Tearsheet

Allison Transmission (ALSN)


Market Price (11/8/2025): $81.95 | Market Cap: $6.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Allison Transmission (ALSN)


Market Price (11/8/2025): $81.95
Market Cap: $6.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 9.1%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 9.1%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ALSN Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALSN Return-9%-14%17%42%88%-24%85%
Peers Return9%25%-19%15%-24%9%6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALSN Win Rate50%50%50%67%83%20% 
Peers Win Rate62%57%35%47%40%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALSN Max Drawdown-44%-23%-9%-0%-4%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-10%-33%-6%-28%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BWA, GNTX, LEA, VC, GT. See ALSN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/7/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALSNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven463 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1060 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1631 days120 days

Compare to BWA, GNTX, LEA, VC, GT


In The Past

Allison Transmission's stock fell -28.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/14/2021. A -28.5% loss requires a 39.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Allison Transmission (ALSN)

Better Bets than Allison Transmission (ALSN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALSN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.3%0.3%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.2%-3.2%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.7%-0.7%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%-6.2%
ALSN_3312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312020ALSNAllison TransmissionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.9%27.6%-9.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.3%0.3%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.2%-3.2%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.7%-0.7%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%-6.2%
ALSN_3312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312020ALSNAllison TransmissionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.9%27.6%-9.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Allison Transmission

Financials

ALSNBWAGNTXLEAVCGTMedian
NameAllison .BorgWarn.Gentex Lear Visteon Goodyear. 
Mkt Price81.9544.9323.48110.13106.677.5763.44
Mkt Cap6.99.65.15.92.92.25.5
Rev LTM3,06914,1832,43222,9853,75918,3108,971
Op Inc LTM9441,317463832341636734
FCF LTM6281,261471735366-352549
FCF 3Y Avg647816376591258-340484
CFO LTM8041,7116161,294495573710
CFO 3Y Avg8011,4795331,173384721761

Growth & Margins

ALSNBWAGNTXLEAVCGTMedian
NameAllison .BorgWarn.Gentex Lear Visteon Goodyear. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.2%0.1%3.0%-20.8%-4.0%-3.9%-4.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.6%7.8%9.9%6.0%3.0%-3.6%5.3%
Rev Chg Q-15.9%4.1%7.7%1.7%-6.4%-3.7%-1.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.1%1.0%2.0%0.4%-1.6%-1.0%-0.3%
Op Mgn LTM30.8%9.3%19.0%3.6%9.1%3.5%9.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg30.4%9.1%20.4%3.7%7.9%3.7%8.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%0.1%-0.5%-0.1%0.1%-0.6%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM26.2%12.1%25.3%5.6%13.2%3.1%12.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.0%10.5%22.8%4.8%9.9%3.7%10.2%
FCF/Rev LTM20.5%8.9%19.4%3.2%9.7%-1.9%9.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg21.0%5.8%16.1%2.4%6.7%-1.8%6.2%

Valuation

ALSNBWAGNTXLEAVCGTMedian
NameAllison .BorgWarn.Gentex Lear Visteon Goodyear. 
Mkt Cap6.99.65.15.92.92.25.5
P/S2.20.72.10.30.80.10.7
P/EBIT7.217.511.07.67.97.67.7
P/E9.871.713.413.39.4-1.311.6
P/CFO8.65.68.24.55.93.85.7
Total Yield10.5%2.0%9.6%10.4%10.6%-79.3%10.0%
Dividend Yield0.3%0.6%2.1%2.9%0.0%0.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.6%9.2%5.7%9.5%8.0%-13.6%8.6%
D/E0.30.40.00.50.24.20.4
Net D/E0.20.2-0.00.3-0.13.80.2

Returns

ALSNBWAGNTXLEAVCGTMedian
NameAllison .BorgWarn.Gentex Lear Visteon Goodyear. 
1M Rtn-1.2%4.9%-11.8%9.1%-8.6%3.1%1.0%
3M Rtn-6.6%17.0%-11.4%15.7%-6.3%-9.4%-6.5%
6M Rtn-16.8%43.1%6.8%23.5%26.6%-30.3%15.1%
12M Rtn-30.0%30.0%-21.7%17.2%15.7%-23.0%-3.0%
3Y Rtn100.6%36.9%-8.0%-12.1%-21.7%-24.3%-10.0%
1M Excs Rtn1.2%8.0%-10.4%11.5%-4.6%6.3%3.8%
3M Excs Rtn-12.7%11.6%-17.2%10.4%-11.5%-14.5%-12.1%
6M Excs Rtn-35.7%24.3%-12.1%4.6%7.7%-49.2%-3.8%
12M Excs Rtn-41.1%17.6%-37.4%2.1%0.6%-34.3%-16.9%
3Y Excs Rtn26.0%-32.6%-82.9%-86.6%-96.8%-104.1%-84.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Design, manufacture and distribution of vehicle propulsion solutions3,0352,7692,4022,0812,698
Total3,0352,7692,4022,0812,698


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,927,329
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-2.4%
Average Daily Volume818,966
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.57
Basic Shares Quantity84,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20252.4%-1.0% 
8/4/2025-1.8%0.3%0.0%
5/1/20254.1%5.7%9.5%
2/11/2025-12.5%-9.1%-17.8%
10/29/20247.9%9.5%18.7%
7/25/20244.0%3.4%7.6%
4/25/2024-7.2%-7.0%-5.2%
2/13/202413.9%15.2%22.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141514
# Negative10910
Median Positive4.6%3.4%8.8%
Median Negative-5.7%-6.3%-5.2%
Max Positive13.9%15.2%22.3%
Max Negative-12.5%-9.9%-28.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Bohley G FrederickChief Operating Officer8152025Buy89.503,000268,5008,867,113Form
1Scroggins Eric C.VP, Gen. Counsel & Assist. Sec5092025Sell98.055,358525,3521,340,049Form
2Coll JohnSVP, Global MSS4032025Sell95.331,788170,4501,466,938Form
3Milburn Ryan A.VP, Engr. & Tech Dev.3182025Sell96.204,546437,3251,360,076Form
4Milburn Ryan A.VP, Engr. & Tech Dev.2272025Sell98.5466265,2331,471,301Form