8%-2%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-21%-32%-4%-18%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AAPL, IBM, HPQ, EBON, VELO. See DELL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDELLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven324 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven103 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven412 days120 days

Compare to AAPL, IBM, HPQ, EBON, VELO


In The Past

Dell Technologies's stock fell -44.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -44.4% loss requires a 80.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dell Technologies (DELL)

Better Bets than Dell Technologies (DELL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DELL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-10.7%-10.7%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.7%-2.7%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-10.7%-10.7%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.7%-2.7%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dell Technologies

Financials

DELLAAPLIBMHPQEBONVELOMedian
NameDell Tec.Apple Internat.HP Ebang In.Velo3D  
Mkt Price122.48267.46297.1722.873.664.3572.67
Mkt Cap83.03,985.9277.521.7--180.3
Rev LTM101,451408,62565,40254,711-4465,402
Op Inc LTM6,913130,21411,5443,672--646,913
FCF LTM4,86096,18411,8542,843--184,860
FCF 3Y Avg4,496100,50311,7533,098--734,496
CFO LTM7,477108,56513,4833,696--187,477
CFO 3Y Avg7,215111,55913,4983,766--697,215

Growth & Margins

DELLAAPLIBMHPQEBONVELOMedian
NameDell Tec.Apple Internat.HP Ebang In.Velo3D  
Rev Chg LTM10.5%6.0%4.5%2.6%--4.3%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.3%1.8%2.6%-5.2%-11.9%1.8%
Rev Chg Q19.0%9.6%9.1%3.1%-31.2%9.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.9%2.1%2.1%0.8%-8.0%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM6.8%31.9%17.7%6.7%--147.1%6.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.1%30.8%16.4%7.4%--174.7%7.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.1%0.6%-0.4%-32.5%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.4%26.6%20.6%6.8%--40.6%7.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.5%28.4%21.4%6.9%--106.9%7.5%
FCF/Rev LTM4.8%23.5%18.1%5.2%--40.6%5.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.7%25.6%18.6%5.7%--111.2%5.7%

Valuation

DELLAAPLIBMHPQEBONVELOMedian
NameDell Tec.Apple Internat.HP Ebang In.Velo3D  
Mkt Cap83.03,985.9277.521.7--180.3
P/S0.89.84.20.4--2.5
P/EBIT11.130.624.46.6--17.8
P/E16.940.135.18.2--26.0
P/CFO11.136.720.65.9--15.8
Total Yield7.6%2.9%5.1%14.7%--6.3%
Dividend Yield1.7%0.4%2.2%2.5%--2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.6%3.1%6.4%10.7%--7.0%
D/E0.30.00.20.5--0.3
Net D/E0.20.00.20.4--0.2

Returns

DELLAAPLIBMHPQEBONVELOMedian
NameDell Tec.Apple Internat.HP Ebang In.Velo3D  
1M Rtn-18.1%6.1%6.2%-16.4%-18.3%-14.7%-15.6%
3M Rtn-11.0%16.0%24.8%-13.9%-9.6%-26.3%-10.3%
6M Rtn8.0%28.4%12.1%-19.7%-9.2%-8.0%
12M Rtn-5.3%19.4%48.7%-35.2%-51.7%--5.3%
3Y Rtn210.2%79.5%124.6%-13.4%-53.3%-79.5%
1M Excs Rtn-18.2%6.0%6.1%-16.6%-18.4%-14.8%-15.7%
3M Excs Rtn-13.2%12.0%19.8%-18.5%-9.3%25.4%1.4%
6M Excs Rtn-3.9%16.5%0.2%-31.6%-21.1%--3.9%
12M Excs Rtn-18.8%7.9%33.1%-46.8%-67.0%--18.8%
3Y Excs Rtn143.9%16.2%66.1%-81.5%-129.1%-16.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Client Solutions Group48,91658,21361,46448,38745,838
Infrastructure Solutions Group33,88538,35634,36633,00233,969
Corporate and other5,6245,732   
Impact of purchase accounting  -32-106-347
Other businesses  5,3885,3821,788
Unallocated transactions  1151
VMware    10,905
Total88,425102,301101,19786,67092,154


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Infrastructure Solutions Group4,2865,0453,7363,7534,001
Client Solutions Group3,7123,8244,3653,3333,138
Corporate and other-120-232   
Other corporate expenses-756-921-337-376-1,160
Amortization of intangibles-833-1,014-1,641-2,133-4,408
Stock-based compensation expense-878-931-808-487-1,262
Impact of purchase accounting  -67-144-411
Other businesses  -319-139-43
Transaction-related expenses  -273-124-285
Unallocated transactions  32-29
VMware    3,081
Total5,4115,7714,6593,6852,622


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,159,463
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520257.3%
Average Daily Volume5,327,312
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.66
Basic Shares Quantity678,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/28/2025-8.9%-6.9%-0.1%
5/29/2025-2.1%-1.6%7.9%
2/27/2025-4.7%-13.7%-14.4%
11/26/2024-12.2%-11.0%-17.2%
8/29/20244.3%-7.9%7.0%
5/30/2024-17.9%-21.2%-15.9%
2/29/202431.6%27.3%26.4%
11/30/2023-5.2%-9.6%-1.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101114
# Negative141310
Median Positive6.4%5.3%7.9%
Median Negative-5.3%-7.9%-7.9%
Max Positive31.6%27.3%26.4%
Max Negative-17.9%-21.4%-27.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025908202510-Q 8/1/2025
4302025610202510-Q 5/2/2025
1312025325202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241210202410-Q 11/1/2024
7312024910202410-Q 8/2/2024
4302024611202410-Q 5/3/2024
1312024325202410-K 2/2/2024
103120231208202310-Q 11/3/2023
7312023912202310-Q 8/4/2023
4302023612202310-Q 5/5/2023
1312023330202310-K 2/3/2023
103120221205202210-Q 10/28/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/29/2022
4302022606202210-Q 4/29/2022
1312022324202210-K 1/28/2022
103120211203202110-Q 10/29/2021

Insider Activity

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Industry Resources

Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources
The Verge
TechRadar
Tom’s Hardware
PCMag
CNET