Tearsheet

Align Technology (ALGN)


Market Price (12/10/2025): $158.74 | Market Cap: $11.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Supplies

Align Technology (ALGN)


Market Price (12/10/2025): $158.74
Market Cap: $11.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Supplies

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


Our Take: Align Technology shows growth in younger patient segments and benefits from innovation, underpinned by a strong balance sheet. However, emerging competition, weak stock performance, declining margins, and tepid revenue growth present significant headwinds.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
Emerging threat from in-office production
3D printing enables dental practices to produce aligners, cutting into ALGN's revenue.
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.3%
  Poor recent stock performance
ALGN's 12-month return was -33.1%, significantly underperforming S&P 500's 14.0%.
2 Teen and kids segment growth
Clear Aligner volume for younger patients jumped 8.3% YoY in Q3 2025.
  Declining net income margin
Net Income Margin decreased to 9.5% LTM from 11.5% in 2023.
3 Global market expansion
International business consistently shows stronger growth than Americas.
  Stagnant revenue growth
LTM revenue growth of 0.6% lags many Health Care Supplies industry peers.
4 Product innovation
New systems like Invisalign Palatal Expander and ClinCheck Live Plan enhance efficiency.
  High valuation multiples
P/E of 24.0 is above some peers like HALO (14.4) and CPRX (11.1) in the sector.

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Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALGN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Align Technology (ALGN) experienced a significant stock movement around late October/early November 2025, primarily due to the following key points:

1. Better-than-expected Q3 2025 Financial Results: The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $2.61, surpassing the analyst consensus of $2.42, and revenue of $995.7 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $975.92 million. These results also surpassed the company's own guidance.

2. Strong Growth in Clear Aligner Volume: Clear Aligner volume increased by 4.9% year-over-year to 647,800 cases, driven by significant growth in teen and kids' cases, which jumped 8.3% year-over-year and 14.7% sequentially.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALGN Return92%23%-68%30%-24%-24%-43%
Peers Return7%41%-33%-9%-31%-19%-48%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALGN Win Rate75%50%33%58%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate56%50%40%48%42%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALGN Max Drawdown-51%-7%-73%-13%-26%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-4%-41%-31%-43%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NVST, XRAY, HSIC, DDD. See ALGN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/9/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALGNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven318.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven116.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven113 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-55.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven126.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven409 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-82.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven474.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1257 days1480 days

Compare to STE, HSIC, XRAY, WST, COO


In The Past

Align Technology's stock fell -76.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/8/2021. A -76.1% loss requires a 318.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Align Technology (ALGN)

Better Bets than Align Technology (ALGN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALGN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%10.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.1%-9.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.8%-0.8%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.9%13.9%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
20.0%20.0%-5.1%
ALGN_7312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312025ALGNAlign TechnologyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
23.2%23.2%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%10.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.1%-9.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.8%-0.8%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.9%13.9%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
20.0%20.0%-5.1%
ALGN_7312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312025ALGNAlign TechnologyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
23.2%23.2%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Align Technology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALGNNVSTXRAYHSICDDDMedian
NameAlign Te.Envista Dentsply.Henry Sc.3D Syste. 
Mkt Price159.0020.6211.1174.441.7720.62
Mkt Cap11.53.42.28.90.23.4
Rev LTM3,9832,6223,62412,9383923,624
Op Inc LTM604219235764-98235
FCF LTM56726280356-94262
FCF 3Y Avg542251221455-90251
CFO LTM656300221535-81300
CFO 3Y Avg680297371644-72371

Growth & Margins

ALGNNVSTXRAYHSICDDDMedian
NameAlign Te.Envista Dentsply.Henry Sc.3D Syste. 
Rev Chg LTM0.6%4.7%-7.1%3.5%-11.8%0.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.0%0.8%-3.5%0.9%-11.0%0.8%
Rev Chg Q1.8%11.5%-4.9%5.2%-19.2%1.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%2.7%-1.3%1.3%-5.2%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM15.2%8.3%6.5%5.9%-25.0%6.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.0%9.3%6.8%5.7%-25.0%6.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%1.2%-0.4%-0.1%2.8%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM16.5%11.4%6.1%4.1%-20.7%6.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.4%11.6%9.6%5.1%-16.2%9.6%
FCF/Rev LTM14.2%10.0%2.2%2.8%-24.1%2.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.9%9.8%5.7%3.6%-20.3%5.7%

Valuation

ALGNNVSTXRAYHSICDDDMedian
NameAlign Te.Envista Dentsply.Henry Sc.3D Syste. 
Mkt Cap11.53.42.28.90.23.4
P/S2.31.30.70.60.90.9
P/EBIT15.017.6-3.211.99.511.9
P/E24.0221.1-2.920.423.223.2
P/CFO13.811.311.514.9-4.511.5
Total Yield4.2%0.5%-31.0%4.9%4.3%4.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%3.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.7%6.8%4.3%5.0%-20.2%4.3%
D/E0.00.51.00.40.50.5
Net D/E-0.10.10.80.40.20.2

Returns

ALGNNVSTXRAYHSICDDDMedian
NameAlign Te.Envista Dentsply.Henry Sc.3D Syste. 
1M Rtn17.9%6.0%-0.6%3.5%-20.3%3.5%
3M Rtn17.0%-0.9%-19.1%10.0%-15.7%-0.9%
6M Rtn-15.5%7.7%-30.7%4.3%-3.8%-3.8%
12M Rtn-33.1%3.0%-40.4%-0.7%-45.7%-33.1%
3Y Rtn-15.8%-37.2%-60.3%-8.3%-80.9%-37.2%
1M Excs Rtn16.3%4.4%-2.3%1.9%-21.9%1.9%
3M Excs Rtn14.9%-5.4%-22.6%5.7%-21.2%-5.4%
6M Excs Rtn-28.7%-5.5%-44.0%-9.0%-17.1%-17.1%
12M Excs Rtn-42.8%-9.9%-52.6%-9.9%-47.0%-42.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-87.9%-108.8%-130.1%-78.6%-150.6%-108.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Clear Aligner3,1993,0733,2472,1012,026
Systems and Services663662706370381
Total3,8623,7353,9532,4722,407


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Clear Aligner1,1821,1341,326768836
Systems and Services19118025996138
Unallocated corporate expenses-730-672-609-477-431
Total643643976387542


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,541,495
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-15.3%
Average Daily Volume1,914,110
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.33
Basic Shares Quantity72,377,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20254.9%4.0%11.2%
7/30/2025-36.6%-32.8%-30.7%
4/30/20252.0%-0.6%4.4%
2/5/20250.9%-5.1%-19.7%
10/23/20244.2%1.5%9.9%
7/24/2024-7.7%-5.3%-6.6%
4/24/2024-1.0%-9.3%-19.6%
1/31/20242.3%6.5%12.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131211
# Negative111213
Median Positive4.9%8.5%11.2%
Median Negative-7.7%-8.3%-13.5%
Max Positive35.0%30.9%31.4%
Max Negative-36.6%-32.8%-30.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021