CrowdStrike (CRWD)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $527.7 | Market Cap: $131.9 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
CrowdStrike (CRWD)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $527.7Market Cap: $131.9 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -5.0%, Dist 3Y High is -5.0% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -379 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 30x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 95x | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.6% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -5.0%, Dist 3Y High is -5.0% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -379 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.7% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 30x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 95x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.6% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
CRWD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why CrowdStrike's stock (CRWD) moved by 16.5% between July 31, 2025, and November 14, 2025:
1. Strong Q2 Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results and Optimistic Guidance. CrowdStrike reported robust financial results for its second quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended on July 31, 2025, surpassing revenue and adjusted earnings expectations. The company announced a 21% year-over-year increase in total revenue, reaching $1.17 billion, and a 20% rise in subscription revenue to $1.10 billion. Non-GAAP net income hit a record $237.4 million, or $0.93 per share, exceeding analyst consensus. Additionally, Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew 20% year-over-year to $4.66 billion, with a record net new ARR of $221 million for the quarter. CrowdStrike also provided optimistic guidance for Q3 FY26 and the full fiscal year 2026, projecting continued revenue expansion and improved free cash flow.
2. Strategic Acquisitions to Enhance AI and SIEM Capabilities. CrowdStrike announced significant acquisitions during this period, including the intent to acquire Onum on August 27, 2025, a pioneer in real-time telemetry pipeline management. This acquisition aims to evolve the Falcon Next-Gen SIEM, deliver autonomous detection, and eliminate data migration bottlenecks, ultimately cutting ingestion costs. Furthermore, on September 16, CrowdStrike announced the acquisition of AI security specialist Pangea for an estimated $260 million, intending to provide the industry's first complete AI Detection and Response (AIDR) service. These strategic moves bolster CrowdStrike's AI and security information and event management capabilities.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRWD Return | 325% | -3% | -49% | 142% | 34% | 55% | 962% |
| Peers Return | 88% | 49% | -40% | 33% | 63% | 6% | 291% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRWD Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 33% | 83% | 67% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 70% | 37% | 55% | 58% | 66% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRWD Max Drawdown | -34% | -18% | -51% | -10% | -15% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -11% | -44% | -25% | -24% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PANW, FTNT, ZS, CHKP, ARQQ. See CRWD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CRWD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 209.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 381 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 148 days |
Compare to PANW, FTNT, ZS, CHKP, ARQQ
In The Past
CrowdStrike's stock fell -67.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -67.7% loss requires a 209.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CRWD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302022 | CRWD | CrowdStrike | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 36.1% | 101.4% | -19.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302022 | CRWD | CrowdStrike | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 36.1% | 101.4% | -19.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for CrowdStrike
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 197.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 61.9 |
| Rev LTM | 4,341 |
| Op Inc LTM | 852 |
| FCF LTM | 1,140 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,065 |
| CFO LTM | 1,389 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,260 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 18.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 37.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 38.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 30.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 61.9 |
| P/S | 14.8 |
| P/EBIT | 21.7 |
| P/E | 20.4 |
| P/CFO | 36.7 |
| Total Yield | 0.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 28.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 84.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 13.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 17.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/27/2025 | 4.6% | -2.4% | 13.9% |
| 6/3/2025 | -5.8% | -4.3% | 3.4% |
| 3/4/2025 | -6.3% | -15.5% | -4.8% |
| 11/26/2024 | -4.6% | -0.0% | -2.6% |
| 8/28/2024 | 2.8% | -2.9% | 8.2% |
| 6/4/2024 | 12.0% | 25.9% | 27.5% |
| 3/5/2024 | 10.8% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| 11/28/2023 | 10.4% | 12.5% | 20.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 17 |
| # Negative | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% |
| Median Negative | -5.5% | -5.6% | -8.3% |
| Max Positive | 17.4% | 40.5% | 63.9% |
| Max Negative | -14.7% | -17.5% | -24.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 8282025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6042025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3102025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 11272024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8292024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6052024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3072024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11292023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8312023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6012023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3092023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 11302022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8312022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6032022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3162022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12022021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |