Tearsheet

Amazon.com (AMZN)


Market Price (12/10/2025): $227.83 | Market Cap: $2.4 Tril
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Amazon.com (AMZN)


Market Price (12/10/2025): $227.83
Market Cap: $2.4 Tril
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


Our Take: Amazon's AWS-led AI growth and strong Prime ecosystem are positives. However, high valuation, intense e-commerce competition, and significant capex create headwinds. Analyst target $291.48.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Large capital expenditures
Over $100 billion expected in 2025, potentially straining free cash flow.
High valuation (P/FCF)
P/FCF is 173.2x, significantly above the S&P 500 at 20.5x.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 121 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil
Opportunity cost in sector
FCF/Rev LTM of 2.0% is less attractive than many Consumer Discretionary peers.
Increased e-commerce competition
Ultra-low-cost platforms and social commerce like TikTok Shop pose threats.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  Recent stock underperformance
1-year return of 0.8% trailed peers (27%) and S&P 500 (16%).
3 AWS growth & AI investment
AWS revenue reached $90,757M in 2024, propelled by strong AI demand.
  
4 Expanding advertising business
Strong demand for sponsored placements is boosting revenue.
  

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Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMZN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Information regarding specific key points for Amazon.com (AMZN) stock movement by -0.5% for the future period from August 31, 2025, to December 10, 2025, is not available.



1. Future stock market performance and the precise drivers of specific percentage movements cannot be predicted.



2. Details on market-moving news or events for Amazon.com within the specified future timeframe are not accessible.



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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMZN Return76%2%-50%81%44%4%147%
Peers Return39%31%-37%78%54%27%302%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMZN Win Rate67%50%25%83%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%65%35%70%72%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMZN Max Drawdown-9%-9%-51%-1%-5%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-8%-48%-3%-3%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, GOOGL, WMT, META, NFLX. See AMZN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/9/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMZNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven128.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven470 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-22.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven33 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven407 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven187.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven337 days1480 days

Compare to AAPL, MSFT, WMT, W, BGO


In The Past

Amazon.com's stock fell -56.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/8/2021. A -56.1% loss requires a 128.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Amazon.com (AMZN)

Better Bets than Amazon.com (AMZN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMZN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.9%-2.9%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.7%9.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.1%6.1%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.9%-2.9%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.7%9.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.1%6.1%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Amazon.com

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMZNMSFTGOOGLWMTMETANFLXMedian
NameAmazon.c.MicrosoftAlphabet Walmart Meta Pla.Netflix  
Mkt Price227.92492.02317.08115.06656.9696.71272.50
Mkt Cap2,424.43,657.23,832.2821.81,653.6410.52,039.0
Rev LTM670,038293,812385,477703,061189,45743,379339,644
Op Inc LTM76,190135,937124,07728,97681,89512,64379,042
FCF LTM13,48178,01773,55215,26344,8418,96730,052
FCF 3Y Avg21,67771,30268,99814,98445,0447,25633,360
CFO LTM121,137147,039151,42440,977107,5749,575114,356
CFO 3Y Avg96,977121,384120,99037,58885,5137,70691,245

Growth & Margins

AMZNMSFTGOOGLWMTMETANFLXMedian
NameAmazon.c.MicrosoftAlphabet Walmart Meta Pla.Netflix  
Rev Chg LTM10.9%15.6%13.4%4.3%21.3%15.4%14.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.3%13.2%11.0%5.4%17.3%11.4%11.4%
Rev Chg Q13.3%18.4%15.9%5.8%26.2%17.2%16.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.0%4.3%3.8%1.4%6.0%4.0%3.9%
Op Mgn LTM11.4%46.3%32.2%4.1%43.2%29.1%30.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.9%44.6%29.9%4.1%37.4%24.4%27.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.6%-0.5%-0.1%-0.8%-0.4%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM18.1%50.0%39.3%5.8%56.8%22.1%30.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.8%47.2%35.3%5.6%54.0%20.2%27.8%
FCF/Rev LTM2.0%26.6%19.1%2.2%23.7%20.7%19.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.5%28.0%20.5%2.2%29.0%19.0%19.8%

Valuation

AMZNMSFTGOOGLWMTMETANFLXMedian
NameAmazon.c.MicrosoftAlphabet Walmart Meta Pla.Netflix  
Mkt Cap2,424.43,657.23,832.2821.81,653.6410.52,039.0
P/S3.513.17.61.29.8117.38.7
P/EBIT27.429.619.3-21.7396.827.4
P/E33.136.723.635.931.6487.834.5
P/CFO19.326.219.420.117.2531.519.7
Total Yield3.0%3.4%4.6%3.7%3.5%0.2%3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.3%0.9%0.3%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.1%2.3%3.3%-3.6%0.3%2.3%
D/E0.10.00.0-0.00.00.0
Net D/E0.0-0.0-0.0-0.00.00.0

Returns

AMZNMSFTGOOGLWMTMETANFLXMedian
NameAmazon.c.MicrosoftAlphabet Walmart Meta Pla.Netflix  
1M Rtn-6.7%-0.8%13.8%12.2%5.7%-12.4%2.4%
3M Rtn-4.3%-1.1%32.4%12.5%-14.1%-23.4%-2.7%
6M Rtn4.7%4.8%77.8%18.5%-6.3%-19.7%4.8%
12M Rtn0.8%11.1%81.5%23.8%7.4%5.8%9.3%
3Y Rtn155.8%105.3%244.2%145.9%470.3%202.2%179.0%
1M Excs Rtn-8.4%-2.4%12.1%10.5%4.0%-14.0%0.8%
3M Excs Rtn-5.8%-6.2%27.9%9.9%-17.3%-27.2%-6.0%
6M Excs Rtn-8.5%-8.4%64.5%5.2%-19.6%-32.9%-8.5%
12M Excs Rtn-9.3%-0.6%72.0%9.3%-4.4%-7.2%-2.5%
3Y Excs Rtn74.1%29.5%150.1%66.1%367.3%133.8%104.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
North America352,828    
International131,200    
Amazon Web Services (AWS)90,75780,09662,20245,37035,026
Advertising services 37,73931,16019,773 
Online stores 220,004222,075197,346141,247
Other 4,2472,1761,68014,085
Physical stores 18,96317,07516,22717,192
Subscription services 35,21831,76825,20719,210
Third-party seller services 117,716103,36680,46153,762
Total574,785513,983469,822386,064280,522


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Amazon Web Services (AWS)24,631    
North America14,877    
International-2,656    
Total36,852    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
North America196,029    
Corporate153,574    
Amazon Web Services (AWS)108,533    
International69,718    
Total527,854    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity73,266,891
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.7%
Average Daily Volume49,286,158
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.49
Basic Shares Quantity10,637,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20259.6%9.1%5.2%
7/31/2025-8.3%-4.7%-2.2%
5/1/2025-0.1%1.0%8.6%
2/6/2025-4.1%-3.5%-18.5%
10/31/20246.2%12.7%13.0%
8/1/2024-8.8%-9.9%-3.0%
4/30/20242.3%7.9%2.5%
2/1/20247.9%6.6%11.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101312
# Negative141112
Median Positive7.6%7.9%7.9%
Median Negative-6.1%-5.3%-7.1%
Max Positive13.5%16.6%23.6%
Max Negative-14.0%-19.5%-20.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023202202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022203202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-K 12/31/2021