Tearsheet

Align Technology (ALGN)


Market Price (10/21/2025): $135.17 | Market Cap: $9.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Supplies

Align Technology (ALGN)


Market Price (10/21/2025): $135.17
Market Cap: $9.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Supplies

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -104%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.6%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.5%
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.5%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -104%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.6%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ALGN Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALGN Return92%23%-68%30%-24%-35%-53%
Peers Return24%27%-27%19%-14%-11%5%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALGN Win Rate75%50%33%58%42%56% 
Peers Win Rate63%60%43%58%42%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALGN Max Drawdown-51%-7%-73%-13%-26%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-7%-39%-10%-21%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STE, HSIC, XRAY, WST, COO. See ALGN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/20/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventALGNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven318.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven116.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven113 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-55.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven126.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven409 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-82.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven474.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1257 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Align Technology's stock fell -76.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/8/2021. A -76.1% loss requires a 318.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Align Technology (ALGN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALGN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADMA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025ADMAADMA BiologicsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-4.6%
REGN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-0.8%
HAE_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09262025HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.3%4.3%-0.1%
WAT_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025WATWatersMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.2%11.2%-4.3%
ISRG_9052025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09052025ISRGIntuitive SurgicalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.4%-4.4%-8.0%
ALGN_7312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312025ALGNAlign TechnologyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADMA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025ADMAADMA BiologicsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-4.6%
REGN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-0.8%
HAE_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09262025HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.3%4.3%-0.1%
WAT_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025WATWatersMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.2%11.2%-4.3%
ISRG_9052025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09052025ISRGIntuitive SurgicalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.4%-4.4%-8.0%
ALGN_7312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312025ALGNAlign TechnologyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Align Technology

Financials

ALGNSTEHSICXRAYWSTCOOMedian
NameAlign Te.Steris Henry Sc.Dentsply.West Pha.Cooper C. 
Mkt Price134.93242.2263.9312.93274.9074.99104.96
Mkt Cap9.823.87.82.619.814.912.4
Rev LTM3,9655,57112,7733,6712,9604,0464,005
Op Inc LTM638997771253622741689
FCF LTM632909334138344412378
FCF 3Y Avg549666436233366274401
CFO LTM7311,264512283677816704
CFO 3Y Avg7061,022619381712665685

Growth & Margins

ALGNSTEHSICXRAYWSTCOOMedian
NameAlign Te.Steris Henry Sc.Dentsply.West Pha.Cooper C. 
Rev Chg LTM0.6%6.4%2.3%-5.8%2.9%6.4%2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.1%8.2%0.2%-3.9%0.4%7.9%0.3%
Rev Chg Q-1.6%8.7%3.3%-4.9%9.2%5.7%4.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.4%2.0%0.8%-1.3%2.2%1.4%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM16.1%17.9%6.0%6.9%21.0%18.3%17.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.3%17.6%5.8%7.0%22.2%16.5%16.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%0.3%-0.0%1.2%0.5%-0.7%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM18.4%22.7%4.0%7.7%22.9%20.2%19.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.3%19.8%4.9%9.9%24.6%17.5%17.9%
FCF/Rev LTM15.9%16.3%2.6%3.8%11.6%10.2%10.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.2%12.8%3.5%6.0%12.6%7.2%9.9%

Valuation

ALGNSTEHSICXRAYWSTCOOMedian
NameAlign Te.Steris Henry Sc.Dentsply.West Pha.Cooper C. 
Mkt Cap9.823.87.82.619.814.912.4
P/S2.54.30.60.76.73.73.1
P/EBIT15.425.811.8-2.533.220.718.0
P/E22.436.920.0-2.740.736.629.5
P/CFO13.418.915.29.129.318.316.8
Total Yield4.5%3.7%5.0%-33.1%2.6%2.7%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%0.0%3.8%0.2%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.0%2.9%4.8%4.6%1.7%1.7%3.0%
D/E0.00.10.41.00.00.20.1
Net D/E-0.10.10.40.8-0.00.20.1

Returns

ALGNSTEHSICXRAYWSTCOOMedian
NameAlign Te.Steris Henry Sc.Dentsply.West Pha.Cooper C. 
1M Rtn2.7%-2.6%-5.8%-0.5%7.9%10.0%1.1%
3M Rtn-28.6%9.1%-7.4%-16.2%31.0%5.1%-1.1%
6M Rtn-21.7%11.3%1.3%3.2%33.8%-4.7%2.3%
12M Rtn-38.6%8.4%-11.7%-45.5%-6.0%-30.7%-21.2%
3Y Rtn-35.0%49.2%-9.0%-51.9%18.9%15.4%3.2%
1M Excs Rtn1.6%-3.7%-6.9%-1.5%6.8%8.9%0.1%
3M Excs Rtn-37.2%1.8%-18.2%-26.9%18.9%-4.1%-11.1%
6M Excs Rtn-52.2%-19.3%-29.2%-27.4%3.2%-35.3%-28.3%
12M Excs Rtn-52.8%-7.0%-26.2%-60.6%-19.9%-46.2%-36.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-120.0%-36.3%-88.6%-135.3%-72.5%-66.0%-80.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Clear Aligner3,1993,0733,2472,1012,026
Systems and Services663662706370381
Total3,8623,7353,9532,4722,407


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Clear Aligner1,1821,1341,326768836
Systems and Services19118025996138
Unallocated corporate expenses-730-672-609-477-431
Total643643976387542


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,138,506
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-4.2%
Average Daily Volume1,200,910
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.78
Basic Shares Quantity72,565,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/30/2025-36.6%-32.8%-30.7%
4/30/20252.0%-0.6%4.4%
2/5/20250.9%-5.1%-19.7%
10/23/20244.2%1.5%9.9%
7/24/2024-7.7%-5.3%-6.6%
4/24/2024-1.0%-9.3%-19.6%
1/31/20242.3%6.5%12.2%
10/25/2023-24.9%-27.8%-13.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131211
# Negative111213
Median Positive7.5%9.9%11.4%
Median Negative-7.7%-8.3%-13.5%
Max Positive35.0%30.9%31.4%
Max Negative-36.6%-32.8%-30.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211102202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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