Citigroup (C)
Market Price (11/12/2025): $100.93 | Market Cap: $183.7 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks
Citigroup (C)
Market Price (11/12/2025): $100.93Market Cap: $183.7 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -81%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -117% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | ||
| Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -117% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -81%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
C Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Citigroup (symbol: C) stock moved by 8.9% for the approximate time period from 7/31/2025 to today:
**1. Citigroup reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with profits increasing by 16% to $3.8 billion and total revenue reaching $22.09 billion, both exceeding analyst expectations.**
**2. The company achieved record revenue across all of its five interconnected business divisions—Markets, Banking, Services, Wealth, and U.S. Personal Banking—contributing to a 9% year-over-year increase in overall revenue.**
**3. Markets revenue saw a significant 15% increase, driven by strong performance in both Fixed Income and Equity markets, and investment banking fees also rose by 13% due to a surge in dealmaking and trading activity.**
**4. Citigroup demonstrated a strong commitment to shareholder returns by declaring a quarterly common stock dividend of $0.60 per share and returning over $6 billion to common shareholders through share repurchases and dividends in the third quarter of 2025.**
**5. Following the robust earnings report, analysts responded positively by reiterating "Buy" ratings and increasing price targets for Citigroup, indicating growing confidence in the company's future performance and strategic direction.**
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| C Return | -20% | 1% | -22% | 19% | 42% | 47% | 57% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 39% | -15% | 14% | 37% | 28% | 148% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| C Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 70% | 42% | 48% | 63% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| C Max Drawdown | -55% | -5% | -31% | -13% | -1% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -3% | -29% | -18% | -6% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JPM, BAC, MS, GS, USB. See C Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/11/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | C | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 108.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 448 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1767 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -38.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 374 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -98.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5311.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to JPM, BAC, MS, GS, USB
In The Past
Citigroup's stock fell -52.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2021. A -52.1% loss requires a 108.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to C. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.6% | -5.6% | -5.6% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -2.7% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.6% | -5.6% | -5.6% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -2.7% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Citigroup
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 133.63 |
| Mkt Cap | 256.2 |
| Rev LTM | 74,746 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 1,576 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -27,669 |
| CFO LTM | 3,110 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -24,915 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -37.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -40.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 256.2 |
| P/S | 3.9 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 14.3 |
| P/CFO | 1.9 |
| Total Yield | 7.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -11.5% |
| D/E | 1.2 |
| Net D/E | -0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 26.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 31.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 113.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 3.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 20.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 49.3% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markets | 1,007,000 | ||||
| Services | 586,000 | ||||
| United States Personal Banking (USPB) | 242,000 | ||||
| Wealth | 232,000 | ||||
| All Other | 196,000 | ||||
| Banking | 149,000 | ||||
| Corporate/Other | 96,000 | 89,000 | 96,000 | 97,000 | |
| Institutional Clients Group (ICG) | 1,730,000 | 1,613,000 | 1,730,000 | 1,447,000 | |
| Legacy Franchises | 97,000 | 125,000 | |||
| Personal Banking and Wealth Management (PBWM) | 494,000 | 464,000 | |||
| Global Consumer Banking | 434,000 | 407,000 | |||
| Total | 2,412,000 | 2,417,000 | 2,291,000 | 2,260,000 | 1,951,000 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/14/2025 | 3.9% | 3.3% | |
| 7/15/2025 | 3.7% | 5.9% | 10.1% |
| 4/15/2025 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 20.0% |
| 1/15/2025 | 6.5% | 11.1% | 12.5% |
| 10/15/2024 | -5.1% | -6.3% | 5.5% |
| 4/12/2024 | -1.7% | -3.9% | 5.6% |
| 1/10/2024 | -1.8% | -3.6% | 2.8% |
| 10/13/2023 | -0.2% | -3.5% | 2.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| # Negative | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% |
| Median Negative | -3.9% | -3.9% | -3.4% |
| Max Positive | 13.2% | 19.1% | 24.4% |
| Max Negative | -6.9% | -11.1% | -9.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
