American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)


Market Price (8/17/2026): $16.165 | Market Cap: $2.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)


Market Price (8/17/2026): $16.165
Market Cap: $2.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.1%, FCF Yield is 6.8%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65%

Key risks
AEO key risks include [1] its failure to anticipate rapidly changing fashion trends in a highly competitive retail landscape and [2] inventory mismanagement leading to significant write-downs and reduced margins.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.1%, FCF Yield is 6.8%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65%
5 Key risks
AEO key risks include [1] its failure to anticipate rapidly changing fashion trends in a highly competitive retail landscape and [2] inventory mismanagement leading to significant write-downs and reduced margins.

AEO in ETFs

Weight = AEO's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.08%
IJR0.14%
VYM0.01%
VB0.03%
AVUV0.30%
VIOV0.17%
+14 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/12/2026

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) stock has lost about 5% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance Led to Post-Earnings Decline.

American Eagle Outfitters reported its fiscal Q1 2026 results (for the quarter ended May 2, 2026) on May 28, 2026. While the company exceeded analyst estimates with an EPS of $0.14 against a consensus of $0.10-$0.11 and total net revenue of $1.2 billion (a 10% increase year-over-year) which topped the $1.18 billion consensus, the underlying performance was mixed. Specifically, the American Eagle brand experienced a 2% decrease in comparable sales, even as the Aerie brand achieved strong 25% comparable sales growth. The stock reacted negatively to these results, declining 11.8% the day following the earnings announcement.

2. Analyst Price Target Reductions and "Hold" Consensus Created Downward Pressure.

Following the fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report, several major investment firms lowered their price targets for American Eagle Outfitters, signaling a more cautious outlook. For instance, Barclays reduced its target from $19.00 to $17.00, Bank of America dropped its target from $20.00 to $16.00, JPMorgan Chase & Co. decreased its target from $25.00 to $19.00, and Citigroup lowered its objective from $24.00 to $18.00, all around late May and early June 2026. The consensus rating among analysts remained predominantly "Hold," with a majority assigning this recommendation and an average 12-month price target around $19.91 as of August 2026. This collective recalibration of expectations likely contributed to the stock's trend.

Show more
Updated on 8/12/2026

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) stock has lost about 5% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance Led to Post-Earnings Decline.

American Eagle Outfitters reported its fiscal Q1 2026 results (for the quarter ended May 2, 2026) on May 28, 2026. While the company exceeded analyst estimates with an EPS of $0.14 against a consensus of $0.10-$0.11 and total net revenue of $1.2 billion (a 10% increase year-over-year) which topped the $1.18 billion consensus, the underlying performance was mixed. Specifically, the American Eagle brand experienced a 2% decrease in comparable sales, even as the Aerie brand achieved strong 25% comparable sales growth. The stock reacted negatively to these results, declining 11.8% the day following the earnings announcement.

2. Analyst Price Target Reductions and "Hold" Consensus Created Downward Pressure.

Following the fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report, several major investment firms lowered their price targets for American Eagle Outfitters, signaling a more cautious outlook. For instance, Barclays reduced its target from $19.00 to $17.00, Bank of America dropped its target from $20.00 to $16.00, JPMorgan Chase & Co. decreased its target from $25.00 to $19.00, and Citigroup lowered its objective from $24.00 to $18.00, all around late May and early June 2026. The consensus rating among analysts remained predominantly "Hold," with a majority assigning this recommendation and an average 12-month price target around $19.91 as of August 2026. This collective recalibration of expectations likely contributed to the stock's trend.

3. Persistent Retail Sector Headwinds and Shifting Consumer Behavior.

The broader retail environment during the period contributed to the challenging conditions for AEO. Consumer sentiment remained cautious, with shoppers prioritizing value and making more intentional purchasing decisions. U.S. retail sales in July 2026 showed a slowdown in annual growth, and non-food sales, particularly relevant for apparel retailers, struggled, dipping 0.7% year-on-year. Additionally, ongoing tariff impacts were noted as a headwind for the company's profitability and cost management strategies, especially for receipts in fiscal Q2 2026 and the latter half of the fiscal year.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -6.5% change in AEO stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268162026Change
Stock Price ($)17.2916.17-6.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,5475,6531.9%
Net Income Margin (%)3.5%5.0%43.3%
P/E Multiple15.39.7-36.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1691680.9%
Cumulative Contribution-6.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AEO-6.5% 
Market (SPY)8.0%26.4%
Sector (XLY)-0.1%42.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -29.6% change in AEO stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -48.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268162026Change
Stock Price ($)22.9816.17-29.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,3415,6535.8%
Net Income Margin (%)3.9%5.0%27.1%
P/E Multiple18.69.7-48.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1691680.6%
Cumulative Contribution-29.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AEO-29.6% 
Market (SPY)12.5%34.1%
Sector (XLY)-2.3%43.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 53.8% change in AEO stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 33.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120258162026Change
Stock Price ($)10.5116.1753.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,2745,6537.2%
Net Income Margin (%)3.7%5.0%33.0%
P/E Multiple9.69.70.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1801687.0%
Cumulative Contribution53.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AEO53.8% 
Market (SPY)23.9%31.3%
Sector (XLY)7.4%37.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.7% change in AEO stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 122.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120238162026Change
Stock Price ($)12.8616.1725.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,0165,65312.7%
Net Income Margin (%)2.2%5.0%122.4%
P/E Multiple22.49.7-56.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)19416815.9%
Cumulative Contribution25.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AEO25.7% 
Market (SPY)75.6%40.0%
Sector (XLY)39.2%42.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AEO Return29%-43%55%-19%65%-37%-5%
Peers Return42%-19%84%38%6%6%228%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AEO Win Rate58%25%67%33%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate57%43%63%58%55%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AEO Max Drawdown-40%-61%-40%-36%-46%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-44%-28%-26%-40%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ANF, URBN, BKE, LEVI, KTB. See AEO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/14/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventAEOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-34.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven83 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-36.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.4%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven75 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-60.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven153.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven518 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven108.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven145 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.5%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.8%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven104 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-37.6%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven60.2%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven203 days6 days

Compare to ANF, URBN, BKE, LEVI, KTB

In The Past

American Eagle Outfitters's stock fell -34.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 53.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventAEOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-34.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven83 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-36.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.4%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven75 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-60.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven153.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven518 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven108.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven145 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.5%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.8%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven104 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-37.6%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven60.2%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven203 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-27.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven172 days62 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-38.9%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.8%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven359 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-27.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven70 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-35.0%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.9%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven623 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-65.2%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven187.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven1250 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-20.5%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.7%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven1854 days47 days

Compare to ANF, URBN, BKE, LEVI, KTB

In The Past

American Eagle Outfitters's stock fell -34.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 53.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) is a specialty retailer primarily focused on clothing, accessories, and personal care products. The company operates under two main brands: American Eagle, which provides a wide range of jeans and specialty apparel for both women and men, and Aerie, known for its intimates, apparel, activewear, and swim collections specifically for women. These core brands form the foundation of its product offerings.

Beyond its primary brands, AEO also includes Tailgate, which offers graphic tees and other clothing, and Todd Snyder New York, specializing in upscale menswear. The company serves customers through a substantial physical retail presence, operating hundreds of stores under its various brand names across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Hong Kong. Additionally, American Eagle Outfitters extends its reach globally through its e-commerce websites, shipping to 81 countries, and via merchandise sold at licensed locations in 28 other countries, catering to a broad international market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. AEO is like a Gap Inc. for a younger, more casual demographic.

2. AEO is like Abercrombie & Fitch, but with a hugely popular intimates and activewear brand (Aerie).

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Apparel: A wide range of clothing for men and women, including jeans, specialty apparel, graphic tees, activewear, and swim collections, offered across its various brands.
  • Intimates: Undergarments and related apparel primarily for women, a key offering of the Aerie brand.
  • Accessories: Items like jewelry, bags, and other additions that complement clothing, available under the American Eagle brand.
  • Personal Care Products: A selection of beauty and self-care items, available under both American Eagle and Aerie brands.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) primarily sells its products to individuals (consumers) rather than to other companies. The company operates as a specialty retailer, distributing its merchandise through its own network of stores (American Eagle, Aerie, Todd Snyder), company websites (ae.com, aerie.com, toddsnyder.com), and locations operated by licensees.

Based on its brand portfolio and product offerings, American Eagle Outfitters serves the following categories of customers:

  1. Young Adults and Teens: This is the core demographic for the American Eagle and Aerie brands, seeking casual apparel, jeans, accessories, and intimates. The products are designed for both young men and women looking for trendy and comfortable everyday wear.
  2. Women Seeking Intimates, Activewear, and Swimwear: Specifically targeted by the Aerie brand, this category of customers values comfort, body positivity, and style in their intimate apparel, activewear, and swimwear collections.
  3. Men Seeking Premium or Branded Casual Wear: The Todd Snyder New York brand caters to men looking for more sophisticated, designer-quality menswear. Additionally, the Tailgate brand targets men interested in graphic tees and casual apparel, often with a collegiate or sports-inspired theme.
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American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Management Team:

Jay Schottenstein, Executive Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Jay Schottenstein has served as the Executive Chairman of the Board of American Eagle Outfitters since 1992 and as Chief Executive Officer from 1992 to 2002, and again from 2014 to present. He, along with his father, Jerome Schottenstein, played a pivotal role in transforming AEO into a multi-brand global retailer. Jay is also the Chairman, President, and CEO of Schottenstein Stores Corp., Chairman and CEO of American Signature Inc., Executive Chairman of Designer Brands, Inc., and Chairman and CEO of SB360 Capital Partners, demonstrating a long history of leading diverse retail brands. Under his leadership, AEO launched its first denim line in 1997 and instrumental in the launch of Aerie.

Michael Mathias, Executive Vice President – Chief Financial Officer

Michael Mathias was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of American Eagle Outfitters in April 2020. He first joined the company over 20 years ago, starting as a manager of finance for stores and operations. He gained progressive leadership experience across various finance and operational areas, including e-commerce, store finance, Aerie planning, strategy, and business development. From 2016 to 2017, Mathias briefly served as VP, Financial Planning and Analysis at General Nutrition Centers, Inc. before returning to AEO as Senior Vice President of Financial Planning & Analysis.

Jennifer Foyle, President, Executive Creative Director – AE & Aerie

Jennifer Foyle joined AEO in August 2010 to lead the Aerie brand and expanded her scope in 2020 to oversee the strategic vision of American Eagle, rising to her current position. She has been a crucial force in Aerie's rapid expansion and its growth to a nearly $2 billion brand. Foyle revolutionized the intimate apparel industry in 2014 by introducing body positivity and inclusivity through the #AerieREAL campaign. Prior to Aerie, she served as President of the global lifestyle brand Calypso St. Barth and held positions of increasing responsibility at Gap Inc. and J. Crew, having nearly 30 years of experience in the apparel retail industry.

Todd Snyder, Executive Vice President

Todd Snyder has been an Executive Vice President of American Eagle Outfitters since November 2015. He is the founder of his eponymous menswear label, launched in 2011, and also the Tailgate brand, founded in 1997. American Eagle Outfitters acquired both the Todd Snyder label and Tailgate Clothing Company in November 2015. Prior to founding his brands, Snyder spent over two decades in retail apparel, including roles as Designer for Polo Ralph Lauren, Director of Menswear for the Gap, and Senior Vice President of Menswear at J. Crew.

Sarah, Executive Vice President – Chief Supply Chain and Technology Officer

Sarah joined AEO in October 2023 as Executive Vice President – Chief Supply Chain Officer, with her role expanding to Chief Supply Chain and Technology Officer in October 2024. In this position, she directs all facets of the company's global supply chain operations, including product development, sourcing, production, and distribution for AEO's brands, as well as Quiet Logistics, a subsidiary. Additionally, she assumed leadership of the International business in November 2025. Sarah has over two decades of extensive experience in supply chain management across several large-scale, multi-brand retail organizations, having previously served as Chief Supply Chain Officer at PVH Corporation.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to American Eagle Outfitters (AEO):

  1. Evolving Consumer Preferences, Intense Competition, and Economic Sensitivity: American Eagle Outfitters operates in a highly dynamic and competitive retail apparel market. The company is significantly susceptible to shifts in fashion trends, changing consumer preferences (particularly among its young adult demographic), and the growing influence of online-only retailers and social commerce platforms. Macroeconomic uncertainties, such as inflation and higher living costs, directly impact consumer discretionary spending, leading to more cautious purchasing behavior. The performance of its American Eagle brand has shown a slowdown, with comparable sales declining, highlighting the risk that the growth of its successful Aerie brand may not fully offset challenges in the larger American Eagle segment.
  2. Supply Chain Disruptions and Rising Costs: As a global retailer, American Eagle Outfitters is exposed to significant supply chain vulnerabilities. Risks include disruptions caused by extreme weather events, geopolitical conflicts, labor disputes, and regulatory changes in key manufacturing countries. Tariffs and the strength of the U.S. dollar also create challenges, leading to increased costs for imported goods and impacting profitability. Managing complex global production networks and ensuring resilient supply chains against material shortages, labor gaps, and delivery delays remains a top industry concern, directly affecting AEO's operational efficiency and margins.
  3. Inventory Management and Operational Inefficiencies: American Eagle Outfitters has faced challenges related to merchandising strategies and inventory management. Issues with excess stock have led to higher promotions, inventory write-downs, and decreased gross profit margins, directly impacting the company's profitability. Operational inefficiencies, where cost of sales and selling, general, and administrative expenses outpace revenue growth, also reflect challenges in merchandise planning and the ability to respond swiftly to market trends.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The rise of ultra-fast fashion e-commerce retailers such as Shein and Temu presents a clear emerging threat. These companies leverage agile supply chains, data-driven trend identification, and direct-to-consumer online models to offer trendy apparel at extremely low price points with rapid turnover, directly competing with American Eagle Outfitters' core business in specialty apparel and accessories, particularly among younger, trend-conscious consumers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) operates in several addressable markets, including the broad apparel market, intimate apparel, personal care products, denim, and activewear. Below are the estimated market sizes for these key product categories:

  • Apparel Market:
    • Globally, the apparel market was valued at approximately USD 1.84 trillion in 2025.
    • In the U.S., the apparel market is projected to reach USD 399.77 billion by 2026.
  • Intimate Lingerie Market:
    • The global intimate lingerie market size was valued at USD 48.59 billion in 2025.
    • The U.S. intimate lingerie market was valued at USD 23.20 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 34.64 billion by 2030.
  • Personal Care Products Market:
    • The global beauty and personal care products market size was valued at USD 561.4 billion in 2024.
    • The United States personal care product market size was estimated at USD 136.03 billion in 2024.
  • Denim Market (including jeans):
    • The global denim market size was valued at USD 78.90 billion in 2025.
    • The USA jeans market size was valued at USD 130 billion in 2023.
  • Activewear Market:
    • The global activewear market size is estimated to have a value of USD 451.0 billion in 2025.
    • The U.S. activewear market is projected to be valued at USD 147.9 billion in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives focusing on brand amplification, operational optimization, and targeted expansion.

Here are 4 expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Continued Expansion and Strength of Aerie and OFFL/NE Brands: Aerie continues to be a primary growth engine for American Eagle Outfitters, consistently demonstrating strong comparable sales growth. The company is focused on building brand awareness and expanding into new categories for Aerie, particularly within activewear through its OFFL/NE by Aerie brand. There are plans to open dozens of new Aerie and OFFL/NE stores annually through 2025-2026, primarily in Tier-1/2 U.S. trade areas and select Canadian markets, with Aerie positioned to reach a $2 billion revenue trajectory in the medium term.
  2. Reinvigoration and Category Expansion of the American Eagle Brand: AEO's strategy includes amplifying the American Eagle brand, with a focus on its market leadership in denim. The company aims to elevate key businesses and expand into "right-to-win adjacencies" within the American Eagle brand. Positive results have been noted in men's apparel, women's tops, and signature AE jeans, with a focus on improving the men's business.
  3. Strategic Store Fleet Optimization and Digital Investments: American Eagle Outfitters is actively optimizing its store footprint to enhance profitability and customer experience. This involves opening approximately 35-40 new Aerie and OFFL/NE stores, remodeling around 60 American Eagle stores, and strategically closing 25-30 lower-productivity American Eagle stores in 2026. Concurrently, AEO is investing in its digital platform to grow its e-commerce business, focusing on foundational improvements to the shopping experience, localized assortments, payments, and faster delivery.
  4. Growth of the Todd Snyder Brand: The Todd Snyder New York menswear brand, part of the American Eagle Outfitters portfolio, is identified as a growth vehicle. The brand has been expanding its retail footprint, averaging approximately five new store openings per year since 2020. Todd Snyder aims to operate 40-50 stores and reach $500 million in annual sales within five years, building on its strong direct-to-consumer business.

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Share Repurchases

  • On February 1, 2024, American Eagle Outfitters' Board of Directors authorized 30 million shares of common stock for repurchase through February 3, 2029.
  • An additional 50 million shares were authorized for repurchase on March 11, 2025, increasing the total shares available for repurchase to 68.5 million through February 3, 2029.
  • In fiscal year 2025, American Eagle Outfitters repurchased 21 million shares for $256 million.

Share Issuance

  • American Eagle Outfitters reissued approximately 2,798 shares from treasury stock in Fiscal 2021, 1,643 shares in Fiscal 2022, and 2,539 shares in Fiscal 2023, primarily for share-based payments.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 totaled $261 million.
  • The company anticipates capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 to be in the range of $250 million to $260 million.
  • These expected expenditures are focused on technology upgrades, general corporate maintenance, and the opening of 35 new Aerie and OFFLINE stores, alongside approximately 60 store remodels.

Better Bets vs. American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)

Peer Outperformance in Apparel Retail

AEO has trailed 58% of its 24 Apparel Retail peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are TJX, ROST and VSXY. Apparel Retail ranks 15th of 23 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Apparel Retail constituents that AEO has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
74%
of 27 industry peers · 27.9% return
3Y
52%
of 27 industry peers · 13.3% return
5Y
42%
of 24 industry peers · -39.6% return
Apparel Retail peers with revenue growth within 4pp of AEO's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
AEO American Eagle Outfitters 4.1% 9.7x 27.9%13.3%-39.6%
TJX TJX Companies 7.0% 29.1x 16.1%79.1%136.5% +176pp
ROST Ross Stores 8.1% 33.8x 68.5%123.7%114.7% +154pp
VSXY Victoria's Secret 2.7% 34.2x 298.5%317.7%23.9% +64pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Apparel Retail is AEO's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -3.4%103.8%71.6% LINC 384% · UTI 272% · CVSA 267%
Homebuilding 18 -0.4%35.7%60.7% GRBK 187% · TOL 167% · PHM 160%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 22 22.8%57.3%22.7% RCL 313% · MAR 185% · HLT 176%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -12.9%5.3%14.8% LOW 32% · HD 20% · HVT 15%
Automotive Retail 18 -4.4%3.8%12.6% MUSA 280% · PAG 188% · ORLY 128%
Specialty Stores 7 12.1%29.3%10.2% DKS 122% · SIG 50% · ASO 39%
Casinos & Gaming 20 -5.2%-17.7%4.3% BRAG 1029% · MCRI 120% · RSI 102%
Home Furnishings 4 7.5%44.8%3.6% SGI 61% · LZB 37% · MHK -30%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -11.1%24.2%-0.1% HRB 147% · FTDR 105% · SCI 41%
Footwear 9 69.3%48.3%-5.1% WEYS 148% · DECK 32% · SHOO 32%
Distributors 4 -6.9%-22.7%-8.1% ARMK 169% · GPC 26% · LKQ -42%
Restaurants 34 -4.9%-8.5%-12.1% EAT 366% · CAKE 199% · RAVE 167%
Leisure Products 13 -1.1%-18.4%-29.7% GOLF 85% · HAS 21% · MCFT 2%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -0.1%-2.1%-30.3% MOD 1461% · GTX 298% · STRT 98%
Apparel Retail ← 25 9.0%6.7%-37.7% ANF 204% · DXLG 201% · TJX 136%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 27 9.5%2.1%-38.4% ELA 287% · RL 261% · TPR 249%
Household Appliances 18 9.5%39.5%-38.6% KEQU 171% · HBB 126% · FLXS 126%
Leisure Facilities 12 -13.2%-7.4%-41.4% OSW 195% · JAKK 116% · ESCA 9%
Broadline Retail 15 7.3%13.3%-50.0% DDS 272% · AMZN 62% · M 55%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 -8.6%1.5%-54.4% BBY -2% · GME -54% · UPBD -57%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -67.9%-66.9%-69.9% GM 79% · TSLA 54% · F 51%
Consumer Electronics 11 -22.3%-24.4%-73.6% AXIL 1863% · GRMN 106% · TBCH -51%
Other Specialty Retail 18 -27.5%-44.4%-78.4% BBW 220% · TLF 104% · WINA 104%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AEOANFURBNBKELEVIKTBMedian
NameAmerican.Abercrom.Urban Ou.Buckle Levi Str.Kontoor . 
Mkt Price16.17108.1377.8144.1122.5584.9060.96
Mkt Cap2.74.96.82.28.74.74.8
Rev LTM5,6535,2836,3171,3146,6143,0695,468
Op Inc LTM424686617277731369521
FCF LTM185416150221559417318
FCF 3Y Avg261477255211513362312
CFO LTM446667558269774446502
CFO 3Y Avg486676522255740388504

Growth & Margins

AEOANFURBNBKELEVIKTBMedian
NameAmerican.Abercrom.Urban Ou.Buckle Levi Str.Kontoor . 
Rev Chg LTM7.2%5.1%11.2%7.1%7.3%34.3%7.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.1%12.6%9.2%0.0%2.8%7.1%5.6%
Rev Chg Q9.7%1.5%11.4%6.1%8.0%18.6%8.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%0.3%2.5%1.3%1.8%3.1%1.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM41.9%-3.7%17.0%14.4%7.1%36.2%15.7%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg21.2%118.6%35.6%-2.7%13.6%7.3%17.4%
Op Mgn LTM7.5%13.0%9.8%21.1%11.1%12.0%11.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.9%13.4%8.8%20.6%10.1%12.2%11.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.6%-0.3%-0.1%1.0%0.1%0.8%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM7.9%12.6%8.8%20.5%11.7%14.5%12.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%13.9%9.1%20.2%12.1%14.7%13.0%
FCF/Rev LTM3.3%7.9%2.4%16.8%8.5%13.6%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.8%9.9%4.6%16.7%8.4%13.7%9.1%

Valuation

AEOANFURBNBKELEVIKTBMedian
NameAmerican.Abercrom.Urban Ou.Buckle Levi Str.Kontoor . 
Mkt Cap2.74.96.82.28.74.74.8
P/S0.50.91.11.71.31.51.2
P/Op Inc6.47.111.08.111.912.79.5
P/EBIT6.46.911.18.111.513.19.6
P/E9.79.914.410.113.617.511.9
P/CFO6.17.312.28.311.210.59.4
Total Yield13.4%10.2%6.9%20.0%9.8%8.2%10.0%
Dividend Yield3.1%0.0%0.0%10.1%2.5%2.5%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.5%9.0%5.1%10.2%6.3%9.1%9.1%
D/E0.70.30.20.20.30.30.3
Net D/E0.70.10.10.10.20.30.1

Returns

AEOANFURBNBKELEVIKTBMedian
NameAmerican.Abercrom.Urban Ou.Buckle Levi Str.Kontoor . 
1M Rtn-5.0%13.5%6.6%3.9%-6.8%-0.8%1.5%
3M Rtn6.6%53.2%12.8%-7.8%8.2%38.5%10.5%
6M Rtn-35.6%15.4%10.9%-16.2%4.2%27.7%7.5%
12M Rtn27.9%15.3%0.4%-13.7%9.5%23.2%12.4%
3Y Rtn13.3%163.0%122.1%57.2%75.2%90.3%82.7%
1M Excs Rtn-10.9%7.7%-0.2%-0.0%-12.5%-6.6%-3.4%
3M Excs Rtn1.1%45.7%9.3%-13.5%2.2%30.5%5.8%
6M Excs Rtn-47.1%3.7%0.0%-28.9%-9.0%14.2%-4.5%
12M Excs Rtn2.5%-13.5%-22.5%-36.7%-10.0%3.1%-11.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-59.6%96.5%35.4%-19.5%-4.2%25.6%10.7%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
American Eagle3,4113,3853,3623,2633,556
Aerie1,9411,7381,6701,5071,376
Other22624448946979
Intersegment Elimination-31-39-259-249 
Total5,5475,3295,2624,9905,011


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
American Eagle455607600541786
Aerie346316276167212
Intersegment Elimination000  
Other-44-54-36-57-407
Impairment, restructuring and other charges-102-18-153-22 
Unallocated corporate expenses-429-424-464-383 
Total226427223247591


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20042003
American Eagle816685
Bluenotes4956
Total865741


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$16.17 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.7 
First Trading Date04/14/1994 
Distance from 52W High-41.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$17.28$19.55
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA-6.4%-17.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility53.3%65.1%
Downside Capture116.97137.92
Upside Capture119.79135.37
Correlation (SPY)27.1%29.4%
AEO Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.580.890.931.241.701.45
Up Beta-2.79-1.740.201.162.521.63
Down Beta3.331.511.371.231.191.13
Up Capture245%191%84%80%234%296%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days12223362125381
Down Capture217%108%105%151%126%109%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days10213063126362

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AEO
AEO23.0%65.1%0.55-
Sector ETF (XLY)3.5%19.4%0.0537.5%
Equity (SPY)21.5%12.8%1.2529.2%
Gold (GLD)30.0%28.5%0.911.8%
Commodities (DBC)38.1%20.1%1.49-18.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.4%13.9%0.7319.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-49.1%42.8%-1.4514.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AEO
AEO-11.6%54.3%-0.03-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.3%24.0%0.2247.3%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.2%0.6044.4%
Gold (GLD)19.5%18.6%0.850.8%
Commodities (DBC)9.6%19.6%0.383.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0232.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.0%52.8%0.3416.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AEO
AEO1.5%52.0%0.23-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.5%22.2%0.5148.1%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7344.4%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.2%0.60-4.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.7%18.0%0.3410.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2036.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.9%66.1%1.0011.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 71520263.3%
Average Daily Volume3.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity167.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares10.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/1/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/28/2026-11.8%-7.0%-4.7%
3/4/2026-13.9%-19.1%-25.0%
12/2/202515.1%14.8%28.9%
9/3/202538.0%41.3%24.4%
5/29/2025-2.0%-9.3%-14.0%
3/12/2025-4.1%4.0%-6.7%
12/4/2024-14.3%-14.1%-16.2%
8/29/2024-4.2%-11.3%1.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8910
# Negative161514
Median Positive5.3%8.3%9.6%
Median Negative-5.4%-9.8%-9.8%
Max Positive38.0%41.3%28.9%
Max Negative-14.3%-19.1%-25.0%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/28/2026-11.8%-7.0%-4.7%
3/4/2026-13.9%-19.1%-25.0%
12/2/202515.1%14.8%28.9%
9/3/202538.0%41.3%24.4%
5/29/2025-2.0%-9.3%-14.0%
3/12/2025-4.1%4.0%-6.7%
12/4/2024-14.3%-14.1%-16.2%
8/29/2024-4.2%-11.3%1.2%
5/29/2024-7.6%-9.8%-17.0%
3/7/2024-1.9%-1.0%4.5%
11/21/20231.0%14.9%26.3%
9/6/2023-2.5%-13.4%-5.8%
5/24/2023-11.9%-14.7%-3.3%
3/1/20231.2%-0.5%-6.8%
11/22/202218.2%20.8%10.3%
9/7/2022-8.7%-6.9%-6.9%
5/26/2022-6.6%-8.8%-12.6%
3/2/2022-9.3%-14.6%-20.5%
11/23/2021-2.1%-10.3%-18.7%
9/2/2021-0.4%0.1%-4.7%
5/26/20212.3%-5.0%6.9%
3/4/20213.1%6.7%8.4%
11/30/2020-0.5%8.3%12.6%
9/11/20207.5%6.2%8.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8910
# Negative161514
Median Positive5.3%8.3%9.6%
Median Negative-5.4%-9.8%-9.8%
Max Positive38.0%41.3%28.9%
Max Negative-14.3%-19.1%-25.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202606/03/202610-Q
01/31/202603/30/202610-K
10/31/202512/09/202510-Q
07/31/202509/09/202510-Q
04/30/202506/05/202510-Q
01/31/202503/20/202510-K
10/31/202412/04/202410-Q
07/31/202408/29/202410-Q
04/30/202405/30/202410-Q
01/31/202403/15/202410-K
10/31/202311/21/202310-Q
07/31/202309/06/202310-Q
04/30/202305/25/202310-Q
01/31/202303/13/202310-K
10/31/202211/23/202210-Q
07/31/202209/07/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202606/03/202610-Q
01/31/202603/30/202610-K
10/31/202512/09/202510-Q
07/31/202509/09/202510-Q
04/30/202506/05/202510-Q
01/31/202503/20/202510-K
10/31/202412/04/202410-Q
07/31/202408/29/202410-Q
04/30/202405/30/202410-Q
01/31/202403/15/202410-K
10/31/202311/21/202310-Q
07/31/202309/06/202310-Q
04/30/202305/25/202310-Q
01/31/202303/13/202310-K
10/31/202211/23/202210-Q
07/31/202209/07/202210-Q
04/30/202205/26/202210-Q
01/31/202203/14/202210-K
10/31/202111/23/202110-Q
07/31/202109/02/202110-Q
04/30/202106/02/202110-Q
01/31/202103/11/202110-K
10/31/202012/03/202010-Q
07/31/202009/09/202010-Q
04/30/202006/04/202010-Q
01/31/202003/12/202010-K
10/31/201912/11/201910-Q
07/31/201909/05/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/27/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Operating Income45.00 Mil47.50 Mil50.00 Mil   
Q2 2026 Depreciation and Amortization 50.00 Mil    
2026 Capital Expenditures250.00 Mil255.00 Mil260.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 255.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Operating Income390.00 Mil400.00 Mil410.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 400.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Depreciation and Amortization 220.00 Mil    

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Comparable Sales0.070.080.09   
Q1 2026 Operating Income20.00 Mil22.50 Mil25.00 Mil   
2026 Comparable Sales0.040.050.06   
2026 Operating Income390.00 Mil400.00 Mil410.00 Mil   
2026 Capital Expenditures250.00 Mil255.00 Mil260.00 Mil-7.3% Lower NewActual: 275.00 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 12/2/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Operating Income155.00 Mil157.50 Mil160.00 Mil23.5% RaisedGuidance: 127.50 Mil for Q4 2025
Q4 2025 Comparable Sales0.080.090.09   
2025 Operating Income303.00 Mil305.50 Mil308.00 Mil17.5% RaisedGuidance: 260.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Capital Expenditures 275.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 275.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/5/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Sable, David M DirectSell721202617.235,77999,572921,485Form
2McMillan, Cary D DirectSell709202616.772,892  Form
3Spiegel, Noel Joseph DirectSell709202616.782,892  Form
4McMillan, Cary D DirectSell407202617.232,887  Form
5Spiegel, Noel Joseph DirectSell407202617.322,887  Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Sable, David M DirectSell721202617.235,77999,572921,485Form
2McMillan, Cary D DirectSell709202616.772,892  Form
3Spiegel, Noel Joseph DirectSell709202616.782,892  Form
4McMillan, Cary D DirectSell407202617.232,887  Form
5Spiegel, Noel Joseph DirectSell407202617.322,887  Form
6Schottenstein, Jay LExec Chairman & CEOTrustsSell122202626.2321,236556,935167,505,331Form
7Schottenstein, Jay LExec Chairman & CEOTrustsSell122202625.83527,34313,621,270165,524,607Form
8Schottenstein, Jay LExec Chairman & CEOTrustsSell122202625.27500,00012,635,000175,261,955Form
9McMillan, Cary D DirectSell115202626.211,896  Form
10Keefer, James H JRSVP, Controller & CAODirectSell1211202523.495,742134,869262,013Form
11Baldwin, MarisaEVP - CHRODirectSell1210202522.4161,3191,374,159523,587Form
12Mathias, Michael AEVP and CFODirectSell1208202524.05186,5804,486,8761,818,919Form
13Foyle, Jennifer MGlobal Brand President-aerieDirectSell1208202524.30243,0475,906,0424,659,549Form
14McMillan, Cary D DirectSell1006202516.952,945  Form
15Keefer, James H JRSVP, Controller & CAODirectSell922202519.7512,337243,660333,691Form
16Mathias, Michael AEVP and CFODirectSell917202520.0040,471809,4202,512,740Form
17Sable, David M DirectSell912202519.225,00096,100934,869Form
18Spiegel, Noel Joseph Spouse IRASell909202518.1240,000  Form
19Page, Janice E DirectSell909202518.0426,869484,7171,630,509Form
20McMillan, Cary D DirectSell909202518.119,002  Form
21Foyle, Jennifer MGlobal Brand President-aerieDirectSell909202518.1454,950996,7934,010,881Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 17, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$7.5 Mil0.4%49ADD +48.8%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$7.5 Mil0.4%49ADD +48.8%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$7.5 Mil0.4%49ADD +48.8%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/16/2026