Baidu (BIDU)
Market Price (11/16/2025): $116.02 | Market Cap: $39.4 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Baidu (BIDU)
Market Price (11/16/2025): $116.02Market Cap: $39.4 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 71%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 66% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -34% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -81% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include AI Chips, AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 71%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 66% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -81% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include AI Chips, AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -34% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
BIDU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining Baidu's (BIDU) stock movement from July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025:
1. Baidu World 2025 Unveils Major AI Advancements and New Chips.
In November 2025, Baidu's annual flagship event, Baidu World 2025, showcased significant innovations, including the introduction of ERNIE 5.0, a new omni-modal foundation model capable of understanding and generating text, images, audio, and video. The company also announced its next-generation M-series AI chips (M100 for inference by early 2026 and M300 for training and inference by early 2027), along with Tianchi supernode products designed to enhance AI model performance and reduce computing costs. These developments underscore Baidu's commitment to strengthening its leadership in AI technology and its push for domestic technological self-reliance, potentially boosting investor confidence.
2. Expansion and Commercialization of Autonomous Driving Services.
Baidu's autonomous ride-hailing service, Apollo Go, continued its global expansion, reaching over 17 million cumulative rides globally by October 31, 2025, and operating in 22 cities. A notable development on November 11, 2025, was Apollo Go's partnership with AutoGo securing one of Abu Dhabi's first fully driverless commercial permits, with plans to deploy hundreds of autonomous vehicles. Earlier in August, Apollo Go achieved 14 million public rides and expanded its trials in Hong Kong. This progress in commercializing autonomous driving technology suggests a growing revenue stream and increased market potential.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BIDU Return | 71% | -31% | -23% | 4% | -29% | 38% | -8% |
| Peers Return | 60% | 8% | -41% | 76% | 31% | 30% | 205% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BIDU Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 25% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 62% | 35% | 65% | 57% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BIDU Max Drawdown | -34% | -37% | -49% | -8% | -33% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -25% | -51% | -6% | -11% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, GOOGL, META, BABA, Z. See BIDU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BIDU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -77.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 343.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 240 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -66.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 201.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 544 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -74.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 298.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 303 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MSFT, GOOGL, META, BABA, Z
In The Past
Baidu's stock fell -77.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -77.5% loss requires a 343.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| With Baidu Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return | ||
| BIDU Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Should You Buy Baidu Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Baidu (BIDU) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Baidu Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -29.2% in 2024 and -17.2% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Baidu (BIDU) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Baidu (BIDU) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Baidu (BIDU) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Baidu (BIDU) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for Baidu Stock with 15% Return (vs. 8.4% YTD) [11/28/2023] | Notification | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| BIDU Down 7.5% In A Day. History Shows It Can Get Worse. | July 17th, 2025 | ||
| Will Baidu’s Uber Deal Jumpstart Its Stock? | July 16th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Happening With Baidu Stock? | February 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Will Baidu’s AI Innovations Boost The Stock Post Q2 Results? | August 6th, 2024 | ||
| Down 6% This Year, Will Baidu’s AI Business Lead The Stock Higher Following Q1 Results? | May 14th, 2024 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BIDU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -18.7% | -18.7% | -18.7% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -39.6% | -39.6% | -39.6% |
| 09122025 | DV | DoubleVerify | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -20.0% | -20.0% | -27.9% |
| 07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -16.3% | -16.3% | -17.9% |
| 05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.4% | -14.4% | -17.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -18.7% | -18.7% | -18.7% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -39.6% | -39.6% | -39.6% |
| 09122025 | DV | DoubleVerify | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -20.0% | -20.0% | -27.9% |
| 07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -16.3% | -16.3% | -17.9% |
| 05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.4% | -14.4% | -17.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Baidu
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 215.11 |
| Mkt Cap | 945.5 |
| Rev LTM | 241,634 |
| Op Inc LTM | 102,986 |
| FCF LTM | 59,196 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 57,021 |
| CFO LTM | 127,306 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 103,251 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 16.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 945.5 |
| P/S | 7.4 |
| P/EBIT | 10.0 |
| P/E | 14.3 |
| P/CFO | 18.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 12.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 30.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 111.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 16.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 61.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baidu Core | 103,465 | 95,431 | 95,163 | 78,684 | 79,711 |
| iQIYI | 31,873 | 28,998 | 30,554 | 29,707 | 28,994 |
| Eliminations and adjustments | -740 | -754 | -1,224 | -1,317 | -1,292 |
| Total | 134,598 | 123,675 | 124,493 | 107,074 | 107,413 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baidu Core | 18,825 | 14,534 | 15,142 | 20,538 | 15,261 |
| iQIYI | 2,989 | 1,312 | -4,479 | -6,041 | -9,258 |
| Eliminations and adjustments | 42 | 65 | -145 | -157 | 304 |
| Total | 21,856 | 15,911 | 10,518 | 14,340 | 6,307 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baidu Core | 19,401 | 7,551 | 13,557 | 26,524 | 7,580 |
| iQIYI | 1,925 | -136 | -6,170 | -7,038 | -10,323 |
| Eliminations and adjustments | -1,011 | 144 | 2,839 | 2,986 | 4,800 |
| Total | 20,315 | 7,559 | 10,226 | 22,472 | 2,057 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8202025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5212025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3282025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11212024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8222024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5162024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11212023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8222023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5162023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3222023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11232022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8312022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5272022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3282022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11182021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
