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BorgWarner (BWA)

Market Price (4/8/2026): $53.4 | Market Cap: $11.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

BorgWarner (BWA)

Market Price (4/8/2026): $53.4
Market Cap: $11.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.1 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Hydrogen Economy, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -35%

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 106%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3%

Key risks
BWA key risks include [1] its significant dependence on a small number of major OEM customers and [2] challenges related to the automotive industry's accelerating transition to eMobility.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.1 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Hydrogen Economy, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -35%
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 106%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3%
8 Key risks
BWA key risks include [1] its significant dependence on a small number of major OEM customers and [2] challenges related to the automotive industry's accelerating transition to eMobility.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

BorgWarner (BWA) stock has gained about 15% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Beat and Robust 2026 Guidance Fueled Investor Confidence. BorgWarner reported impressive fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.35 on February 11, 2026, significantly surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.16 by $0.19. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, rising 3.9% year-over-year to $3.57 billion against a consensus of $3.49 billion. The company further bolstered optimism by providing strong 2026 adjusted EPS guidance in the range of $5.00 to $5.20. This positive financial performance and outlook contributed to a 23.29% surge in BorgWarner's stock in pre-market trading following the announcement.

2. Strategic Entry into the AI Data Center Market Signaled New Growth Avenues. On February 11, 2026, BorgWarner announced a Master Supply Agreement with TurboCell for a highly modular turbine generator system designed for AI-driven data centers and other microgrid applications. This strategic diversification is expected to generate estimated sales of $300 million in its first year of production, commencing in early 2027. This move broadened BorgWarner's market reach beyond traditional automotive components, highlighting the company's innovation in flexible, lower-carbon energy solutions and its ability to leverage existing technological capabilities in new, high-growth sectors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.6% change in BWA stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 104.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)123120254072026Change
Stock Price ($)44.9352.3916.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14,18314,3160.9%
Net Income Margin (%)0.9%1.9%104.8%
P/E Multiple71.639.7-44.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2142101.9%
Cumulative Contribution16.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BWA16.6% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%25.2%
Sector (XLY)-9.7%20.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 20.0% change in BWA stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 29.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)93020254072026Change
Stock Price ($)43.6652.3920.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14,04114,3162.0%
Net Income Margin (%)1.5%1.9%29.4%
P/E Multiple45.039.7-11.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2162103.1%
Cumulative Contribution20.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BWA20.0% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%25.2%
Sector (XLY)-9.9%22.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 85.5% change in BWA stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 118.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254072026Change
Stock Price ($)28.2552.3985.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14,08614,3161.6%
Net Income Margin (%)2.4%1.9%-19.4%
P/E Multiple18.139.7118.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2172103.4%
Cumulative Contribution85.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BWA85.5% 
Market (SPY)16.3%45.8%
Sector (XLY)9.8%44.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.2% change in BWA stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 288.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120234072026Change
Stock Price ($)41.5152.3926.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14,17614,3161.0%
Net Income Margin (%)6.7%1.9%-70.9%
P/E Multiple10.239.7288.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)23221010.9%
Cumulative Contribution26.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BWA26.2% 
Market (SPY)63.3%42.5%
Sector (XLY)47.4%40.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BWA Return18%-9%3%-10%44%18%68%
Peers Return18%-30%7%-28%41%14%1%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-3%76%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BWA Win Rate75%33%42%42%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%35%43%33%58%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BWA Max Drawdown-2%-29%-9%-16%-22%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-4%-41%-16%-38%-24%-5% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MGA, DAN, APTV, LEA, AXL. See BWA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/7/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBWAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,200 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven122.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven314 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,359 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-72.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven264.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven601 days1,480 days

Compare to MGA, DAN, APTV, LEA, AXL

In The Past

BorgWarner's stock fell -42.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/4/2021. A -42.3% loss requires a 73.4% gain to breakeven.

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About BorgWarner (BWA)

BorgWarner Inc. provides solutions for combustion, hybrid, and electric vehicles worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Air Management, E-Propulsion & Drivetrain, Fuel Injection, and Aftermarket. The Air Management segment offers turbochargers, eBoosters, eTurbos, timing systems, emissions systems, thermal systems, gasoline ignition technology, smart remote actuators, powertrain sensors, canisters, cabin heaters, battery modules and systems, battery packs, battery heaters, and battery charging. The E-Propulsion & Drivetrain segment provides rotating electrical components, power electronics, control modules, software, friction, and mechanical products for automatic transmissions and torque-management products. The Fuel Injection segment develops and manufactures gasoline and diesel fuel injection components and systems. The Aftermarket segment sells products and services to independent aftermarket customers and original equipment service customers. This segment provides a range of solutions, including fuel injection, electronics and engine management, maintenance, and test equipment and vehicle diagnostics. The company sells its products to original equipment manufacturers of light vehicles, which comprise passenger cars, sport-utility vehicles, vans, and light trucks; commercial vehicles, including medium-duty and heavy-duty trucks, and buses; and off-highway vehicles, such as agricultural and construction machinery, and marine applications, as well as to tier one vehicle systems suppliers and the aftermarket for light, commercial, and off-highway vehicles. The company was formerly known as Borg-Warner Automotive, Inc. BorgWarner Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Auburn Hills, Michigan.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies to describe BorgWarner:

  • Like the "Intel Inside" for a car's powertrain, making the essential engine, transmission, and electric vehicle components that automakers integrate.
  • A diversified Bosch Automotive or Magna International, but specialized in the core propulsion systems that make vehicles move, whether by gas, hybrid, or electric power.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Turbochargers: Devices enhancing engine power and efficiency by forcing more air into the engine using exhaust gases.
  • E-Boosters & E-Turbos: Electrically assisted turbocharging systems for improved engine performance.
  • Fuel Injection Systems: Components and systems for precise delivery of gasoline and diesel fuel to internal combustion engines.
  • Emissions & Thermal Systems: Technologies designed to reduce vehicle emissions and manage temperature within vehicle systems, including cabin heaters.
  • Battery Systems: Modules, packs, and related components including heaters and charging technology for electric vehicles.
  • E-Propulsion Components: Rotating electrical components, power electronics, control modules, and software for electric and hybrid powertrains.
  • Drivetrain & Transmission Products: Friction, mechanical, and torque-management products for automatic transmissions and vehicle drivetrains.
  • Aftermarket Solutions: A range of products and services, including fuel injection, electronics, engine management, maintenance, test equipment, and diagnostics, supplied to the vehicle aftermarket.

AI Analysis | Feedback

BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) primarily sells its products to other companies. Its major customers are original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) across various vehicle segments globally, as well as tier one vehicle systems suppliers and companies in the aftermarket segment.

Based on the company's description and its role as a global automotive component supplier, its major customers include leading manufacturers in the following categories:

  • Light Vehicle Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): These are major global car, SUV, van, and light truck manufacturers. Examples include:
    • General Motors (GM)
    • Ford Motor Company (F)
    • Stellantis N.V. (STLA)
    • Toyota Motor Corporation (TM)
    • Volkswagen AG (VWAGY)
  • Commercial Vehicle Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): These companies produce medium-duty and heavy-duty trucks, and buses. Examples include:
    • Daimler Truck Holding AG (DTRUY)
    • Volvo Group (VOLVY)
    • PACCAR Inc (PCAR)
  • Off-Highway Vehicle Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): These include manufacturers of agricultural, construction machinery, and marine applications. Examples include:
    • Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)
    • Deere & Company (DE)
    • CNH Industrial N.V. (CNHI)
  • Tier One Vehicle Systems Suppliers: BorgWarner also sells components and systems to other major automotive suppliers that integrate these into larger systems for OEMs. (Specific company names are not explicitly listed in the background, but this category is a significant part of their customer base.)
  • Aftermarket Customers: This segment includes independent aftermarket customers and original equipment service customers, which are typically distributors, parts retailers, and service networks rather than individual consumers.

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Joseph F. Fadool, President and Chief Executive Officer

Joseph F. Fadool assumed the role of President and Chief Executive Officer of BorgWarner in February 2025. He joined BorgWarner in 2010 and has held several key positions within the company, including Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, and President and General Manager of Emissions, Thermal and Turbo Systems, Morse Systems, and TorqTransfer Systems. Prior to his tenure at BorgWarner, Mr. Fadool worked at Continental Automotive Systems as Vice President for North American Electronic Operations and held various roles at Continental and Siemens VDO Automotive in general management, operations, sales, and program management. He also spent seven years with Ford Motor Company, focusing on product development and vehicle launches.

Craig Aaron, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Craig Aaron was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective March 1, 2024. In this capacity, he is responsible for financial reporting and analysis, treasury, tax, internal audit, investor relations, mergers and acquisitions, and information technology. Mr. Aaron joined BorgWarner in 2007, where he has held numerous positions in accounting and finance, including Controller, Treasurer, and Vice President of Finance for BorgWarner Morse Systems. Before joining BorgWarner, he worked at Federal-Mogul Corporation as a Corporate Accounting Manager and at Deloitte & Touche LLP as an In-Charge Auditor.

Tonit M. Calaway, Executive Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer, General Counsel and Secretary

Tonit M. Calaway was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer, General Counsel and Secretary in October 2020. Her responsibilities include overseeing the global legal function, security, facilities, government affairs, real estate, sustainability, environment, and aviation. Before joining BorgWarner in 2016, Ms. Calaway had an 18-year career at Harley-Davidson, Inc., where her roles included Vice President of Human Resources and President of The Harley-Davidson Foundation. She also held various positions in Harley-Davidson's legal department, such as Associate General Counsel-Motor Company Operations, Assistant General Counsel, Chief Compliance Counsel, and Assistant Secretary. Earlier in her career, Ms. Calaway worked at the Milwaukee-based law firms of Davis & Kuelthau, S.C., and Godfrey & Khan, S.C. She previously served as President & Director at Meta House, Inc.

Paul Farrell, Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy Officer

Dr. Paul Farrell was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy Officer in October 2020. In this role, he leads the company's corporate strategy, advanced technology, marketing, and public relations activities. Mr. Farrell joined BorgWarner in 2020 as part of the acquisition of Delphi Technologies, where he played critical roles in the sale and integration planning processes. Prior to the acquisition, he was Senior Vice President of Strategy and Corporate Development at Delphi Technologies. During his time at Delphi, which he joined in 2013, he held various executive roles and led Delphi Technologies' spin-off and separation from Aptiv. His earlier career includes consulting work at The Boston Consulting Group and A.T. Kearney, as well as engineering and operational roles at Ford Motor Company and Visteon, and he began his career at General Electric Company.

Stefan Demmerle, Vice President of BorgWarner Inc. and President and General Manager, PowerDrive Systems

Dr. Stefan Demmerle was appointed Vice President, President and General Manager of BorgWarner PowerDrive Systems in November 2015. He is responsible for BorgWarner's global PowerDrive Systems business. Dr. Demmerle joined BorgWarner in 2012. Before joining BorgWarner, he was Vice President of the powertrain electronics business at Continental from 2010 to 2012. From 2006 to 2010, he served as President and CEO of Continental Diesel Systems (formerly Siemens Diesel Systems Technology) and also as President & Chief Executive Officer at PurePower Technologies, Inc. He also held positions of increasing responsibility within Siemens VDO Automotive.

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Key Risks to BorgWarner (BWA)

BorgWarner Inc. faces several key risks as it navigates the evolving automotive industry landscape, with the most significant challenges stemming from the industry's shift towards electrification.

  1. Transition from Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) to Electric Vehicles (EVs) and E-mobility: BorgWarner's business has historically been, and largely remains, reliant on components for internal combustion engines. The company is actively pursuing a "Charging Forward" strategy to pivot towards electric and hybrid vehicle technologies. However, this transition poses significant risks due to the declining market for ICE components, the substantial investments required in e-products, and the uncertainty surrounding the pace of electric vehicle adoption globally. The newer e-product portfolio currently operates at lower profitability levels compared to the legacy business, and there is intense competition in the electrification space, making it challenging to achieve targeted e-mobility revenue and margin goals.
  2. Automotive Industry Cyclicality and Economic Conditions: BorgWarner's financial performance is closely tied to global automotive production volumes, which are inherently cyclical and sensitive to broader economic conditions, interest rates, and consumer spending. The company is exposed to pressures from Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) to reduce product prices, volatile commodity costs, and elevated inflation levels, which can impact profit margins. Additionally, supply chain disruptions and reliance on a limited number of suppliers for critical components could disrupt operations and affect financial performance.
  3. Intense Competition and Technological Disruptions: The automotive parts industry is highly competitive, with numerous established players and emerging startups, particularly in the rapidly evolving electrification sector. BorgWarner must continually innovate and offer superior products at competitive prices to maintain its market share. The rapid pace of technological change in the automotive industry, including advancements from well-funded startups, poses a continuous threat of disruption to BorgWarner's business and product offerings.

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The rapid global transition of the automotive industry from internal combustion engine vehicles to battery electric vehicles.

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BorgWarner Inc. operates in several significant addressable markets related to combustion, hybrid, and electric vehicles.

Electric Vehicle Powertrain

The global electric vehicle powertrain market, which includes components such as rotating electrical components (electric motors), power electronics, control modules, and battery systems offered by BorgWarner, was valued at approximately USD 217.81 billion in 2025. It is projected to grow to about USD 687.64 billion by 2031, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.48% globally. BorgWarner Inc. is noted as a major company operating in this market.

Automotive Turbochargers

For its Air Management segment, particularly turbochargers, BorgWarner addresses a substantial global market. The global automotive turbocharger market size was valued at USD 16.55 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow from USD 18.02 billion in 2025 to USD 35.65 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 8.9% during this forecast period.

Automotive Fuel Injection Systems

BorgWarner's Fuel Injection segment, which develops and manufactures gasoline and diesel fuel injection components and systems, operates within a large global market. The global automotive fuel injection systems market size was valued at USD 88.43 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 155.21 billion by 2032, registering a CAGR of 6.45% from 2023 to 2032.

Automotive Aftermarket

The company's Aftermarket segment, offering a range of solutions including fuel injection, electronics, engine management, maintenance, and vehicle diagnostics, serves the global automotive aftermarket. This market was estimated at USD 489.45 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 643.78 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 3.4% globally.

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BorgWarner (BWA) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies focused primarily on its "Charging Forward" electrification plan and strategic market expansion.

  1. Accelerated Electrification (eProducts) Growth: BorgWarner's core revenue growth driver is its aggressive pivot towards electrification. The company aims for its electric vehicle (EV) and e-propulsion products to generate between $6 billion and $8+ billion in revenue by 2027, representing a significant portion of its total sales. This includes scaling up its offerings in e-axles (integrated Drive Modules or iDMs), silicon carbide (SiC) inverters, and high-voltage battery systems.
  2. Expansion into Electric Commercial and Off-Highway Vehicles: Beyond light vehicles, BorgWarner is strategically expanding its presence in electric commercial vehicles and off-highway applications. Through the integration of AKASOL, the company is targeting a substantial share of the European electric bus battery market by 2026 and is scaling battery systems for trucks and other off-highway uses.
  3. Conversion of Electrification Backlog and New Business Awards: BorgWarner has secured a multi-year electrification award backlog, with program launches phased from 2024 through 2027. These new business awards, which include serial launches of 800V SiC inverters and next-generation iDMs on global EV platforms, are expected to convert into production revenue in the coming years.
  4. Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: The company continues to leverage strategic acquisitions and partnerships to enhance its e-mobility portfolio and capabilities. Past acquisitions, such as AKASOL and e-mobility assets, alongside ongoing collaborations with OEMs and semiconductor suppliers, are crucial for expanding battery and SiC inverter capabilities and securing the supply chain for advanced control systems.
  5. New Product Offerings beyond Traditional Powertrains: While electrification dominates, BorgWarner is also introducing new product categories that contribute to revenue growth. An example is a new supply agreement for a turbine generator system, anticipated to generate $300 million in revenue in the upcoming year, diversifying its revenue streams beyond its traditional automotive component offerings.

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Share Repurchases

  • BorgWarner's Board of Directors authorized an increase to its share repurchase program to $1 billion, allowing management to repurchase outstanding shares through 2028.
  • The company returned over $500 million through share repurchases in 2025.
  • BorgWarner reported annual share buybacks of $177 million in 2023 and $402 million in 2024.

Share Issuance

  • BorgWarner's shares outstanding declined by 3.74% in 2025 to 0.216 billion from 2024, and by 4.1% in 2024 to 0.225 billion from 2023, indicating net share repurchases over issuances.

Outbound Investments

  • In December 2023, BorgWarner completed the acquisition of Eldor Corporation's Electric Hybrid Systems business segment for €75 million at closing, enhancing its ePropulsion portfolio in high-voltage power electronics.
  • In December 2022, BorgWarner acquired Drivetek, a provider of power electronic manufacturing and system engineering services.
  • BorgWarner also agreed to acquire the charging business of Hubei Surpass Sun Electric (SSE) in October 2022, expanding its charging footprint in China.

Capital Expenditures

  • BorgWarner's free cash flow increased to $1.208 billion in 2025, up approximately 66% compared with 2024, partly attributed to capital expenditure management.
  • Capital expenditures totaled $162 million in the fourth quarter of 2025.
  • The company's strategy involves organic investments and technology-focused acquisitions to support its balanced portfolio across electric, hybrid, and combustion vehicles.

Better Bets vs. BorgWarner (BWA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1BWA Stock Falls -13% In A 6-day Losing Spree On UBS Downgrade02/24/2026
2BWA Stock Surges 32% In 5-day Spree On Earnings Beat & JP Morgan $76 Target02/13/2026
3BorgWarner Stock (+22%): Data Center Entry Forces a Re-Rate02/12/2026
4BorgWarner Earnings Notes12/28/2026
5How Low Can BorgWarner Stock Really Go?10/17/2025
6After BWA's 17% Climb in a Month, CHTR Looks Like the Stronger Long-Term Play08/18/2025
7Big Move for BWA, but Do TMHC's Margins and Growth Give It the Edge?08/18/2025
8ARTICLES 
9BWA Stock Surges 32% In 5-day Spree On Earnings Beat & JP Morgan $76 Target02/13/2026
10Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High08/19/2025
11Sell EV Makers And Buy Supplier Stocks In 2022?01/03/2022
12EV Supplier Stocks To Watch Following Hertz Big EV Order10/28/2021
13BorgWarner, Amphenol: How Is Our EV Supplier Stocks Theme Faring?07/12/2021

Trade Ideas

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BWA_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022BWABorgWarnerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin		22.3%48.9%-5.5%
BWA_7312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312019BWABorgWarnerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

BWAMGADANAPTVLEAAXLMedian
NameBorgWarn.Magna In.Dana Aptiv Lear Dauch  
Mkt Price52.3954.1333.3558.22118.00-54.13
Mkt Cap11.015.23.912.56.1-11.0
Rev LTM14,31642,0108,07120,39823,259-20,398
Op Inc LTM1,3222,1102872,017777-1,322
FCF LTM1,2082,2852981,529527-1,208
FCF 3Y Avg8341,4471621,378570-834
CFO LTM1,6483,5985122,1851,089-1,648
CFO 3Y Avg1,4763,4604792,1761,153-1,476

Growth & Margins

BWAMGADANAPTVLEAAXLMedian
NameBorgWarn.Magna In.Dana Aptiv Lear Dauch  
Rev Chg LTM1.6%-1.9%-4.5%3.5%-19.5%--1.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.3%3.8%-6.2%5.5%5.3%-3.8%
Rev Chg Q3.9%2.1%5.2%5.0%4.8%-4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.9%0.5%1.2%1.2%1.2%-1.2%
Op Mgn LTM9.2%5.0%3.6%9.9%3.3%-5.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.1%4.9%1.1%9.7%3.7%-4.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.3%1.9%-0.5%-0.3%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM11.5%8.6%6.3%10.7%4.7%-8.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.4%8.1%6.0%10.9%4.6%-8.1%
FCF/Rev LTM8.4%5.4%3.7%7.5%2.3%-5.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.9%3.4%2.0%6.9%2.3%-3.4%

Valuation

BWAMGADANAPTVLEAAXLMedian
NameBorgWarn.Magna In.Dana Aptiv Lear Dauch  
Mkt Cap11.015.23.912.56.1-11.0
P/S0.80.40.50.60.3-0.5
P/EBIT17.69.618.39.88.4-9.8
P/E39.718.446.075.814.0-39.7
P/CFO6.74.27.65.75.6-5.7
Total Yield3.2%9.0%3.6%1.3%9.8%-3.6%
Dividend Yield0.6%3.6%1.4%0.0%2.7%-1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.1%10.3%7.1%8.2%9.1%-9.1%
D/E0.40.40.90.60.5-0.5
Net D/E0.20.30.80.50.3-0.3

Returns

BWAMGADANAPTVLEAAXLMedian
NameBorgWarn.Magna In.Dana Aptiv Lear Dauch  
1M Rtn1.1%-8.0%2.2%-19.9%-1.8%--1.8%
3M Rtn9.7%-3.8%29.3%-29.5%-3.8%--3.8%
6M Rtn24.5%18.3%80.5%-31.7%20.3%-20.3%
12M Rtn106.1%78.8%213.1%12.0%54.9%-78.8%
3Y Rtn34.6%19.5%153.4%-43.5%-2.9%-19.5%
1M Excs Rtn3.0%-6.2%4.0%-18.1%0.0%-0.0%
3M Excs Rtn14.6%3.2%37.8%-23.6%2.3%-3.2%
6M Excs Rtn19.4%13.9%70.2%-32.4%16.5%-16.5%
12M Excs Rtn72.7%47.8%151.0%-17.5%25.0%-47.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-34.8%-45.8%84.3%-110.4%-70.8%--45.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Drivetrain & Morse Systems3,8724,2623,963  
Turbos & Thermal Technologies3,6933,938   
PowerDrive Systems2,792 2,453  
Corporate2,5541,7331,6941,7222,133
Battery & Charging Systems1,0821,335   
Other 3,185   
Aftermarket  1,2811,179806
Air Management  5,3766,2295,714
Fuel Systems  2,2272,2821,964
E-Propulsion & Drivetrain   5,1635,412
Total13,99314,45316,99416,57516,029


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$52.39 
Market Cap ($ Bil)11.0 
First Trading Date08/13/1993 
Distance from 52W High-21.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$54.17$44.87
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-3.3%16.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility55.8%37.3%
Downside Capture0.050.29
Upside Capture79.77113.36
Correlation (SPY)23.1%41.0%
BWA Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.311.091.120.860.920.95
Up Beta4.393.742.821.280.930.97
Down Beta0.903.001.851.231.050.91
Up Capture151%49%113%98%125%80%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days9192967138399
Down Capture107%-40%-4%38%62%100%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days13233459114349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with BWA
BWA95.8%37.5%1.85-
Sector ETF (XLY)13.6%22.8%0.4841.4%
Equity (SPY)21.3%18.3%0.9443.1%
Gold (GLD)51.9%28.0%1.499.3%
Commodities (DBC)20.3%17.2%1.0210.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.9%16.1%0.2332.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-17.5%44.0%-0.3113.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with BWA
BWA6.6%33.6%0.25-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.1%23.7%0.2248.7%
Equity (SPY)11.7%17.0%0.5351.7%
Gold (GLD)22.5%17.8%1.048.0%
Commodities (DBC)12.0%18.8%0.5216.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.0941.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)3.1%56.5%0.2818.6%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with BWA
BWA6.4%34.7%0.27-
Sector ETF (XLY)11.8%22.0%0.4954.4%
Equity (SPY)13.9%17.9%0.6756.2%
Gold (GLD)13.9%15.9%0.731.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%17.6%0.4026.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2040.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.6%66.8%1.0611.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2282026-10.8%
Average Daily Volume2.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity209.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/11/202622.5%14.3%-2.5%
10/30/20253.1%4.8%0.4%
7/31/20256.6%10.2%24.3%
5/7/20254.4%14.2%11.3%
2/6/2025-3.0%-7.3%-4.0%
10/31/20240.2%3.9%2.3%
7/31/20248.8%-1.8%3.7%
5/2/20248.4%14.1%8.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151015
# Negative9149
Median Positive4.2%8.3%8.5%
Median Negative-5.3%-3.4%-5.6%
Max Positive22.5%14.3%30.4%
Max Negative-13.1%-12.8%-13.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/09/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/11/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue14.00 Bil14.15 Bil14.30 Bil-0.4% Lower NewGuidance: 14.20 Bil for 2025
2026 Operating Margin9.8%9.9%10.0%26.1%2.0%RaisedGuidance: 7.85% for 2025
2026 Adjusted Operating Margin10.7%10.8%10.9%3.8%0.4%RaisedGuidance: 10.4% for 2025
2026 EPS4.744.834.9135.0% RaisedGuidance: 3.58 for 2025
2026 Adjusted EPS55.15.29.1% RaisedGuidance: 4.67 for 2025
2026 Free Cash Flow900.00 Mil1.00 Bil1.10 Bil11.1% RaisedGuidance: 900.00 Mil for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/30/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Revenue14.10 Bil14.20 Bil14.30 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 14.20 Bil for 2025
2025 Operating Margin7.8%7.85%7.9%-6.5%-0.6%LoweredGuidance: 8.4% for 2025
2025 Adjusted Operating Margin10.3%10.4%10.5%2.0%0.2%RaisedGuidance: 10.2% for 2025
2025 EPS3.523.583.63-8.0% LoweredGuidance: 3.88 for 2025
2025 Adjusted EPS4.64.674.752.7% RaisedGuidance: 4.55 for 2025
2025 Free Cash Flow850.00 Mil900.00 Mil950.00 Mil20.0% RaisedGuidance: 750.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value		Value of
Held Shares		Form
1Demmerle, StefanVice PresidentDirectSell1113202545.5215,000682,7509,514,797Form
2Demmerle, StefanVice PresidentDirectSell1113202546.005,000230,0009,385,826Form
3McKenzie, IsabelleVice PresidentDirectSell1105202544.233,200141,5521,926,655Form
4McKenzie, IsabelleVice PresidentDirectSell912202544.183,500154,6322,065,664Form
5Weng, VolkerVice PresidentDirectSell908202543.9710,000439,7072,990,359Form

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