Tearsheet

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)


Market Price (12/16/2025): $26.98 | Market Cap: $4.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)


Market Price (12/16/2025): $26.98
Market Cap: $4.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.8%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 184%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.8%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%
2  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.8%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.8%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 184%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AEO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Financial Performance and Upgraded Outlooks. American Eagle Outfitters reported robust financial results, including a record revenue of $1.3 billion in Q2 2024, alongside a 55% surge in operating income and a 56% increase in earnings per share to $0.39. The company consistently exceeded analyst expectations, leading to raised financial forecasts for Q4 2024, with operating profit expected to reach $130 million, up from earlier guidance. Fiscal year 2024, ending February 1, 2025, also saw record revenue of $5.3 billion and adjusted operating income increasing by 19% to $445 million.

2. Successful Execution of the "Powering Profitable Growth Plan". The company made significant progress on its "Powering Profitable Growth Plan" throughout fiscal 2024, a strategy designed to achieve $5.7 billion to $6.0 billion in revenue and a 10% operating margin by the end of fiscal 2026. This strategic initiative demonstrated strong operating profit growth, positive momentum across brands and channels, disciplined expense management, and operational efficiencies, instilling investor confidence in its long-term vision.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AEO Return39%29%-43%55%-19%59%101%
Peers Return-17%68%33%21%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AEO Win Rate50%58%25%67%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%42%57%50%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AEO Max Drawdown-54%-1%-61%-27%-21%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-21%-19%-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ANF, URBN, VSCO, BKE, GES. See AEO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/15/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAEOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven289.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven122.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven105.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven453 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven383.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4530 days1480 days

Compare to URBN, ANF, LB, TJX, ROST


In The Past

American Eagle Outfitters's stock fell -74.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/23/2021. A -74.3% loss requires a 289.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)

Better Bets than American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AEO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%
AEO_3312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312025AEOAmerican Eagle OutfittersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
52.0%126.3%-18.9%
AEO_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020AEOAmerican Eagle OutfittersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
76.0%272.2%-15.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%
AEO_3312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312025AEOAmerican Eagle OutfittersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
52.0%126.3%-18.9%
AEO_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020AEOAmerican Eagle OutfittersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
76.0%272.2%-15.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for American Eagle Outfitters

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AEOANFURBNVSCOBKEGESMedian
NameAmerican.Abercrom.Urban Ou.Victoria.Buckle Guess  
Mkt Price27.01118.7082.7054.7657.1016.7755.93
Mkt Cap2.94.06.42.22.90.92.9
Rev LTM5,3415,1816,0006,3901,2783,1445,261
Op Inc LTM290719572310257125300
FCF LTM15738540330921562262
FCF 3Y Avg310468281240207122261
CFO LTM424621633500260145462
CFO 3Y Avg530659491452248202472

Growth & Margins

AEOANFURBNVSCOBKEGESMedian
NameAmerican.Abercrom.Urban Ou.Victoria.Buckle Guess  
Rev Chg LTM-1.2%7.6%11.1%3.0%4.7%6.4%5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.3%12.4%8.2%-0.5%-1.1%5.7%4.0%
Rev Chg Q5.7%6.8%12.3%9.3%9.3%7.2%8.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%1.6%2.9%2.0%2.2%1.7%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM5.4%13.9%9.5%4.9%20.1%4.0%7.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.6%12.3%8.0%4.5%20.7%6.5%7.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-0.7%-0.0%0.4%0.1%-0.6%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.9%12.0%10.5%7.8%20.3%4.6%9.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.2%14.2%8.9%7.2%19.6%7.0%9.5%
FCF/Rev LTM2.9%7.4%6.7%4.8%16.8%2.0%5.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.0%10.2%5.1%3.8%16.4%4.3%5.5%

Valuation

AEOANFURBNVSCOBKEGESMedian
NameAmerican.Abercrom.Urban Ou.Victoria.Buckle Guess  
Mkt Cap2.94.06.42.22.90.92.9
P/S0.50.81.10.32.30.30.7
P/EBIT-------
P/E13.97.713.112.914.310.713.0
P/CFO6.86.510.14.411.35.96.6
Total Yield8.8%13.0%7.6%7.7%13.7%16.4%10.9%
Dividend Yield1.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%6.7%7.1%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

AEOANFURBNVSCOBKEGESMedian
NameAmerican.Abercrom.Urban Ou.Victoria.Buckle Guess  
1M Rtn53.8%70.2%34.6%53.4%1.6%0.4%44.0%
3M Rtn38.7%35.5%14.9%97.7%-6.5%1.7%25.2%
6M Rtn184.3%58.3%16.8%194.1%29.7%45.7%52.0%
12M Rtn63.5%-16.8%57.7%12.4%18.6%19.0%18.8%
3Y Rtn101.7%445.0%214.8%43.1%68.1%11.2%84.9%
1M Excs Rtn52.8%64.6%29.7%55.5%0.5%-1.2%41.2%
3M Excs Rtn33.9%33.7%14.4%105.1%-8.7%-1.5%24.1%
6M Excs Rtn171.3%45.3%3.8%181.1%16.7%32.7%39.0%
12M Excs Rtn47.3%-25.5%48.3%3.9%5.1%4.4%4.8%
3Y Excs Rtn8.9%319.1%119.1%-53.5%-10.3%-68.8%-0.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
American Eagle3,3623,2633,5562,7343,480
Aerie1,6701,5071,376990801
Other489469793528
Intersegment Elimination-259-249   
Total5,2624,9905,0113,7594,308


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
American Eagle60054178693484
Aerie2761672126047
Intersegment Elimination0    
Other-36-57-407-425-298
Impairment, restructuring and other charges-153-22   
Unallocated corporate expenses-464-383   
Total223247591-271233


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,999,157
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.3%
Average Daily Volume6,221,826
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.54
Basic Shares Quantity168,925,000
Short % of Basic Shares13.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/2/202515.1%14.8% 
9/3/202538.0%41.3%24.4%
5/29/2025-2.0%-9.3%-14.0%
3/12/2025-4.1%4.0%-6.7%
12/4/2024-14.3%-14.1%-16.2%
8/29/2024-4.2%-11.3%1.2%
5/29/2024-7.6%-9.8%-17.0%
3/7/2024-1.9%-1.0%4.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111011
# Negative141514
Median Positive2.5%7.5%8.8%
Median Negative-4.2%-9.3%-14.0%
Max Positive38.0%41.3%26.3%
Max Negative-14.3%-21.8%-20.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251209202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025909202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025605202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025320202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241204202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024829202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024530202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024315202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231121202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023906202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023525202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023313202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221123202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022907202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022526202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022314202210-K 1/29/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Spiegel Noel Joseph 9092025Sell18.1240,000724,856 Form
1PAGE JANICE E 9092025Sell18.0426,869484,7171,630,509Form
2MCMILLAN CARY D 9092025Sell18.119,002163,071 Form
3Foyle Jennifer M.Global Brand President-aerie9092025Sell18.1454,950996,7934,010,881Form
4MCMILLAN CARY D 1172025Sell16.022,99948,044 Form