Tearsheet

Dropbox (DBX)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $30.4 | Market Cap: $7.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Dropbox (DBX)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $30.4
Market Cap: $7.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Future of Work. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Remote Work Tools, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Future of Work. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Remote Work Tools, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

DBX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between July 31, 2025, and November 14, 2025, Dropbox (DBX) stock moved by 11.9%, primarily driven by its robust third-quarter 2025 financial results and strategic product developments. 1. Dropbox reported stronger-than-expected adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q3 2025. The company announced adjusted earnings of $0.74 per share, significantly surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.64 and other analyst estimates of $0.65 per share, representing an earnings surprise of +15.63%. 2. Revenue in Q3 2025 exceeded analyst forecasts. Dropbox posted revenues of $634.4 million for the quarter ended September 2025, which, despite being flat year-over-year, surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $624.1 million by 1.75%.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DBX Return24%11%-9%32%2%1%70%
Peers Return23%23%-14%24%21%11%117%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DBX Win Rate50%58%50%67%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate35%38%18%42%40%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DBX Max Drawdown-12%-2%-22%-15%-30%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-3%-21%-5%-3%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GOOGL, AMZN, BOX, BIYA, BLIV. See DBX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDBXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven315 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-60.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to GOOGL, AMZN, BOX, BIYA, BLIV


In The Past

Dropbox's stock fell -41.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/9/2021. A -41.5% loss requires a 71.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Dropbox (DBX)

Better Bets than Dropbox (DBX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DBX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.0%-5.0%-5.2%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.4%-1.4%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.2%6.2%0.0%
DBX_4302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302024DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.5%23.3%-10.4%
DBX_2282023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282023DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.7%16.9%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.0%-5.0%-5.2%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.4%-1.4%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.2%6.2%0.0%
DBX_4302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302024DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.5%23.3%-10.4%
DBX_2282023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282023DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.7%16.9%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dropbox

Financials

DBXGOOGLAMZNBOXBIYABLIVMedian
NameDropbox Alphabet Amazon.c.Box Baiya In.BeLive  
Mkt Price30.40278.57237.5831.990.333.6031.20
Mkt Cap7.93,366.82,527.14.6--1,267.5
Rev LTM2,528385,477670,0381,126--194,003
Op Inc LTM618124,07776,19068--38,404
FCF LTM91673,55213,481302--7,198
FCF 3Y Avg83968,99821,677301--11,258
CFO LTM930151,424121,137338--61,034
CFO 3Y Avg863120,99096,977329--48,920

Growth & Margins

DBXGOOGLAMZNBOXBIYABLIVMedian
NameDropbox Alphabet Amazon.c.Box Baiya In.BeLive  
Rev Chg LTM-0.4%13.4%10.9%6.3%--8.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.4%11.0%11.3%6.1%--8.6%
Rev Chg Q-0.7%15.9%13.3%8.9%--11.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%3.8%3.0%2.2%--2.6%
Op Mgn LTM24.4%32.2%11.4%6.1%--17.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.6%29.9%7.9%5.9%--13.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.9%-0.5%0.3%-0.1%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM36.8%39.3%18.1%30.0%--33.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.3%35.3%15.8%30.8%--32.6%
FCF/Rev LTM36.2%19.1%2.0%26.8%--23.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.4%20.5%3.5%28.2%--24.4%

Valuation

DBXGOOGLAMZNBOXBIYABLIVMedian
NameDropbox Alphabet Amazon.c.Box Baiya In.BeLive  
Mkt Cap7.93,366.82,527.14.6--1,267.5
P/S3.18.73.84.1--3.9
P/EBIT12.922.129.748.7--25.9
P/E15.827.135.820.3--23.7
P/CFO8.522.220.913.7--17.3
Total Yield6.3%4.0%2.8%4.9%--4.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.3%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.1%3.3%1.1%7.0%--5.2%
D/E0.40.00.10.1--0.1
Net D/E0.3-0.00.0-0.0---0.0

Returns

DBXGOOGLAMZNBOXBIYABLIVMedian
NameDropbox Alphabet Amazon.c.Box Baiya In.BeLive  
1M Rtn7.0%13.5%9.8%-2.0%-36.8%-1.6%2.7%
3M Rtn9.6%37.4%2.9%3.1%-41.9%34.6%6.4%
6M Rtn3.2%70.3%15.8%-0.8%-93.4%-25.2%1.2%
12M Rtn8.9%56.4%11.0%-7.7%--9.9%
3Y Rtn33.5%193.1%141.2%10.8%--87.3%
1M Excs Rtn4.0%10.0%9.2%-3.3%-39.3%-2.4%0.8%
3M Excs Rtn4.8%32.3%-1.6%-3.2%-47.7%26.4%1.6%
6M Excs Rtn-10.7%56.4%1.9%-14.7%-107.3%-39.0%-12.7%
12M Excs Rtn-4.4%42.9%2.6%-19.5%---0.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-35.1%139.5%88.0%-60.4%--26.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity22,014,648
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202516.9%
Average Daily Volume2,738,829
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.04
Basic Shares Quantity261,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20257.7%  
8/7/20252.7%5.8%15.8%
5/8/2025-0.8%-0.8%-0.7%
2/20/2025-16.2%-18.6%-16.9%
10/30/20241.4%3.3%8.4%
8/8/20243.3%4.9%6.5%
5/9/2024-0.0%3.5%-7.8%
2/15/2024-22.9%-26.2%-26.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101013
# Negative131310
Median Positive4.0%4.2%7.4%
Median Negative-2.4%-6.9%-11.8%
Max Positive20.0%10.7%22.0%
Max Negative-22.9%-26.2%-26.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Schubach Sarah ElizabethChief Accounting Officer10022025Sell30.711,06632,7373,246,753Form
1Regan TimothyChief Financial Officer10022025Sell30.711,50046,06514,637,031Form
2Peacock Karen9102025Sell30.002,00060,000698,850Form
3Yoon William TChief Legal Officer9102025Sell30.1611,430344,7536,746,116Form
4Dasdan AliChief Technology Officer9102025Sell30.0012,812384,36016,531,800Form