Amphenol (APH)


Market Price (7/28/2026): $149.03 | Market Cap: $183.1 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Components

Amphenol (APH)


Market Price (7/28/2026): $149.03
Market Cap: $183.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Electronic Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 5.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.6 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.0 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Show more.

Key risks
APH key risks include [1] integration challenges and increased debt from its aggressive growth-by-acquisition strategy, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 5.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.6 Bil
3 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.0 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Show more.
6 Key risks
APH key risks include [1] integration challenges and increased debt from its aggressive growth-by-acquisition strategy, Show more.

APH in ETFs

Weight = APH's share of each fund

SPY0.29%
VOO0.34%
IVV0.30%
VTI0.30%
ITOT0.27%
IWB0.28%
RSP0.21%
VUG0.61%
+30 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/27/2026

Amphenol (APH) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Amphenol reported robust fiscal Q1 2026 financial results that exceeded analyst expectations, coupled with an optimistic outlook for fiscal Q2 2026. For fiscal Q1 2026, the company announced sales of $7.6 billion, representing a 58% increase in U.S. dollars and 33% organic growth compared to fiscal Q1 2025. Adjusted Diluted EPS reached $1.06, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.95 by $0.11 and marking a 68% increase year-over-year. Furthermore, Amphenol provided strong guidance for fiscal Q2 2026, projecting sales in the range of $8.1 billion to $8.2 billion, an increase of 43% to 45% over the prior year, and adjusted diluted EPS of $1.14 to $1.16, up 41% to 43% year-over-year.

2. The company experienced exceptional organic growth, particularly within the IT datacom market, fueled by strong demand for artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. Amphenol's fiscal Q1 2026 results highlighted significant organic sales growth of 33% across most end markets. Specifically, the IT datacom segment demonstrated "exceptional organic growth," with sales increasing 81% organically in fiscal Q1 2026, largely driven by the burgeoning demand for AI. The company also recorded strong orders, resulting in a healthy book-to-bill ratio of 1.24:1.

Show more
Updated on 7/27/2026

Amphenol (APH) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Amphenol reported robust fiscal Q1 2026 financial results that exceeded analyst expectations, coupled with an optimistic outlook for fiscal Q2 2026. For fiscal Q1 2026, the company announced sales of $7.6 billion, representing a 58% increase in U.S. dollars and 33% organic growth compared to fiscal Q1 2025. Adjusted Diluted EPS reached $1.06, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.95 by $0.11 and marking a 68% increase year-over-year. Furthermore, Amphenol provided strong guidance for fiscal Q2 2026, projecting sales in the range of $8.1 billion to $8.2 billion, an increase of 43% to 45% over the prior year, and adjusted diluted EPS of $1.14 to $1.16, up 41% to 43% year-over-year.

2. The company experienced exceptional organic growth, particularly within the IT datacom market, fueled by strong demand for artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. Amphenol's fiscal Q1 2026 results highlighted significant organic sales growth of 33% across most end markets. Specifically, the IT datacom segment demonstrated "exceptional organic growth," with sales increasing 81% organically in fiscal Q1 2026, largely driven by the burgeoning demand for AI. The company also recorded strong orders, resulting in a healthy book-to-bill ratio of 1.24:1.

3. Strategic acquisitions, notably the CommScope Connectivity and Cable Solutions (CCS) business, significantly contributed to Amphenol's growth. The completion of the CommScope CCS acquisition in fiscal Q1 2026 played a role in the company's strong sales performance for the quarter. This acquisition was projected to add approximately $4.1 billion to Amphenol's full-year 2026 sales and an estimated $0.15 to its Adjusted Diluted EPS, reinforcing the company's market position and expanding its technology capabilities.

4. Analyst sentiment remained overwhelmingly positive, leading to multiple rating upgrades and increased price targets. Following Amphenol's strong fiscal Q1 2026 performance and optimistic guidance, several research firms reiterated or upgraded their ratings and raised their price targets. For instance, Jefferies Financial Group increased its target from $165.00 to $190.00, The Goldman Sachs Group moved its target from $184.00 to $201.00, and Citigroup raised its target to $195.00. The consensus among analysts is a "Buy" rating, with an average target price of $186.00, reflecting strong confidence in Amphenol's future prospects.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 18.3% change in APH stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267272026Change
Stock Price ($)126.16149.2818.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)23,09525,90412.2%
Net Income Margin (%)18.5%17.2%-6.8%
P/E Multiple36.241.113.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,2261,229-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution18.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
APH18.3% 
Market (SPY)13.6%44.3%
Sector (XLK)31.2%46.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 10.8% change in APH stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120257272026Change
Stock Price ($)134.67149.2810.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)20,97425,90423.5%
Net Income Margin (%)18.2%17.2%-5.4%
P/E Multiple43.141.1-4.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,2221,229-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution10.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
APH10.8% 
Market (SPY)8.7%47.5%
Sector (XLK)21.2%49.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 52.2% change in APH stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 54.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020257272026Change
Stock Price ($)98.08149.2852.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)16,77725,90454.4%
Net Income Margin (%)15.6%17.2%10.7%
P/E Multiple45.441.1-9.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,2101,229-1.6%
Cumulative Contribution52.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
APH52.2% 
Market (SPY)20.6%50.8%
Sector (XLK)38.2%54.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 260.1% change in APH stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 104.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020237272026Change
Stock Price ($)41.46149.28260.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,64525,904104.9%
Net Income Margin (%)15.2%17.2%13.8%
P/E Multiple25.841.159.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,1901,229-3.1%
Cumulative Contribution260.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
APH260.1% 
Market (SPY)72.6%60.8%
Sector (XLK)104.3%65.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
APH Return35%-12%31%41%96%13%391%
Peers Return39%-11%15%17%46%14%179%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%97%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
APH Win Rate75%25%58%75%75%71% 
Peers Win Rate65%40%54%53%67%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
APH Max Drawdown-12%-28%-11%-17%-25%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-33%-31%-26%-29%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TEL, BDC, GLW, APTV, NVT. See APH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventAPHS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-15.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven19 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-16.6%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.9%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven93 days18 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-27.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven391 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven79 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-19.5%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven24.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven48 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-18.2%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.2%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven44 days62 days

Compare to TEL, BDC, GLW, APTV, NVT

In The Past

Amphenol's stock fell -15.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 17.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventAPHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-27.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven391 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven79 days140 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.0%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.2%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven107 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-59.6%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven147.6%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven405 days1085 days

Compare to TEL, BDC, GLW, APTV, NVT

In The Past

Amphenol's stock fell -15.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 17.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Amphenol (APH)

Amphenol Corporation (APH) is a global technology company specializing in the design, manufacture, and marketing of essential electrical, electronic, and fiber optic interconnect products. Operating worldwide, including significant presences in the United States and China, the company provides critical components that enable communication and power transfer across a vast range of electronic systems and devices. Amphenol is structured into three main segments: Harsh Environment Solutions, Communications Solutions, and Interconnect and Sensor Systems.

The company's primary products include a comprehensive array of connectors and connector systems, such as high-speed data, power, fiber optic, and radio frequency (RF) interconnect products, many of which are engineered for demanding or harsh environments. Beyond core connectors, Amphenol also delivers value-added solutions like customized cable assemblies and harnesses, backplane interconnect systems, and cable management products. Additionally, its offerings extend to various antennas for consumer and network applications, specialized coaxial and power cables, and an expanding line of sensors and sensor-based products that monitor and measure physical parameters.

Amphenol serves an extremely diverse and global customer base, including original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), electronic manufacturing services (EMS) companies, and service providers. Its products are integral to numerous vital end markets, such as automotive, broadband communication, commercial aerospace, industrial equipment, information technology and data communication infrastructure, military applications, and both mobile device and mobile network sectors. This broad market penetration underscores Amphenol's position as a fundamental supplier of critical interconnectivity and sensing components across modern electronic industries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Amphenol:

1. Imagine 3M, but specialized in the indispensable connectors, cables, and sensors that allow virtually every electronic device and network to function and communicate.

2. If Intel provides the 'brains' for computers and many other devices, Amphenol provides much of the 'nervous system' – the critical connectors, cables, and sensors that enable all those brains to connect and communicate.

3. It's like Corning, but instead of advanced glass and fiber materials, Amphenol specializes in the physical connectors, cables, and sensors that form the essential 'plumbing' for electronic communication across industries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Connectors and Connector Systems: Products for electrical, electronic, and fiber optic interconnectivity, including harsh environment, data, power, high-speed, and radio frequency types.
  • Busbars and Power Distribution Systems: Components used for efficient electrical power distribution within systems.
  • Backplane Interconnect Systems: Complex systems for connecting multiple circuit boards within electronic devices.
  • Cable Assemblies and Harnesses: Bundles of cables and wires designed to transmit signals or power.
  • Cable Management Products: Solutions for organizing, protecting, and routing cables.
  • Printed Circuit Boards (PCBs): Flexible and rigid boards that mechanically support and electrically connect electronic components.
  • Hinges: Mechanical devices enabling rotational movement between components.
  • Antennas: Devices for transmitting and receiving radio waves, used in consumer devices and network infrastructure.
  • Coaxial, Power, and Specialty Cables: Various types of cables designed for signal transmission and power delivery.
  • Sensors and Sensor-based Products: Devices that detect and measure physical quantities or events, converting them into signals.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Amphenol (APH) primarily sells its products to other companies. The provided background information does not list specific major customer company names. However, it identifies the following types of customers and the markets they serve:
  • Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)
  • Electronic Manufacturing Services (EMS) companies
  • Original Design Manufacturers (ODMs)
  • Service Providers
These customers operate in a broad range of markets, including:
  • Automotive
  • Broadband Communication
  • Commercial Aerospace
  • Industrial
  • Information Technology and Data Communication
  • Military
  • Mobile Device
  • Mobile Network

AI Analysis | Feedback

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R. Adam Norwitt President and Chief Executive Officer

Adam Norwitt joined Amphenol in 1998 and became President in 2007 and Chief Executive Officer in 2009. He will also assume the role of Chairman of the Board effective May 2026. Prior to becoming CEO, he served as Chief Operating Officer from 2006 to 2007 and as Senior Vice President and Group General Manager of Worldwide RF and Microwave Products from 2004 to 2006. His earlier roles at the company included Group General Manager, General Manager, and Business Development Manager within various operating groups, with approximately five years spent in Asia. Mr. Norwitt trained as a corporate lawyer before joining Amphenol, holding a Juris Doctor degree from the University of Michigan Law School, a Master's in Business Administration from INSEAD, and a bachelor's degree from Georgetown University. He is credited with bringing a global, future-facing vision to Amphenol and fostering a culture of "intrapreneurship".

Craig A. Lampo Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Craig Lampo has served as Amphenol's Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since 2015. Before his appointment as CFO, he was Vice President and Controller from 2004 to 2015 and Treasurer from 2004 through 2006. Mr. Lampo joined Amphenol in 2004, and prior to that, he was a senior audit manager at Deloitte & Touche LLP for two years and worked at Arthur Andersen LLP from 1993 to 2002. He is a certified public accountant and holds a Bachelor's in Accounting from the University of Connecticut.

Luc Walter President, Harsh Environment Solutions Division

Luc Walter is the President of Amphenol's Harsh Environment Solutions Division. He has been with the company since 1984. Before assuming his current role, he served as Senior Vice President and Group General Manager of Military and Aerospace Operations from 2016 to 2021. His previous positions include Group General Manager of International Military, Aerospace and Industrial Operations from 2004 to 2015, and Director of European Military & Aerospace Operations from 2000 to 2003.

William J. Doherty President, Communications Solutions Division

William J. Doherty serves as the President of the Communications Solutions Division at Amphenol. Prior to this role, he was Senior Vice President and Group General Manager of Information Communications and Commercial Products from 2016 to 2021. From 2015 to 2016, he was the Group General Manager of IT Communications Products. He has also held positions as General Manager of the high-speed products business unit and General Manager of the backplane connectors business unit within Amphenol.

Peter J. Straub President, Interconnect and Sensor Systems Division

Peter J. Straub is the President of Amphenol's Interconnect and Sensor Systems Division. Before his current role, he was Vice President and Group General Manager of Sensor Technology and served as General Manager of Advanced Sensors from 2013 to 2018. Mr. Straub joined Amphenol in 2013 through the acquisition of GE Advanced Sensors, where he had been a Product General Manager. Prior to his time at GE, which began in 2001, he held senior roles at Spirent-Keystone Thermometrics and engineering roles at Delphi and General Motors.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The public company Amphenol (symbol: APH) faces several key risks to its business operations and financial performance. These risks stem from its reliance on diverse end markets, the rapid pace of technological advancements, and its extensive global manufacturing and sales footprint. Here are the key risks to Amphenol's business, ordered by significance:
  1. Dependence on End Market Dynamics and Cyclicality: Amphenol's operating results are highly dependent on the dynamics and cyclical nature of its end markets, which include automotive, broadband communication, industrial, information technology and data communication (IT Datacom), military, and mobile devices. A significant slowdown or recession in one or more of these key markets could lead to reduced demand for Amphenol's connectors, sensors, and interconnect systems. This includes the potential for normalization of demand after periods of strong growth, such as in the IT Datacom market driven by AI investments.
  2. Technological Disruption and Obsolescence: As a designer and manufacturer of electrical, electronic, and fiber optic interconnect products, Amphenol is exposed to the risk of rapid technological change. The emergence of new technologies, evolving industry standards, or innovative alternative solutions (e.g., advanced wireless connectivity, photonic integrated circuits) could diminish the need for Amphenol's traditional physical interconnects or render its current product offerings obsolete. For instance, specific design alterations in key customer AI systems, such as NVIDIA's GB200, could lead to the substitution of Amphenol's specialized products like flyover cables with printed circuit boards, thereby shrinking its addressable market.
  3. Global Geopolitical and Supply Chain Risks: With significant international operations, including manufacturing and sales across numerous countries (with a notable presence in China and 65% of net sales from non-U.S. markets), Amphenol is susceptible to geopolitical tensions, changes in trade policies, tariffs, and export controls. Additionally, the company faces risks related to its supply chain, including difficulties in obtaining raw materials and components, increased costs due to inflationary pressures, and disruptions caused by natural disasters, pandemics, or regional conflicts. These factors can adversely impact production, increase operational costs, and affect profitability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Amphenol Corporation (APH) operates in several significant addressable markets globally for its diverse range of electrical, electronic, and fiber optic interconnect products, cable assemblies, antennas, and sensors.

The addressable markets for Amphenol's main products and services are as follows:

  • Connectors (Electrical, Electronic, and Fiber Optic): The global electronic connector market was valued at approximately $78.98 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $123.90 billion by 2032. A broader global connector market was valued at $82.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $141.1 billion by 2032. Another estimate places the global connector market size at $104.12 billion in 2025, expected to reach $204.70 billion by 2034. The global fiber optic connectors market was valued at about $5.13 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $8.42 billion by 2032. North America accounts for approximately 40% of the global fiber optic connector market, with the U.S. market specifically valued at $1.29 billion in 2024, projected to grow to $1.67 billion by 2032.
  • Cable Assemblies: The global cable assembly market size was valued at $178.6 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow to $322.6 billion by 2034. Another source indicates a market size of $193.62 billion in 2025, projected to grow to $330.64 billion by 2034. The U.S. cable assembly market was worth over $56 billion in 2024. Asia-Pacific holds the largest share of the global cable assembly market.
  • Antennas: The global antenna market size was estimated at $17.46 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $33.38 billion by 2031. Other estimates suggest the global antenna market was valued at $26.55 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach $62.09 billion by 2033. North America held a significant market share, exceeding 40% of global revenue in 2024.
  • Sensors and Sensor-based Products: The global sensor market size was valued at approximately $236.75 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $557.44 billion by 2032. Another source states the global sensor market size was $241.06 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $527.94 billion by 2034. The Asia-Pacific region dominated the global market with a 44.60% share in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Amphenol (APH) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies and market trends:
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Amphenol consistently leverages a disciplined acquisition strategy to broaden its product portfolio, penetrate new geographic markets, and integrate new technologies. Recent and planned acquisitions, such as CommScope's Connectivity and Cable Solutions (CCS) business and Trexon, are specifically cited as significant contributors to both current and future revenue growth and enhanced market positioning.
  • Expansion into High-Growth End Markets: The company is strategically focused on, and benefiting from, robust demand in burgeoning markets. This includes the IT datacom market, particularly driven by AI infrastructure, as well as segments like electric vehicles, commercial aerospace, healthcare, industrial automation, and next-generation communication networks.
  • Technological Leadership and Product Innovation: Amphenol's commitment to developing high-technology, performance-enhancing solutions is a core driver. Its expertise in areas such as high-speed, power, fiber optics, radio frequency interconnects, antennas, and sensors positions it to meet the evolving demands of advanced systems, including 5G, AI, and machine learning.
  • Market Diversification and Global Presence: The company's extensive exposure across a wide array of end markets, including automotive, industrial, communications networks, and mobile devices, along with its global operational footprint, enables it to capitalize on diverse growth opportunities within the global electronics ecosystem. This diversification helps to stabilize financial performance by reducing reliance on any single industry cycle.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Amphenol repurchased approximately $665.18 million of its common stock in 2025, $689.32 million in 2024, $585.09 million in 2023, $730.49 million in 2022, and $689.71 million in 2021.
  • Total capital returned to shareholders, including dividends and share buybacks, was nearly $1.5 billion in 2025 and approximately $1.3 billion in 2024.

Share Issuance

  • Amphenol's shares outstanding have shown slight increases in recent years; for example, 2025 shares outstanding increased by 1.1% from 2024, and 2024 shares outstanding increased by 1.8% from 2023.

Outbound Investments

  • In January 2026, Amphenol completed the acquisition of CommScope's Connectivity and Cable Solutions (CCS) business, an agreement that was announced in August 2025, for approximately $10.5 billion in cash.
  • Amphenol completed five acquisitions during 2025, including Trexon for approximately $1 billion in cash, Narda-MITEQ, LifeSync, and Rochester Sensors, which collectively expanded its portfolio and market reach.
  • During 2024, the company completed the acquisitions of Carlisle Interconnect Technologies (CIT) and Luetze.

Capital Expenditures

  • Amphenol's capital expenditures were $996.6 million in 2025, $665.4 million in 2024, $372.8 million in 2023, $383.8 million in 2022, and $360.4 million in 2021.
  • Expected capital expenditures are forecast to be $1,230 million in 2026, $1,307 million in 2027, and $1,428 million in 2028.
  • These expenditures are primarily focused on developing enabling technologies for customers, product innovations, and supporting acquisitions and business development.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

APHTELBDCGLWAPTVNVTMedian
NameAmphenol TE Conne.Belden Corning Aptiv nVent El. 
Mkt Price149.28207.58105.82143.3657.45149.29146.32
Mkt Cap183.560.44.1122.912.224.142.3
Rev LTM25,90419,3222,78716,32120,6594,32617,822
Op Inc LTM6,8523,9603212,4731,9726822,222
FCF LTM4,6323,3151801,5001,0913821,296
FCF 3Y Avg3,0263,0362091,1541,3504671,252
CFO LTM5,7314,4183292,9061,7694902,338
CFO 3Y Avg3,7693,9173472,3502,1315512,240

Growth & Margins

APHTELBDCGLWAPTVNVTMedian
NameAmphenol TE Conne.Belden Corning Aptiv nVent El. 
Rev Chg LTM54.4%16.5%9.3%20.1%5.2%40.3%18.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg28.9%6.0%2.2%6.8%4.6%23.6%6.4%
Rev Chg Q58.4%13.8%11.4%20.0%5.4%53.5%16.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM12.2%3.3%2.6%4.4%1.3%11.1%3.9%
Op Inc Chg LTM86.8%23.8%12.2%86.5%-4.4%30.0%26.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg42.0%13.4%-0.7%38.6%12.3%27.6%20.5%
Op Mgn LTM26.5%20.5%11.5%15.2%9.5%15.8%15.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.1%19.4%11.4%10.6%9.8%16.9%14.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%0.2%-0.1%0.6%-0.3%-0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM22.1%22.9%11.8%17.8%8.6%11.3%14.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.0%22.7%13.5%16.6%10.6%16.6%16.6%
FCF/Rev LTM17.9%17.2%6.5%9.2%5.3%8.8%9.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.2%17.7%8.2%8.1%6.7%14.2%11.2%

Valuation

APHTELBDCGLWAPTVNVTMedian
NameAmphenol TE Conne.Belden Corning Aptiv nVent El. 
Mkt Cap183.560.44.1122.912.224.142.3
P/S7.13.11.57.50.65.64.4
P/Op Inc26.815.312.849.76.235.421.0
P/EBIT27.015.512.945.710.135.021.3
P/E41.120.017.467.933.549.137.3
P/CFO32.013.712.542.36.949.222.8
Total Yield2.9%6.4%6.0%2.3%3.0%2.6%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.5%1.4%0.2%0.8%0.0%0.5%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.3%-4.8%1.9%8.6%3.2%3.2%
D/E0.10.10.30.10.80.10.1
Net D/E0.10.10.30.10.50.10.1

Returns

APHTELBDCGLWAPTVNVTMedian
NameAmphenol TE Conne.Belden Corning Aptiv nVent El. 
1M Rtn-8.8%5.0%-11.5%-35.1%-4.8%-8.2%-8.5%
3M Rtn0.6%-0.5%-19.6%-14.5%-4.4%5.5%-2.5%
6M Rtn-3.7%-7.3%-9.8%51.5%-25.4%35.4%-5.5%
12M Rtn43.1%1.2%-17.6%161.8%-19.0%91.4%22.1%
3Y Rtn249.3%41.2%12.4%355.2%-47.4%189.2%115.2%
1M Excs Rtn-10.4%3.0%-13.5%-37.9%-8.1%-13.8%-11.9%
3M Excs Rtn-3.6%-6.4%-24.7%-21.8%-7.9%1.7%-7.1%
6M Excs Rtn-8.0%-13.8%-15.3%47.0%-32.1%28.5%-10.9%
12M Excs Rtn27.4%-14.1%-33.1%143.6%-35.0%78.5%6.6%
3Y Excs Rtn199.3%-22.3%-53.1%299.5%-110.6%122.5%50.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Communications Solutions12,1616,3764,9635,7324,832
Harsh Environment Solutions6,0024,5093,6223,1852,752
Interconnect and Sensor Systems5,2164,5114,1293,8813,292
Intersegment-284-172-159-175 
Total23,09515,22312,55512,62310,876


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Communications Solutions3,7471,5701,0641,2461,023
Harsh Environment Solutions1,5411,093944802708
Interconnect and Sensor Systems1,005826754716588
Other operating expenses-78-77-68-67-61
Acquisition-related expenses-103-127-35-22-70
Amortization of acquisition-related inventory step-up costs-108-180  
Stock-based compensation expense-135-110-99-90-83
Total5,8693,1572,5602,5862,105


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20212020201920182017
Interconnect Products and Assemblies7,9966,6735,6665,6795,733
Goodwill6,3775,0324,8674,1034,043
Cable Products and Solutions265214209208200
Other assets40408735528
Total14,67812,32710,81610,04510,004


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$149.28 
Market Cap ($ Bil)183.5 
First Trading Date11/08/1991 
Distance from 52W High-15.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$151.42$141.14
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-1.4%5.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility49.1%43.6%
Downside Capture148.25179.01
Upside Capture128.16189.12
Correlation (SPY)43.4%51.4%
APH Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.671.531.481.741.721.37
Up Beta0.951.181.661.711.571.21
Down Beta3.812.923.041.671.671.37
Up Capture245%167%148%241%316%579%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days14243869145417
Down Capture23%63%27%148%137%107%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days7172556107332

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with APH
APH44.1%43.5%0.96-
Sector ETF (XLK)34.1%24.8%1.1354.5%
Equity (SPY)17.6%12.7%1.0051.2%
Gold (GLD)20.8%28.1%0.6619.0%
Commodities (DBC)29.6%19.5%1.21-6.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.9%14.1%0.697.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.0%43.0%-1.3124.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with APH
APH35.9%31.3%1.02-
Sector ETF (XLK)19.5%25.6%0.6870.1%
Equity (SPY)13.2%17.1%0.5967.6%
Gold (GLD)17.2%18.4%0.7514.2%
Commodities (DBC)9.7%19.5%0.3812.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.3%18.9%0.0739.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)15.8%53.5%0.4727.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with APH
APH27.2%28.2%0.90-
Sector ETF (XLK)24.0%24.8%0.8872.3%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7172.8%
Gold (GLD)11.4%16.1%0.5810.6%
Commodities (DBC)6.9%18.0%0.3022.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2150.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.0%66.2%0.9819.7%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 63020263.2%
Average Daily Volume6.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,228.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/2/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/29/20263.2%-4.9%2.8%
1/28/2026-12.2%-11.5%-10.7%
10/22/20253.6%10.3%9.8%
7/23/2025-1.1%3.5%6.7%
4/23/20258.2%16.6%30.3%
1/22/20257.0%-5.7%-4.6%
10/23/20242.4%3.0%6.0%
7/24/2024-6.4%-6.5%1.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161717
# Negative877
Median Positive2.4%4.9%7.7%
Median Negative-2.4%-4.9%-2.5%
Max Positive8.2%16.6%30.3%
Max Negative-12.2%-11.5%-10.7%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/29/20263.2%-4.9%2.8%
1/28/2026-12.2%-11.5%-10.7%
10/22/20253.6%10.3%9.8%
7/23/2025-1.1%3.5%6.7%
4/23/20258.2%16.6%30.3%
1/22/20257.0%-5.7%-4.6%
10/23/20242.4%3.0%6.0%
7/24/2024-6.4%-6.5%1.4%
4/24/20241.8%5.7%17.8%
1/24/20242.8%4.9%8.7%
10/25/20230.5%1.6%13.7%
7/26/20235.1%5.1%2.4%
4/26/2023-1.3%0.7%-2.5%
1/25/2023-0.1%0.4%-2.3%
10/26/20220.6%5.5%10.1%
7/27/20227.0%9.9%10.8%
4/27/20222.3%5.0%0.3%
1/26/20220.4%4.1%-1.2%
10/27/2021-3.8%-1.2%7.0%
7/28/20210.5%4.9%7.7%
4/28/2021-1.1%-3.2%-1.7%
1/27/2021-3.4%-2.3%-3.7%
10/21/20200.3%0.4%9.8%
7/22/20201.1%2.1%6.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161717
# Negative877
Median Positive2.4%4.9%7.7%
Median Negative-2.4%-4.9%-2.5%
Max Positive8.2%16.6%30.3%
Max Negative-12.2%-11.5%-10.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202510/24/202510-Q
06/30/202507/25/202510-Q
03/31/202504/25/202510-Q
12/31/202402/07/202510-K
09/30/202410/25/202410-Q
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202302/07/202410-K
09/30/202310/27/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202202/08/202310-K
09/30/202210/28/202210-Q
06/30/202207/29/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202510/24/202510-Q
06/30/202507/25/202510-Q
03/31/202504/25/202510-Q
12/31/202402/07/202510-K
09/30/202410/25/202410-Q
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202302/07/202410-K
09/30/202310/27/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202202/08/202310-K
09/30/202210/28/202210-Q
06/30/202207/29/202210-Q
03/31/202204/29/202210-Q
12/31/202102/09/202210-K
09/30/202110/29/202110-Q
06/30/202107/30/202110-Q
03/31/202104/30/202110-Q
12/31/202002/10/202110-K
09/30/202010/23/202010-Q
06/30/202007/24/202010-Q
03/31/202004/24/202010-Q
12/31/201902/12/202010-K
09/30/201910/25/201910-Q
06/30/201907/26/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/8/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue8.10 Bil8.15 Bil8.20 Bil17.3% Higher NewGuidance: 6.95 Bil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS1.141.151.1625.0% Higher NewGuidance: 0.92 for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Diluted EPS (GAAP)1.131.141.15   

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue6.90 Bil6.95 Bil7.00 Bil14.9% Higher NewGuidance: 6.05 Bil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS0.910.920.932.2% Higher NewGuidance: 0.9 for Q4 2025
2026 CCS Business Sales 4.10 Bil    
2026 CCS Business Adjusted Diluted EPS Accretion 0.15    

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/22/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue6.00 Bil6.05 Bil6.10 Bil11.0% Higher NewGuidance: 5.45 Bil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Adjusted Diluted EPS0.890.90.9115.4% Higher NewGuidance: 0.78 for Q3 2025
2025 Revenue22.66 Bil22.71 Bil22.76 Bil   
2025 Adjusted Diluted EPS3.263.273.28   

Insider Activity

Updated 5/27/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Norwitt, Richard AdamPresident & CEODirectSell5052026143.2117,5002,506,107276,030,760Form
2Norwitt, Richard AdamPresident & CEODirectSell5052026142.0452,2037,414,998273,786,178Form
3Norwitt, Richard AdamPresident & CEODirectSell5052026143.9061,0728,787,962277,358,813Form
4Lampo, Craig AExecutive VP & CFODirectSell2192026149.98100,00014,998,13016,814,404Form
5D'Amico, Lance ESee RemarksDirectSell2192026149.8850,0007,494,1558,553,079Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Norwitt, Richard AdamPresident & CEODirectSell5052026143.2117,5002,506,107276,030,760Form
2Norwitt, Richard AdamPresident & CEODirectSell5052026142.0452,2037,414,998273,786,178Form
3Norwitt, Richard AdamPresident & CEODirectSell5052026143.9061,0728,787,962277,358,813Form
4Lampo, Craig AExecutive VP & CFODirectSell2192026149.98100,00014,998,13016,814,404Form
5D'Amico, Lance ESee RemarksDirectSell2192026149.8850,0007,494,1558,553,079Form
6Norwitt, Richard AdamPresident & CEODirectSell2132026147.27515,28175,883,166283,855,475Form
7Norwitt, Richard AdamPresident & CEONorwitt Family TrustSell2132026147.1793,05213,694,398127,180,324Form
8Livingston, RobertDirectBuy2062026128.5110,0001,285,08017,441,106Form
9Straub, PeterPresident, ISS DivisionDirectSell12022025141.84132,000  Form
10Doherty, William JPresident, CS DivisionDirectSell12022025142.0080,000  Form
11Lampo, Craig ASR VP & CFODirectSell11132025143.20258,00036,946,16824,014,293Form
12Lampo, Craig ASR VP & CFOLampo Family TrustSell11132025143.5040,0765,750,9665,723,414Form
13Ivas, Michael RVP & Corporate ControllerDirectSell11062025140.05120,00016,806,20421,345,560Form
14Silverman, David MSenior VP, Human ResourcesDirectSell11032025141.17120,00016,940,4721,764,632Form
15Ivas, Michael RVP & Corporate ControllerDirectSell11032025141.30120,00016,956,38421,536,303Form
16Doherty, William JPresident, CS DivisionDirectSell10302025141.0480,000  Form
17D'Amico, Lance ESr. VP, Secretary & GenCounselDirectSell10302025140.01120,00016,801,54810,696,986Form
18Walter, LucPresident, HES DivisionDirectSell10272025134.65365,11849,163,43158,403,707Form
19Straub, PeterPresident, ISS DivisionDirectSell9092025110.6488,000  Form
20Silverman, David MSenior VP, Human ResourcesDirectSell8262025110.42100,00011,042,0301,380,254Form
21Lampo, Craig ASR VP & CFOLampo Family TrustSell8262025110.5640,0764,430,6024,409,376Form
22Lampo, Craig ASR VP & CFODirectSell8252025110.43199,84822,069,67413,880,788Form
23D'Amico, Lance ESr. VP, Secretary & GenCounselDirectSell8192025110.60100,00011,060,0308,449,863Form
24D'Amico, Lance ESr. VP, Secretary & GenCounselLance E. D'Amico 2024 Irrevocable TrustSell8192025110.8130,0003,324,2498,465,754Form
25Doherty, William JPresident, CS DivisionDirectSell8122025110.29113,000  Form
26Doherty, William JPresident, CS DivisionDirectSell8122025108.89113,000  Form
27Ivas, Michael RVP & Corporate ControllerDirectSell8122025110.0250,0005,500,82016,767,820Form
28Walter, LucPresident, HES DivisionDirectSell603202591.43286,00026,148,52241,306,437Form
29Doherty, William JPresident, CS DivisionDirectSell602202589.54160,000  Form
30Silverman, David MSenior VP, Human ResourcesDirectSell602202589.09100,0008,909,3501,113,669Form
31Ivas, Michael RVP & Corporate ControllerDirectSell530202588.7940,0003,551,40813,531,930Form
32D'Amico, Lance ESr. VP, Secretary & GenCounselDirectSell513202586.36100,0008,635,5606,597,568Form
33Doherty, William JPresident, CS DivisionDirectSell506202580.28126,000  Form
34Silverman, David MSenior VP, Human ResourcesDirectSell506202580.0387,5007,002,9661,000,424Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 28, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Atalan Capital Partners, LP$121.6 Mil11.2%10TRIM -30.2%13F
Maren Capital LLC$186.7 Mil9.8%19Hold13F
11 Capital Partners LP$19.1 Mil6.2%19TRIM -22.2%13F
J. Stern & Co. LLP$63.1 Mil6.1%49TRIM -99.3%13F
Varenne Capital Partners$23.5 Mil5.8%27Hold13F
Talos Eurisko Asset Management LP$33.3 Mil5.7%23ADD +221.6%13F
Local Pensions Partnership Investment Ltd$246.6 Mil5.3%32TRIM -13.0%13F
Amanah Holdings Trust$48.4 Mil5.3%20Hold13F
Dundas Partners LLP$66.7 Mil5.3%49Hold13F
Dudley & Shanley, Inc.$31.1 Mil5.1%38TRIM -13.1%13F
Analog Century Management LP$98.7 Mil4.7%25ADD +7.3%13F
HFR Wealth Management, LLC$16.6 Mil4.1%49TRIM -38.7%13F
Egerton Capital (UK) LLP$362.8 Mil4.0%24TRIM -22.6%13F
Bristol Gate Capital Partners Inc.$58.5 Mil3.8%31TRIM -24.2%13F
Regents Gate Capital LLP$17.3 Mil3.7%36ADD +31.5%13F
Mar Vista Investment Partners LLC$36.7 Mil3.7%35Hold13F
Thames Capital Management LLC$18.4 Mil3.3%43Hold13F
Incline Global Management LLC$6.7 Mil2.6%24ADD +12.1%13F
KR Capital LP$12.4 Mil2.5%49New13F
Ithaka Group LLC$7.4 Mil1.5%38Hold13F
Cartenna Capital, LP$29.7 Mil1.3%41New13F
M.D. Sass, LLC$7.1 Mil0.5%36Hold13F
Lone Pine Capital LLC$28.2 Mil0.2%36TRIM -92.1%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Cartenna Capital, LP$29.7 Mil1.3%41New13F
KR Capital LP$12.4 Mil2.5%49New13F
Talos Eurisko Asset Management LP$33.3 Mil5.7%23ADD +221.6%13F
Regents Gate Capital LLP$17.3 Mil3.7%36ADD +31.5%13F
Incline Global Management LLC$6.7 Mil2.6%24ADD +12.1%13F
Analog Century Management LP$98.7 Mil4.7%25ADD +7.3%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
FengHe Fund Management Pte. Ltd.$25.8 Mil1.5%38ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Maniro Ltd$8.6 Mil2.9%17ExitedDec 31, 202513F
VMS Asset Management Limited$6.7 Mil2.6%42ExitedDec 31, 202513F
J. Stern & Co. LLP$63.1 Mil6.1%49TRIM -99.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Lone Pine Capital LLC$28.2 Mil0.2%36TRIM -92.1%Mar 31, 202613F
HFR Wealth Management, LLC$16.6 Mil4.1%49TRIM -38.7%Mar 31, 202613F
Atalan Capital Partners, LP$121.6 Mil11.2%10TRIM -30.2%Mar 31, 202613F
Bristol Gate Capital Partners Inc.$58.5 Mil3.8%31TRIM -24.2%Mar 31, 202613F
Egerton Capital (UK) LLP$362.8 Mil4.0%24TRIM -22.6%Mar 31, 202613F
11 Capital Partners LP$19.1 Mil6.2%19TRIM -22.2%Mar 31, 202613F
Dudley & Shanley, Inc.$31.1 Mil5.1%38TRIM -13.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Local Pensions Partnership Investment Ltd$246.6 Mil5.3%32TRIM -13.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Egerton Capital (UK) LLP$362.8 Mil4.0%24TRIM -22.6%13F
Local Pensions Partnership Investment Ltd$246.6 Mil5.3%32TRIM -13.0%13F
Maren Capital LLC$186.7 Mil9.8%19Hold13F
Atalan Capital Partners, LP$121.6 Mil11.2%10TRIM -30.2%13F
Analog Century Management LP$98.7 Mil4.7%25ADD +7.3%13F
Dundas Partners LLP$66.7 Mil5.3%49Hold13F
J. Stern & Co. LLP$63.1 Mil6.1%49TRIM -99.3%13F
Bristol Gate Capital Partners Inc.$58.5 Mil3.8%31TRIM -24.2%13F
Amanah Holdings Trust$48.4 Mil5.3%20Hold13F
Mar Vista Investment Partners LLC$36.7 Mil3.7%35Hold13F
Talos Eurisko Asset Management LP$33.3 Mil5.7%23ADD +221.6%13F
Dudley & Shanley, Inc.$31.1 Mil5.1%38TRIM -13.1%13F
Cartenna Capital, LP$29.7 Mil1.3%41New13F
Lone Pine Capital LLC$28.2 Mil0.2%36TRIM -92.1%13F
Varenne Capital Partners$23.5 Mil5.8%27Hold13F
11 Capital Partners LP$19.1 Mil6.2%19TRIM -22.2%13F
Thames Capital Management LLC$18.4 Mil3.3%43Hold13F
Regents Gate Capital LLP$17.3 Mil3.7%36ADD +31.5%13F
HFR Wealth Management, LLC$16.6 Mil4.1%49TRIM -38.7%13F
KR Capital LP$12.4 Mil2.5%49New13F
Ithaka Group LLC$7.4 Mil1.5%38Hold13F
M.D. Sass, LLC$7.1 Mil0.5%36Hold13F
Incline Global Management LLC$6.7 Mil2.6%24ADD +12.1%13F

APH Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

High Conviction

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Conviction is high, based on record orders of $9.435 billion and a 1.24:1 book-to-bill ratio, which provide exceptional visibility into future revenue. The company is demonstrating superior execution, with its key IT Datacom segment growing 81% organically while expanding company-wide operating margins to a peak of 20.2%.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Component Manufacturer (Unit Sales)

Volume of components sold across end markets × Average Selling Price (ASP) per component. Mix shift towards high-margin, high-technology components for AI and defense applications, combined with strong operating leverage on record sales volumes.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Can Amphenol sustain its lead as the premier arms dealer for the AI buildout?

Evidence suggests yes; record orders and accelerating sequential growth in its core AI-related business signal a durable demand cycle.

Mechanism: Capturing outsized share of the AI infrastructure boom drives revenue acceleration (58.4% YoY) and margin expansion, fueled by a $9.435 billion order backlog.
Supporting Evidence:
  • The book-to-bill ratio was a very strong 1.24:1 in the most recent quarter.
  • Quarterly orders reached a record $9.435 billion, up 78% from the prior year.
  • The key IT Datacom segment grew 81% organically year-over-year.
  • Trailing-twelve-month operating margin reached 20.2%, a increase from a year earlier.
PRIMARY RISK
AI Capex Cycle Peak

The primary risk is that the current AI-driven demand is a cyclical peak. The IT Datacom segment now represents 41% of sales, creating significant concentration risk to any slowdown in hyperscaler spending.

Mechanism: A book-to-bill ratio falling would confirm a cyclical downturn is underway.
Supporting Evidence:
  • The IT Datacom market now represents over 40% of total company sales.
  • Year-over-year organic growth in IT Datacom has decelerated from 128% two quarters ago.
  • Net debt has more than doubled to $14.2 billion from $5.5 billion a year earlier.
  • The stock reacted -10.0% to a prior earnings report, showing high sensitivity to outlook.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Book-to-Bill Ratio1.24:1 for Q1 2026 - StableThe book-to-bill ratio remains exceptionally strong at 1.24:1, indicating robust future demand that significantly outpaces current shipments. While this represents a slight moderation from the 1.31:1 peak in Q4 2025, the absolute level is a powerful signal of continued momentum, driven by what management calls "robust bookings in all of our end markets."
IT Datacom Organic Revenue Growth81% year-over-year organic growth for Q1 2026 - DeceleratingWhile the year-over-year growth rate is decelerating, this is against an extremely high prior-year comparison. The more telling indicator of current momentum is the acceleration in sequential organic growth to 16%. Management attributes this strength to "the continued acceleration in demand for our products used in AI applications."
Quarterly Orders$9.435 billion (Q1 2026)Represents the value of new orders booked in the period, serving as a primary indicator of near-term demand and revenue pipeline. The Q1 2026 figure was a company record.
Core Investment Debate

AI Supercycle vs. Cyclical Peak

BULL VIEW

Record Q1 orders of $9.435 billion and a 1.24:1 book-to-bill ratio prove the AI demand runway is long, funding multi-year growth.

CORE TENSION

Can accelerating sequential growth (in Q1) and a massive order backlog offset the mathematical deceleration in year-over-year growth rates?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BULLISH

The latest evidence favors the bulls. The 1.24:1 book-to-bill ratio and record orders provide strong forward visibility, outweighing the high base effects on YoY growth.

BEAR VIEW

Year-over-year organic growth in the key IT Datacom segment has decelerated from 128% to 81%, signaling the peak is passing.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
10/26/2026
AI Demand Deceleration Signal
Watch: Peer TE Connectivity (TEL) or Corning (GLW) reporting weakness or cautious guidance for data center or AI-related segments.
10/27/2026
TE Connectivity Earnings Report
Watch: Peer TE Connectivity (TEL) is scheduled to report earnings.
10/28/2026
Acquisition Integration Headwinds
Watch: Commentary on CommScope's performance, margin drag worse than expected, or any signs of integration challenges.
10/28/2026
Company Earnings Report
Watch: Amphenol is scheduled to report its next quarterly earnings.
No set date
Geopolitical or Tax Shock
Watch: News of further tax challenges from Chinese authorities or new US/China trade restrictions on electronic components.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-05-05
Priced Additional Euro Notes
Details: On May 5, 2026, the company announced the pricing of offerings for €600 million in senior notes due 2029 and €500 million in senior notes due 2034.
-1.8%
$140.82 -> $138.26
2026-04-29
Q2 Guidance Raised
Details: On April 29, 2026, the company issued new, higher guidance for Q2 2026 revenue, representing a change of 17.3%, and raised adjusted diluted EPS guidance by 25.0%.
+2.5%
$143.50 -> $147.05
2026-04-29
Record Q1 Results Reported
Details: On 4/29/2026, the company reported record Q1 sales of $7.62 billion, and adjusted EPS of $1.06, beating estimates.
+2.5%
$143.50 -> $147.05
2026-03-24
Priced Euro-Denominated Senior Notes
Details: On March 24, 2026, the company announced the pricing of a €500 million aggregate principal amount of senior notes due 2031.
-1.5%
$130.47 -> $128.54
2026-01-28
Record Q4 Results, Negative Stock Reaction
Details: Amphenol reported record Q4 and full-year 2025 results on January 28, 2026. Despite the strong report, the stock had a two-day reaction of -10.0%.
-10.0%
$165.67 -> $149.06
2026-01-09
CommScope Acquisition Completed
Details: The company completed its acquisition of CommScope's Connectivity and Cable Solutions Business for approximately $10.5 billion in cash on January 9, 2026.
+6.5%
$135.78 -> $144.61
Risk Management
Position Sizing

2% - 4%

REDUCED POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: APH trades at roughly 52% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 14% for the S&P 500 (3.8x the market), around the 88th percentile of its own trailing year. A 2% - 4% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
TEL - TE Connectivity
Broad Industrial Peer

TE Connectivity offers more diversified exposure across industrial and automotive end markets, providing a hedge against Amphenol's high concentration in IT datacom.

Core Thesis: A play on global industrial electrification and automation, with a solid 20.2% operating margin.
GLW - Corning
Optical Component Specialist

Corning provides focused exposure to the fiber optic component of the data center buildout, a different and critical part of the value chain.

Core Thesis: A bet on the increasing need for high-speed optical connectivity inside and between data centers.
How Is The Market Pricing APH?

A high-margin component manufacturer executing a generational growth opportunity by supplying the critical 'picks and shovels' for the AI infrastructure buildout.

Amphenol is a premier supplier of high-performance electronic components, capitalizing on massive secular investments in AI data centers and defense modernization. The company's strategy of market diversification, technology leadership, and disciplined acquisitions has enabled it to achieve record growth and profitability. Its proven ability to scale production for high-demand, complex products makes it a critical partner for technology leaders, providing strong visibility into future revenue.

What will confirm the thesis

Continued strong order growth and book-to-bill ratios above 1.0 in the IT datacom and Defense markets; announcements of new design wins on next-generation AI platforms.

What will damage the thesis

A significant slowdown in hyperscaler capex for AI infrastructure; a major architectural shift in data centers that obsoletes Amphenol's core high-speed copper or power interconnect technologies; a sharp decline in the book-to-bill ratio.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Minor seasonal fluctuations in smaller, more cyclical end markets like automotive or mobile devices.

Repricing Catalyst

Exceptional organic growth and margin expansion driven by the AI infrastructure boom, which has led to significant upward revisions in revenue and earnings expectations.

What APH Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on fiscal year 2025 filings (the latest reported segment data)
Communications Solutions
$12.2B TTM (53% of Total) · 31% Margin
What It Is

Sells a broad range of connector and interconnect systems (high speed, RF, power, fiber optic), cable, and antennas to the IT and data communications, mobile devices, industrial, communications networks, automotive, commercial aerospace, and defense end markets.

Who Pays & How

Enterprises and service providers in markets like IT datacom and communications networks pay for high-performance components critical for next-generation systems, particularly for AI-related applications. They choose Amphenol for its leading high-speed and power interconnect products and its expanded fiber optic capabilities following the CommScope acquisition.

Transactional unit sales based on customer purchase orders.
Competition
Technology leadership in high-speed and power interconnect, a broad product portfolio including fiber optics via the CommScope acquisition, and a proven ability to execute on massive-scale production ramps for customers.
Harsh Environment Solutions
$6.0B TTM (26% of Total) · 26% Margin
What It Is

Sells a broad range of ruggedized interconnect products, including connectors, specialty cable, and printed circuits for use in the industrial, defense, commercial aerospace, automotive, communications networks, and IT datacom end markets.

Who Pays & How

Customers in the defense, industrial, and commercial aerospace sectors pay for highly reliable, ruggedized components that can withstand extreme conditions. They choose Amphenol for its broad-based strength across applications like defense communications, ground vehicles, space, and commercial aircraft platforms.

Transactional unit sales based on customer purchase orders.
Competition
A broad range of ruggedized, high-technology products and a leading position in the defense interconnect market, supported by capacity expansions and strategic acquisitions like Trexon.
Interconnect and Sensor Systems
$5.2B TTM (23% of Total) · 19% Margin
What It Is

Sells a broad range of sensors, sensor-based systems, connectors, and value-add interconnect systems to the automotive, industrial, IT datacom, communications networks, defense, and commercial aerospace end markets.

Who Pays & How

Customers in diverse markets like automotive and industrial pay for sensors and interconnect systems that enable new electronic functionalities in their products. They choose Amphenol for its ability to provide innovative solutions for next-generation vehicles and equipment.

Transactional unit sales based on customer purchase orders.
Competition
A broad portfolio of sensors and sensor-based systems combined with interconnect products, allowing the company to provide integrated solutions across a wide variety of end markets.
APH Evolution: Price Return by Era
2021-2023 · Pre-AI Acceleration (2021-2023)
+59%
The company exhibited steady growth across its three diversified segments, with total revenue growing from in 2022 to in 2023. The Communications Solutions segment was the largest but represented a more balanced portion of the business, around of total sales.
2024-2026 · AI-Driven Hypergrowth (2024-Present)
+222%
The company entered a period of explosive growth, with total revenue jumping to in 2025 and a TTM revenue of $25.9 billion by 2026. This was overwhelmingly driven by the Communications Solutions segment, whose revenue nearly doubled from 2024 to 2025 due to the AI infrastructure buildout, shifting the segment's share of total sales from 42% to over and reaching 60% by Q1 2026.
Market Appears To Be Skeptical Of Core Thesis
Price structure is showing early stress, with SMA alignment beginning to break down. Relative to SPY: Mild underperformance and fading; relative trend is a headwind for the thesis. Volume and momentum are deeply bearish. The sustained distribution is evident across multiple volume metrics. Earnings history is neutral. The market reaction and subsequent drift do not give a clear directional signal.
① Structure
-1
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
-3
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
0
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
-4 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Potential Bottoming · -
2 Momentum Deteriorating
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Strong Underperformance
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Accumulation
5 Volatility Normal
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Flat
7 Earnings Reaction History Inconsistent
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/27/2026