Tearsheet

Allison Transmission (ALSN)


Market Price (5/9/2026): $124.23 | Market Cap: $10.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Allison Transmission (ALSN)


Market Price (5/9/2026): $124.23
Market Cap: $10.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 5.9%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Autonomous Trucks, Freight Technology, Show more.

Key risks
ALSN key risks include [1] the accelerated adoption of electric drivetrains threatening its core business, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 5.9%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Autonomous Trucks, Freight Technology, Show more.
6 Key risks
ALSN key risks include [1] the accelerated adoption of electric drivetrains threatening its core business, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Allison Transmission (ALSN) stock has gained about 15% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Transformative Acquisition Driving Revenue Growth: Allison Transmission's acquisition of Dana's Off-Highway Drive & Motion Systems business, completed on January 1, 2026, significantly bolstered the company's top line. This acquisition led to an 84% year-over-year increase in Q1 2026 net sales, reaching $1.41 billion, with the new Off-Highway segment contributing $673 million. This strategic expansion diversified Allison's market exposure to construction, agriculture, mining, and industrial applications.

2. Strong Adjusted Earnings Outperformance: The company reported robust adjusted earnings that consistently beat analyst expectations. For Q1 2026, Allison Transmission announced an adjusted EPS of $2.57, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.54 by 1.38% and exceeding broader analyst estimates of $2.10 by $0.47. This strong earnings beat contributed to positive investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.5% change in ALSN stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 45.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265082026Change
Stock Price ($)108.43124.1814.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,0693,65018.9%
Net Income Margin (%)22.8%14.9%-34.7%
P/E Multiple13.019.045.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)84831.2%
Cumulative Contribution14.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALSN14.5% 
Market (SPY)3.6%58.0%
Sector (XLY)-0.6%53.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 51.3% change in ALSN stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 92.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255082026Change
Stock Price ($)82.07124.1851.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,0693,65018.9%
Net Income Margin (%)22.8%14.9%-34.7%
P/E Multiple9.919.092.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)84831.2%
Cumulative Contribution51.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALSN51.3% 
Market (SPY)5.5%51.4%
Sector (XLY)0.6%47.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 36.2% change in ALSN stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 74.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255082026Change
Stock Price ($)91.19124.1836.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,2253,65013.2%
Net Income Margin (%)22.7%14.9%-34.4%
P/E Multiple10.919.074.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)87834.8%
Cumulative Contribution36.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALSN36.2% 
Market (SPY)30.4%51.2%
Sector (XLY)22.8%45.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 164.6% change in ALSN stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 151.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235082026Change
Stock Price ($)46.92124.18164.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,8333,65028.8%
Net Income Margin (%)20.2%14.9%-26.3%
P/E Multiple7.519.0151.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)928310.8%
Cumulative Contribution164.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALSN164.6% 
Market (SPY)78.7%55.9%
Sector (XLY)66.6%50.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ALSN Return-14%17%42%88%-8%26%210%
Peers Return20%-3%17%17%52%38%235%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%7%95%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALSN Win Rate50%50%67%83%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate63%38%48%58%63%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALSN Max Drawdown-23%-9%-0%-4%-26%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-3%-28%-13%-15%-21%0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CMI, BWA, ETN, DAN, CAT. See ALSN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventALSNS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-18.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven35 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-13.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven44 days24 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-39.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven65.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven261 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.3%23.7%
  Time to Breakeven1515 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-27.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven160 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-27.9%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.7%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven160 days15 days

Compare to CMI, BWA, ETN, DAN, CAT

In The Past

Allison Transmission's stock fell -18.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventALSNS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-39.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven65.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven261 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.3%23.7%
  Time to Breakeven1515 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-27.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven160 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-27.9%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.7%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven160 days15 days

Compare to CMI, BWA, ETN, DAN, CAT

In The Past

Allison Transmission's stock fell -18.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Allison Transmission (ALSN)

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells commercial and defense fully-automatic transmissions for medium-and heavy-duty commercial vehicles, and medium-and heavy-tactical U.S. defense vehicles worldwide. It offers transmissions for various applications, including distribution, refuse, construction, fire, and emergency on-highway trucks; school and transit buses; motor homes; energy, mining, and construction off-highway vehicles and equipment; and wheeled and tracked defense vehicles. The company markets its transmissions under the Allison Transmission brand name; and remanufactured transmissions under the ReTran brand name. It also sells branded replacement parts, support equipment, aluminum die cast components, and other products necessary to service the installed base of vehicles utilizing its transmissions, as well as defense kits, engineering services, and extended transmission coverage services to various original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and the U.S. government. The company serves customers through an independent network of approximately 1,400 independent distributor and dealer locations. The company was formerly known as Clutch Holdings, Inc. Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies to describe Allison Transmission (ALSN):

  • The Cummins of transmissions: Just as Cummins (CMI) is a leading independent manufacturer of engines for heavy-duty commercial and industrial vehicles, Allison Transmission is a leading independent manufacturer specializing in fully-automatic transmissions for similar types of vehicles.
  • The Intel of commercial vehicle transmissions: Similar to how Intel (INTC) designs and manufactures the critical "brain" (processors) for computers, Allison Transmission designs and manufactures the essential "power transfer system" (transmissions) for medium- and heavy-duty commercial and defense vehicles.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Fully-Automatic Transmissions: Designs, manufactures, and sells new fully-automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial and defense vehicles across various applications.
  • ReTran Remanufactured Transmissions: Provides remanufactured transmissions under the ReTran brand name, offering a cost-effective alternative to new transmissions.
  • Branded Replacement Parts: Sells branded replacement parts essential for the service and maintenance of vehicles utilizing Allison transmissions.
  • Support Equipment: Offers support equipment necessary for the maintenance and repair of their installed base of transmissions.
  • Aluminum Die Cast Components: Supplies aluminum die cast components, likely used in their transmissions or related systems.
  • Defense Kits: Provides specialized kits tailored for defense vehicle applications.
  • Engineering Services: Offers engineering services to various original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and the U.S. government.
  • Extended Transmission Coverage Services: Sells services providing extended coverage for transmissions, ensuring long-term support for customers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Allison Transmission (ALSN) primarily sells its products to other companies and governmental entities. Based on the provided background information, its major customers fall into the following categories:

  • Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): Allison Transmission sells its fully-automatic transmissions, as well as defense kits, engineering services, and extended transmission coverage services, to various OEMs. These manufacturers integrate Allison's transmissions into a wide range of vehicles, including:
    • Medium-and heavy-duty commercial vehicles (e.g., distribution, refuse, construction, fire, and emergency on-highway trucks; school and transit buses; motor homes).
    • Energy, mining, and construction off-highway vehicles and equipment.
    • Medium-and heavy-tactical U.S. defense vehicles (wheeled and tracked).
    The provided background description does not list specific names of these OEM customer companies.
  • Independent Distributors and Dealers: The company serves its customer base through an independent network of approximately 1,400 distributor and dealer locations. These locations purchase transmissions, branded replacement parts, support equipment, and other products to service the installed base of vehicles utilizing Allison transmissions.
  • The U.S. Government: Allison Transmission also sells defense kits, engineering services, and extended transmission coverage services directly to the U.S. government for its defense vehicle applications.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

David S. Graziosi, Chair, President & Chief Executive Officer

David S. Graziosi has served as the Chair of the Board since 2021 and as President and Chief Executive Officer of Allison Transmission since June 2018. He initially joined Allison in November 2007 as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer, shortly after the company's sale by General Motors to The Carlyle Group and Onex Corporation, which ultimately led to an initial public offering in March 2012. Prior to Allison, Graziosi was Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Covalence Specialty Materials Corporation, and held various finance leadership roles at Hexion Specialty Chemicals, Inc., Resolution Performance Products LLC, General Chemical Industrial Products Inc., Sun Chemical Group B.V, the Colgate-Palmolive Company, and Arthur Andersen LLP.

Scott Mell, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer

Scott Mell was appointed Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Allison Transmission, effective April 14, 2025. He brings nearly 30 years of extensive financial and operational leadership experience to the company, including significant international involvement with operations in Asia, Europe, and South America. Most recently, he served as Chief Financial Officer at TriMas Corporation from May 2021 to March 2025. Before that, Mell provided operational and financial advisory services, notably with Riveron Consulting LLC from 2018 to 2021.

G. Frederick Bohley, Chief Operating Officer

G. Frederick Bohley currently serves as Chief Operating Officer, a position he has held since April 2025. He joined Allison Transmission in 1991, starting in the Finance organization and progressing through roles of increasing responsibility. His career at Allison has included positions such as Director of Latin American Operations in Sao Paulo, Brazil, and Director of International Marketing and Business Planning. Bohley also served as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer from June 2019 until April 2025.

John M. Coll, Senior Vice President, Global Marketing, Sales & Service

John M. Coll joined Allison Transmission in 2016 as Senior Vice President, Global Marketing, Sales & Service. Before his tenure at Allison, Coll was Vice President of Sales and Marketing at Gerdau Ameristeel U.S. He also spent 14 years at Eaton Corp., where his roles included Vice President of Global Marketing for the vehicle group. Earlier in his career, Coll worked for 13 years at Philips Electronics in various sales and distributor relations positions.

Dana W. Pittard, Vice President, Defense Programs

Dana W. Pittard joined Allison Transmission in 2015 as Deputy Vice President of Defense Programs and was promoted to his current role as Vice President, Defense Programs, in January 2016. Prior to joining Allison, Pittard served 34 years in the U.S. Army, retiring as a Major General (2-Star), having commanded Armor and Infantry units and completing multiple combat tours. He has been recognized for his contributions, including being named one of the Top 100 African American Corporate Executives in America by Savoy Magazine in 2018, and is credited with increasing revenue for Allison Defense by 35 percent over three years.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Allison Transmission's business are:
  1. Technological Disruption and Electrification: Allison Transmission faces a significant long-term risk from the accelerating adoption of electric propulsion systems and competition from less expensive Automated Manual Transmissions (AMTs). This shift poses a threat to Allison's traditional fully automatic transmission product lines, potentially leading to declining revenue and heightened competitive threats as the industry moves away from internal combustion engines. There is also a risk that Allison's electric products may be uncompetitive in the growing electric power systems segment.
  2. Cyclical Demand in Core Markets: The company is exposed to the cyclical nature and volatility of its primary markets, particularly North America OEM truck production and demand for commercial vehicles. Economic downturns, such as the sustained weakness observed in North American on-highway demand, can lead to substantial reductions in demand for commercial vehicles, forcing end users to defer major purchases and negatively impacting Allison's sales and profitability.
  3. Integration Risks from Acquisitions: Allison Transmission has undertaken a significant acquisition, specifically the Dana's Off-Highway Drive & Motion Systems business. This acquisition carries substantial integration costs, potential loss of key personnel or customers, and uncertainty regarding the achievement of anticipated synergies. Failure to effectively integrate operations and realize expected benefits could adversely affect Allison's financial performance and market position, as well as lead to increased leverage.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat for Allison Transmission is the accelerating global shift towards the electrification of commercial and defense vehicles. Electric vehicles (both battery-electric and hydrogen fuel cell electric) typically utilize electric motors with single-speed reduction gears or direct-drive systems, fundamentally reducing or eliminating the need for the multi-speed fully-automatic transmissions that Allison Transmission designs and manufactures.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Allison Transmission (ALSN) operates in several key markets, primarily focusing on propulsion solutions for commercial and defense vehicles.

The addressable market sizes for Allison Transmission's main products and services are as follows:

  • Global Commercial Vehicle Transmission Market: This market was valued at approximately USD 26.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 36.4 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.2%. Another estimate places the global market at USD 28.5 billion in 2025, forecasted to grow to USD 46.9 billion by 2035. The global medium and heavy commercial vehicles transmission market alone was valued at USD 11 billion in 2022.
  • Global Off-Highway Transmission Market: The global off-highway transmission market size was estimated at USD 12.8 billion in 2024 and is forecasted to reach USD 20.6 billion by 2033. The global off-highway equipment transmission component market was valued at an estimated USD 2.9 billion in 2024, with projections to reach USD 4.8 billion by 2034.
  • North America On-Highway Segment (Classes 4-8 vehicles): The North American production in Allison Transmission's core addressable market for Class 4 through 8 vehicles is projected to grow 1% compounded annually through 2030.
  • Global Electric Bus Market: This market is projected to grow 14% compounded annually from 2024 to 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

For Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN), several key drivers are expected to contribute to future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Continued Expansion and Program Wins in the Global Defense Market: Allison Transmission is steadily expanding its presence in the global defense market, securing significant contracts for wheeled defense vehicles beyond North America. Programs such as those in Canada, the U.K., Germany, Poland, and Romania, with production and deliveries slated to commence or continue from 2025, are expected to bolster the company's revenue. The 3040MX platform is also emerging as a key growth driver, including a substantial opportunity with India's FICV program and a new contract for Poland's Infantry Fighting Vehicle program.

  2. Robust Demand and Price Increases in the North America On-Highway Market: The company anticipates favorable outlook in its largest end market, the North America On-Highway segment, driven by persistent demand for Class 8 vocational and medium-duty trucks. Additionally, strategic price increases on certain products are expected to continue contributing to top-line growth.

  3. Strategic Market Expansion and the Acquisition of Dana's Off-Highway Business: Allison is actively expanding into new international on-highway and off-highway markets. This includes growth in the South American agriculture sector, the Chinese bus market, increased demand in the mining sector, and expansion in Europe. Furthermore, the acquisition of Dana's Off-Highway Drive & Motion Systems Business, completed in January 2026, is a transformative event expected to significantly expand Allison's global footprint, diversify its product portfolio, and contribute substantially to consolidated net sales in 2026 and beyond.

  4. Growth of Electrified Propulsion Solutions: The company's commitment to innovation in cleaner fuel trends, particularly through its electrified propulsion systems, is a key growth driver. This includes the successful launch and adoption of products like the eGen Flex electric hybrid propulsion solution for transit properties across the United States and the continued development and production of zero-emission electric axles for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles, which offer a higher "content per vehicle" opportunity.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Allison Transmission repurchased $328 million of common stock in 2025, representing approximately 4% of shares outstanding.
  • The company repurchased $254 million of stock in 2024 and $270 million in 2023.
  • In February 2025, Allison Transmission's Board of Directors authorized an additional $1 billion for share repurchases, increasing the total authorization under its program to $5 billion.

Share Issuance

  • Allison Transmission's shares outstanding have consistently declined over the past few years, with a 3.3% decline in 2024 to 0.088 billion shares from 0.091 billion in 2023, and a 5.21% decline in 2023 from 0.096 billion in 2022.

Outbound Investments

  • On January 1, 2026, Allison Transmission completed the acquisition of Dana's Off-Highway Drive & Motion Systems business for $2.7 billion.
  • This acquisition is considered transformative, expanding Allison Transmission's portfolio into broader drivetrain and motion solutions for off-highway end markets and adding approximately 46 plants and 8,000 employees.

Capital Expenditures

  • Allison Transmission's capital expenditures were guided to be in the range of $125 million to $135 million for the full year 2024.
  • For 2025, capital expenditures were anticipated to be between $165 million and $175 million.
  • The company generally allocates 4-7% of its annual revenue to capital expenditures, reflecting its asset-light business model, with a focus on maintaining and growing the business, product development, and global capacity expansion.

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALSNCMIBWAETNDANCATMedian
NameAllison .Cummins BorgWarn.Eaton Dana Caterpil. 
Mkt Price124.18679.5561.32401.5134.70897.45262.85
Mkt Cap10.394.012.6155.94.1415.953.3
Rev LTM3,65033,89414,33428,5228,07170,75521,428
Op Inc LTM8553,8511,3505,18128711,6572,600
FCF LTM6092,6711,2543,7762987,9011,962
FCF 3Y Avg6371,7458973,3481628,6871,321
CFO LTM8113,9331,7184,74151212,3202,826
CFO 3Y Avg7952,9631,5074,19847912,3192,235

Growth & Margins

ALSNCMIBWAETNDANCATMedian
NameAllison .Cummins BorgWarn.Eaton Dana Caterpil. 
Rev Chg LTM14.0%0.1%2.3%12.7%-4.5%11.8%7.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.9%4.2%1.6%10.1%-6.2%5.0%4.6%
Rev Chg Q83.6%2.7%0.5%16.8%5.2%22.2%11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM21.3%0.7%0.1%3.9%1.2%4.7%2.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-15.2%8.1%2.4%7.3%403.5%-3.9%4.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg2.6%48.5%4.5%18.0%152.2%8.7%13.4%
Op Mgn LTM23.4%11.4%9.4%18.2%3.6%16.5%13.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.3%8.5%9.3%18.2%1.1%18.7%13.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-6.8%-0.1%0.2%-0.8%1.9%-0.0%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM22.2%11.6%12.0%16.6%6.3%17.4%14.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.1%8.7%10.6%16.2%6.0%18.4%13.4%
FCF/Rev LTM16.7%7.9%8.7%13.2%3.7%11.2%10.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.4%5.1%6.3%12.9%2.0%13.0%9.6%

Valuation

ALSNCMIBWAETNDANCATMedian
NameAllison .Cummins BorgWarn.Eaton Dana Caterpil. 
Mkt Cap10.394.012.6155.94.1415.953.3
P/S2.82.80.95.50.55.92.8
P/Op Inc12.124.49.330.114.235.719.3
P/EBIT12.322.917.630.119.032.720.9
P/E19.035.234.839.147.844.137.1
P/CFO12.723.97.332.97.933.818.3
Total Yield5.5%4.0%3.4%2.6%3.4%2.9%3.4%
Dividend Yield0.2%1.1%0.6%0.0%1.3%0.7%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.8%3.2%11.0%2.7%7.1%4.4%5.7%
D/E0.40.10.30.10.90.10.2
Net D/E0.40.10.20.10.70.10.1

Returns

ALSNCMIBWAETNDANCATMedian
NameAllison .Cummins BorgWarn.Eaton Dana Caterpil. 
1M Rtn-0.7%13.9%11.6%4.4%-1.7%16.5%8.0%
3M Rtn7.7%18.0%17.8%8.0%10.3%23.8%14.0%
6M Rtn52.4%44.7%37.4%8.1%60.9%60.1%48.5%
12M Rtn27.2%125.9%99.7%32.3%134.6%179.8%112.8%
3Y Rtn168.1%229.2%63.0%144.7%176.5%339.8%172.3%
1M Excs Rtn-11.0%2.8%3.1%-7.9%-12.0%5.8%-2.5%
3M Excs Rtn0.9%11.3%11.0%1.3%3.5%17.1%7.3%
6M Excs Rtn45.8%47.1%28.7%-3.8%54.5%49.5%46.4%
12M Excs Rtn-2.2%100.9%74.0%3.0%111.5%151.8%87.5%
3Y Excs Rtn91.1%143.3%-24.7%62.5%85.5%254.6%88.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Design, manufacture and distribution of vehicle propulsion solutions3,2253,0352,7692,4022,081
Total3,2253,0352,7692,4022,081


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Design, manufacture and distribution of vehicle propulsion solutions731    
Total731    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Design, manufacture and distribution of vehicle propulsion solutions5,336    
Total5,336    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$124.18 
Market Cap ($ Bil)10.4 
First Trading Date03/15/2012 
Distance from 52W High-8.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$122.65$100.73
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA1.2%23.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility31.9%26.8%
Downside Capture0.580.53
Upside Capture125.00102.36
Correlation (SPY)55.6%49.1%
ALSN Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.251.311.141.011.081.06
Up Beta2.151.921.671.461.601.10
Down Beta-1.051.171.190.670.681.04
Up Capture87%116%129%174%109%153%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days13213571130416
Down Capture-409%102%55%43%92%99%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days9222953120333

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALSN
ALSN29.3%26.8%0.93-
Sector ETF (XLY)21.8%18.7%0.9245.6%
Equity (SPY)29.0%12.5%1.8350.5%
Gold (GLD)39.8%27.0%1.2211.0%
Commodities (DBC)50.6%18.0%2.21-17.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.0%13.5%0.6637.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-17.9%42.1%-0.3518.0%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALSN
ALSN26.4%28.9%0.83-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.1%23.8%0.2643.4%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5950.2%
Gold (GLD)20.9%17.9%0.957.1%
Commodities (DBC)13.8%19.1%0.5915.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.0839.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.9%56.0%0.3416.2%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALSN
ALSN17.6%29.6%0.60-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.9%22.0%0.5447.0%
Equity (SPY)15.1%17.9%0.7253.3%
Gold (GLD)13.4%15.9%0.69-0.2%
Commodities (DBC)9.3%17.8%0.4421.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.8%20.7%0.2439.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.7%66.9%1.0710.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 33120261.3%
Average Daily Volume0.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity83.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/4/2026-1.3%  
2/23/20264.4%8.6%1.1%
10/29/20252.4%-1.0%9.8%
8/4/2025-1.8%0.3%0.3%
5/1/20254.1%5.7%9.5%
2/11/2025-12.5%-9.1%-17.8%
10/29/20247.9%9.5%18.7%
7/25/20244.0%3.4%7.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151616
# Negative1088
Median Positive4.4%3.9%8.8%
Median Negative-5.7%-6.3%-5.1%
Max Positive13.9%15.2%22.3%
Max Negative-12.5%-9.9%-17.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/24/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/02/202510-Q
12/31/202402/13/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202302/14/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue5.58 Bil5.75 Bil5.92 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 5.75 Bil for 2026
2026 Net Income600.00 Mil675.00 Mil750.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 675.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.36 Bil1.44 Bil1.51 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.44 Bil for 2026
2026 Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities970.00 Mil1.03 Bil1.10 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.03 Bil for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures295.00 Mil305.00 Mil315.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 305.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow655.00 Mil730.00 Mil805.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 730.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Allison Transmission Net Sales302.50 Mil3.10 Bil3.17 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.10 Bil for 2026
2026 Allison Off-Highway Net Sales2.55 Bil2.65 Bil2.75 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 2.65 Bil for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/23/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Consolidated Net Sales5.58 Bil5.75 Bil5.92 Bil91.7% Higher NewGuidance: 3.00 Bil for 2025
2026 Consolidated Net Income600.00 Mil675.00 Mil750.00 Mil6.3% Higher NewGuidance: 635.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Consolidated Capital Expenditures295.00 Mil305.00 Mil315.00 Mil79.4% Higher NewGuidance: 170.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Consolidated Adjusted Free Cash Flow655.00 Mil730.00 Mil805.00 Mil19.7% Higher NewGuidance: 610.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Allison Transmission Segment Net Sales3.02 Bil3.10 Bil3.17 Bil   
2026 Allison Off-Highway Drive and Motion Systems Segment Net Sales2.55 Bil2.65 Bil2.75 Bil   
2026 Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA1.36 Bil1.44 Bil1.51 Bil30.0% Higher NewGuidance: 1.11 Bil for 2025
2026 Consolidated Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities970.00 Mil1.03 Bil1.10 Bil32.7% Higher NewGuidance: 780.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Scroggins, Eric CCLO & Asst. SecretaryDirectSell3102026114.401,313150,2072,019,618Form
2Bohley, G FrederickAllison COO,Pres.&BU Leader ATDirectSell2172026116.4010,3481,204,51811,532,317Form
3Coll, JohnSVP, Global MSSDirectSell102202698.791,791176,933989,975Form
4Coll, JohnSVP, Global MSSDirectSell1001202584.321,788150,764995,988Form
5Bohley, G FrederickChief Operating OfficerDirectBuy815202589.503,000268,5008,867,113Form