Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.4 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Automation & Robotics, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.9%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Automation & Robotics, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.4 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.9%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of Boeing's (BA) stock during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 7, 2025:

1. Significant Q3 2025 Earnings Miss and Large 777X Program Charge: Boeing reported an adjusted loss per share of $7.47 for the third quarter of 2025, which fell short of analyst expectations. This was primarily driven by a substantial $4.9 billion pre-tax charge related to updated certification timing for the 777X program, pushing first deliveries to 2027. Boeing's stock experienced a 2.4% drop following this announcement.

2. Persistent 737 MAX Production Shortfalls and Supply Chain Challenges: Throughout the period, Boeing continued to face operational difficulties, with its 737 MAX production in November falling short of the targeted 42 aircraft per month, reaching only 32. These ongoing production inconsistencies and broader supply chain issues, which also affected competitors like Airbus, contributed to investor apprehension regarding delivery timelines and future revenue.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BA Return-34%-6%-5%37%-32%17%-36%
Peers Return-10%22%23%14%24%35%157%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BA Win Rate42%42%58%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate48%53%60%53%62%70% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BA Max Drawdown-71%-12%-42%-7%-47%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-6%-9%-17%-5%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RTX, LMT, NOC, GD, GE. See BA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/8/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-72.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven265.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-72.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven265.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1598 days1480 days

Compare to RTX, LMT, GD, NOC, LHX


In The Past

Boeing's stock fell -57.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -57.0% loss requires a 132.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Boeing (BA)

Better Bets than Boeing (BA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.2%0.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
3.4%3.4%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.6%1.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.2%0.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
3.4%3.4%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.6%1.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Boeing

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BARTXLMTNOCGDGEMedian
NameBoeing RTX Lockheed.Northrop.General .GE Aeros. 
Mkt Price206.27171.52465.38553.56336.01287.19311.60
Mkt Cap156.8230.4107.979.290.5303.8132.4
Rev LTM80,75785,98873,34940,92851,50943,94862,429
Op Inc LTM-8,4248,8155,9974,0985,3279,0165,662
FCF LTM-6,3504,7264,5931,8344,8126,4444,660
FCF 3Y Avg-3,0295,5475,6342,1373,3955,8234,471
CFO LTM-3,7167,9636,3613,4385,7197,5536,040
CFO 3Y Avg-9768,6917,3863,7914,3506,8855,618

Growth & Margins

BARTXLMTNOCGDGEMedian
NameBoeing RTX Lockheed.Northrop.General .GE Aeros. 
Rev Chg LTM10.2%8.8%2.9%-0.1%11.9%17.7%9.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.1%9.4%4.3%5.2%9.9%15.7%9.6%
Rev Chg Q30.4%11.9%8.8%4.3%10.6%23.8%11.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.2%2.9%2.1%1.1%2.5%5.6%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM-10.4%10.3%8.2%10.0%10.3%20.5%10.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.2%7.7%11.0%9.0%10.2%22.6%9.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.0%0.3%0.0%0.2%0.0%1.4%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-4.6%9.3%8.7%8.4%11.1%17.2%9.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1.3%11.3%10.5%9.4%9.3%22.3%9.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-7.9%5.5%6.3%4.5%9.3%14.7%5.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.9%7.2%8.0%5.3%7.3%18.8%7.2%

Valuation

BARTXLMTNOCGDGEMedian
NameBoeing RTX Lockheed.Northrop.General .GE Aeros. 
Mkt Cap156.8230.4107.979.290.5303.8132.4
P/S2.02.61.62.11.87.22.1
P/EBIT-23.721.619.315.816.831.018.0
P/E-16.734.127.621.721.839.524.7
P/CFO-44.128.218.225.416.142.121.8
Total Yield-6.0%4.5%5.6%5.3%6.3%2.5%4.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%2.0%0.7%1.7%0.0%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.6%3.7%4.8%2.8%4.4%3.5%3.6%
D/E0.30.20.20.20.10.10.2
Net D/E0.20.20.20.20.10.00.2

Returns

BARTXLMTNOCGDGEMedian
NameBoeing RTX Lockheed.Northrop.General .GE Aeros. 
1M Rtn6.0%-2.7%2.3%-2.3%-3.0%-6.5%-2.5%
3M Rtn-10.7%11.7%2.1%-4.5%4.6%4.2%3.1%
6M Rtn-5.2%22.7%-1.8%13.6%22.3%14.5%14.0%
12M Rtn34.0%48.1%-6.6%18.9%26.2%64.6%30.1%
3Y Rtn14.9%86.7%4.4%10.0%45.0%469.4%29.9%
1M Excs Rtn3.1%-3.5%-1.9%-4.7%-3.1%-7.8%-3.3%
3M Excs Rtn-15.3%8.3%-2.5%-7.9%-0.1%-1.0%-1.8%
6M Excs Rtn-19.2%8.7%-15.8%-0.4%8.3%0.5%0.1%
12M Excs Rtn17.8%34.1%-19.9%3.2%11.0%45.7%14.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-50.6%16.5%-63.5%-58.2%-26.0%376.0%-38.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial Airplanes (BCA)77,04776,82575,86377,97373,995
Unallocated items, eliminations and other28,85129,70029,58340,53022,999
Global Services (BGS)16,19316,14916,39717,39918,605
Defense, Space & Security (BDS)14,92114,42614,97414,25615,757
Boeing Capital (BCC)  1,7351,9782,269
Total137,012137,100138,552152,136133,625


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,910,585
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.7%
Average Daily Volume7,666,725
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.94
Basic Shares Quantity760,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-4.4%-11.3%-16.3%
7/29/2025-4.4%-6.0%-0.7%
4/23/20256.1%12.0%25.0%
1/28/20251.5%0.4%-1.2%
10/11/2024-1.3%2.6%-1.4%
7/31/20242.0%-11.7%-8.6%
4/24/2024-2.9%-0.8%10.1%
1/31/20245.3%4.1%1.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111312
# Negative131112
Median Positive2.0%2.4%8.6%
Median Negative-4.0%-3.6%-1.6%
Max Positive8.7%12.0%40.2%
Max Negative-8.8%-11.7%-26.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024203202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023131202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022127202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021131202210-K 12/31/2021