Tearsheet

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $74.57 | Market Cap: $67.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Rail Transportation

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $74.57
Market Cap: $67.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Rail Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
Key risks
CP key risks include [1] challenges integrating the Kansas City Southern acquisition and satisfying related regulatory conditions, Show more.
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 5.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, Sustainable Resource Management, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 5.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, Sustainable Resource Management, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
6 Key risks
CP key risks include [1] challenges integrating the Kansas City Southern acquisition and satisfying related regulatory conditions, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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1. Downward Revision of Earnings Estimates: The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Canadian Pacific Kansas City's (CP) 2025 and 2026 earnings was revised downward, reflecting a lack of confidence from brokers.

2. Elevated Expenses and Volatile Macro Environment: The company faced mounting pressure from increased expenses, with total operating expenses remaining elevated in the third quarter of 2025. Additionally, a volatile macro environment, including economic uncertainty and shifting tariff regulations, contributed to dampened prospects.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.9% change in CP stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 1.5% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)73.9074.560.90%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14917.0015029.000.75%
Net Income Margin (%)28.04%28.38%1.22%
P/E Multiple16.3215.92-2.50%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)923.80910.401.45%
Cumulative Contribution0.88%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CP0.9% 
Market (SPY)4.4%37.5%
Sector (XLI)3.4%43.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.9% change in CP stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -15.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)77.5774.56-3.88%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14821.0015029.001.40%
Net Income Margin (%)26.00%28.38%9.16%
P/E Multiple18.7915.92-15.29%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)933.20910.402.44%
Cumulative Contribution-3.94%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CP-3.9% 
Market (SPY)14.0%36.8%
Sector (XLI)10.0%41.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.4% change in CP stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 15.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)72.8074.562.42%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14448.0015029.004.02%
Net Income Margin (%)24.50%28.38%15.82%
P/E Multiple19.1915.92-17.07%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)933.20910.402.44%
Cumulative Contribution2.36%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CP2.4% 
Market (SPY)15.8%57.0%
Sector (XLI)18.6%58.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.2% change in CP stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 79.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)73.7074.561.17%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8392.0015029.0079.09%
Net Income Margin (%)33.10%28.38%-14.27%
P/E Multiple24.6715.92-35.49%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)930.00910.402.11%
Cumulative Contribution1.12%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CP-4.6% 
Market (SPY)48.9%52.3%
Sector (XLI)42.7%56.2%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CP Return37%5%5%7%-8%4%53%
Peers Return23%22%-12%10%-7%12%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CP Win Rate75%42%33%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate69%52%38%50%44%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CP Max Drawdown-29%-6%-7%-6%-9%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-6%-24%-13%-11%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UNP, CNI, CSX, NSC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-21.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven185 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven121 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-70.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven232.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,256 days1,480 days

Compare to UNP, CSX, NSC, CNI, CP

In The Past

Canadian Pacific Kansas City's stock fell -21.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/24/2021. A -21.8% loss requires a 27.9% gain to breakeven.

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About Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP)

Canadian Pacific Railway Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates a transcontinental freight railway in Canada and the United States. The company transports bulk commodities, including grain, coal, potash, fertilizers, and sulphur; and merchandise freight, such as energy, chemicals and plastics, metals, minerals and consumer, automotive, and forest products. It also transports intermodal traffic comprising retail goods in overseas containers. The company offers rail and intermodal transportation services through a network of approximately 13,000 miles serving business centers in Quebec and British Columbia, Canada; and the United States Northeast and Midwest regions. Canadian Pacific Railway Limited was incorporated in 1881 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP):

  • FedEx or UPS for goods transported by train across North America.
  • Like an AT&T or major power utility, but instead of data or electricity, its continental network moves bulk goods by rail.

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  • Bulk Freight Transportation: Transporting large volumes of raw materials such as agricultural products, energy products, and industrial minerals across its rail network.
  • Intermodal Services: Providing rail transport for shipping containers, facilitating seamless transfer between ships, rail, and trucks for efficient supply chains.
  • Automotive Transportation: Moving finished vehicles and automotive components for manufacturers and distributors across North America.
  • Merchandise Freight Transportation: Carrying diverse manufactured goods, forest products, metals, minerals, and other consumer and industrial products for various industries.

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Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) primarily sells its services to other companies, not directly to individuals.

As a Class I freight railway, CPKC serves a vast and diverse customer base composed of businesses across a wide array of industries that require the transportation of bulk commodities, manufactured goods, and intermodal containers across North America.

Due to the large number of customers, competitive considerations, and the nature of the freight rail business, CPKC does not publicly disclose the names of its individual major customer companies. Instead, its customer base is best understood by the major industrial sectors and types of companies it serves:

  • Agricultural Companies: This segment includes large grain handlers, food processors, beverage manufacturers, and producers of agricultural inputs like fertilizers. These companies rely on CPKC to transport grains, oilseeds, finished food products, and other agricultural commodities in bulk.
  • Intermodal Shipping and Logistics Companies, and Major Retailers: CPKC provides intermodal services for companies that move goods in containers (often from ports or distribution centers). This segment's customers include major ocean carriers, third-party logistics providers, and large retail chains who utilize rail for long-haul freight distribution of consumer goods.
  • Energy, Chemicals, and Plastics Companies: This category encompasses crude oil producers, refineries, chemical manufacturers, and plastics producers that depend on CPKC for the transport of various energy products (like crude oil, refined petroleum products), industrial chemicals, and plastic resins.
  • Automotive Manufacturers and Suppliers: CPKC transports finished vehicles and automotive parts for major car manufacturers and their extensive network of suppliers across North America.
  • Forest Products Companies: Businesses involved in the production of lumber, pulp, paper, and other wood products constitute another key customer group, utilizing CPKC for shipping both raw materials and finished goods.
  • Mining and Metals Companies: This includes producers of minerals such as potash, coal, and various metals (e.g., steel manufacturers), which rely on CPKC for bulk commodity transport from mines to processing facilities or end markets.

While specific customer names are not publicly published by CPKC, the "major customers" are effectively the large corporations within these industrial sectors that consistently ship high volumes of goods via the CPKC rail network.

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  • Wabtec Corporation (NYSE: WAB)
  • Progress Rail (a subsidiary of Caterpillar Inc., NYSE: CAT)
  • Trimble Inc. (NASDAQ: TRMB)

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Keith Creel, President and Chief Executive Officer
Keith Creel became the first President and CEO of CPKC on April 14, 2023, following the combination of Canadian Pacific (CP) and Kansas City Southern. He previously served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Canadian Pacific (CP) starting in January 2017. Prior to his role at CP, Mr. Creel was Executive Vice-President and Chief Operating Officer at Canadian National Railway (CN), where he also held positions such as Executive Vice-President Operations, Senior Vice-President Eastern Region, Senior Vice-President Western Region, and Vice-President of the Prairie Division. He began his railroad career in 1992 at Burlington Northern Railway and also held roles at Grand Trunk Western Railroad and Illinois Central Railroad before its merger with CN.

Nadeem Velani, Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer
Nadeem Velani serves as the Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer of CPKC, a position he has held since 2017. Before this, he was the Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Canadian Pacific (CP) from 2016 to 2017. Mr. Velani also served as Vice President of Investor Relations at CP from 2013 to 2015 and held various roles at Canadian National Railway Company (CN), including positions in strategic and financial planning, investor relations, sales and marketing, and the Office of the President and Chief Executive Officer.

John Brooks, Executive Vice-President and Chief Marketing Officer
John Brooks holds the position of Executive Vice-President and Chief Marketing Officer at CPKC. He retained this role from Canadian Pacific following the merger.

Mark Redd, Executive Vice-President and Chief Operating Officer
Mark Redd is the Executive Vice-President and Chief Operating Officer of CPKC. He previously served as Executive Vice-President of Operations at Canadian Pacific and held various roles at Kansas City Southern, including Vice President of Transportation. He joined CP in 2013.

John Orr, Executive Vice-President and Chief Transformation Officer
John Orr is the Executive Vice-President and Chief Transformation Officer at CPKC. He previously served as Chief Operating Officer at Kansas City Southern (KCS).

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The public company Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) faces several key risks to its business operations and financial performance:

  1. Trade Uncertainty and Evolving Regulatory/Political Environment: Shifting U.S. tariffs and broader trade policy uncertainty, particularly concerning goods between Canada, the U.S., and Mexico, pose a significant and immediate risk. This has already led CPKC to adjust its financial forecasts. Additionally, operating across three nations exposes the company to a complex and evolving regulatory landscape, including environmental and safety standards, which can increase operational costs. The concession for its operations in Mexico is also subject to potential revocation under certain conditions.
  2. Integration and Operational Challenges from the KCS Acquisition: The successful integration of Kansas City Southern (KCS) is crucial for realizing anticipated synergies and cost savings. Challenges in maintaining consistent service delivery across the newly expanded and more complex network could lead to customer dissatisfaction and a loss of market share to competitors or alternative transportation modes. The company also needs to ensure compliance with conditions imposed by the U.S. Surface Transportation Board (STB) related to the acquisition.
  3. Intense Competition and Industry Consolidation: CPKC operates in a highly competitive transportation market, facing rivals from other railways, motor carriers, ship and barge operators, and pipelines. The potential for further consolidation within the North American rail industry, such as transcontinental mergers involving other major railroads, could intensify competition significantly, potentially creating rivals with unprecedented market power and impacting CPKC's competitive positioning.

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Autonomous trucking

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Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) primarily offers rail and intermodal transportation services for bulk commodities, merchandise freight, and intermodal traffic across its extensive network in North America, which spans Canada, the United States, and Mexico.

  • North America Rail Freight Transportation Market: The North America railroad market generated a revenue of approximately USD 94,326.3 million in 2024. This market is projected to grow to USD 128.11 billion by 2031, at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.31% from 2024 to 2031.
  • United States Rail Freight Transport Market: The market size for rail freight transport in the United States is estimated at USD 71.77 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 84.79 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 3.39% during this period. Alternatively, the U.S. rail freight sector recorded revenues of USD 80.42 billion in 2024.
  • Canada Rail Freight Transport Market: The rail transportation market in Canada was approximately USD 22.5 billion in 2024. Approximately 95% of the revenues in Canada's rail transport industry come from rail freight operations. The Canadian rail freight transport market is projected to experience robust growth, exceeding a 3.50% CAGR from 2025 to 2033.
  • Mexico Rail Freight Transport Market: While Canadian Pacific Kansas City operates a significant rail network in Mexico, serving as a crucial component of the country's logistics infrastructure, a specific addressable market size in U.S. dollars solely for the rail freight transport sector within Mexico is not readily available in the provided information. The broader Mexico freight and logistics market is estimated at USD 124.36 billion in 2025.
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Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. Realizing Synergies and Expanding Market Reach from the CPKC Merger: The integration of Canadian Pacific and Kansas City Southern to form CPKC, creating the only transnational railway connecting Canada, the U.S., and Mexico, is a significant growth driver. This merger unlocks "unique growth opportunities" by expanding the company's footprint into new markets, such as the U.S. South and Mexico. Specifically, the network is facilitating increased U.S. grain shipments to Mexico and is poised to expand its share in these regions.
  2. Volume Growth in Key Commodity Segments: CPKC anticipates continued strong volume growth across several of its core segments. This includes sustained strength in grain shipments, particularly U.S. grain to Mexico and Canadian grain exports, as well as steady volumes across various outlets. The company has also seen and expects ongoing strong performance in potash, with positive demand fundamentals, and record automotive volumes driven by its unique operating model linking production plants and auto compounds across North America. Furthermore, coal and intermodal segments have shown robust growth, with intermodal benefiting from new services like refrigerated shipments and strategic interline partnerships.
  3. Strategic Partnerships and Launch of New Services: CPKC is leveraging strategic partnerships to introduce new and expanded services that contribute to revenue growth. An example is the interline service with CSX, which is expected to launch truck-competitive intermodal and merchandise service between Dallas and Atlanta by increasing track speed on a newly connected line. This focus on innovative solutions and partnerships is aimed at expanding market offerings and customer base.
  4. Industrial Development Along the Network: The company is optimistic about future growth stemming from industrial development projects that are coming online along its extensive network. These developments are expected to generate new shipping demand and freight volumes, thereby contributing to revenue expansion.

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Share Repurchases

  • On February 27, 2025, Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) announced a new share repurchase program, approved by the Toronto Stock Exchange, to buy back up to 37,348,539 common shares (approximately 4% of its issued and outstanding shares) between March 3, 2025, and March 2, 2026.
  • This program represented roughly $2.9 billion in potential capital returns, based on the company's market capitalization at the time of the announcement.
  • As of the end of the third quarter of 2025, CPKC had repurchased 34 million shares, completing approximately 91% of the program announced in March.

Share Issuance

  • In September 2021, Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (CP) entered into a merger agreement to acquire Kansas City Southern (KCS) in a transaction valued at approximately USD$31 billion, including the assumption of $3.8 billion of KCS debt.
  • To fund the stock consideration of this merger, CP issued 262 million new common shares.
  • Specifically, on December 14, 2021, CP issued 262,597,106 new common shares as part of the KCS acquisition.

Outbound Investments

  • The most significant outbound investment was the acquisition of Kansas City Southern (KCS).
  • The merger agreement, announced in September 2021, valued KCS at approximately USD$31 billion, comprising a stock and cash transaction and the assumption of $3.8 billion in KCS debt.
  • This acquisition, which created Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC), established the first single-line rail network connecting the U.S., Mexico, and Canada.

Capital Expenditures

  • CPKC's capital expenditures averaged $1.51 billion annually from fiscal years ending December 2020 to 2024.
  • For 2025, CPKC budgeted capital expenditures of $2.9 billion, with an expected range of $2.6 billion to $2.8 billion per year for the 2024-2028 period.
  • These investments focus on leveraging synergies from the KCS merger, including previously purchasing 5,900 high-capacity hopper cars (over C$500 million) and plans to take delivery of 100 new Tier 4 diesel-electric locomotives in 2025.

Better Bets than Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.3%6.3%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
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6.3%6.3%-0.4%

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Peer Comparisons for Canadian Pacific Kansas City

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CPUNPCNICSXNSCMedian
NameCanadian.Union Pa.Canadian.CSX Norfolk . 
Mkt Price74.56235.0598.6936.78292.7198.69
Mkt Cap67.9139.261.468.665.767.9
Rev LTM15,02924,54617,19814,12312,23015,029
Op Inc LTM5,5569,9706,4824,8284,7555,556
FCF LTM2,3936,0133,4441,5522,0992,393
FCF 3Y Avg2,2225,4343,5582,5241,4932,524
CFO LTM5,4899,7276,8174,6154,2495,489
CFO 3Y Avg4,9709,0276,9195,0863,7765,086

Growth & Margins

CPUNPCNICSXNSCMedian
NameCanadian.Union Pa.Canadian.CSX Norfolk . 
Rev Chg LTM4.0%1.1%0.2%-3.8%0.5%0.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg22.2%0.2%1.8%-1.0%-0.3%0.2%
Rev Chg Q3.2%2.5%1.3%-0.9%1.7%1.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%0.6%0.3%-0.2%0.4%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM37.0%40.6%37.7%34.2%38.9%37.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg35.7%39.3%38.4%36.5%38.6%38.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%0.3%0.4%-0.7%-3.2%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM36.5%39.6%39.6%32.7%34.7%36.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg36.9%37.1%40.5%35.0%30.9%36.9%
FCF/Rev LTM15.9%24.5%20.0%11.0%17.2%17.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.6%22.3%20.8%17.3%12.2%17.3%

Valuation

CPUNPCNICSXNSCMedian
NameCanadian.Union Pa.Canadian.CSX Norfolk . 
Mkt Cap67.9139.261.468.665.767.9
P/S4.55.73.64.95.44.9
P/EBIT10.813.58.814.814.213.5
P/E15.919.713.323.622.219.7
P/CFO12.414.39.014.915.514.3
Total Yield7.4%7.4%11.1%5.3%4.5%7.4%
Dividend Yield1.1%2.3%3.6%1.1%0.0%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.1%3.9%5.3%3.9%2.6%3.9%
D/E0.40.20.30.30.30.3
Net D/E0.30.20.30.30.20.3

Returns

CPUNPCNICSXNSCMedian
NameCanadian.Union Pa.Canadian.CSX Norfolk . 
1M Rtn6.5%5.3%9.3%7.3%3.4%6.5%
3M Rtn0.9%2.6%7.8%9.2%0.3%2.6%
6M Rtn-3.9%4.9%-1.4%14.1%15.8%4.9%
12M Rtn2.4%4.7%-1.6%14.7%25.7%4.7%
3Y Rtn1.2%20.1%-12.4%23.0%26.7%20.1%
1M Excs Rtn3.1%1.9%5.9%4.0%0.0%3.1%
3M Excs Rtn-4.3%-3.0%2.6%4.3%-5.1%-3.0%
6M Excs Rtn-18.1%-9.2%-16.6%0.9%2.8%-9.2%
12M Excs Rtn-12.9%-10.5%-16.8%0.4%10.8%-10.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-78.9%-59.4%-93.6%-58.4%-54.6%-59.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Rail transportation12,5558,8147,9957,7107,792
Total12,5558,8147,9957,7107,792


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$74.56 
Market Cap ($ Bil)67.9 
First Trading Date12/30/1983 
Distance from 52W High-9.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$72.99$75.28
DMA Trendindeterminatedown
Distance from DMA2.2%-1.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility18.8%25.0%
Downside Capture79.2789.93
Upside Capture67.2779.14
Correlation (SPY)37.4%57.0%
CP Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.710.540.530.660.720.77
Up Beta0.070.160.390.710.860.88
Down Beta0.340.550.500.420.370.49
Up Capture85%44%31%36%64%42%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days7172652115366
Down Capture96%79%79%109%94%99%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days12243572131379

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of CP With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 CPSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return5.7%20.9%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility24.9%18.8%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.180.870.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 58.7%57.2%6.8%16.7%49.5%26.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of CP With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 CPSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return2.8%14.0%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility24.5%17.2%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.100.660.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 61.7%56.6%14.3%23.0%49.5%23.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of CP With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 CPSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return12.3%13.4%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility26.4%19.9%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.470.600.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 67.4%64.3%6.0%34.1%52.5%14.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,948,103
Short Interest: % Change Since 1130202513.5%
Average Daily Volume2,208,722
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.60
Basic Shares Quantity910,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-0.8%-3.9%-1.1%
7/30/2025-2.9%1.0%0.7%
4/30/20250.4%1.9%12.7%
1/29/20251.2%-1.0%-1.2%
10/23/2024-0.4%-0.8%-4.6%
7/30/20242.1%-5.5%0.5%
4/24/2024-6.6%-10.6%-8.5%
1/30/20241.3%6.1%7.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161513
# Negative8911
Median Positive1.3%2.8%7.1%
Median Negative-1.0%-3.6%-3.6%
Max Positive5.1%7.1%13.4%
Max Negative-6.6%-10.6%-8.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021