Tearsheet

Delta Air Lines (DAL)


Market Price (11/8/2025): $58.99 | Market Cap: $38.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

Delta Air Lines (DAL)


Market Price (11/8/2025): $58.99
Market Cap: $38.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.5%, FCF Yield is 8.0%
  
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 8.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.1 Bil
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.5%, FCF Yield is 8.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 8.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.1 Bil

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

DAL Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DAL Return-31%-3%-16%23%52%-3%2%
Peers Return-27%-2%-16%5%56%-9%-11%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DAL Win Rate33%50%50%42%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate33%47%45%45%62%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DAL Max Drawdown-67%-17%-28%-6%-8%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57%-12%-31%-24%-19%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UAL, OSW, ULCC, DAL, LUV. See DAL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/7/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDALS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven588 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven223.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1636 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven190 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven447.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1604 days1480 days

Compare to UAL, OSW, ULCC, DAL, LUV


In The Past

Delta Air Lines's stock fell -45.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/6/2021. A -45.8% loss requires a 84.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Delta Air Lines (DAL)

Better Bets than Delta Air Lines (DAL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DAL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.8%-10.8%-10.8%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-17.5%-17.5%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.2%-1.2%-1.9%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.6%-7.6%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%-0.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.8%-10.8%-10.8%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-17.5%-17.5%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.2%-1.2%-1.9%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.6%-7.6%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%-0.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Delta Air Lines

Financials

DALUALOSWULCCLUVMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.OneSpaWo.Frontier Southwes. 
Mkt Price58.8897.4321.913.9332.4532.45
Mkt Cap38.231.52.30.917.017.0
Rev LTM62,92058,3689363,72927,55127,551
Op Inc LTM6,0725,16583-153315315
FCF LTM3,0743,71067-519-25067
FCF 3Y Avg1,8351,78363-347-1,01963
CFO LTM7,9769,36980-3472,0242,024
CFO 3Y Avg7,2538,22071-2281,9171,917

Growth & Margins

DALUALOSWULCCLUVMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.OneSpaWo.Frontier Southwes. 
Rev Chg LTM4.3%4.2%7.3%1.8%0.6%4.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.8%13.2%28.9%7.5%6.8%10.8%
Rev Chg Q6.4%2.6%7.0%-5.2%1.1%2.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%0.7%1.8%-1.3%0.3%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM9.7%8.8%8.9%-4.1%1.1%8.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.5%9.2%8.1%-0.8%0.3%8.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.5%-0.0%-2.6%-0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM12.7%16.1%8.6%-9.3%7.3%8.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.1%14.8%8.2%-6.2%7.3%8.2%
FCF/Rev LTM4.9%6.4%7.1%-13.9%-0.9%4.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.0%3.1%7.3%-9.4%-3.8%3.0%

Valuation

DALUALOSWULCCLUVMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.OneSpaWo.Frontier Southwes. 
Mkt Cap38.231.52.30.917.017.0
P/S0.60.52.40.20.60.6
P/EBIT5.85.727.0-7.127.65.8
P/E8.39.630.6-6.644.89.6
P/CFO4.83.428.2-2.68.44.8
Total Yield12.7%10.4%4.0%-15.2%4.6%4.6%
Dividend Yield0.6%0.0%0.7%0.0%2.3%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.7%7.7%3.9%-32.5%-5.9%3.9%
D/E0.51.00.05.60.30.5
Net D/E0.40.60.05.00.10.4

Returns

DALUALOSWULCCLUVMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.OneSpaWo.Frontier Southwes. 
1M Rtn3.4%-0.7%3.1%-10.7%0.0%0.0%
3M Rtn10.1%9.1%2.6%17.7%10.2%10.1%
6M Rtn23.0%26.1%17.2%1.3%5.3%17.2%
12M Rtn-1.4%14.0%16.0%-38.9%6.2%6.2%
3Y Rtn80.2%131.0%115.3%-69.3%-7.2%80.2%
1M Excs Rtn-1.1%-3.8%3.9%-5.0%2.5%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn4.8%3.5%-1.8%13.2%6.7%4.8%
6M Excs Rtn4.1%7.2%-1.7%-17.6%-13.6%-1.7%
12M Excs Rtn-14.1%5.4%5.6%-48.2%-8.0%-8.0%
3Y Excs Rtn9.8%58.0%61.9%-148.9%-83.8%9.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline54,66945,60526,67015,94546,910
Refinery7,57210,7066,0543,1435,558
Intersegment Sales/Other-4,193-5,729-2,825-1,993-5,461
Total58,04850,58229,89917,09547,007


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline5,1362,8841,888-12,2536,542
Refinery385777-2-21676
Total5,5213,6611,886-12,4696,618


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline71,52969,35570,41770,54862,793
Refinery2,1743,0392,0991,4481,739
Intersegment Sales/Other-59-106-57  
Total73,64472,28872,45971,99664,532


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17,653,544
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020254.9%
Average Daily Volume11,345,785
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.56
Basic Shares Quantity649,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/9/20254.6%8.3% 
7/10/202512.0%9.6%6.2%
4/9/202523.4%13.8%35.3%
1/10/20259.0%7.7%7.8%
10/10/2024-1.1%10.8%18.9%
7/11/2024-4.0%-2.3%-15.2%
4/10/2024-2.3%-1.6%10.5%
1/12/2024-9.0%-11.8%-4.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91312
# Negative151112
Median Positive4.6%7.7%9.8%
Median Negative-2.7%-3.5%-4.0%
Max Positive23.4%13.8%35.3%
Max Negative-9.0%-11.8%-15.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251009202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025710202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025409202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024211202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241010202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024711202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024410202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023212202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231012202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023713202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023413202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221013202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022713202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022413202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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