Chubb (CB)
Market Price (11/21/2025): $297.8 | Market Cap: $118.3 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Chubb (CB)
Market Price (11/21/2025): $297.8Market Cap: $118.3 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 11% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% | |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -14% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 13 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, AI in Financial Services, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 11% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 13 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, AI in Financial Services, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -14% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
CB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining Chubb (CB)'s stock movement by 11.8% for the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 21, 2025:
1. Record-Breaking Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Chubb reported net income of $2.80 billion, a 22.6% increase, and a record core operating income of $3.00 billion, up 30.9% year-over-year. The company's earnings per share (EPS) of $7.49 significantly beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.94.
2. Exceptional Underwriting and Investment Income: The company achieved a record property and casualty (P&C) combined ratio of 81.8%, representing an improvement of nearly six percentage points from the prior year. Additionally, P&C underwriting income surged by 55% to $2.26 billion, and adjusted net investment income reached a record $1.8 billion.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CB Return | 1% | 28% | 16% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 110% |
| Peers Return | -12% | 38% | 7% | 7% | 28% | 12% | 100% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 11% | 102% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CB Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 67% | 58% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 63% | 55% | 58% | 67% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CB Max Drawdown | -39% | -6% | -8% | -15% | -0% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -54% | -3% | -13% | -16% | -1% | -8% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRV, AIG, PRU, HIG, CINF. See CB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/20/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 205 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 322 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 227 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -51.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 756 days | 1480 days |
Compare to TRV, AIG, PRU, HIG, CINF
In The Past
Chubb's stock fell -20.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/26/2023. A -20.0% loss requires a 25.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.2% | -0.2% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.5% | -6.5% | -8.2% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.1% | -8.1% | -8.1% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.6% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.2% | -0.2% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.5% | -6.5% | -8.2% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.1% | -8.1% | -8.1% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.6% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Chubb
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 149.22 |
| Mkt Cap | 39.9 |
| Rev LTM | 38,050 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 5,570 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 5,351 |
| CFO LTM | 5,631 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,445 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 39.9 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/EBIT | 8.4 |
| P/E | 12.1 |
| P/CFO | 7.9 |
| Total Yield | 10.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 13.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 8.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 55.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -5.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/21/2025 | 2.7% | 2.3% | |
| 7/22/2025 | -3.1% | -3.7% | 0.3% |
| 4/22/2025 | -2.0% | -1.9% | 0.0% |
| 1/28/2025 | 1.3% | -0.0% | 3.5% |
| 10/29/2024 | -1.2% | -3.5% | 1.1% |
| 7/23/2024 | -1.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| 4/23/2024 | -2.7% | -0.5% | 7.0% |
| 1/31/2024 | -0.0% | 0.8% | 2.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 16 | 19 |
| # Negative | 13 | 9 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -1.9% | -3.5% |
| Max Positive | 5.3% | 9.6% | 23.6% |
| Max Negative | -6.2% | -5.4% | -8.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10272025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7282025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4282025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |