Tearsheet

CVS Health (CVS)


Market Price (11/12/2025): $79.9 | Market Cap: $101.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Services

CVS Health (CVS)


Market Price (11/12/2025): $79.9
Market Cap: $101.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 6.2%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.8%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 9.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.3 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 216x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 6.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 9.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.3 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.8%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 216x

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

CVS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining CVS Health's stock movement for the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to today: **1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat and Record Revenues**

CVS Health reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company achieved a record $102.9 billion in revenue, marking a 7.8% increase year-over-year, and posted an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.60, a 47% jump from the prior year and comfortably beating analyst estimates. **2. Multiple Upward Revisions of Full-Year 2025 Adjusted EPS Guidance**

Following strong performance, CVS Health raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance for the third consecutive time. The new projected range is between $6.55 and $6.65, an increase from the earlier range of $6.30-$6.40, signaling strong management confidence in the company's financial trajectory. **3. Significant Turnaround and Growth in Health Care Benefits Segment**

The Health Care Benefits unit, Aetna, demonstrated a substantial improvement, moving from an operating loss in the previous year's quarter to an adjusted operating income of $314 million in Q3 2025. This turnaround was primarily driven by strong performance in the government business, the positive impact of the Inflation Reduction Act on the Medicare Part D program, and an improved medical benefit ratio. **4. Sustained Momentum in Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness Segment**

The Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segment continued its strong performance, with revenues increasing by almost 12%. This growth was attributed to a favorable pharmacy drug mix, increased prescription volume, and additional volume gained from CVS' acquisitions of Rite Aid prescription files, further boosting the company's retail pharmacy script share. **5. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Increased Price Targets**

Following the impressive Q3 2025 results and raised guidance, numerous financial analysts reiterated their "Buy" or "Overweight" ratings for CVS Health and significantly increased their price targets. This positive sentiment from the analyst community contributed to investor confidence and upward pressure on the stock price.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CVS Return-5%55%-8%-13%-41%86%30%
Peers Return25%24%-22%14%18%7%75%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CVS Win Rate42%58%42%33%33%70% 
Peers Win Rate53%58%38%55%58%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CVS Max Drawdown-29%0%-13%-28%-42%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-5%-31%-16%-17%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, WMT, KR, TGT, WBA. See CVS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/11/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCVSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven301 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven765 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-45.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1074 days1480 days

Compare to AMZN, WMT, KR, TGT, WBA


In The Past

CVS Health's stock fell -41.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2022. A -41.2% loss requires a 70.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About CVS Health (CVS)

Better Bets than CVS Health (CVS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CVS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.2%-9.2%-9.2%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.3%-22.3%-22.3%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.9%-0.9%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.1%9.1%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.2%-9.2%-9.2%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.3%-22.3%-22.3%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.9%-0.9%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.1%9.1%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for CVS Health

Financials

CVSAMZNWMTKRTGTWBAMedian
NameCVS Heal.Amazon.c.Walmart Kroger Target Walgreen. 
Mkt Price79.87249.10103.4465.0290.44-90.44
Mkt Cap101.42,649.7825.243.041.1-101.4
Rev LTM394,084670,038693,153147,000105,640-394,084
Op Inc LTM10,75176,19028,9883,9255,424-10,751
FCF LTM6,29313,48113,7532,2122,944-6,293
FCF 3Y Avg6,42721,67714,9862,2683,282-6,427
CFO LTM9,109121,13738,4386,0186,386-9,109
CFO 3Y Avg9,27796,97736,7076,1147,470-9,277

Growth & Margins

CVSAMZNWMTKRTGTWBAMedian
NameCVS Heal.Amazon.c.Walmart Kroger Target Walgreen. 
Rev Chg LTM6.8%10.9%4.2%-2.1%-1.5%-4.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.7%11.3%5.7%0.7%-0.7%-5.7%
Rev Chg Q7.8%13.3%4.8%0.1%-0.9%-4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%3.0%1.2%0.0%-0.2%-1.2%
Op Mgn LTM2.7%11.4%4.2%2.7%5.1%-4.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.3%7.9%4.0%2.4%5.1%-4.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.3%-0.1%0.0%-0.3%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM2.3%18.1%5.5%4.1%6.0%-5.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.5%15.8%5.5%4.1%7.0%-5.5%
FCF/Rev LTM1.6%2.0%2.0%1.5%2.8%-2.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.8%3.5%2.3%1.5%3.1%-2.3%

Valuation

CVSAMZNWMTKRTGTWBAMedian
NameCVS Heal.Amazon.c.Walmart Kroger Target Walgreen. 
Mkt Cap101.42,649.7825.243.041.1-101.4
P/S0.34.01.20.30.4-0.4
P/EBIT16.931.126.510.87.4-16.9
P/E216.137.538.715.810.5-37.5
P/CFO11.121.921.57.26.4-11.1
Total Yield3.8%2.7%3.4%8.4%14.5%-3.8%
Dividend Yield3.3%0.0%0.9%2.1%5.0%-2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.1%1.1%2.8%6.0%5.6%-5.6%
D/E0.80.10.10.60.5-0.5
Net D/E0.70.00.10.40.4-0.4

Returns

CVSAMZNWMTKRTGTWBAMedian
NameCVS Heal.Amazon.c.Walmart Kroger Target Walgreen. 
1M Rtn3.4%15.1%1.6%-4.1%5.7%-3.4%
3M Rtn22.9%12.5%-0.2%-11.1%-14.9%--0.2%
6M Rtn34.5%17.9%8.1%-2.7%-6.7%-8.1%
12M Rtn49.2%20.4%24.0%11.3%-38.7%-20.4%
3Y Rtn-8.2%147.1%126.1%47.6%-42.4%-47.6%
1M Excs Rtn-0.2%10.3%-1.6%-6.0%0.7%--0.2%
3M Excs Rtn16.3%5.1%-3.5%-13.0%-20.0%--3.5%
6M Excs Rtn18.2%1.5%-8.2%-19.0%-23.0%--8.2%
12M Excs Rtn31.3%4.0%9.9%-2.8%-52.4%-4.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-91.6%92.2%47.1%-31.7%-119.1%--31.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Health Services186,843169,576143,194132,663130,428
Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness116,763108,59666,09560,20856,258
Health Care Benefits105,64691,35082,10175,40969,578
Corporate/Other451530721426512
Intersegment Eliminations-51,927-47,585   
Total357,776322,467292,111268,706256,776


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Health Services7,3126,7816,6675,4544,735
Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness5,9636,5315,3225,6405,793
Health Care Benefits5,5776,3383,5215,1663,639
Office real estate optimization charges-46-117   
Loss on Accountable Care assets-349-2,533   
Acquisition-related integration costs-4870   
Net realized capital losses-497-320   
Restructuring charge-5070   
Corporate/Other-1,318-1,613-1,606-1,641-1,483
Amortization of intangible assets-1,905-1,785   
Acquisition purchase price adjustment outside of measurement period 0   
Gain on divestiture of subsidiary 475   
Goodwill impairment 0   
Intersegment Eliminations 0-711-708-697
Omnicare litigation charge -5,803   
Store impairments 0   
Total13,7437,95413,19313,91111,987


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18,902,018
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-3.2%
Average Daily Volume8,253,279
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.29
Basic Shares Quantity1,269,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-1.9%-5.0% 
7/31/2025-0.3%2.0%15.8%
5/1/20254.1%0.1%-4.0%
2/12/202514.9%20.7%19.5%
10/18/2024-5.2%-10.9%-15.5%
8/7/2024-3.2%-4.3%-0.5%
5/1/2024-16.8%-17.7%-17.2%
2/7/20243.1%3.8%0.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121612
# Negative13913
Median Positive4.6%3.2%8.1%
Median Negative-2.9%-5.0%-6.2%
Max Positive14.9%20.7%19.9%
Max Negative-16.8%-17.7%-26.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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