Tearsheet

Allegiant Travel (ALGT)


Market Price (11/1/2025): $62.2 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

Allegiant Travel (ALGT)


Market Price (11/1/2025): $62.2
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 106%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.1%
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.1%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 106%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ALGT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Allegiant Travel (ALGT) stock moved by 20.4% from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 1, 2025: 1. Strong Q2 2025 Operating Margins and Fleet Modernization. Allegiant Travel reported robust Q2 2025 operating margins that surpassed previous guidance, coupled with a strategic fleet update that included the delivery of five new 737 MAX jets. This indicated improved operational efficiency and a commitment to cost reduction and modernization, fostering a positive sentiment among investors.

2. Encouraging July 2025 Traffic Results. The company's preliminary passenger traffic results for July 2025, released on August 29, 2025, showed a 10.3% year-over-year increase in scheduled traffic (revenue passenger miles) and a 10.1% rise in total system passengers, indicating strong demand for its leisure-focused travel services.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALGT Return9%-1%-64%23%16%-35%-60%
Peers Return-31%-3%-33%44%68%-14%-6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALGT Win Rate58%33%25%50%50%33% 
Peers Win Rate43%42%45%50%68%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALGT Max Drawdown-62%-14%-66%-16%-55%-57% 
Peers Max Drawdown-69%-12%-41%-18%-11%-38% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SKYW, JBLU, DAL, UAL, LUV. See ALGT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/31/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALGTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven371.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven168.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven210 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven357 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-55.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days1480 days

Compare to SKYW, JBLU, DAL, UAL, LUV


In The Past

Allegiant Travel's stock fell -78.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -78.8% loss requires a 371.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Allegiant Travel (ALGT)

Better Bets than Allegiant Travel (ALGT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALGT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.8%-5.8%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.8%
ALGT_9302023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302023ALGTAllegiant TravelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.4%-29.2%-51.3%
ALGT_5312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312022ALGTAllegiant TravelDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-46.3%-34.8%-57.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.8%-5.8%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.8%
ALGT_9302023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302023ALGTAllegiant TravelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.4%-29.2%-51.3%
ALGT_5312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312022ALGTAllegiant TravelDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-46.3%-34.8%-57.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Allegiant Travel

Financials

ALGTSKYWJBLUDALUALLUVMedian
NameAllegian.SkyWest JetBlue .Delta Ai.United A.Southwes. 
Mkt Price62.18100.484.2057.3894.0430.3059.78
Mkt Cap1.14.11.537.230.415.810.0
Rev LTM2,5783,8419,09562,92058,36827,55118,323
Op Inc LTM160585-2226,0725,165315450
FCF LTM102253-1,3543,0743,710-250178
FCF 3Y Avg-38290-1,1561,8351,783-1,019126
CFO LTM385798-1607,9769,3692,0241,411
CFO 3Y Avg3737071537,2538,2201,9171,312

Growth & Margins

ALGTSKYWJBLUDALUALLUVMedian
NameAllegian.SkyWest JetBlue .Delta Ai.United A.Southwes. 
Rev Chg LTM3.2%20.5%-2.5%4.3%4.2%0.6%3.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.7%8.5%2.3%10.8%13.2%6.8%8.1%
Rev Chg Q3.5%19.4%-1.8%6.4%2.6%1.1%3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.9%4.6%-0.5%1.6%0.7%0.3%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM6.2%15.2%-2.4%9.7%8.8%1.1%7.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.7%9.0%-1.0%9.5%9.2%0.3%8.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.7%-0.9%0.3%-0.5%-0.0%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM14.9%20.8%-1.8%12.7%16.1%7.3%13.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.8%21.4%1.5%12.1%14.8%7.3%13.4%
FCF/Rev LTM3.9%6.6%-14.9%4.9%6.4%-0.9%4.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.6%8.8%-12.4%3.0%3.1%-3.8%0.7%

Valuation

ALGTSKYWJBLUDALUALLUVMedian
NameAllegian.SkyWest JetBlue .Delta Ai.United A.Southwes. 
Mkt Cap1.14.11.537.230.415.810.0
P/S0.41.10.20.60.50.60.5
P/EBIT-4.46.3-23.95.75.525.85.6
P/E-3.910.0-3.38.09.241.88.6
P/CFO2.95.1-9.54.73.27.84.0
Total Yield-25.6%10.0%-30.7%13.0%10.8%4.9%7.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.0%2.5%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.6%9.4%-60.1%5.7%7.7%-5.9%1.6%
D/E1.80.66.20.61.00.30.8
Net D/E1.10.54.50.50.60.10.5

Returns

ALGTSKYWJBLUDALUALLUVMedian
NameAllegian.SkyWest JetBlue .Delta Ai.United A.Southwes. 
1M Rtn4.6%-0.4%-10.3%2.6%1.0%-6.1%0.3%
3M Rtn29.2%-7.9%-1.6%12.5%11.2%2.2%6.7%
6M Rtn22.0%7.1%-11.8%31.1%27.0%2.7%14.6%
12M Rtn-4.4%5.5%-26.3%1.5%20.2%1.3%1.4%
3Y Rtn-14.7%466.7%-47.6%75.4%120.4%-12.2%31.6%
1M Excs Rtn1.9%-1.4%-12.5%-1.0%-2.7%-8.1%-2.1%
3M Excs Rtn19.9%-16.5%-11.3%1.5%0.0%-5.6%-2.8%
6M Excs Rtn1.8%-13.2%-32.0%10.8%6.7%-17.6%-5.7%
12M Excs Rtn-14.8%-12.5%-48.1%-16.0%5.0%-17.4%-15.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-88.4%366.3%-122.3%-4.6%43.0%-84.2%-44.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline2,5072,3021,7089771,822
Sunseeker30012
Other non- airline   1216
Total2,5102,3021,7089901,841


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline251137271-105389
Sunseeker-30-45-8-146-7
Other non- airline   -31-18
Total22192263-281364


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline4,2014,047 3,2152,830
Sunseeker656464 37133
Other non- airline   847
Total4,8574,511 3,2593,011


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,160,592
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020256.7%
Average Daily Volume258,587
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.36
Basic Shares Quantity17,995,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/4/20250.6%0.9%35.5%
5/6/20253.7%18.1%11.1%
2/4/2025-15.3%-13.6%-36.7%
10/30/20243.3%17.3%30.0%
7/31/2024-11.1%-30.2%-24.3%
5/7/2024-1.5%10.0%-0.3%
2/5/20247.4%8.3%3.0%
11/2/2023-2.3%-7.5%9.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151612
# Negative8711
Median Positive4.0%7.8%19.1%
Median Negative-2.4%-7.8%-6.2%
Max Positive21.2%18.1%46.1%
Max Negative-15.3%-30.2%-36.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211028202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Morgan Sandra Douglass 10302025Sell65.0035022,750711,750Form