Tearsheet

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)


Market Price (11/23/2025): $18.54 | Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)


Market Price (11/23/2025): $18.54
Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -0.8%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.6%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -0.8%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.6%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

AEO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between July 31, 2025, and November 24, 2025, American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) experienced significant positive developments that likely contributed to a substantial increase in its stock price. 1. Strong Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Beat. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.45 for the quarter ended July 31, 2025, significantly exceeding analysts' consensus estimates of $0.20 per share. Revenue also surpassed expectations, coming in at $1.28 billion against a forecasted $1.23 billion.

2. Optimistic Financial Outlook and Comparable Sales Growth. American Eagle Outfitters provided a positive outlook for the third quarter, anticipating low-single-digit comparable sales growth and operating income between $95 million and $100 million. Furthermore, the company raised its fourth-quarter outlook, projecting an operating profit of $135 million, an increase from its earlier guidance of $125 million to $130 million, primarily driven by an expected 2% rise in comparable sales.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AEO Return39%29%-43%55%-19%16%47%
Peers Return6%19%-9%75%33%-1%164%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AEO Win Rate50%58%25%67%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate43%43%33%55%67%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AEO Max Drawdown-54%-1%-61%-27%-21%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-5%-32%-5%-3%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: URBN, ANF, LB, TJX, ROST. See AEO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/21/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAEOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven289.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven122.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven105.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven453 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven383.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4530 days1480 days

Compare to URBN, ANF, LB, TJX, ROST


In The Past

American Eagle Outfitters's stock fell -74.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/23/2021. A -74.3% loss requires a 289.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)

Better Bets than American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AEO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.6%-3.6%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.5%4.5%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-4.7%-4.7%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.2%-5.2%-7.7%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
AEO_3312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312025AEOAmerican Eagle OutfittersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
52.0%64.9%-18.9%
AEO_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020AEOAmerican Eagle OutfittersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
76.0%272.2%-15.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.6%-3.6%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.5%4.5%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-4.7%-4.7%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.2%-5.2%-7.7%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
AEO_3312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312025AEOAmerican Eagle OutfittersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
52.0%64.9%-18.9%
AEO_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020AEOAmerican Eagle OutfittersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
76.0%272.2%-15.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for American Eagle Outfitters

Financials

AEOURBNANFLBTJXROSTMedian
NameAmerican.Urban Ou.Abercrom.LandBrid.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Mkt Price18.5464.2069.6157.09151.65173.7766.91
Mkt Cap3.25.83.31.4169.156.14.5
Rev LTM5,2675,8325,10015657,92521,4985,550
Op Inc LTM301557744756,4762,580650
FCF LTM152399345864,0411,679372
FCF 3Y Avg293285390-4,3581,797390
CFO LTM410590563885,9352,474577
CFO 3Y Avg514479578-6,1452,565578

Growth & Margins

AEOURBNANFLBTJXROSTMedian
NameAmerican.Urban Ou.Abercrom.LandBrid.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.7%9.6%9.3%95.0%4.1%1.9%6.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.6%7.5%11.7%-5.3%5.2%5.3%
Rev Chg Q-0.6%11.3%6.6%83.2%6.9%4.6%6.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%2.7%1.5%16.0%1.6%1.1%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM5.7%9.5%14.6%47.8%11.2%12.0%11.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.7%7.6%11.6%-10.7%11.5%10.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.3%0.4%51.5%0.2%-0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM7.8%10.1%11.0%56.0%10.2%11.5%10.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.9%8.9%12.8%-11.2%12.5%11.2%
FCF/Rev LTM2.9%6.8%6.8%54.8%7.0%7.8%6.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.7%5.2%8.6%-8.0%8.8%8.0%

Valuation

AEOURBNANFLBTJXROSTMedian
NameAmerican.Urban Ou.Abercrom.LandBrid.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Mkt Cap3.25.83.31.4169.156.14.5
P/S0.61.00.68.82.92.61.8
P/EBIT10.59.84.318.425.320.214.4
P/E16.112.16.172.034.027.221.6
P/CFO7.79.85.915.728.522.712.7
Total Yield7.7%8.3%16.3%17.0%4.0%4.6%8.0%
Dividend Yield1.4%0.0%0.0%15.6%1.0%0.9%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.9%6.5%9.8%-3.7%4.3%6.5%
D/E0.60.20.30.30.10.10.2
Net D/E0.60.10.10.30.10.00.1

Returns

AEOURBNANFLBTJXROSTMedian
NameAmerican.Urban Ou.Abercrom.LandBrid.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
1M Rtn11.9%-5.4%-0.8%-3.6%7.0%11.0%3.1%
3M Rtn45.6%-16.7%-29.0%6.3%11.2%18.5%8.8%
6M Rtn77.0%-11.3%-4.5%-26.6%21.2%27.5%8.3%
12M Rtn9.6%64.5%-54.0%-25.4%26.2%20.4%15.0%
3Y Rtn27.8%131.6%191.4%-96.0%55.0%96.0%
1M Excs Rtn14.0%-3.0%2.4%-2.0%8.7%13.1%5.5%
3M Excs Rtn47.1%-18.7%-32.5%7.9%9.5%15.8%8.7%
6M Excs Rtn63.2%-25.1%-18.3%-40.3%7.4%13.7%-5.4%
12M Excs Rtn-0.8%58.8%-62.6%-20.8%16.6%14.7%7.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-0.8%92.6%224.0%-33.0%19.6%33.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
American Eagle3,3623,2633,5562,7343,480
Aerie1,6701,5071,376990801
Other489469823528
Intersegment Elimination-259-249-3  
Total5,2624,9905,0113,7594,308


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
American Eagle60054179693484
Aerie2761672146047
Intersegment Elimination00   
Other-36-57-16-425-298
Impairment, restructuring and other charges-153-22-12  
Unallocated corporate expenses-464-383-391  
Total223247591-271233


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23,012,542
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-12.3%
Average Daily Volume5,222,409
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.41
Basic Shares Quantity170,756,000
Short % of Basic Shares13.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/3/202538.0%41.3%24.4%
5/29/2025-2.0%-9.3%-14.0%
3/12/2025-4.1%4.0%-6.7%
12/4/2024-14.3%-14.1%-16.2%
8/29/2024-4.2%-11.3%1.2%
5/29/2024-7.6%-9.8%-17.0%
3/7/2024-1.9%-1.0%4.5%
11/21/20231.0%14.9%26.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12911
# Negative131614
Median Positive2.4%6.7%8.8%
Median Negative-6.6%-9.0%-14.4%
Max Positive38.0%41.3%26.3%
Max Negative-14.3%-21.8%-20.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025909202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025605202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025320202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241204202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024829202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024530202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024315202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231121202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023906202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023525202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023313202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221123202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022907202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022526202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022314202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211123202110-Q 10/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Spiegel Noel Joseph 9092025Sell18.1240,000724,856 Form
1PAGE JANICE E 9092025Sell18.0426,869484,7171,630,509Form
2MCMILLAN CARY D 9092025Sell18.119,002163,071 Form
3Foyle Jennifer M.Global Brand President-aerie9092025Sell18.1454,950996,7934,010,881Form
4MCMILLAN CARY D 1172025Sell16.022,99948,044 Form