Tearsheet

BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ)


Market Price (12/9/2025): $91.59 | Market Cap: $12.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ)


Market Price (12/9/2025): $91.59
Market Cap: $12.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.1%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
 
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
  
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.1%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BJ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 9, 2025:

1. BJ's reported softer-than-expected comparable club sales growth for Q3 2025. While the company exceeded adjusted earnings per share (EPS) expectations with $1.16, its comparable club sales, excluding gasoline, increased by only 1.8%, falling short of analyst estimates of approximately 2.4% and lagging behind competitors.

2. The company lowered its full-year comparable sales guidance. Following the Q3 2025 results, BJ's narrowed its guidance for full-year merchandise comparable sales growth to 2-3%, a slight reduction from its previous outlook of 2-3.5%. This adjustment in top-line expectations likely contributed to investor caution.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BJ Return64%80%-1%1%34%2%302%
Peers Return22%41%-12%16%27%-1%120%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BJ Win Rate58%75%50%67%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate63%67%47%63%55%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BJ Max Drawdown-15%-0%-22%-8%-3%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-8%-21%-8%-8%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COST, WMT, TGT, KR, ACI. See BJ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/8/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBJS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-27.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven90 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-23.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven58 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-36.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven548 days120 days

Compare to WMT, COST, TGT, DG, DLTR


In The Past

BJ's Wholesale Club's stock fell -27.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -27.3% loss requires a 37.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ)

Better Bets than BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BJ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.9%-2.9%-3.7%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.4%1.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.4%4.4%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.2%1.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.9%-2.9%-3.7%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.4%1.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.4%4.4%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.2%1.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BJ's Wholesale Club

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BJCOSTWMTTGTKRACIMedian
NameBJ's Who.Costco W.Walmart Target Kroger Albertso. 
Mkt Price91.47887.52113.5693.0663.3817.1692.27
Mkt Cap12.0394.1906.042.342.09.642.1
Rev LTM21,160275,235693,153105,640147,00081,371126,320
Op Inc LTM84510,38328,9885,4243,9251,5584,674
FCF LTM2507,83713,7532,9442,2126592,578
FCF 3Y Avg2587,07014,9863,2822,2686062,775
CFO LTM91113,33538,4386,3866,0182,5886,202
CFO 3Y Avg81111,91436,7077,4706,1142,6086,792

Growth & Margins

BJCOSTWMTTGTKRACIMedian
NameBJ's Who.Costco W.Walmart Target Kroger Albertso. 
Rev Chg LTM2.8%8.2%4.2%-1.5%-2.1%2.1%2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.1%6.6%5.7%-0.7%0.7%2.6%3.4%
Rev Chg Q4.9%8.1%4.8%-0.9%0.1%2.0%3.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%2.4%1.2%-0.2%0.0%0.4%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM4.0%3.8%4.2%5.1%2.7%1.9%3.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.0%3.6%4.0%5.1%2.4%2.3%3.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.0%-0.1%-0.3%0.0%-0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.3%4.8%5.5%6.0%4.1%3.2%4.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.0%4.6%5.5%7.0%4.1%3.3%4.4%
FCF/Rev LTM1.2%2.8%2.0%2.8%1.5%0.8%1.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.3%2.7%2.3%3.1%1.5%0.8%1.9%

Valuation

BJCOSTWMTTGTKRACIMedian
NameBJ's Who.Costco W.Walmart Target Kroger Albertso. 
Mkt Cap12.0394.1906.042.342.09.642.1
P/S0.61.51.10.40.30.10.5
P/EBIT15.037.525.18.111.96.113.4
P/E20.950.736.511.417.410.019.1
P/CFO13.230.820.37.07.93.810.5
Total Yield4.8%2.2%3.6%13.3%7.6%13.3%6.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.3%0.9%4.6%1.9%3.3%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.4%2.1%2.8%5.6%6.0%5.6%4.2%
D/E0.20.00.10.40.51.50.3
Net D/E0.2-0.00.10.30.41.50.3

Returns

BJCOSTWMTTGTKRACIMedian
NameBJ's Who.Costco W.Walmart Target Kroger Albertso. 
1M Rtn0.1%-3.8%10.7%3.3%-2.4%-3.2%-1.1%
3M Rtn-7.6%-8.5%11.0%3.0%-6.3%-10.2%-6.9%
6M Rtn-16.9%-11.5%16.8%-2.2%-2.2%-17.9%-6.9%
12M Rtn-4.3%-10.1%19.8%-26.6%9.2%-7.7%-6.0%
3Y Rtn30.2%91.4%142.7%-32.2%45.8%-13.4%38.0%
1M Excs Rtn1.0%-5.8%9.8%3.8%-1.4%-3.7%-0.2%
3M Excs Rtn-11.3%-14.4%5.9%-1.5%-10.9%-12.8%-11.1%
6M Excs Rtn-30.9%-25.5%2.8%-16.1%-16.2%-31.9%-20.9%
12M Excs Rtn-18.4%-22.5%8.9%-37.8%-4.5%-21.0%-19.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-38.6%15.6%62.8%-105.4%-28.0%-78.7%-33.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Retail operations19,969   13,191
Gasoline and Other 3,9732,4461,359 
General Merchandise and Services 2,2702,2832,114 
Grocery 12,67511,57811,625 
Membership fee income 397361333 
Total19,96919,31516,66715,43013,191


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,552,232
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.8%
Average Daily Volume1,742,613
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.91
Basic Shares Quantity131,194,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/21/20251.1%-2.2% 
8/22/2025-8.5%-8.8%-9.2%
5/22/2025-1.3%-5.5%-2.3%
3/6/202512.2%8.5%18.4%
11/21/20248.3%12.9%9.4%
8/22/2024-6.8%-5.8%-7.6%
5/23/20243.4%7.0%10.0%
3/7/20249.3%2.6%5.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141314
# Negative101110
Median Positive6.7%8.5%9.7%
Median Negative-5.3%-6.9%-7.6%
Max Positive21.7%23.0%25.1%
Max Negative-13.2%-11.6%-12.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251126202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025828202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025529202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025314202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241127202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024829202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024530202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024318202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231122202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023825202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023526202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023316202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221123202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022826202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022527202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022317202210-K 1/29/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Eddy Robert W.President & CEO11052025Sell87.671,200105,20427,478,671Form