Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.4%, FCF Yield is 5.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 32 Bil, FCF LTM is 15 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include US LNG, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.4%, FCF Yield is 5.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 32 Bil, FCF LTM is 15 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include US LNG, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.5%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

CVX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Chevron's (CVX) stock movement, including a 1.3% rise on November 14, 2025, during the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 21, 2025:

1. Chevron reported record production in its Third Quarter 2025 results. The company achieved record worldwide production of 4.1 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d), an increase of 21% from the previous year. U.S. production also hit new company records, rising 27%. This strong operational performance signals robust underlying business activity.

2. Despite lower year-over-year earnings, Chevron demonstrated strong cash flow and shareholder returns. For the third quarter of 2025, Chevron reported adjusted earnings of $3.6 billion and sustained strong cash flow from operations, with adjusted free cash flow increasing over 50% from a year ago. The company returned $6 billion of cash to shareholders during the quarter, reflecting a consistent commitment to investor payouts.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CVX Return-26%46%58%-14%1%9%63%
Peers Return-11%12%31%9%-4%27%74%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%11%102%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CVX Win Rate33%67%58%50%58%80% 
Peers Win Rate38%43%50%42%32%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CVX Max Drawdown-54%0%0%-19%-5%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-48%-6%-3%-16%-18%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PSX, SUN, DK, DEC, RRI. See CVX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/20/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCVXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven110 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven652 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1130 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-45.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven725 days1480 days

Compare to PSX, SUN, DK, DEC, RRI


In The Past

Chevron's stock fell -24.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -24.9% loss requires a 33.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Chevron (CVX)

Better Bets than Chevron (CVX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CVX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.2%7.2%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.6%16.6%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.2%-2.2%-5.7%
SLB_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025SLBSLBDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.9%10.9%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.2%7.2%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.6%16.6%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.2%-2.2%-5.7%
SLB_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025SLBSLBDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.9%10.9%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Chevron

Financials

CVXPSXSUNDKDECRRIMedian
NameChevron Phillips.Sunoco Delek US Diversif.Roosevel. 
Mkt Price150.31131.99-37.5214.31-84.76
Mkt Cap291.453.47.32.3--30.3
Rev LTM186,979131,95321,87010,667--76,912
Op Inc LTM15,0671,718985-59--1,352
FCF LTM15,4241,351373-741--862
FCF 3Y Avg18,1854,069268-215--2,169
CFO LTM31,8453,408923-130--2,166
CFO 3Y Avg34,2506,060623230--3,342

Growth & Margins

CVXPSXSUNDKDECRRIMedian
NameChevron Phillips.Sunoco Delek US Diversif.Roosevel. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.6%-10.7%-5.2%-20.5%---7.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.2%-6.6%-4.0%-17.2%---6.4%
Rev Chg Q-1.5%-2.9%4.9%-5.1%---2.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.4%-0.8%1.3%-1.4%---0.6%
Op Mgn LTM8.1%1.3%4.5%-0.6%--2.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.2%3.1%3.4%-0.2%--3.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%0.7%0.6%3.9%--0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM17.0%2.6%4.2%-1.2%--3.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.6%4.2%2.8%1.3%--3.5%
FCF/Rev LTM8.2%1.0%1.7%-6.9%--1.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.3%2.8%1.2%-2.2%--2.0%

Valuation

CVXPSXSUNDKDECRRIMedian
NameChevron Phillips.Sunoco Delek US Diversif.Roosevel. 
Mkt Cap291.453.47.32.3--30.3
P/S1.60.40.30.2--0.4
P/EBIT13.118.06.8-12.3--9.9
P/E22.835.521.7-4.4--22.3
P/CFO9.215.77.9-17.3--8.5
Total Yield8.6%6.4%6.8%-20.0%--6.6%
Dividend Yield4.2%3.6%2.2%2.8%--3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.2%7.5%4.2%-12.2%--5.2%
D/E0.10.41.41.4--0.9
Net D/E0.10.40.91.2--0.7

Returns

CVXPSXSUNDKDECRRIMedian
NameChevron Phillips.Sunoco Delek US Diversif.Roosevel. 
1M Rtn-1.2%3.5%-12.1%13.8%-7.8%
3M Rtn-2.3%7.0%-66.8%-10.1%-2.3%
6M Rtn13.6%19.0%-94.4%6.8%-16.3%
12M Rtn-2.5%4.2%-118.9%-4.0%-0.8%
3Y Rtn-5.9%34.9%-26.4%-30.4%-10.2%
1M Excs Rtn0.1%3.7%-8.5%14.0%-6.1%
3M Excs Rtn-5.0%1.3%-53.2%-14.9%--1.8%
6M Excs Rtn1.7%7.1%-82.5%-5.1%-4.4%
12M Excs Rtn-13.1%-6.7%-100.7%-8.5%--7.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-72.4%-30.2%--36.5%-96.5%--54.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Upstream194,805183,105184,412191,309186,037
Downstream54,48853,22145,22439,58642,152
All Other12,33921,3839,8998,8959,239
Total261,632257,709239,535239,790237,428


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,024,760
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-11.2%
Average Daily Volume6,935,324
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.02
Basic Shares Quantity1,938,922,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/31/20252.7%-0.4% 
8/1/2025-0.2%1.0%7.1%
5/2/20251.6%0.6%2.4%
1/31/2025-4.6%-2.8%-1.0%
11/1/20242.9%5.3%10.1%
8/2/2024-2.7%-5.3%-2.0%
4/26/20240.4%-2.8%-3.6%
2/2/20242.9%4.2%1.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111314
# Negative131110
Median Positive1.6%1.4%4.9%
Median Negative-3.5%-2.8%-3.6%
Max Positive8.9%5.3%28.6%
Max Negative-6.7%-10.0%-12.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0HESS JOHN B 8262025Sell158.30375,00059,363,550222,105,952Form