Tearsheet

Conagra Brands (CAG)


Market Price (11/30/2025): $17.89 | Market Cap: $8.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Conagra Brands (CAG)


Market Price (11/30/2025): $17.89
Market Cap: $8.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -79%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 86%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.8%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -79%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 86%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.8%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CAG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The search results provide information for Conagra Brands (CAG) primarily around its Q1 Fiscal 2026 earnings report (which ended August 24, 2025, and was reported on October 1, 2025) and analyst ratings and forecasts up to November 2025. It also mentions Q3 Fiscal 2025 earnings (ended February 23, 2025, reported April 3, 2025). The request specifies a stock movement of -0.4% between 7/31/2025 and 11/30/2025. A -0.4% movement is very small and could be due to normal market fluctuations, especially for a consumer staples stock. The search results do not pinpoint a specific event causing exactly a -0.4% drop over that entire period. However, they do highlight some broader trends and specific financial results that would influence stock performance. I need to synthesize these into 5 key points that could *contribute* to a slight negative movement or overall subdued performance during that period. Here's what I found from the search results for the specified period: * **Q1 Fiscal 2026 Earnings (reported Oct 1, 2025):** Conagra reported mixed results. While adjusted EPS beat estimates, net sales decreased by 5.8% year-over-year, and organic net sales decreased by 0.6%. This mixed performance, particularly the sales decline, could contribute to a slight negative sentiment despite the EPS beat. The stock initially rose in pre-market but overall stock performance over recent periods (last two weeks: -3.3%; last month: -2.5% as of Oct 1, 2025) shows negative momentum. * **Declining Net Sales Across Segments:** For Q1 Fiscal 2026, net sales decreased across several segments: Grocery & Snacks (-8.7%), Refrigerated & Frozen (-0.9%), International (-18.0%), and Foodservice (-0.8%). This broad decline in sales indicates underlying business challenges. * **Inflationary Pressures and Cost Management:** Conagra is navigating ongoing inflationary pressures and rising costs, including material increases from trade tariffs and a 7% rise in cost of goods sold. While the company has plans to offset these through pricing and cost-saving initiatives, these pressures can squeeze operating margins and concern investors. * **Cautious Analyst Sentiment and "Hold" Ratings:** As of November 2025, analysts generally maintain a "Hold" rating on Conagra Brands stock, with some downgrades and price target cuts (e.g., Goldman Sachs cut to $16.00 on Nov 25, 2025). The consensus suggests a "Reduce" rating. This cautious outlook from analysts can contribute to a neutral to slightly negative stock performance. * **Overall Market Underperformance:** Conagra Brands stock has significantly underperformed the broader market and the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund over the past 52 weeks (as of November 2025), with shares down around 35-41% year-to-date and over the past year. This broader underperformance indicates a lack of strong investor confidence in the stock compared to its peers and the overall market, which could contribute to minor negative movements. I need to make sure to present these points as reasons that *could* explain the -0.4% movement, even if no single point directly caused that exact percentage. The cumulative effect of these factors could lead to such a small negative movement over the period. I also need to ensure I am not including insider trading unless it exceeds $5 million (no such information was found).

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CAG Return9%-3%18%-23%1%-31%-33%
Peers Return4%13%13%-19%2%-24%-17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CAG Win Rate58%33%67%33%58%20% 
Peers Win Rate40%44%60%38%56%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CAG Max Drawdown-29%-13%-11%-31%-6%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-5%-6%-31%-15%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF. See CAG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCAGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven41 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-49.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven98.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1387 days1480 days

Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF


In The Past

Conagra Brands's stock fell -36.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2023. A -36.5% loss requires a 57.5% gain to breakeven.

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About Conagra Brands (CAG)

Better Bets than Conagra Brands (CAG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CAG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CLX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-12.5%
IPAR_10032025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10032025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-15.8%
TAP_9262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09262025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.0%4.0%-3.6%
GIS_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025GISGeneral MillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.6%-4.6%-7.1%
SMPL_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025SMPLSimply Good FoodsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-27.3%-27.3%-29.8%
CAG_9302023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302023CAGConagra BrandsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%24.2%-5.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CLX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-12.5%
IPAR_10032025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10032025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-15.8%
TAP_9262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09262025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.0%4.0%-3.6%
GIS_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025GISGeneral MillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.6%-4.6%-7.1%
SMPL_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025SMPLSimply Good FoodsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-27.3%-27.3%-29.8%
CAG_9302023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302023CAGConagra BrandsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%24.2%-5.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Conagra Brands

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CAGKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameConagra .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
Mkt Price17.8283.6047.1710.594.27-17.82
Mkt Cap8.529.025.52.20.4-8.5
Rev LTM11,45012,64319,1565,1351,078-11,450
Op Inc LTM1,3481,8553,141320-34-1,348
FCF LTM1,1416502,096325-151-650
FCF 3Y Avg1,1338952,300257-192-895
CFO LTM1,5441,3052,691451-53-1,305
CFO 3Y Avg1,5201,5123,003384-43-1,512

Growth & Margins

CAGKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameConagra .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
Rev Chg LTM-4.1%-1.4%-3.3%0.3%28.9%--1.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.9%1.5%0.1%3.0%10.0%-1.5%
Rev Chg Q-5.8%0.3%-6.8%3.0%60.7%-0.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.4%0.1%-1.7%0.7%14.2%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM11.8%14.7%16.4%6.2%-3.2%-11.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.1%12.1%16.9%5.7%-2.1%-12.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-0.4%-0.5%-0.5%0.8%--0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM13.5%10.3%14.0%8.8%-4.9%-10.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.8%12.2%15.2%7.5%-4.6%-12.2%
FCF/Rev LTM10.0%5.1%10.9%6.3%-14.0%-6.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.6%7.2%11.7%5.0%-21.1%-7.2%

Valuation

CAGKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameConagra .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
Mkt Cap8.529.025.52.20.4-8.5
P/S0.82.31.50.50.4-0.8
P/EBIT5.715.18.78.5-11.2-8.5
P/E10.321.39.614.2-5.0-10.3
P/CFO5.721.810.46.1-8.8-6.1
Total Yield17.3%7.5%15.2%14.6%-19.9%-14.6%
Dividend Yield7.6%2.8%4.7%7.5%0.0%-4.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.5%3.6%6.6%7.0%-32.4%-6.6%
D/E0.90.20.50.81.3-0.8
Net D/E0.90.20.50.81.2-0.8

Returns

CAGKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameConagra .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
1M Rtn2.3%0.6%0.3%-12.3%-3.0%-0.3%
3M Rtn-4.9%5.9%-3.2%-28.4%-21.1%--4.9%
6M Rtn-19.1%2.6%-10.9%-35.3%-37.9%--19.1%
12M Rtn-30.9%5.8%-25.6%-51.0%-46.8%--30.9%
3Y Rtn-45.2%33.5%-38.3%-59.8%-65.8%--45.2%
1M Excs Rtn1.7%1.7%-0.7%-14.6%-13.6%--0.7%
3M Excs Rtn-8.0%1.2%-6.2%-32.5%-27.3%--8.0%
6M Excs Rtn-33.5%-12.4%-25.7%-50.9%-54.8%--33.5%
12M Excs Rtn-44.7%-8.2%-38.2%-64.2%-60.0%--44.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-115.3%-35.7%-108.2%-131.3%-139.4%--115.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Grocery & Snacks4,9594,9824,6974,6254,617
Refrigerated & Frozen4,8665,1564,8594,7754,560
Foodservice1,1481,1361,008847952
International1,0781,002971939925
Total12,05112,27711,53611,18511,054


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Grocery & Snacks1,1001,0038601,093915
Refrigerated & Frozen816255561836702
International155121107132101
Foodservice15185608098
Loss on divestitures-36    
Other charges, net-54    
General corporate expenses-322-389-242-365-368
Other intangible asset impairment charges-430    
Goodwill impairment charges-526    
Pension and postretirement non-service expense (income) 24675410
Total8531,1001,4131,8311,457


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity29,051,395
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.7%
Average Daily Volume9,920,076
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.93
Basic Shares Quantity478,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/1/20255.4%3.3%-5.1%
7/10/2025-4.4%-6.6%-3.8%
4/3/20251.5%-2.6%-8.2%
12/19/2024-2.0%0.7%-7.5%
10/2/2024-8.1%-10.8%-10.1%
7/11/2024-1.5%4.5%6.4%
4/4/20245.4%5.3%7.4%
1/4/2024-1.9%-0.2%1.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111212
# Negative121111
Median Positive3.4%4.2%6.0%
Median Negative-2.9%-2.6%-4.8%
Max Positive15.9%16.0%21.9%
Max Negative-8.1%-10.8%-10.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251001202510-Q 8/24/2025
5312025710202510-K 5/25/2025
2282025403202510-Q 2/23/2025
113020241219202410-Q 11/24/2024
83120241002202410-Q 8/25/2024
5312024711202410-K 5/26/2024
2292024404202410-Q 2/25/2024
11302023104202410-Q 11/26/2023
83120231005202310-Q 8/27/2023
5312023713202310-K 5/28/2023
2282023405202310-Q 2/26/2023
11302022105202310-Q 11/27/2022
83120221006202210-Q 8/28/2022
5312022721202210-K 5/29/2022
2282022407202210-Q 2/27/2022
11302021106202210-Q 11/28/2021

Insider Activity

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Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data