Tearsheet

Allison Transmission (ALSN)


Market Price (10/18/2025): $80.9 | Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Allison Transmission (ALSN)


Market Price (10/18/2025): $80.9
Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 9.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.2%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 9.6%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.2%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ALSN Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALSN Return-9%-14%17%42%88%-24%81%
Peers Return9%25%-19%15%-24%9%5%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALSN Win Rate50%50%50%67%83%22% 
Peers Win Rate62%57%35%47%40%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALSN Max Drawdown-44%-23%-9%-0%-4%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-10%-33%-6%-28%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BWA, GNTX, LEA, VC, GT. See ALSN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventALSNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven463 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1060 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1631 days120 days


How Low Can It Go?

Allison Transmission's stock fell -28.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/14/2021. A -28.5% loss requires a 39.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Allison Transmission (ALSN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALSN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.3%-19.3%-19.3%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.3%-2.3%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.9%-7.9%-7.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-6.4%-6.4%-11.7%
ALSN_3312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312020ALSNAllison TransmissionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.9%27.6%-9.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.3%-19.3%-19.3%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.3%-2.3%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.9%-7.9%-7.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-6.4%-6.4%-11.7%
ALSN_3312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312020ALSNAllison TransmissionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.9%27.6%-9.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Allison Transmission

Financials

ALSNBWAGNTXLEAVCGTMedian
NameAllison .BorgWarn.Gentex Lear Visteon Goodyear. 
Mkt Price80.8842.5926.0199.46113.786.8661.73
Mkt Cap6.89.35.75.33.12.05.5
Rev LTM3,20014,0062,38522,8903,82218,4898,914
Op Inc LTM1,0001,292466860343735798
FCF LTM6541,000405478331-522442
FCF 3Y Avg646625338526242-396432
CFO LTM8221,5825541,032466498688
CFO 3Y Avg7941,3085001,109366689741

Growth & Margins

ALSNBWAGNTXLEAVCGTMedian
NameAllison .BorgWarn.Gentex Lear Visteon Goodyear. 
Rev Chg LTM2.7%-2.8%2.4%-21.6%-3.3%-4.5%-3.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.0%6.6%11.1%8.0%8.5%-2.7%8.0%
Rev Chg Q-0.2%-2.2%14.8%-48.0%-4.4%-2.3%-2.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%-0.6%3.7%-19.5%-1.2%-0.6%-0.6%
Op Mgn LTM31.2%9.2%19.5%3.8%9.0%4.0%9.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg30.3%9.0%20.3%3.8%7.7%3.9%8.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.1%-0.3%0.1%-0.0%-0.8%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM25.7%11.3%23.2%4.5%12.2%2.7%11.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.7%9.3%21.8%4.5%9.3%3.5%9.3%
FCF/Rev LTM20.4%7.1%17.0%2.1%8.7%-2.8%7.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.9%4.5%14.7%2.1%6.2%-2.0%5.3%

Valuation

ALSNBWAGNTXLEAVCGTMedian
NameAllison .BorgWarn.Gentex Lear Visteon Goodyear. 
Mkt Cap6.89.35.75.33.12.05.5
P/S2.10.72.40.20.80.10.7
P/EBIT6.717.212.36.69.12.07.9
P/E8.932.014.211.410.74.811.0
P/CFO8.35.810.35.26.74.06.3
Total Yield11.6%3.6%8.9%11.9%9.4%20.9%10.5%
Dividend Yield0.4%0.5%1.9%3.2%0.0%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.1%8.0%5.6%8.4%8.2%-11.9%8.1%
D/E0.40.40.00.50.14.60.4
Net D/E0.20.3-0.00.4-0.14.20.2

Returns

ALSNBWAGNTXLEAVCGTMedian
NameAllison .BorgWarn.Gentex Lear Visteon Goodyear. 
1M Rtn-7.4%-3.6%-10.1%-6.1%-9.0%-19.6%-8.2%
3M Rtn-7.0%22.2%13.9%-3.7%4.2%-35.7%0.3%
6M Rtn-8.7%62.2%21.8%27.2%58.8%-29.6%24.5%
12M Rtn-18.8%23.7%-10.6%-3.1%26.2%-18.4%-6.9%
3Y Rtn127.4%47.8%10.6%-16.1%-5.4%-40.4%2.6%
1M Excs Rtn-9.6%-4.6%-10.5%-7.8%-11.2%-20.8%-10.1%
3M Excs Rtn-11.2%15.2%7.2%-10.8%-1.2%-43.4%-6.0%
6M Excs Rtn-34.8%36.1%-4.3%1.1%32.7%-55.8%-1.6%
12M Excs Rtn-31.7%8.9%-24.0%-16.5%12.4%-31.7%-20.2%
3Y Excs Rtn49.1%-31.7%-72.1%-97.2%-88.2%-124.4%-80.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Design, manufacture and distribution of vehicle propulsion solutions3,0352,7692,4022,0812,698
Total3,0352,7692,4022,0812,698


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,000,110
Short Interest: % Change Since 91520259.7%
Average Daily Volume946,468
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.17
Basic Shares Quantity84,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/4/2025-1.8%0.3%0.0%
5/1/20254.1%5.7%9.5%
2/11/2025-12.5%-9.1%-17.8%
10/29/20247.9%9.5%18.7%
7/25/20244.0%3.4%7.6%
4/25/2024-7.2%-7.0%-5.2%
2/13/202413.9%15.2%22.3%
10/25/2023-10.4%-9.9%-4.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131515
# Negative1199
Median Positive5.1%3.4%8.1%
Median Negative-6.3%-6.3%-5.2%
Max Positive13.9%15.2%22.3%
Max Negative-12.5%-9.9%-28.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211028202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Bohley G FrederickChief Operating Officer8152025Buy89.503,000268,5008,867,113Form
1Scroggins Eric C.VP, Gen. Counsel & Assist. Sec5092025Sell98.055,358525,3521,340,049Form
2Coll JohnSVP, Global MSS4032025Sell95.331,788170,4501,466,938Form
3Milburn Ryan A.VP, Engr. & Tech Dev.3182025Sell96.204,546437,3251,360,076Form
4Milburn Ryan A.VP, Engr. & Tech Dev.2272025Sell98.5466265,2331,471,301Form