Coca-Cola Consolidated (COKE)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $165.5 | Market Cap: $14.3 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Coca-Cola Consolidated (COKE)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $165.5Market Cap: $14.3 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 5.9% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 5.9% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
COKE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Coca-Cola Consolidated (COKE) stock moved by 41.6% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Coca-Cola Consolidated reported significant improvements in its third-quarter 2025 financial results, with net sales increasing by 7% to $1.9 billion and net income rising by 23.1% to $142.3 million compared to the same period in the prior year. Earnings per share also saw a substantial 24% increase. These results, announced on October 29, 2025, indicated solid top-line performance and effective margin management.
2. Strategic Stock Repurchase from The Coca-Cola Company: A major catalyst for the stock's movement was the announcement on November 7, 2025, that Coca-Cola Consolidated had repurchased all of its common stock previously held by The Coca-Cola Company. This significant transaction, valued at $2.4 billion, was perceived positively by investors as it enhanced Coca-Cola Consolidated's operational autonomy and potentially provided greater flexibility in pricing strategies.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COKE Return | -6% | 133% | -17% | 83% | 39% | 33% | 512% |
| Peers Return | 255% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 14% | 6% | 433% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COKE Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 54% | 51% | 50% | 48% | 46% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COKE Max Drawdown | -32% | -4% | -34% | -7% | -12% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -9% | -35% | -26% | -34% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CELH, FIZZ, ZVIA, BYLT, KO. See COKE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COKE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 219 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 356 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 92.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 288 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -52.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 973 days | 1480 days |
Compare to CELH, FIZZ, ZVIA, BYLT, KO
In The Past
Coca-Cola Consolidated's stock fell -35.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/6/2022. A -35.6% loss requires a 55.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to COKE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Coca-Cola Consolidated
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 42.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1,664 |
| Op Inc LTM | 290 |
| FCF LTM | 348 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 250 |
| CFO LTM | 381 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 273 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.0 |
| P/S | 3.4 |
| P/EBIT | 16.3 |
| P/E | 21.8 |
| P/CFO | 19.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 16.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 12.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -49.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nonalcoholic Beverages | 6,563 | 6,081 | 5,433 | 4,879 | 4,694 |
| All Other | 371 | 399 | 367 | 333 | 345 |
| Eliminations | -280 | -280 | -237 | -205 | -213 |
| Total | 6,654 | 6,201 | 5,563 | 5,007 | 4,827 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nonalcoholic Beverages | 841 | 639 | 457 | 325 | 174 |
| Eliminations | 0 | ||||
| All Other | -7 | 2 | -18 | -11 | 7 |
| Total | 834 | 641 | 439 | 313 | 181 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/26/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/27/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/27/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/28/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/29/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 7/1/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 4/1/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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