Cigna (CI)
Market Price (11/21/2025): $269.48 | Market Cap: $71.7 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Services
Cigna (CI)
Market Price (11/21/2025): $269.48Market Cap: $71.7 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 5.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 5.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.9 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 5.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 5.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.9 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
CI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Cigna reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with total revenues increasing 10% to $69.7 billion, surpassing analyst estimates. Shareholders' net income reached $1.9 billion, or $6.98 per share, exceeding the estimated earnings per share. Adjusted income from operations was also strong at $2.1 billion, or $7.83 per share, outperforming forecasts. This positive earnings beat typically exerts upward pressure on a company's stock.
2. Reaffirmed 2025 Adjusted EPS Outlook: The company reaffirmed its 2025 outlook for adjusted income from operations of at least $29.60 per share. This reaffirmation signaled management's confidence in Cigna's financial trajectory for the full year, providing a degree of stability and potentially counteracting some negative market sentiment.
3. Market Skepticism Regarding New Pharmacy Benefit Model and Future Guidance: Despite the strong Q3 results, Cigna's stock experienced a significant pre-market drop of 11.68% on October 30, 2025, the day of its earnings release. This decline was primarily attributed to investor concerns over the company's future guidance and the newly announced rebate-free pharmacy benefit model. The market appeared skeptical about the smooth transition to this new PBM structure and its potential to compress margins in the near-to-medium term.
4. Higher Medical Care Ratio (MCR) in Cigna Healthcare: The Cigna Healthcare segment reported an increase in its Medical Care Ratio (MCR) to 84.8% for the third quarter of 2025, compared to 82.8% in the same period of 2024. This rise was mainly driven by the Individual and Family Plans business and higher stop-loss medical costs. The higher MCR contributed to a 12% decrease in adjusted income from operations, pre-tax, relative to Q3 2024, partially offsetting overall revenue growth.
5. Mixed Analyst Rating and Price Target Adjustments: Following the earnings report and the market's reaction, several analysts adjusted their ratings and price targets for Cigna. While the consensus among analysts remained largely positive with a "Strong Buy" rating as of November 11, 2025, some firms, such as TD Cowen and Bernstein, lowered their price targets in early to mid-November. These adjustments reflected a nuanced view of Cigna's prospects, balancing strong current performance against concerns about future PBM strategy and margin pressures.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CI Return | 2% | 12% | 47% | -8% | -6% | -1% | 43% |
| Peers Return | 14% | 40% | 4% | -6% | -29% | -9% | 1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 11% | 102% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CI Win Rate | 33% | 50% | 83% | 42% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 57% | 52% | 45% | 42% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CI Max Drawdown | -36% | -7% | -5% | -26% | -10% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -5% | -15% | -22% | -32% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ELV, HUM, CNC, MOH, CVS. See CI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/20/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 262 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -41.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -35.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 644 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -84.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 539.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1518 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ELV, HUM, CNC, MOH, CVS
In The Past
Cigna's stock fell -28.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/12/2022. A -28.5% loss requires a 39.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.3% | -22.3% | -22.3% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -38.6% | -38.6% | -38.7% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.0% | -3.0% | -4.1% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 23.0% | 23.0% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.3% | -22.3% | -22.3% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -38.6% | -38.6% | -38.7% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.0% | -3.0% | -4.1% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 23.0% | 23.0% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cigna
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 178.90 |
| Mkt Cap | 48.5 |
| Rev LTM | 190,338 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,323 |
| FCF LTM | 3,562 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,656 |
| CFO LTM | 4,488 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,640 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 2.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 48.5 |
| P/S | 0.2 |
| P/EBIT | 8.5 |
| P/E | 13.5 |
| P/CFO | 11.9 |
| Total Yield | 7.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -11.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -15.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -21.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -45.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -27.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -29.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -107.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evernorth Health Services | 153,499 | 140,335 | 131,912 | 116,334 | 109,794 |
| Cigna Healthcare | 51,148 | 44,911 | 44,652 | 41,265 | |
| Other Operations | 596 | 2,263 | 3,989 | 8,446 | |
| Corporate and Eliminations | -9,978 | -6,991 | -6,475 | -5,644 | -3,588 |
| Net realized investment (losses) gains | -487 | 0 | |||
| Group Disability and Other | 5,182 | ||||
| International Markets | 5,659 | ||||
| U.S. Medical | 36,519 | ||||
| Total | 195,265 | 180,031 | 174,078 | 160,401 | 153,566 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -17.4% | -13.2% | |
| 7/31/2025 | -10.2% | -9.4% | 0.9% |
| 5/2/2025 | -0.1% | -0.6% | -6.0% |
| 1/30/2025 | -6.7% | -3.3% | 1.8% |
| 10/31/2024 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 8.0% |
| 8/1/2024 | -4.6% | -5.6% | 3.6% |
| 5/2/2024 | -3.6% | -2.8% | -3.5% |
| 2/2/2024 | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 13 |
| # Negative | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Median Negative | -4.3% | -3.8% | -5.5% |
| Max Positive | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% |
| Max Negative | -17.4% | -13.2% | -13.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Eder Noelle K | See Remarks | 3112025 | Sell | 320.00 | 9,944 | 3,182,080 | 4,289,920 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |