BWX Technologies (BWXT)
Market Price (11/17/2025): $178.27 | Market Cap: $16.3 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
BWX Technologies (BWXT)
Market Price (11/17/2025): $178.27Market Cap: $16.3 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 39x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 53x | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 70% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 39x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 53x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 70% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
BWXT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why BWX Technologies (BWXT) stock moved by 17.5% from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025:
1. Exceptional Q3 2025 Financial Results.
BWX Technologies reported strong third-quarter 2025 results on November 3, 2025, significantly exceeding market expectations with revenue of $866 million, marking a 29% year-over-year increase, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.00, which beat the analyst forecast of $0.85. The company also achieved 12% organic revenue growth in the quarter.
2. Record Backlog Driven by Major Contract Awards.
The company announced a record total backlog of $7.4 billion, demonstrating a substantial 119% year-over-year increase and a 23% rise from the previous quarter. This impressive growth was primarily driven by the securing of significant multi-year national security contracts, including a $174 million naval nuclear fuel contract in September 2025, a $1.5 billion defense fuels contract, and a $1.6 billion contract for high-purity depleted uranium.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BWXT Return | -2% | -19% | 23% | 34% | 47% | 61% | 209% |
| Peers Return | 20% | 41% | -22% | 30% | 6% | 7% | 94% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BWXT Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 75% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 63% | 42% | 57% | 58% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BWXT Max Drawdown | -32% | -22% | -11% | -4% | -2% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -45% | -4% | -33% | -10% | -12% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WWD, AYI, RRX, BC, NOVT. See BWXT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BWXT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 479 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1198 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1648 days | 120 days |
Compare to WWD, AYI, RRX, BC, NOVT
In The Past
BWX Technologies's stock fell -37.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/6/2021. A -37.2% loss requires a 59.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| BWX Technologies Earnings Notes | |||
| BWXT May Still Have Room to Run | Actionable | ||
| GE, VSEC Beat BWX Technologies Stock on Price & Growth | Actionable | ||
| null | |||
| BWX Technologies vs GE Aerospace: Which Stock Could Rally? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| BWXT's 22% One Month Pop Begs The Question: Is TT Better Instead? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| BWXT's One-Month Rally Offers a Chance to Reevaluate TDG | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| null | |||
| Better Bet Than BWXT Stock: Pay Less Than BWX Technologies To Get More From UBER, TT | |||
| Better Bet Than BWXT Stock: Pay Less Than BWX Technologies To Get More From TDG, HWM | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| GE Looks Smarter Buy Than BWX Technologies Stock | November 5th, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | November 4th, 2025 | ||
| How Will BWX Technologies Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | October 31st, 2025 | ||
| Pay Less, Gain More: HEI, TDG Top BWX Technologies Stock | October 23rd, 2025 | ||
| Better Value, Bigger Growth: HEI, TDG Top BWX Technologies Stock | October 10th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BWXT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -14.1% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -10.2% | -10.2% | -17.5% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.4% | -3.4% | -4.8% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.1% | -7.1% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -4.2% |
| 08312025 | BWXT | BWX Technologies | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 10.0% | 10.0% | -1.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -14.1% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -10.2% | -10.2% | -17.5% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.4% | -3.4% | -4.8% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.1% | -7.1% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -4.2% |
| 08312025 | BWXT | BWX Technologies | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 10.0% | 10.0% | -1.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for BWX Technologies
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 157.84 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.9 |
| Rev LTM | 3,886 |
| Op Inc LTM | 378 |
| FCF LTM | 498 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 339 |
| CFO LTM | 616 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 505 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.9 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | 25.1 |
| P/E | 37.8 |
| P/CFO | 21.9 |
| Total Yield | 2.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 23.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -5.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 52.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -24.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government Operations | 2,031 | 1,808 | |||
| Commercial Operations | 466 | 427 | |||
| Eliminations | -1 | -3 | -31 | -18 | |
| Nuclear Operations Group | 1,646 | 1,429 | |||
| Nuclear Power Group | 371 | 353 | |||
| Nuclear Services Group | 136 | 131 | |||
| Total | 2,496 | 2,233 | 2,124 | 1,895 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government Operations | 375 | 337 | |||
| Commercial Operations | 38 | 27 | |||
| Unallocated Corporate | -29 | -15 | -24 | -18 | |
| Nuclear Operations Group | 326 | 298 | |||
| Nuclear Power Group | 52 | 54 | |||
| Nuclear Services Group | 26 | 14 | |||
| Other | -22 | -23 | |||
| Total | 383 | 349 | 359 | 326 |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -7.2% | -7.9% | |
| 8/4/2025 | 17.8% | 15.3% | 4.3% |
| 5/5/2025 | -3.5% | -4.4% | 15.3% |
| 2/24/2025 | 4.2% | 1.6% | 5.1% |
| 11/4/2024 | -2.3% | 5.7% | 9.2% |
| 8/5/2024 | 0.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% |
| 2/27/2024 | 12.9% | 17.4% | 14.4% |
| 11/1/2023 | 3.1% | 1.9% | 6.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 16 | 17 |
| # Negative | 11 | 7 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -4.8% | -5.7% |
| Max Positive | 17.8% | 26.3% | 28.5% |
| Max Negative | -12.4% | -20.0% | -33.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |