Tearsheet

Allegiant Travel (ALGT)


Market Price (11/22/2025): $65.84 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

Allegiant Travel (ALGT)


Market Price (11/22/2025): $65.84
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ALGT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 26.7% stock movement for Allegiant Travel (ALGT) from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 22, 2025: 1. Strong Full-Year 2025 Guidance Despite Q3 Loss. Allegiant Travel reported a GAAP diluted loss per share of $(2.41) for the third quarter of 2025, missing analyst estimates. However, the company raised its full-year airline-only earnings per share (EPS) guidance to over $4.35 per share and projected a double-digit operating margin for the fourth quarter of 2025, indicating a positive outlook for future profitability.

2. Strategic Focus Shift with Sunseeker Resort Sale. The sale of the Sunseeker Resort, completed by September 4, 2025, allowed Allegiant to re-center its operations on its core airline business. This move was anticipated to strengthen the company's balance sheet and improve overall earnings by streamlining its focus.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALGT Return9%-1%-64%23%16%-34%-63%
Peers Return-23%-2%-32%56%46%-16%-0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%11%102%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALGT Win Rate58%33%25%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate33%33%31%42%48%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALGT Max Drawdown-62%-14%-66%-16%-55%-57% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-9%-37%-12%-8%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SKYW, JBLU, CAKR, RJET, DAL. See ALGT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/21/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALGTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven371.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven168.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven210 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven357 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-55.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days1480 days

Compare to SKYW, JBLU, CAKR, RJET, DAL


In The Past

Allegiant Travel's stock fell -78.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -78.8% loss requires a 371.1% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Allegiant Travel (ALGT)

Better Bets than Allegiant Travel (ALGT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALGT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.4%-12.4%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-14.2%-14.2%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-12.2%-12.2%-12.2%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.5%-4.5%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.8%-10.8%-10.8%
ALGT_9302023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302023ALGTAllegiant TravelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.4%-29.2%-51.3%
ALGT_5312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312022ALGTAllegiant TravelDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-46.3%-34.8%-57.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.4%-12.4%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-14.2%-14.2%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-12.2%-12.2%-12.2%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.5%-4.5%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.8%-10.8%-10.8%
ALGT_9302023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302023ALGTAllegiant TravelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.4%-29.2%-51.3%
ALGT_5312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312022ALGTAllegiant TravelDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-46.3%-34.8%-57.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Allegiant Travel

Financials

ALGTSKYWJBLUCAKRRJETDALMedian
NameAllegian.SkyWest JetBlue .Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai. 
Mkt Price65.4595.394.19--58.5762.01
Mkt Cap1.23.81.5--38.02.7
Rev LTM2,5783,9789,095-1,35362,9203,978
Op Inc LTM154628-222-2586,072258
FCF LTM9319-1,354-1383,074138
FCF 3Y Avg-44374-1,156--1231,835-44
CFO LTM362895-160-2227,976362
CFO 3Y Avg373758153-2457,253373

Growth & Margins

ALGTSKYWJBLUCAKRRJETDALMedian
NameAllegian.SkyWest JetBlue .Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai. 
Rev Chg LTM3.3%19.3%-2.5%-3.7%4.3%3.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.8%9.4%2.3%--0.1%10.8%5.8%
Rev Chg Q-0.0%15.0%-1.8%-30.9%6.4%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.0%3.6%-0.5%-7.4%1.6%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM6.0%15.8%-2.4%-19.1%9.7%9.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.3%9.5%-1.0%-12.2%9.5%9.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.5%-0.9%-2.1%0.3%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM14.0%22.5%-1.8%-16.4%12.7%14.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.8%22.4%1.5%-18.1%12.1%14.8%
FCF/Rev LTM0.3%8.0%-14.9%-10.2%4.9%4.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.7%11.2%-12.4%--9.2%3.0%-1.7%

Valuation

ALGTSKYWJBLUCAKRRJETDALMedian
NameAllegian.SkyWest JetBlue .Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai. 
Mkt Cap1.23.81.5--38.02.7
P/S0.51.00.2--0.60.5
P/EBIT-4.75.6-23.8--5.80.5
P/E-4.08.9-3.2--8.22.5
P/CFO3.34.3-9.5--4.83.8
Total Yield-24.8%11.3%-30.8%--12.8%-6.7%
Dividend Yield-0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.6%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.6%13.4%-60.1%--5.7%1.0%
D/E1.80.66.2--0.61.2
Net D/E1.00.44.5--0.50.7

Returns

ALGTSKYWJBLUCAKRRJETDALMedian
NameAllegian.SkyWest JetBlue .Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai. 
1M Rtn-1.4%-5.2%-9.3%---2.4%-3.8%
3M Rtn8.0%-19.9%-22.1%---4.8%-12.3%
6M Rtn25.0%-2.6%-15.0%--23.0%10.2%
12M Rtn-12.9%-12.9%-31.9%---6.4%-12.9%
3Y Rtn-12.3%446.6%-46.3%--75.9%31.8%
1M Excs Rtn3.0%-1.7%-6.3%--1.7%-0.0%
3M Excs Rtn7.3%-24.0%-22.7%---5.3%-14.0%
6M Excs Rtn11.3%-16.4%-28.8%--9.2%-3.6%
12M Excs Rtn-19.1%-24.8%-41.3%---20.1%-22.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-82.2%378.0%-113.9%--9.7%-36.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline4,2134,0473,8723,2152,830
Sunseeker65646411937133
Other non- airline   847
Total4,8694,5113,9913,2593,011


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,009,948
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-7.0%
Average Daily Volume285,581
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.04
Basic Shares Quantity18,050,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/202525.1%15.0% 
8/4/20250.6%0.9%35.5%
5/6/20253.7%18.1%11.1%
2/4/2025-15.3%-13.6%-36.7%
10/30/20243.3%17.3%30.0%
7/31/2024-11.1%-30.2%-24.3%
5/7/2024-4.2%2.2%-3.7%
2/5/2024-7.6%-0.6%-7.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141510
# Negative9813
Median Positive3.8%6.9%24.9%
Median Negative-2.9%-7.6%-7.0%
Max Positive25.1%18.1%46.1%
Max Negative-15.3%-30.2%-36.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Morgan Sandra Douglass 10302025Sell65.0035022,750711,750Form