Coty (COTY)
Market Price (6/18/2026): $1.92 | Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Personal Care Products
Coty (COTY)
Market Price (6/18/2026): $1.92Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Personal Care Products
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 19% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -118%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 189% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.3% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -36% Key risksCOTY key risks include [1] the potential loss of its key Gucci license, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -118%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 189% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.3% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -36% |
| Key risksCOTY key risks include [1] the potential loss of its key Gucci license, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Updated on 6/17/2026
Coty (COTY) stock has lost about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Weakening Financial Performance and Withdrawn Guidance Fueled Investor Concern.
Coty's fiscal Q2 2026 results, reported on February 5, 2026, indicated significant operational challenges, with Consumer Beauty operating income plummeting over 70% year-over-year and Prestige operating income dropping over 18%. Following these results, Coty withdrew its full fiscal year 2026 EBITDA and free cash flow guidance and projected a mid-single-digit like-for-like revenue decline for fiscal Q3 2026. This negative trend persisted into fiscal Q3 2026, reported on May 5, 2026, where net revenue declined 7% on a like-for-like basis, and the company reported an adjusted earnings per share of -$0.03, missing analyst expectations.
2. Significant Impairment Charge on Consumer Beauty Business Undermined Valuation.
During fiscal Q3 2026, Coty recognized a substantial non-cash impairment charge of $362.8 million. This charge reflected a reduction in the fair value of its Consumer Beauty business, driven by lower forecasted revenues for the segment and an increased weighted average cost of capital, directly impacting the company's asset values and overall profitability.
Show more
Coty (COTY) stock has lost about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Weakening Financial Performance and Withdrawn Guidance Fueled Investor Concern.
Coty's fiscal Q2 2026 results, reported on February 5, 2026, indicated significant operational challenges, with Consumer Beauty operating income plummeting over 70% year-over-year and Prestige operating income dropping over 18%. Following these results, Coty withdrew its full fiscal year 2026 EBITDA and free cash flow guidance and projected a mid-single-digit like-for-like revenue decline for fiscal Q3 2026. This negative trend persisted into fiscal Q3 2026, reported on May 5, 2026, where net revenue declined 7% on a like-for-like basis, and the company reported an adjusted earnings per share of -$0.03, missing analyst expectations.
2. Significant Impairment Charge on Consumer Beauty Business Undermined Valuation.
During fiscal Q3 2026, Coty recognized a substantial non-cash impairment charge of $362.8 million. This charge reflected a reduction in the fair value of its Consumer Beauty business, driven by lower forecasted revenues for the segment and an increased weighted average cost of capital, directly impacting the company's asset values and overall profitability.
Show more
Updated on 6/17/2026
Coty (COTY) stock has lost about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Weakening Financial Performance and Withdrawn Guidance Fueled Investor Concern.
Coty's fiscal Q2 2026 results, reported on February 5, 2026, indicated significant operational challenges, with Consumer Beauty operating income plummeting over 70% year-over-year and Prestige operating income dropping over 18%. Following these results, Coty withdrew its full fiscal year 2026 EBITDA and free cash flow guidance and projected a mid-single-digit like-for-like revenue decline for fiscal Q3 2026. This negative trend persisted into fiscal Q3 2026, reported on May 5, 2026, where net revenue declined 7% on a like-for-like basis, and the company reported an adjusted earnings per share of -$0.03, missing analyst expectations.
2. Significant Impairment Charge on Consumer Beauty Business Undermined Valuation.
During fiscal Q3 2026, Coty recognized a substantial non-cash impairment charge of $362.8 million. This charge reflected a reduction in the fair value of its Consumer Beauty business, driven by lower forecasted revenues for the segment and an increased weighted average cost of capital, directly impacting the company's asset values and overall profitability.
3. Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Headwinds Drove Sales Declines and Margin Pressure.
Geopolitical factors, particularly the conflict in the Middle East, negatively impacted Coty's sales, contributing an estimated 1.4% headwind to like-for-like net revenue in fiscal Q3 2026, with a more pronounced 2% impact on Prestige net revenue. Additionally, elevated promotional intensity in key markets and persistent tariffs on freight costs led to a 250 basis point year-over-year decrease in adjusted gross margin during fiscal Q3 2026.
4. Leadership Transition and Securities Lawsuits Created Investor Uncertainty.
The unexpected departure of CEO Sue Y. Nabi, effective January 1, 2026, and the subsequent appointment of an interim CEO, introduced uncertainty regarding Coty's strategic direction. This period was further compounded by multiple securities class action lawsuits filed against the company, alleging that Coty had concealed deteriorating trends in its Consumer Beauty market, compressed margins, and slowing Prestige fragrance growth, which collectively eroded investor confidence.
Show less
Coty (COTY) stock has lost about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Weakening Financial Performance and Withdrawn Guidance Fueled Investor Concern.
Coty's fiscal Q2 2026 results, reported on February 5, 2026, indicated significant operational challenges, with Consumer Beauty operating income plummeting over 70% year-over-year and Prestige operating income dropping over 18%. Following these results, Coty withdrew its full fiscal year 2026 EBITDA and free cash flow guidance and projected a mid-single-digit like-for-like revenue decline for fiscal Q3 2026. This negative trend persisted into fiscal Q3 2026, reported on May 5, 2026, where net revenue declined 7% on a like-for-like basis, and the company reported an adjusted earnings per share of -$0.03, missing analyst expectations.
2. Significant Impairment Charge on Consumer Beauty Business Undermined Valuation.
During fiscal Q3 2026, Coty recognized a substantial non-cash impairment charge of $362.8 million. This charge reflected a reduction in the fair value of its Consumer Beauty business, driven by lower forecasted revenues for the segment and an increased weighted average cost of capital, directly impacting the company's asset values and overall profitability.
3. Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Headwinds Drove Sales Declines and Margin Pressure.
Geopolitical factors, particularly the conflict in the Middle East, negatively impacted Coty's sales, contributing an estimated 1.4% headwind to like-for-like net revenue in fiscal Q3 2026, with a more pronounced 2% impact on Prestige net revenue. Additionally, elevated promotional intensity in key markets and persistent tariffs on freight costs led to a 250 basis point year-over-year decrease in adjusted gross margin during fiscal Q3 2026.
4. Leadership Transition and Securities Lawsuits Created Investor Uncertainty.
The unexpected departure of CEO Sue Y. Nabi, effective January 1, 2026, and the subsequent appointment of an interim CEO, introduced uncertainty regarding Coty's strategic direction. This period was further compounded by multiple securities class action lawsuits filed against the company, alleging that Coty had concealed deteriorating trends in its Consumer Beauty market, compressed margins, and slowing Prestige fragrance growth, which collectively eroded investor confidence.
Show less
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -24.3% change in COTY stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.51 | 1.90 | -24.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,807 | 5,790 | -0.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.3 | -23.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 877 | 880 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -24.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COTY | -24.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.3% | 20.9% |
| Sector (XLP) | -6.5% | 34.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -42.8% change in COTY stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -42.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.32 | 1.90 | -42.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,799 | 5,790 | -0.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 0.3 | -42.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 873 | 880 | -0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -42.8% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COTY | -42.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.0% | 11.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 6.9% | 21.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -61.5% change in COTY stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -59.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.93 | 1.90 | -61.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,004 | 5,790 | -3.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.7 | 0.3 | -59.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 872 | 880 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -61.5% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COTY | -61.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 27.2% | 21.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 3.8% | 27.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -82.5% change in COTY stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -83.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.84 | 1.90 | -82.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,371 | 5,790 | 7.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.7 | 0.3 | -83.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 852 | 880 | -3.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -82.5% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COTY | -82.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 84.3% | 35.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 25.0% | 32.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COTY Return | 50% | -18% | 45% | -44% | -56% | -33% | -71% |
| Peers Return | 66% | 0% | 36% | -17% | -8% | -5% | 65% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COTY Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 17% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 70% | 47% | 58% | 43% | 40% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COTY Max Drawdown | -28% | -44% | -30% | -48% | -60% | -46% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -41% | -38% | -47% | -48% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: EL, ELF, ULTA, IPAR, BBWI. See COTY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/17/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COTY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -10.2% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -43.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 265 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -67.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 207.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1079 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -49.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 98.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 133 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -24.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.1% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 40 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Coty's stock fell -10.2% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 11.4% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | COTY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -43.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 265 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -67.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 207.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1079 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -49.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 98.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 133 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -24.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.1% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 40 days | 62 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -22.7% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.4% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 1 days |
In The Past
Coty's stock fell -10.2% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 11.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Coty (COTY)
Coty Inc. is a global beauty company that specializes in the manufacturing, marketing, distribution, and sale of a diverse portfolio of beauty products across the world. The company leverages an extensive network to bring its products to consumers, making it a significant player in the beauty industry.
The company's product offerings are primarily segmented into two distinct categories: prestige and mass market. In the prestige segment, Coty provides high-end fragrances, skincare, and color cosmetics from luxury brands such as Alexander McQueen, Burberry, Calvin Klein, Gucci, Marc Jacobs, Kylie Jenner, and Tiffany & Co. These premium products are distributed through prestige retailers, including perfumeries, department stores, e-retailers, and duty-free shops, catering to a more affluent customer base.
Conversely, Coty also serves the mass market with a range of color cosmetics, fragrances, skincare, and body care products under popular brands like Adidas, CoverGirl, Max Factor, Rimmel, and Sally Hansen. These accessible products are widely available through hypermarkets, supermarkets, drug stores, pharmacies, and various e-commerce platforms. Coty's comprehensive distribution system reaches approximately 150 countries and territories, ensuring broad market penetration.
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The Procter & Gamble of beauty products.
LVMH for beauty, but with a side of drugstore cosmetics.
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- Fragrances: Coty manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells a wide range of prestige and mass market fragrance products globally.
- Color Cosmetics: The company offers various prestige and mass market color cosmetic products, including makeup for face, eyes, and lips.
- Skin Care: Coty provides both prestige and mass market skin care products designed for various skin concerns.
- Body Care: The company sells a selection of mass market body care products.
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Coty (COTY) primarily sells its beauty products to other businesses, which then distribute or sell them to individual consumers. Its major customers are the various types of retailers and distributors that carry its wide range of prestige and mass-market brands.
Based on the company description, Coty's major customers include a diverse range of retailers across different channels. Here are examples of types of companies that serve as major customers for Coty, with specific examples of public companies that operate in these channels:
- Hypermarkets, Supermarkets, and Mass-Market E-commerce Retailers: These large-scale retailers stock Coty's mass-market color cosmetics, fragrances, skin care, and body care products. Examples include:
- Walmart Inc. (WMT)
- Target Corporation (TGT)
- Drug Stores and Pharmacies: These retailers are key channels for Coty's mass-market brands. Examples include:
- CVS Health Corporation (CVS)
- Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. (WBA)
- Prestige Retailers (Department Stores, Perfumeries, Specialty Beauty Stores, and E-retailers): These channels are crucial for Coty's prestige fragrances, skin care, and color cosmetics products. Examples include:
- Macy's, Inc. (M)
- Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA)
- Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) (for both prestige and mass-market products)
- Third-Party Distributors: Coty also sells its products through third-party distributors, particularly for its global reach across approximately 150 countries and territories. These distributors then supply various retail outlets in different regions.
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Here is the management team of Coty Inc.:
Markus Strobel
Executive Chairman of the Board and Interim Chief Executive Officer Markus Strobel was appointed Executive Chairman of the Board and Interim Chief Executive Officer of Coty in December 2025, succeeding Sue Nabi. He brings a distinguished 33-year career from Procter & Gamble (P&G), where he most recently served as President of P&G's Global Skin & Personal Care business, overseeing a multi-billion dollar portfolio of over 12 global brands. Strobel is recognized for driving category and organizational transformation across P&G Beauty and for revitalizing the SK-II brand into a leading prestige skincare brand in Asia. He held various senior roles across Beauty & Grooming, including fine fragrance, haircare, and grooming, and spearheaded modernization in innovation, product supply, marketing, and go-to-market strategies across multiple regions.Laurent Mercier
Chief Financial Officer Laurent Mercier was promoted to Chief Financial Officer of Coty Inc. effective February 15, 2021, and joined the executive committee. He initially joined Coty in 2017 as CFO of its Luxury division, where he significantly increased operating income. Prior to Coty, Mr. Mercier spent 20 years at the global food and beverage company Danone, holding several leadership roles. His roles at Danone included CFO of Evian Volvic Germany and CFO for Asia, Middle East, and Africa, as well as leading Danone's European Dairy business. He began his professional career at Ernst and Young as an Auditor and Business Consultant.Stefano Curti
Chief Brands Officer, Consumer Beauty Stefano Curti joined Coty as Chief Brands Officer, Consumer Beauty, based in New York. He has nearly 30 years of experience in the beauty and health industry across the U.S., Europe, and Latin America. Before joining Coty, he served as Global President of Markwins Beauty Brands. Mr. Curti spent 22 years at Johnson & Johnson, progressing through various marketing roles to become Global President of the Beauty and Baby divisions. During his tenure at J&J, he managed iconic brands such as Neutrogena, Aveeno, and Clean & Clear, achieving significant sales and profit growth. He has experience leading both large global consumer products companies and smaller private equity and venture capital-backed start-ups. He also led a Silicon Valley-based incubator firm focused on innovation-driven consumer products. At J&J, he oversaw the acquisition of Elsker in China and streamlined portfolios by divesting smaller brands.Gordon von Bretten
Chief Transformation Officer Gordon von Bretten leads the execution of Coty's fixed cost reduction program. He is part of the executive committee, focusing on Coty's turnaround program.Caroline Andreotti
Chief Commercial Officer Prestige Caroline Andreotti is the Chief Commercial Officer for Prestige at Coty.AI Analysis | Feedback
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Key Risks to Coty Inc. (COTY)
- Reliance on Licensing Agreements and Potential Loss of Key Licenses: Coty's business model heavily depends on its portfolio of licensed prestige brands, which constitute a significant portion of its sales and revenues. For example, approximately 91% of the revenues from Coty's top seven prestige fragrance brands are derived from licenses. The impending expiry and potential non-renewal of lucrative agreements, such as the Gucci fragrance license which is expected to transfer to L'Oréal in 2028, poses a major structural risk. The loss of a prominent brand like Gucci would lead to a substantial impact on revenue, volume, and cultural cachet, requiring significant effort to replace.
- Underperformance in Consumer Beauty Segment and Intense Competition: The Consumer Beauty division, encompassing brands like CoverGirl, Rimmel, and Max Factor, continues to be a drag on Coty's overall performance. This segment has experienced declining net revenue, with an 8% reported decline in fiscal year 2025 and a 9% decrease in Q1 FY26, primarily due to market softness in mass color cosmetics and intense competition in the U.S. mass market. The Consumer Beauty segment also operates with significantly lower Adjusted EBITDA margins compared to the Prestige segment. This ongoing underperformance has led to asset impairment charges and may necessitate further strategic review, including potential portfolio rationalization or divestitures.
- High Debt Load and Financial Volatility: Despite efforts to deleverage, Coty maintains a substantial financial net debt, which was approximately $3.75 billion at the end of fiscal year 2025, resulting in a financial leverage ratio of 3.5x. This high debt restricts the company's capital allocation and contributes to financial volatility. Evidence of this includes a reported net loss for fiscal year 2025 and the withdrawal of its fiscal year 2026 guidance, signaling weaker profitability and increased execution risks.
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The rise of agile, digitally native, and often influencer-backed beauty brands that leverage direct-to-consumer (DTC) models and social commerce platforms represents a clear emerging threat. These new market entrants can rapidly capture market share by directly engaging with consumers and bypassing traditional retail channels, where Coty has a significant presence. This fundamental shift in consumer purchasing habits and brand discovery mechanisms could erode Coty's market position and diminish the relevance of its established distribution networks and marketing strategies.
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Coty Inc. operates within several significant addressable markets globally for its diverse range of beauty products.
Fragrances
- The global fragrance market was estimated at approximately USD 58.89 billion in 2025.
- For prestige fragrances, the global segment was valued at USD 31.41 billion in 2024.
- The mass fragrance segment constituted 45.7% of the global fragrance market in 2025, equating to an approximate market size of USD 26.91 billion.
Color Cosmetics
- The global color cosmetics market was valued at USD 81.72 billion in 2025.
- The mass products segment dominated the color cosmetics market with approximately 71% of the market share in 2025, indicating an approximate market size of USD 57.99 billion.
- The prestige segment of the global color cosmetics market would therefore be approximately 29% of the total, valuing around USD 23.70 billion in 2025.
Skin Care
- The global skin care products market was estimated at USD 155.84 billion in 2025.
- The global prestige skin care market is projected to reach USD 36.80 billion by 2028.
- Mass skin care products held a 40.0% market share in 2025, representing an approximate market size of USD 62.34 billion.
Body Care
- The global body care products market is expected to grow from USD 77.18 billion in 2025.
- The mass tier of body care products accounted for 62.82% of the market in 2025, which translates to an approximate market size of USD 48.49 billion.
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Coty Inc. (COTY) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Continued growth in the Prestige segment: Coty anticipates sustained strong performance from its Prestige beauty segment, particularly in fragrances, which has been a significant growth driver. The company aims to further leverage its iconic brands and launch innovative products within this luxury market.
- Innovation and new product launches: A core focus for Coty is the introduction of new products and continued innovation, especially within the fragrance category, to drive future sales and capture consumer interest.
- Expansion and optimization of digital and e-commerce channels: Coty is actively investing in and seeing growth from its e-commerce platforms, including partnerships with retailers like Amazon and engagement with new channels such as TikTok Shop. These digital efforts are contributing to sales and creating a halo effect for its brands across other retail channels.
- Recovery and expansion in key international markets: The company is benefiting from the recovery in crucial markets, such as China, which is showing growth across skincare, fragrances, and color cosmetics. This regional market growth, alongside broader expansion into new customer segments and geographical areas, is a significant revenue driver.
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Share Repurchases
- Coty authorized an additional $600 million for its share repurchase program in November 2023, bringing the total authorization to approximately $1 billion, including $396.8 million remaining from an existing program.
- In February 2024, Coty completed a repurchase of 27 million shares as part of a program initiated in June 2022, aiming to reduce the total outstanding shares to approximately 800 million by fiscal year 2026.
- The company has also entered into hedge transactions for planned repurchases of an additional 23 million shares in fiscal year 2025 and 25 million shares in fiscal year 2026.
Share Issuance
- Coty's Class A Common Stock outstanding was 852,805,323 shares as of August 14, 2023.
- The number of Class A shares outstanding increased to 867.8 million by September 30, 2024, and further to 872,294,977 shares as of August 12, 2025.
Outbound Investments
- In December 2025, Coty Inc. reported the sale of 7,747,552 shares of Rainbow JVCo, related to its Wella stake, for $750 million.
- As of June 30, 2025, Coty retained a 25.84% stake in The Wella Company.
Capital Expenditures
- Coty's capital expenditures averaged $185.7 million for the fiscal years ending June 2021 to 2025.
- Capital expenditures peaked at $228.9 million in June 2024 and decreased to $182.5 million in fiscal year 2025.
- The company's capital expenditures are forecasted to be $203.9 million for fiscal year 2026 and $217.8 million for fiscal year 2027. Primary focus includes investing behind brands, driving digital and e-commerce, and strengthening manufacturing, such as transferring production of mass and entry prestige fragrances to its U.S. factory.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 72.37 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.9 |
| Rev LTM | 6,517 |
| Op Inc LTM | 745 |
| FCF LTM | 610 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 341 |
| CFO LTM | 832 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 796 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -8.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.9 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/Op Inc | 11.9 |
| P/EBIT | 11.7 |
| P/E | 11.1 |
| P/CFO | 13.3 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -21.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -23.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -41.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -28.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -45.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -114.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prestige | 3,820 | 3,857 | 3,420 | 3,268 | 2,721 |
| Consumer Beauty | 2,073 | 2,261 | 2,134 | 2,036 | 1,909 |
| Corporate | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 5,893 | 6,118 | 5,554 | 5,304 | 4,630 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prestige | 581 | 581 | 484 | 367 | 158 |
| Consumer Beauty | -127 | 89 | 63 | 10 | 27 |
| Corporate | -212 | -123 | -3 | -136 | -234 |
| Total | 241 | 547 | 544 | 241 | -49 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.90 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/13/2013 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -63.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.19 | $3.01 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -13.4% | -36.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 48.4% | 51.0% |
| Downside Capture | 111.35 | 185.21 |
| Upside Capture | 29.37 | 22.92 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.3% |
COTY Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.65 | 1.39 | 0.88 | 0.51 | 1.01 | 1.03 |
| Up Beta | 3.90 | 1.10 | 0.60 | -0.58 | -0.30 | 1.15 |
| Down Beta | 3.90 | 3.36 | 1.56 | 1.31 | 1.65 | 0.84 |
| Up Capture | -3% | 83% | 26% | 1% | 38% | 26% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 22 | 26 | 56 | 108 | 346 |
| Down Capture | 479% | 227% | 138% | 132% | 161% | 109% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 17 | 33 | 63 | 135 | 387 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with COTY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COTY | -61.5% | 50.9% | -1.70 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 5.9% | 13.0% | 0.18 | 26.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.5% | 12.4% | 1.48 | 18.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.7% | 27.5% | 0.79 | -1.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 22.7% | 18.9% | 0.95 | -10.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 10.6% | 13.8% | 0.49 | 24.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -38.7% | 42.4% | -1.04 | 8.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with COTY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COTY | -25.8% | 44.8% | -0.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.1% | 13.4% | 0.24 | 34.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 47.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.9% | 18.3% | 0.75 | 5.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 6.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 41.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.3% | 54.2% | 0.42 | 22.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with COTY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COTY | -21.7% | 54.4% | -0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.3% | 14.8% | 0.36 | 33.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 41.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.4% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 4.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 16.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 40.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.4% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 15.7% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/8/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/5/2026 | 3.5% | -10.9% | -27.7% |
| 2/5/2026 | -15.6% | -20.6% | -27.0% |
| 11/5/2025 | -1.6% | -0.3% | -11.6% |
| 8/20/2025 | -21.6% | -13.6% | -15.4% |
| 5/6/2025 | -11.6% | -1.7% | -5.4% |
| 2/10/2025 | -9.3% | -16.5% | -18.5% |
| 11/6/2024 | -2.4% | -0.7% | 2.4% |
| 8/20/2024 | 6.3% | 0.2% | -1.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| # Negative | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% |
| Median Negative | -5.4% | -9.6% | -8.8% |
| Max Positive | 22.2% | 32.6% | 123.1% |
| Max Negative | -21.6% | -20.6% | -27.7% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/5/2026 | 3.5% | -10.9% | -27.7% |
| 2/5/2026 | -15.6% | -20.6% | -27.0% |
| 11/5/2025 | -1.6% | -0.3% | -11.6% |
| 8/20/2025 | -21.6% | -13.6% | -15.4% |
| 5/6/2025 | -11.6% | -1.7% | -5.4% |
| 2/10/2025 | -9.3% | -16.5% | -18.5% |
| 11/6/2024 | -2.4% | -0.7% | 2.4% |
| 8/20/2024 | 6.3% | 0.2% | -1.5% |
| 5/6/2024 | -3.5% | -2.9% | -12.1% |
| 2/7/2024 | -2.5% | -4.6% | 4.5% |
| 11/7/2023 | 1.2% | 9.1% | 17.7% |
| 8/22/2023 | -2.3% | 2.6% | 9.2% |
| 7/6/2023 | 1.9% | 1.1% | -1.2% |
| 5/9/2023 | -3.2% | -6.4% | -4.0% |
| 2/8/2023 | -1.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
| 11/8/2022 | 1.4% | 6.4% | 12.0% |
| 8/25/2022 | 10.6% | 1.6% | -0.1% |
| 5/9/2022 | -7.4% | -9.6% | 1.1% |
| 2/8/2022 | 8.0% | 7.2% | -5.9% |
| 11/8/2021 | 15.1% | 16.4% | 8.0% |
| 8/26/2021 | 14.7% | 18.2% | -2.7% |
| 5/10/2021 | -13.0% | -13.4% | -11.8% |
| 2/9/2021 | -15.1% | -9.6% | 10.2% |
| 11/6/2020 | 22.2% | 32.6% | 123.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| # Negative | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% |
| Median Negative | -5.4% | -9.6% | -8.8% |
| Max Positive | 22.2% | 32.6% | 123.1% |
| Max Negative | -21.6% | -20.6% | -27.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/25/2022 | 10-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/25/2022 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/08/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/26/2021 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/27/2020 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/11/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/06/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/28/2019 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 5/31/2026Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2026 Revenue Growth | -5.0% | 0 | Same New | Actual: -5.0% for Q3 2026 | |||
| Q4 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 85.00 Mil | 90.00 Mil | 95.00 Mil | -14.3% | Lower New | Actual: 105.00 Mil for Q3 2026 | |
| Q4 2026 Adjusted EPS | -0.02 | -0.01 | 0 | Lower New | Actual: 0 for Q3 2026 | ||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 838.00 Mil | 843.00 Mil | 848.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.35 | ||||
Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 Revenue Growth | -5.0% | Lower New | |||||
| Q3 2026 Gross Margin Change | -3.0% | -2.5% | -2.0% | Lower New | |||
| Q3 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 100.00 Mil | 105.00 Mil | 110.00 Mil | Lower New | |||
| Q3 2026 EPS | 0 | -100.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 0.2 for Q2 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 4/26/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Von, Bretten Gordon | President - Consumer Beauty | Direct | Buy | 3092026 | 2.41 | 83,000 | 200,287 | 2,380,813 | Form |
| 2 | Mercier, Laurent | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 2182026 | 2.65 | 5,000 | 13,250 | 1,325,032 | Form |
| 3 | Ballini, Beatrice | Direct | Buy | 11182025 | 9.28 | 20,000 | 185,600 | 185,600 | Form | |
| 4 | Ballini, Beatrice | THB s.r.l. | Sell | 11182025 | 7.90 | 7,000 | Form | |||
| 5 | Blazewicz, Kristin | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Buy | 9032025 | 4.30 | 29,400 | 126,532 | 3,568,461 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Von, Bretten Gordon | President - Consumer Beauty | Direct | Buy | 3092026 | 2.41 | 83,000 | 200,287 | 2,380,813 | Form |
| 2 | Mercier, Laurent | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 2182026 | 2.65 | 5,000 | 13,250 | 1,325,032 | Form |
| 3 | Ballini, Beatrice | Direct | Buy | 11182025 | 9.28 | 20,000 | 185,600 | 185,600 | Form | |
| 4 | Ballini, Beatrice | THB s.r.l. | Sell | 11182025 | 7.90 | 7,000 | Form | |||
| 5 | Blazewicz, Kristin | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Buy | 9032025 | 4.30 | 29,400 | 126,532 | 3,568,461 | Form |
| 6 | Mercier, Laurent | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 8282025 | 3.84 | 3,000 | 11,517 | 1,555,624 | Form |
| 7 | Mercier, Laurent | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 8282025 | 3.96 | 12,500 | 49,500 | 1,592,775 | Form |
| 8 | Srinivasan, Priya | Chief People & Purpose Officer | Direct | Buy | 8262025 | 3.84 | 30,000 | 115,200 | 144,035 | Form |
| 9 | Nabi, Sue | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 8262025 | 3.92 | 260,000 | 1,018,160 | 125,810,452 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Consumer Staples Resources |
| FoodNavigator |
| Consumer Goods Technology (CGT) |
| Beverage Digest |
| Personal Care Products Resources |
| Cosmetics Design |
| Global Cosmetics Industry |
| Happi - Personal Care |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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Core Cache Last Updated: 6/17/2026