Tearsheet

Deere (DE)


Market Price (10/18/2025): $459.4 | Market Cap: $124.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Deere (DE)


Market Price (10/18/2025): $459.4
Market Cap: $124.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.1 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.1 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.3%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

DE Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DE Return58%29%27%-5%8%9%179%
Peers Return15%10%-1%19%17%18%106%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DE Win Rate75%58%50%25%42%56% 
Peers Win Rate48%45%33%47%45%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DE Max Drawdown-36%-1%-15%-19%-13%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-7%-24%-8%-11%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CAT, ALSN, TEX, ASTE, AEBI. See DE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventDES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven142 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven128 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven351 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven281.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven711 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Deere's stock fell -34.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2022. A -34.1% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Interactive Breakdown

Deere Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than Deere (DE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FCN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025FCNFTI ConsultingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-6.2%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.7%-4.7%-7.3%
EFX_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025EFXEquifaxMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.8%-7.8%-8.5%
UHAL_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.8%-2.8%-5.6%
BWXT_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025BWXTBWX TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.0%29.0%-1.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FCN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025FCNFTI ConsultingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-6.2%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.7%-4.7%-7.3%
EFX_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025EFXEquifaxMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.8%-7.8%-8.5%
UHAL_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.8%-2.8%-5.6%
BWXT_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025BWXTBWX TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.0%29.0%-1.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Deere

Financials

DECATALSNTEXASTEAEBIMedian
NameDeere Caterpil.Allison .Terex Astec In.Aebi Sch. 
Mkt Price458.50527.0880.8853.0146.1911.3766.94
Mkt Cap124.1247.66.83.51.1-6.8
Rev LTM43,39763,1393,2005,0641,3101,0524,132
Op Inc LTM8,66311,5101,0004377868719
FCF LTM4,1017,74065420178-40428
FCF 3Y Avg3,9868,349646229-11-646
CFO LTM8,55611,37382233992-28580
CFO 3Y Avg8,52211,51779435917-794

Growth & Margins

DECATALSNTEXASTEAEBIMedian
NameDeere Caterpil.Allison .Terex Astec In.Aebi Sch. 
Rev Chg LTM-20.9%-4.9%2.7%-2.8%1.2%--2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.6%5.8%8.0%8.3%5.1%-5.8%
Rev Chg Q-8.3%-0.7%-0.2%-4.9%-4.4%--4.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.4%-0.2%-0.1%-1.2%-1.1%--1.1%
Op Mgn LTM20.0%18.2%31.2%8.6%5.9%6.4%13.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg22.3%18.8%30.3%10.6%4.0%-18.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%-0.9%-0.2%-1.6%0.9%--0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM19.7%18.0%25.7%6.7%7.1%-2.7%12.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.5%17.8%25.7%7.2%1.4%-16.5%
FCF/Rev LTM9.4%12.3%20.4%4.0%5.9%-3.8%7.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.8%12.9%20.9%4.6%-0.8%-7.8%

Valuation

DECATALSNTEXASTEAEBIMedian
NameDeere Caterpil.Allison .Terex Astec In.Aebi Sch. 
Mkt Cap124.1247.66.83.51.1-6.8
P/S2.93.92.10.70.8-2.1
P/EBIT12.920.36.78.514.2-12.9
P/E23.826.28.914.223.0-23.0
P/CFO14.521.88.310.411.4-11.4
Total Yield5.6%4.9%11.6%8.4%5.5%-5.6%
Dividend Yield1.4%1.1%0.4%1.3%1.1%-1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.4%5.4%10.1%6.4%-1.4%-5.4%
D/E0.50.20.40.70.1-0.4
Net D/E0.50.10.20.70.0-0.2

Returns

DECATALSNTEXASTEAEBIMedian
NameDeere Caterpil.Allison .Terex Astec In.Aebi Sch. 
1M Rtn-1.9%17.0%-7.4%0.8%-0.8%-6.7%-1.3%
3M Rtn-7.9%27.4%-7.0%7.8%22.0%14.9%11.3%
6M Rtn2.1%80.6%-8.7%54.8%36.0%-36.0%
12M Rtn14.8%35.7%-18.8%-4.6%43.3%-14.8%
3Y Rtn28.7%203.4%127.4%61.0%34.7%-61.0%
1M Excs Rtn-3.8%12.4%-9.6%-1.2%-5.4%-10.9%-4.6%
3M Excs Rtn-13.0%22.9%-11.2%4.2%15.7%17.4%10.0%
6M Excs Rtn-24.0%54.5%-34.8%28.6%9.9%-9.9%
12M Excs Rtn1.1%23.4%-31.7%-18.1%32.3%-1.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-54.0%123.9%49.1%-13.0%-42.8%--13.0%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,290,459
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-0.4%
Average Daily Volume1,530,504
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.80
Basic Shares Quantity270,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/14/2025-6.8%-4.1%-8.4%
5/15/20253.8%3.4%2.4%
2/13/2025-2.2%4.0%0.2%
11/21/20248.0%15.1%6.8%
8/15/20246.3%7.3%12.4%
5/16/2024-4.7%-6.8%-8.7%
2/15/2024-5.2%-7.3%-0.4%
11/22/2023-3.1%-4.9%2.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111212
# Negative131212
Median Positive5.3%5.8%7.5%
Median Negative-3.1%-4.8%-3.5%
Max Positive9.9%15.9%24.1%
Max Negative-14.1%-8.8%-32.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025828202510-Q 7/27/2025
4302025529202510-Q 4/27/2025
1312025227202510-Q 1/26/2025
103120241212202410-K 10/27/2024
7312024829202410-Q 7/28/2024
4302024530202410-Q 4/28/2024
1312024229202410-Q 1/28/2024
103120231215202310-K 10/29/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/30/2023
4302023601202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023223202310-Q 1/29/2023
103120221215202210-K 10/30/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022526202210-Q 5/1/2022
1312022224202210-Q 1/30/2022
103120211216202110-K 10/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More