Deutsche Bank (DB)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $38.18 | Market Cap: $74.7 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Deutsche Bank (DB)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $38.18Market Cap: $74.7 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.9%, Dist 3Y High is -1.9% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 138% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -83% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -83% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.9%, Dist 3Y High is -1.9% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 138% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
DB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting why Deutsche Bank's (DB) stock moved by 14.9% from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 14, 2025:
1. Stronger-than-Expected Quarterly Earnings.
Deutsche Bank reported robust financial results for both the second and third quarters of 2025. In Q2 2025, reported on July 24, 2025, the bank announced a net profit, exceeding analysts' expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue, with pre-provision profit nearly doubling and net commission and fee income rising. This led to a 7.11% surge in pre-market trading. The positive momentum continued into Q3 2025, with results released on October 29, 2025, showing quarterly revenue of €8.04 billion against an anticipated €7.8 billion, and EPS of €0.86, significantly above the forecasted €0.71. The bank also reported a record profit before tax of €7.7 billion in the first nine months of 2025.
2. Significant Capital Returns to Shareholders.
During this period, Deutsche Bank completed a €750 million share repurchase program and initiated a further €250 million program on September 17, 2025, which was expected to be completed by November 19, 2025. The Q3 2025 earnings report confirmed the completion of this €250 million buyback. These actions brought total capital distributions in 2025, including dividends, to approximately €2.3 billion, representing a 50% increase over 2024, signaling financial strength and a commitment to shareholder value.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DB Return | 40% | 15% | -6% | 21% | 30% | 128% | 443% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 35% | -15% | 17% | 42% | 36% | 167% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DB Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 63% | 42% | 50% | 65% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DB Max Drawdown | -30% | -7% | -40% | -19% | -7% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -2% | -29% | -14% | -4% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JPM, BAC, MS, GS, C. See DB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -55.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 123.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 571 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 252 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -68.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 212.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1993 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -86.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 650.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to JPM, BAC, MS, GS, C
In The Past
Deutsche Bank's stock fell -55.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2022. A -55.2% loss requires a 123.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.6% | 0.6% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.3% | -6.3% | -6.3% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.5% | -0.5% | -2.7% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.6% | 0.6% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.3% | -6.3% | -6.3% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.5% | -0.5% | -2.7% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Deutsche Bank
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 133.14 |
| Mkt Cap | 254.8 |
| Rev LTM | 74,746 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | -6,747 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -31,511 |
| CFO LTM | -3,679 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -29,280 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -5.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -38.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -10.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -44.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 254.8 |
| P/S | 3.9 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 14.0 |
| P/CFO | -2.6 |
| Total Yield | 7.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -15.6% |
| D/E | 1.4 |
| Net D/E | -0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 29.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 34.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 128.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 15.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 22.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 65.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private Bank | 9,571 | 9,153 | 8,234 | 8,126 | 8,206 |
| Investment Bank | 9,160 | 10,016 | 9,631 | 9,286 | 7,019 |
| Corporate Bank | 7,718 | 6,337 | 5,151 | 5,146 | 5,244 |
| Asset Management | 2,383 | 2,608 | 2,708 | 2,229 | 2,332 |
| Corporate & Other | 2,324 | -1,051 | -340 | -552 | 147 |
| Capital Release Unit | 26 | -225 | 217 | ||
| Total | 31,156 | 27,063 | 25,410 | 24,010 | 23,165 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Bank | 658,000 | 677,000 | 615,906 | 573,536 | 501,774 |
| Private Bank | 331,000 | 333,000 | 310,496 | 296,596 | 270,334 |
| Corporate Bank | 264,000 | 258,000 | 245,716 | 237,675 | 228,663 |
| Corporate & Other | 54,000 | 67,000 | 9,713 | 10,035 | 27,743 |
| Asset Management | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,387 | 9,453 | 9,936 |
| Capital Release Unit | 131,775 | 197,667 | 259,224 | ||
| Total | 1,317,000 | 1,345,000 | 1,323,993 | 1,324,962 | 1,297,674 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 3312021 | 4282021 | 6-K 3/31/2021 |
| 9302020 | 10282020 | 6-K 9/30/2020 |
| 3312020 | 4292020 | 6-K 3/31/2020 |
| 12312019 | 3202020 | 20-F 12/31/2019 |
| 9302019 | 10302019 | 6-K 9/30/2019 |
| 6302019 | 7242019 | 6-K 6/30/2019 |
| 3312019 | 4262019 | 6-K 3/31/2019 |
| 12312018 | 3252019 | 20-F 12/31/2018 |
| 9302018 | 10242018 | 6-K 9/30/2018 |
| 6302018 | 7252018 | 6-K 6/30/2018 |
| 3312018 | 7162018 | 6-K 3/31/2018 |
| 12312017 | 3162018 | 20-F 12/31/2017 |
| 9302017 | 10262017 | 6-K 9/30/2017 |
| 6302017 | 7272017 | 6-K 6/30/2017 |
| 3312017 | 4272017 | 6-K 3/31/2017 |
| 12312016 | 3202017 | 20-F 12/31/2016 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
