Coty (COTY)
Market Price (10/26/2025): $4.15 | Market Cap: $3.6 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Personal Care Products
Coty (COTY)
Market Price (10/26/2025): $4.15Market Cap: $3.6 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Personal Care Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -117%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 110% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.7% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.1% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -117%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 110% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.1% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
COTY Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COTY Return | -37% | 50% | -18% | 45% | -44% | -41% | -63% |
| Peers Return | 30% | 7% | -28% | 5% | -33% | -8% | -34% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COTY Win Rate | 33% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 22% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 52% | 40% | 43% | 45% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COTY Max Drawdown | -76% | -10% | -43% | 0% | -44% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -14% | -41% | -28% | -44% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BRBR, EPC, HLF, NUS, MED. See COTY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COTY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 265 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -78.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 359.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 926 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -71.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 252.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to BRBR, EPC, HLF, NUS, MED
In The Past
Coty's stock fell -45.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/15/2021. A -45.3% loss requires a 83.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Coty Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Coty Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| How Does Coty Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than COTY Stock: Pay Less Than Coty To Get More From UAL, IBKR | |||
| Better Bet Than COTY Stock: Pay Less Than Coty To Get More From CALM | |||
| Coty (COTY) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coty (COTY) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coty (COTY) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coty (COTY) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coty (COTY) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| What’s Next For Coty Stock After a 50% Drop? | August 25th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: SSII, BLND, TYRA | Losers: COTY, NVAX, HOV | August 21st, 2025 | ||
| Up 1.2x Last Week, Coty Stock Has Room For More Upside | August 31st, 2021 | ||
| Demand Recovery Could Spur 15% Rise In Coty Stock | May 26th, 2021 | ||
| Weak Demand Could See Coty Stock Drop 15% | April 1st, 2021 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to COTY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09302025 | IPAR | Interparfums | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -6.0% |
| 09302025 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| 07312025 | STZ | Constellation Brands | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -16.4% | -16.4% | -21.1% |
| 06302025 | SJM | JM Smucker | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| 05312025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.8% | -14.8% | -22.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09302025 | IPAR | Interparfums | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -6.0% |
| 09302025 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| 07312025 | STZ | Constellation Brands | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -16.4% | -16.4% | -21.1% |
| 06302025 | SJM | JM Smucker | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| 05312025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.8% | -14.8% | -22.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Coty
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| Rev LTM | 2,214 |
| Op Inc LTM | 288 |
| FCF LTM | 93 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 138 |
| CFO LTM | 125 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 173 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | -5.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 4.9 |
| P/E | 9.8 |
| P/CFO | 7.6 |
| Total Yield | 7.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -7.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -34.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -54.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -23.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -30.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -50.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -136.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/20/2025 | -21.6% | -13.6% | -15.4% |
| 5/6/2025 | -11.6% | -1.7% | -5.4% |
| 2/10/2025 | -9.3% | -16.5% | -18.5% |
| 11/6/2024 | -2.4% | -0.7% | 2.4% |
| 8/20/2024 | 6.3% | 0.2% | -1.5% |
| 5/6/2024 | -3.5% | -2.9% | -12.1% |
| 2/7/2024 | -2.5% | -4.6% | 4.5% |
| 11/7/2023 | 1.2% | 9.1% | 17.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% |
| Median Negative | -7.4% | -9.6% | -7.1% |
| Max Positive | 22.2% | 32.6% | 123.1% |
| Max Negative | -21.6% | -28.5% | -18.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8212025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8202024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8222023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8252022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2082022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11082021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Blazewicz Kristin | Chief Legal Officer | 9032025 | Buy | 4.30 | 29,400 | 126,532 | 3,568,461 | Form |
| 1 | Mercier Laurent | Chief Financial Officer | 8282025 | Buy | 3.96 | 12,500 | 49,500 | 1,592,775 | Form |
| 2 | Srinivasan Priya | Chief People & Purpose Officer | 8262025 | Buy | 3.84 | 30,000 | 115,200 | 144,035 | Form |
| 3 | Nabi Sue | Chief Executive Officer | 8262025 | Buy | 3.92 | 260,000 | 1,018,160 | 125,810,452 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |