CrowdStrike (CRWD)
Market Price (11/25/2025): $505.16 | Market Cap: $126.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
CrowdStrike (CRWD)
Market Price (11/25/2025): $505.16Market Cap: $126.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -379 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 29x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 91x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -379 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.7% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 29x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 91x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CRWD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why CrowdStrike (CRWD) stock moved by approximately 11.5% from July 31, 2025, to today:
1. Strong Q2 2026 Earnings Exceeding Expectations.
CrowdStrike reported its Q2 2026 earnings on August 27, 2025, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.93, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.83. The company's quarterly revenue also increased by 21.4% year-over-year to $1.17 billion, exceeding analyst projections of $1.15 billion. This strong financial performance for the quarter, along with record Q2 net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $221 million and a 20% year-over-year increase in ending ARR to $4.66 billion, contributed to investor confidence.
2. Ambitious Long-Term Financial Guidance and ARR Goals.
On September 18, 2025, CrowdStrike's stock saw a significant increase of over 12% following the company's announcements at its Fal.Con 2025 conference. CrowdStrike outlined an ambitious goal to achieve $20 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR) by fiscal year 2036. The company also provided positive guidance for fiscal year 2027, projecting over 20% growth in net new ARR and a non-GAAP operating margin of at least 24%, which exceeded market expectations.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRWD Return | 325% | -3% | -49% | 142% | 34% | 48% | 916% |
| Peers Return | 106% | 65% | -30% | 57% | 17% | 10% | 376% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRWD Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 33% | 83% | 67% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 56% | 29% | 46% | 42% | 77% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRWD Max Drawdown | -34% | -18% | -51% | -10% | -15% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -9% | -32% | -7% | -12% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PANW, FTNT, ZS, CHOW, ECST. See CRWD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CRWD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 209.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 381 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 148 days |
Compare to PANW, FTNT, ZS, CHOW, ECST
In The Past
CrowdStrike's stock fell -67.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -67.7% loss requires a 209.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CRWD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.0% | -10.0% | -15.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -4.0% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.3% | -6.3% | -8.2% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -5.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.4% | -0.4% | -8.9% |
| 11302022 | CRWD | CrowdStrike | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 36.1% | 101.4% | -19.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.0% | -10.0% | -15.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -4.0% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.3% | -6.3% | -8.2% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -5.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.4% | -0.4% | -8.9% |
| 11302022 | CRWD | CrowdStrike | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 36.1% | 101.4% | -19.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for CrowdStrike
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 183.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 91.9 |
| Rev LTM | 5,448 |
| Op Inc LTM | 558 |
| FCF LTM | 1,533 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,450 |
| CFO LTM | 1,918 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,746 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 19.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 36.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 37.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 29.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 91.9 |
| P/S | 14.9 |
| P/EBIT | -317.0 |
| P/E | -197.2 |
| P/CFO | 39.2 |
| Total Yield | 0.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 107.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 50.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/27/2025 | 4.6% | -2.4% | 13.9% |
| 6/3/2025 | -5.8% | -4.3% | 3.4% |
| 3/4/2025 | -6.3% | -15.5% | -4.8% |
| 11/26/2024 | -4.6% | -0.0% | -2.6% |
| 8/28/2024 | 2.8% | -2.9% | 8.2% |
| 6/4/2024 | 12.0% | 25.9% | 27.5% |
| 3/5/2024 | 10.8% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| 11/28/2023 | 10.4% | 12.5% | 20.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 17 |
| # Negative | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% |
| Median Negative | -5.5% | -5.6% | -8.3% |
| Max Positive | 17.4% | 40.5% | 63.9% |
| Max Negative | -14.7% | -17.5% | -24.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 8282025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6042025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3102025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 11272024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8292024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6052024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3072024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11292023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8312023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6012023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3092023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 11302022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8312022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6032022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3162022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12022021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |