Tearsheet

B&G Foods (BGS)


Market Price (11/28/2025): $4.52 | Market Cap: $361.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

B&G Foods (BGS)


Market Price (11/28/2025): $4.52
Market Cap: $361.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 568%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 17%, FCF Yield is 15%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Vegan Products.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 17%, FCF Yield is 15%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Vegan Products.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 568%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BGS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the stock movement for B&G Foods (BGS) from July 31, 2025, to November 28, 2025: 1. Better-Than-Expected Third Quarter 2025 Earnings. B&G Foods announced its Q3 2025 earnings on November 5, 2025, reporting an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.15, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.11. Quarterly revenue of $439.30 million also exceeded the consensus estimate of $435.47 million. This positive earnings surprise led to a significant uptick in the stock, including a nearly 25% increase on November 6, 2025.

2. Strategic Portfolio Reshaping Through Divestitures. During the period, B&G Foods continued its efforts to streamline its portfolio. The company completed the divestiture of the Le Sueur brand on August 1, 2025. Additionally, B&G Foods announced an agreement to sell the Green Giant brand in Canada, with the sale anticipated to close in either Q4 2025 or Q1 2026. These strategic moves aim to optimize the company's brand presence and improve its financial structure.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BGS Return68%18%-61%0%-28%-27%-60%
Peers Return23%12%-7%-20%-11%-8%-16%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BGS Win Rate67%67%25%50%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate27%45%33%33%35%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BGS Max Drawdown-35%-4%-62%-28%-37%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-0%-18%-31%-17%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DAR, TR, BRCC, BRBF, MEHA. See BGS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBGSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-81.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven431.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven19 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-67.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven209.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven449.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven846 days1480 days

Compare to DAR, TR, BRCC, BRBF, MEHA


In The Past

B&G Foods's stock fell -81.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -81.2% loss requires a 431.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About B&G Foods (BGS)

Better Bets than B&G Foods (BGS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BGS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CLX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-12.5%
IPAR_10032025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10032025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-15.8%
TAP_9262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09262025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.0%4.0%-3.6%
GIS_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025GISGeneral MillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.6%-4.6%-7.1%
SMPL_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025SMPLSimply Good FoodsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-27.3%-27.3%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CLX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-12.5%
IPAR_10032025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10032025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-15.8%
TAP_9262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09262025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.0%4.0%-3.6%
GIS_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025GISGeneral MillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.6%-4.6%-7.1%
SMPL_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025SMPLSimply Good FoodsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-27.3%-27.3%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for B&G Foods

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BGSDARTRBRCCBRBFMEHAMedian
NameB&G FoodsDarling .Tootsie .BRC BRB FoodsFunction. 
Mkt Price4.5136.6038.711.28-0.424.51
Mkt Cap0.45.82.80.1--1.6
Rev LTM1,8415,844730391-7730
Op Inc LTM183374106-20--0106
FCF LTM55476100-4-055
FCF 3Y Avg11942887-34--103
CFO LTM867741261-086
CFO 3Y Avg146844111-17--129

Growth & Margins

BGSDARTRBRCCBRBFMEHAMedian
NameB&G FoodsDarling .Tootsie .BRC BRB FoodsFunction. 
Rev Chg LTM-6.0%-1.1%0.3%-3.4%---2.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.4%-0.6%3.4%12.8%--1.4%
Rev Chg Q-4.7%10.0%3.0%2.6%-8.2%3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.2%2.5%0.9%0.6%-2.0%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM9.9%6.4%14.6%-5.0%--3.5%6.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.8%6.9%13.4%-7.4%--8.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.7%-0.5%-0.1%-8.7%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM4.7%13.2%17.3%0.3%-0.0%4.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.3%13.6%15.0%-4.9%--10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM3.0%8.1%13.7%-0.9%-0.0%3.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.9%7.0%11.8%-9.2%--6.5%

Valuation

BGSDARTRBRCCBRBFMEHAMedian
NameB&G FoodsDarling .Tootsie .BRC BRB FoodsFunction. 
Mkt Cap0.45.82.80.1--1.6
P/S0.20.84.20.4--0.6
P/EBIT-1.915.622.9-8.5--6.8
P/E-1.445.432.6-15.1--15.6
P/CFO4.16.324.2157.7--15.3
Total Yield-53.6%2.2%3.9%-6.6%---2.2%
Dividend Yield17.1%0.0%0.8%0.0%--0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg19.1%7.2%3.5%-15.5%--5.3%
D/E5.80.90.00.4--0.6
Net D/E5.70.9-0.00.3--0.6

Returns

BGSDARTRBRCCBRBFMEHAMedian
NameB&G FoodsDarling .Tootsie .BRC BRB FoodsFunction. 
1M Rtn5.4%8.3%7.4%-3.8%--6.4%
3M Rtn5.8%6.6%-4.0%-17.4%--0.9%
6M Rtn22.4%17.6%8.0%-30.4%--12.8%
12M Rtn-22.0%-9.7%22.1%-58.6%---15.9%
3Y Rtn-53.5%-47.9%-0.4%-78.5%---50.7%
1M Excs Rtn6.5%9.4%8.5%-2.6%--7.5%
3M Excs Rtn1.0%1.8%-8.8%-22.2%---3.9%
6M Excs Rtn7.2%2.3%-7.3%-45.7%---2.5%
12M Excs Rtn-34.5%-22.9%7.0%-71.7%---28.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-127.1%-120.9%-73.6%-151.6%---124.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Specialty722    
Meals478    
Frozen & Vegetables474    
Spices & Flavor Solutions389    
Single Segment 2,1632,0561,9681,660
Total2,0622,1632,0561,9681,660


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,946,791
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-13.2%
Average Daily Volume3,311,685
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.91
Basic Shares Quantity79,994,000
Short % of Basic Shares16.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/202524.6%17.3% 
8/4/2025-2.7%-1.0%8.3%
5/7/2025-25.2%-31.9%-33.4%
2/25/20252.9%-2.2%-3.4%
11/5/2024-19.8%-26.3%-24.9%
8/6/2024-2.7%-4.0%0.8%
5/8/2024-28.3%-21.6%-19.0%
2/27/202421.3%18.6%23.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141111
# Negative81111
Median Positive4.1%7.1%14.4%
Median Negative-7.4%-4.6%-11.0%
Max Positive28.5%29.3%29.1%
Max Negative-28.3%-31.9%-33.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023504202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022804202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022505202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021301202210-K 1/1/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Hart Eric HEVP OF HUMAN RESOURCES & CHRO5302025Sell4.181,5006,270469,889Form
1Schoch Martin C.EVP of Supply Chain5192025Sell4.453,93117,504152,937Form
2Hart Eric HEVP OF HUMAN RESOURCES & CHRO11182024Buy6.255,00031,238555,414Form
3Vogel Andrew DEVP, PRESIDENT OF MEALS11132024Buy6.367,50047,700235,727Form
4SHERRILL STEPHEN11082024Buy6.6370,000464,2962,341,936Form

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data