Tearsheet

Coty (COTY)


Market Price (10/26/2025): $4.15 | Market Cap: $3.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Personal Care Products

Coty (COTY)


Market Price (10/26/2025): $4.15
Market Cap: $3.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Personal Care Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -117%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 110%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.7%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.1%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.7%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -117%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 110%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.1%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

COTY Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
COTY Return-37%50%-18%45%-44%-41%-63%
Peers Return30%7%-28%5%-33%-8%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
COTY Win Rate33%67%50%50%17%22% 
Peers Win Rate52%52%40%43%45%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
COTY Max Drawdown-76%-10%-43%0%-44%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-14%-41%-28%-44%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BRBR, EPC, HLF, NUS, MED. See COTY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCOTYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven265 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-78.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven359.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven926 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-71.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven252.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to BRBR, EPC, HLF, NUS, MED


In The Past

Coty's stock fell -45.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/15/2021. A -45.3% loss requires a 83.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Coty (COTY)

Better Bets than Coty (COTY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to COTY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.4%0.4%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-16.4%-16.4%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.0%5.0%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.8%-14.8%-22.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.4%0.4%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-16.4%-16.4%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.0%5.0%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.8%-14.8%-22.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Coty

Financials

COTYBRBREPCHLFNUSMEDMedian
NameCoty BellRing.Edgewell.HerbalifeNu Skin .Medifast  
Mkt Price4.1433.0519.698.3411.0212.5411.78
Mkt Cap3.64.20.90.90.50.10.9
Rev LTM5,8932,2242,2044,9281,6264802,214
Op Inc LTM531367208489570288
FCF LTM2781274317159-293
FCF 3Y Avg3501691161615684138
CFO LTM493132118265934125
CFO 3Y Avg57817217428710793173

Growth & Margins

COTYBRBREPCHLFNUSMEDMedian
NameCoty BellRing.Edgewell.HerbalifeNu Skin .Medifast  
Rev Chg LTM-3.7%16.3%-2.9%-2.2%-11.8%-37.6%-3.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.7%18.6%0.4%-3.4%-13.1%-33.0%-1.5%
Rev Chg Q-8.1%6.2%-3.2%-1.7%-12.1%-37.4%-5.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.8%1.5%-0.9%-0.4%-3.2%-11.6%-1.4%
Op Mgn LTM9.0%16.5%9.5%9.9%3.5%0.1%9.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.4%17.4%10.5%8.2%3.9%5.7%8.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%-3.3%-0.6%1.1%0.5%1.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM8.4%5.9%5.4%5.4%5.7%0.9%5.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.9%9.2%7.7%5.7%5.9%8.1%7.9%
FCF/Rev LTM4.7%5.7%1.9%3.5%3.6%-0.5%3.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.0%9.1%5.1%3.2%3.2%7.0%5.6%

Valuation

COTYBRBREPCHLFNUSMEDMedian
NameCoty BellRing.Edgewell.HerbalifeNu Skin .Medifast  
Mkt Cap3.64.20.90.90.50.10.9
P/S0.61.90.40.20.30.30.4
P/EBIT-30.711.45.81.74.0283.04.9
P/E-9.818.314.22.65.437.99.8
P/CFO7.331.87.83.25.833.27.6
Total Yield-10.2%5.5%9.5%37.9%20.7%2.8%7.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.4%0.0%2.2%0.1%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.0%2.6%6.2%15.4%11.8%13.7%9.0%
D/E1.20.21.52.70.60.10.9
Net D/E1.10.21.32.40.1-1.10.7

Returns

COTYBRBREPCHLFNUSMEDMedian
NameCoty BellRing.Edgewell.HerbalifeNu Skin .Medifast  
1M Rtn5.3%-9.8%1.4%-4.7%-8.2%-8.1%-6.4%
3M Rtn-19.1%-39.6%-26.6%-14.5%26.6%-15.8%-17.5%
6M Rtn-16.7%-56.0%-35.3%25.0%93.3%1.6%-7.5%
12M Rtn-45.3%-48.7%-41.7%23.9%84.0%-28.0%-34.9%
3Y Rtn-37.7%38.6%-47.5%-61.6%-67.8%-88.4%-54.6%
1M Excs Rtn2.5%-12.6%-1.4%-7.5%-11.0%-11.0%-9.2%
3M Excs Rtn-25.9%-46.8%-30.6%-20.8%18.3%-20.0%-23.3%
6M Excs Rtn-39.6%-79.0%-58.3%2.1%70.4%-21.3%-30.5%
12M Excs Rtn-60.7%-65.6%-58.1%6.4%70.0%-43.5%-50.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-121.3%-28.7%-129.2%-144.0%-149.7%-172.1%-136.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23,571,816
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020254.2%
Average Daily Volume6,544,910
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.60
Basic Shares Quantity872,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/20/2025-21.6%-13.6%-15.4%
5/6/2025-11.6%-1.7%-5.4%
2/10/2025-9.3%-16.5%-18.5%
11/6/2024-2.4%-0.7%2.4%
8/20/20246.3%0.2%-1.5%
5/6/2024-3.5%-2.9%-12.1%
2/7/2024-2.5%-4.6%4.5%
11/7/20231.2%9.1%17.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111312
# Negative131112
Median Positive10.6%8.3%8.0%
Median Negative-7.4%-9.6%-7.1%
Max Positive22.2%32.6%123.1%
Max Negative-21.6%-28.5%-18.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025821202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024820202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023822202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022825202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021208202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211108202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Blazewicz KristinChief Legal Officer9032025Buy4.3029,400126,5323,568,461Form
1Mercier LaurentChief Financial Officer8282025Buy3.9612,50049,5001,592,775Form
2Srinivasan PriyaChief People & Purpose Officer8262025Buy3.8430,000115,200144,035Form
3Nabi SueChief Executive Officer8262025Buy3.92260,0001,018,160125,810,452Form