Analog Devices (ADI)
Market Price (10/29/2025): $238.8 | Market Cap: $118.1 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Analog Devices (ADI)
Market Price (10/29/2025): $238.8Market Cap: $118.1 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
          Investment Highlights
          
            Why It Matters
            
              Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
              1. Generates cash flow
              The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
              2. Riding a trend
              Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
            
          
        
        
        | Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 25% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.6% | 
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, CFO LTM is 4.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | 
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 25% | 
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, CFO LTM is 4.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil | 
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | 
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11% | 
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.6% | 
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
ADI Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ADI Return | 27% | 21% | -5% | 23% | 9% | 14% | 122% | 
| Peers Return | 29% | 33% | -20% | 28% | -0% | 48% | 161% | 
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 110% | 
| Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ADI Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 44% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 52% | 32% | 50% | 38% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
| Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ADI Max Drawdown | -30% | -2% | -21% | -4% | -7% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -3% | -30% | -7% | -11% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MU, TXN, KLAC, DIOD, AMBQ. See ADI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/28/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ADI | S&P 500 | 
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -27.6% | -25.4% | 
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.1% | 34.1% | 
| Time to Breakeven | 124 days | 464 days | 
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -33.9% | 
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.5% | 51.3% | 
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 148 days | 
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -19.8% | 
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.1% | 24.7% | 
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days | 
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.3% | -56.8% | 
| % Gain to Breakeven | 151.9% | 131.3% | 
| Time to Breakeven | 802 days | 1480 days | 
Compare to MU, TXN, KLAC, DIOD, AMBQ
In The Past
Analog Devices's stock fell -27.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -27.6% loss requires a 38.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ADI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09302025 | ADBE | Adobe | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.4% | 1.4% | -6.7% | 
| 09302025 | CRM | Salesforce | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.8% | 7.8% | -0.6% | 
| 09302025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 20.0% | 20.0% | -1.8% | 
| 09262025 | POWI | Power Integrations | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.5% | 7.5% | -13.4% | 
| 09262025 | ROP | Roper Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.0% | -7.0% | -7.0% | 
| 12312022 | ADI | Analog Devices | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 19.9% | 23.4% | -3.6% | 
| 06302022 | ADI | Analog Devices | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.3% | 35.9% | -6.0% | 
| 10312018 | ADI | Analog Devices | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 38.5% | 30.1% | -3.4% | 
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09302025 | ADBE | Adobe | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.4% | 1.4% | -6.7% | 
| 09302025 | CRM | Salesforce | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.8% | 7.8% | -0.6% | 
| 09302025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 20.0% | 20.0% | -1.8% | 
| 09262025 | POWI | Power Integrations | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.5% | 7.5% | -13.4% | 
| 09262025 | ROP | Roper Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.0% | -7.0% | -7.0% | 
| 12312022 | ADI | Analog Devices | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 19.9% | 23.4% | -3.6% | 
| 06302022 | ADI | Analog Devices | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.3% | 35.9% | -6.0% | 
| 10312018 | ADI | Analog Devices | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 38.5% | 30.1% | -3.4% | 
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Analog Devices
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 194.41 | 
| Mkt Cap | 151.7 | 
| Rev LTM | 11,271 | 
| Op Inc LTM | 3,822 | 
| FCF LTM | 1,874 | 
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,732 | 
| CFO LTM | 4,122 | 
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,310 | 
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.9% | 
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.6% | 
| Rev Chg Q | 23.6% | 
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% | 
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.8% | 
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 27.5% | 
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.1% | 
| CFO/Rev LTM | 36.8% | 
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 34.1% | 
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.9% | 
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.2% | 
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 151.7 | 
| P/S | 8.8 | 
| P/EBIT | 31.0 | 
| P/E | 39.2 | 
| P/CFO | 22.0 | 
| Total Yield | 3.3% | 
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% | 
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% | 
| D/E | 0.1 | 
| Net D/E | 0.0 | 
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.8% | 
| 3M Rtn | 8.2% | 
| 6M Rtn | 46.3% | 
| 12M Rtn | 5.8% | 
| 3Y Rtn | 74.2% | 
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.6% | 
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.7% | 
| 6M Excs Rtn | 22.4% | 
| 12M Excs Rtn | -12.6% | 
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -11.5% | 
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns | 
| 8/20/2025 | 6.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 
| 5/22/2025 | -4.6% | -2.9% | 4.4% | 
| 2/19/2025 | 9.7% | 6.8% | -4.2% | 
| 11/26/2024 | -2.0% | -0.9% | -2.1% | 
| 8/21/2024 | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 
| 5/22/2024 | 10.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 
| 2/21/2024 | 2.3% | -0.2% | 3.1% | 
| 11/21/2023 | -1.4% | -0.3% | 5.0% | 
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 13 | 
| # Negative | 10 | 12 | 10 | 
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 
| Median Negative | -1.8% | -2.1% | -3.9% | 
| Max Positive | 10.9% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 
| Max Negative | -7.8% | -8.2% | -30.3% | 
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing | 
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 8202025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 | 
| 4302025 | 5222025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 | 
| 1312025 | 2192025 | 10-Q 2/1/2025 | 
| 10312024 | 11262024 | 10-K 11/2/2024 | 
| 7312024 | 8212024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 | 
| 4302024 | 5222024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 | 
| 1312024 | 2212024 | 10-Q 2/3/2024 | 
| 10312023 | 11212023 | 10-K 10/28/2023 | 
| 7312023 | 8232023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 | 
| 4302023 | 5242023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 | 
| 1312023 | 2152023 | 10-Q 1/28/2023 | 
| 10312022 | 11222022 | 10-K 10/29/2022 | 
| 7312022 | 8172022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 | 
| 4302022 | 5182022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 | 
| 1312022 | 2162022 | 10-Q 1/29/2022 | 
| 10312021 | 12032021 | 10-K 10/30/2021 | 
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Cotter Martin | SVP, Vertical Business Units | 9082025 | Sell | 246.25 | 12,500 | 3,078,092 | 15,525,368 | Form | 
| 1 | ROCHE VINCENT | Chair & CEO | 8282025 | Sell | 253.70 | 9,854 | 2,499,915 | 8,539,644 | Form | 
| 2 | STATA RAY | 8072025 | Sell | 220.13 | 412 | 90,695 | 36,109,231 | Form | |
| 3 | STATA RAY | 7182025 | Sell | 236.58 | 56 | 13,249 | 40,370,438 | Form | |
| 4 | STATA RAY | 6132025 | Sell | 231.22 | 898 | 207,638 | 40,706,206 | Form | 
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