Tearsheet

Dropbox (DBX)


Market Price (10/19/2025): $29.09 | Market Cap: $7.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Dropbox (DBX)


Market Price (10/19/2025): $29.09
Market Cap: $7.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.4%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.4%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

DBX Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DBX Return24%11%-9%32%2%-3%63%
Peers Return23%23%-14%24%21%7%108%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DBX Win Rate50%58%50%67%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate35%38%18%42%40%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DBX Max Drawdown-12%-2%-22%-15%-30%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-3%-21%-5%-3%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GOOGL, AMZN, BOX, BIYA, BLIV. See DBX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventDBXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven315 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-60.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days


How Low Can It Go?

Dropbox's stock fell -41.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/9/2021. A -41.5% loss requires a 71.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Dropbox (DBX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DBX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.5%-5.5%-6.7%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.1%9.1%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.2%1.2%-0.3%
DBX_4302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302024DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.5%23.3%-10.4%
DBX_2282023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282023DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.7%16.9%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.5%-5.5%-6.7%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.1%9.1%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.2%1.2%-0.3%
DBX_4302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302024DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.5%23.3%-10.4%
DBX_2282023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282023DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.7%16.9%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dropbox

Financials

DBXGOOGLAMZNBOXBIYABLIVMedian
NameDropbox Alphabet Amazon.c.Box Baiya In.BeLive  
Mkt Price29.11253.30213.0432.630.483.6530.87
Mkt Cap7.93,070.52,266.14.7--1,137.0
Rev LTM2,533371,399670,0381,126--186,966
Op Inc LTM571121,37076,19068--38,380
FCF LTM89266,72813,481302--7,187
FCF 3Y Avg82366,20321,677301--11,250
CFO LTM902133,708121,137338--61,020
CFO 3Y Avg846112,63696,977329--48,911

Growth & Margins

DBXGOOGLAMZNBOXBIYABLIVMedian
NameDropbox Alphabet Amazon.c.Box Baiya In.BeLive  
Rev Chg LTM-0.0%13.1%10.9%6.3%--8.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.1%10.2%11.3%6.1%--8.2%
Rev Chg Q-1.4%13.8%13.3%8.9%--11.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%3.2%3.0%2.2%--2.6%
Op Mgn LTM22.5%32.7%11.4%6.1%--16.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.6%29.4%7.9%5.9%--13.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.8%0.0%0.3%-0.1%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM35.6%36.0%18.1%30.0%--32.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg33.9%34.1%15.8%30.8%--32.3%
FCF/Rev LTM35.2%18.0%2.0%26.8%--22.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg32.9%20.3%3.5%28.2%--24.3%

Valuation

DBXGOOGLAMZNBOXBIYABLIVMedian
NameDropbox Alphabet Amazon.c.Box Baiya In.BeLive  
Mkt Cap7.93,070.52,266.14.7--1,137.0
P/S3.18.33.44.2--3.8
P/EBIT13.921.926.649.7--24.3
P/E16.326.632.120.7--23.6
P/CFO8.823.018.714.0--16.4
Total Yield6.1%4.1%3.1%4.8%--4.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.3%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.4%3.5%1.1%7.0%--5.3%
D/E0.40.00.10.1--0.1
Net D/E0.3-0.00.0-0.0---0.0

Returns

DBXGOOGLAMZNBOXBIYABLIVMedian
NameDropbox Alphabet Amazon.c.Box Baiya In.BeLive  
1M Rtn-5.5%0.5%-7.9%1.0%-20.5%-6.2%-5.8%
3M Rtn7.6%37.0%-5.8%0.6%-49.5%24.1%4.1%
6M Rtn7.4%67.9%23.4%10.1%-85.1%20.1%15.1%
12M Rtn10.0%55.7%12.7%1.8%--11.3%
3Y Rtn39.3%156.0%85.1%19.4%--62.2%
1M Excs Rtn-6.0%0.0%-8.3%0.5%-20.9%-6.7%-6.3%
3M Excs Rtn1.2%27.7%-12.8%-6.4%-51.2%24.7%-2.6%
6M Excs Rtn-18.8%41.8%-2.7%-16.1%-111.3%-6.1%-11.1%
12M Excs Rtn-3.8%39.2%-1.1%-14.9%---2.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-41.0%75.1%2.4%-59.4%---19.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,881,428
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-2.0%
Average Daily Volume3,952,746
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.27
Basic Shares Quantity272,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/7/20252.7%5.8%15.8%
5/8/2025-0.8%-0.8%-0.7%
2/20/2025-16.2%-18.6%-16.9%
10/30/20241.4%3.3%8.4%
8/8/20243.3%4.9%6.5%
5/9/2024-0.0%3.5%-7.8%
2/15/2024-22.9%-26.2%-26.3%
11/2/2023-1.6%-0.7%7.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91013
# Negative13129
Median Positive3.3%4.2%7.4%
Median Negative-2.4%-6.9%-11.8%
Max Positive20.0%10.7%22.0%
Max Negative-22.9%-26.2%-26.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211105202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Peacock Karen9102025Sell30.002,00060,000698,850Form
1Yoon William TChief Legal Officer9102025Sell30.1611,430344,7536,746,116Form
2Dasdan AliChief Technology Officer9102025Sell30.0012,812384,36016,531,800Form
3Alkarmi AshrafGeneral Manager, Core9102025Sell30.0010,000300,00013,779,990Form
4Parasnis Abhay9092025Sell29.501,78252,5691,142,830Form