Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 6.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 32 Bil, FCF LTM is 16 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 6.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 32 Bil, FCF LTM is 16 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

CVX Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CVX Return-26%46%58%-14%1%11%67%
Peers Return-37%28%64%4%-7%36%72%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CVX Win Rate33%67%58%50%58%78% 
Peers Win Rate30%60%67%52%45%69% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CVX Max Drawdown-54%0%0%-19%-5%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-60%-4%-0%-14%-15%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PSX, DK, XOM, CVX, BP. See CVX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/27/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCVXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven110 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven652 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1130 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-45.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven725 days1480 days

Compare to PSX, DK, XOM, CVX, BP


In The Past

Chevron's stock fell -24.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -24.9% loss requires a 33.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Chevron (CVX)

Better Bets than Chevron (CVX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CVX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TDW_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TDWTidewaterDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.5%-7.5%-11.3%
OKE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025OKEONEOKDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.0%-6.0%-7.9%
LEU_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025LEUCentrus EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
89.9%89.9%-1.3%
KNTK_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025KNTKKinetikDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.8%-7.8%-18.1%
WHD_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-11.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TDW_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TDWTidewaterDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.5%-7.5%-11.3%
OKE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025OKEONEOKDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.0%-6.0%-7.9%
LEU_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025LEUCentrus EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
89.9%89.9%-1.3%
KNTK_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025KNTKKinetikDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.8%-7.8%-18.1%
WHD_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-11.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Chevron

Financials

CVXPSXDKXOMBPMedian
NameChevron Phillips.Delek US Exxon Mo.BP  
Mkt Price155.28135.4237.85115.9434.77115.94
Mkt Cap267.055.12.3502.190.790.7
Rev LTM187,736132,96610,823329,385186,538186,538
Op Inc LTM15,729798-48437,57212,82712,827
FCF LTM16,1021,488-81629,1238,5908,590
FCF 3Y Avg20,6284,660-18235,95815,77715,777
CFO LTM32,1343,362-19654,30123,29323,293
CFO 3Y Avg36,2106,71525858,98030,10030,100

Growth & Margins

CVXPSXDKXOMBPMedian
NameChevron Phillips.Delek US Exxon Mo.BP  
Rev Chg LTM-4.7%-12.4%-27.9%-3.3%-7.5%-7.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.9%-3.2%-12.0%-2.1%-2.4%-2.9%
Rev Chg Q-10.5%-12.6%-16.4%-11.7%-1.4%-11.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%-3.5%-4.8%-3.1%-0.4%-3.1%
Op Mgn LTM8.4%0.6%-4.5%11.4%6.9%6.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.1%3.5%-1.0%13.4%11.4%11.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%0.2%-0.7%-0.2%0.8%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM17.1%2.5%-1.8%16.5%12.5%12.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.1%4.5%1.4%17.1%14.5%14.5%
FCF/Rev LTM8.6%1.1%-7.5%8.8%4.6%4.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.2%3.1%-1.9%10.4%7.5%7.5%

Valuation

CVXPSXDKXOMBPMedian
NameChevron Phillips.Delek US Exxon Mo.BP  
Mkt Cap267.055.12.3502.190.790.7
P/S1.40.40.21.50.50.5
P/EBIT11.517.5-3.810.97.710.9
P/E19.532.1-3.016.2161.019.5
P/CFO8.316.4-11.79.23.98.3
Total Yield9.5%6.6%-30.8%9.6%4.8%6.6%
Dividend Yield4.4%3.5%2.8%3.4%4.2%3.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.4%9.7%-15.6%7.8%16.4%7.8%
D/E0.10.41.40.10.80.4
Net D/E0.10.41.10.00.40.4

Returns

CVXPSXDKXOMBPMedian
NameChevron Phillips.Delek US Exxon Mo.BP  
1M Rtn-3.0%-2.9%15.4%-1.1%-2.6%-2.6%
3M Rtn0.5%7.1%64.1%5.0%8.0%7.1%
6M Rtn13.4%30.5%186.3%8.7%23.1%23.1%
12M Rtn7.6%9.7%136.0%0.5%17.2%9.7%
3Y Rtn-2.5%44.9%47.2%16.0%23.8%23.8%
1M Excs Rtn-6.5%-6.4%11.9%-4.6%-6.1%-6.1%
3M Excs Rtn-7.9%-1.4%55.4%-4.2%-0.9%-1.4%
6M Excs Rtn-10.9%6.2%162.0%-15.6%-1.3%-1.3%
12M Excs Rtn-10.7%-9.7%123.4%-18.7%-0.6%-9.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-83.7%-33.1%-35.0%-64.0%-55.0%-55.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Downstream161,625179,565115,30768,083107,912
Upstream83,920106,97870,14026,31131,707
All Other59751850877246
Intersegment Elimination-49,229-51,344-30,349  
Total196,913235,717155,60694,471139,865


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Upstream17,43830,28415,818-2,4332,576
Downstream6,1378,1552,914472,481
All Other-2,206-2,974-3,107-3,157-2,133
Total21,36935,46515,625-5,5432,924


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Upstream194,805    
Downstream54,488    
All Other12,339    
Total261,632    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,790,033
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-2.0%
Average Daily Volume6,337,718
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.49
Basic Shares Quantity1,719,184,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/1/2025-0.2%1.0%7.1%
5/2/20251.6%0.6%2.4%
1/31/2025-4.6%-2.8%-1.0%
11/1/20242.9%5.3%10.1%
8/2/2024-2.7%-5.3%-2.0%
4/26/20240.4%-2.8%-3.6%
2/2/20242.9%4.2%1.8%
10/27/2023-6.7%-3.9%-5.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111415
# Negative13109
Median Positive1.2%1.6%2.7%
Median Negative-3.5%-2.8%-3.6%
Max Positive8.9%5.3%28.6%
Max Negative-6.7%-10.0%-12.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0HESS JOHN B 8262025Sell158.30375,00059,363,550222,105,952Form