Apple (AAPL)
Market Price (10/26/2025): $263.1 | Market Cap: $3.9 TrilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Apple (AAPL)
Market Price (10/26/2025): $263.1Market Cap: $3.9 TrilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 32% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, CFO LTM is 109 Bil, FCF LTM is 96 Bil | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.3% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 32% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, CFO LTM is 109 Bil, FCF LTM is 96 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.3% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
AAPL Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AAPL Return | 82% | 35% | -26% | 49% | 31% | 5% | 271% |
| Peers Return | 43% | 46% | -34% | 62% | 32% | 19% | 249% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AAPL Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 25% | 75% | 58% | 56% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 70% | 32% | 73% | 62% | 51% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AAPL Max Drawdown | -23% | -12% | -29% | -4% | -14% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -4% | -40% | -4% | -5% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, DELL, HPQ. See AAPL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AAPL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 158 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 74 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -38.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 281 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 155.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 274 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, DELL, HPQ
In The Past
Apple's stock fell -31.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/3/2022. A -31.3% loss requires a 45.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Apple Earnings Notes | |||
| AAPL Delivers $847 Bil to Investors Over a Decade | |||
| Apple Stock: 3 Risks You Need to Know | |||
| How Does Apple Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | |||
| What Could Send Apple Stock Soaring | |||
| How Low Can Apple Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Wait For A Dip To Buy Apple Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| Better Bet Than AAPL Stock: Pay Less Than Apple To Get More From SMCI | Actionable | ||
| Apple vs Alphabet: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Apple vs Lam Research: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| How To Trade Apple Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings? | October 20th, 2025 | ||
| AAPL Has Paid Out $847 Bil to Investors in the Past Decade | September 27th, 2025 | ||
| Selling Your Business? Talk To This Guy | September 5th, 2025 | ||
| AAPL Soars 17% In A Single Month, Should You Buy The Stock? | September 4th, 2025 | ||
| AAPL Soars 17% In A Single Month: How Does It Compare With Others? | September 4th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AAPL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09302025 | ADBE | Adobe | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.2% | 0.2% | -6.7% |
| 09302025 | CRM | Salesforce | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.5% | 7.5% | -0.6% |
| 09302025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 16.8% | 16.8% | -1.8% |
| 09262025 | POWI | Power Integrations | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.5% | 7.5% | -13.4% |
| 09262025 | ROP | Roper Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.9% | -3.9% | -3.9% |
| 12312022 | AAPL | Apple | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 49.7% | 49.0% | -3.8% |
| 12312018 | AAPL | Apple | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 28.8% | 89.0% | -9.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09302025 | ADBE | Adobe | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.2% | 0.2% | -6.7% |
| 09302025 | CRM | Salesforce | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.5% | 7.5% | -0.6% |
| 09302025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 16.8% | 16.8% | -1.8% |
| 09262025 | POWI | Power Integrations | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.5% | 7.5% | -13.4% |
| 09262025 | ROP | Roper Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.9% | -3.9% | -3.9% |
| 12312022 | AAPL | Apple | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 49.7% | 49.0% | -3.8% |
| 12312018 | AAPL | Apple | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 28.8% | 89.0% | -9.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Apple
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 242.19 |
| Mkt Cap | 2,769.3 |
| Rev LTM | 326,562 |
| Op Inc LTM | 98,780 |
| FCF LTM | 40,104 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 43,940 |
| CFO LTM | 114,851 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 104,268 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2,769.3 |
| P/S | 6.0 |
| P/EBIT | 25.3 |
| P/E | 30.5 |
| P/CFO | 21.6 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 15.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 30.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 21.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 119.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 7.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 27.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iPhone | 200,583 | 205,489 | 191,973 | 137,781 | 101,991 |
| Services | 85,200 | 78,129 | 68,425 | 53,768 | 18,063 |
| Wearables, Home and Accessories | 39,845 | 41,241 | 38,367 | 30,620 | |
| Mac | 29,357 | 40,177 | 35,190 | 28,622 | 24,079 |
| iPad | 28,300 | 29,292 | 31,862 | 23,724 | 30,283 |
| Other Products | 8,379 | ||||
| Total | 383,285 | 394,328 | 365,817 | 274,515 | 182,795 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/31/2025 | -2.5% | 6.1% | 12.0% |
| 5/1/2025 | -3.7% | -7.4% | -5.3% |
| 1/30/2025 | -0.7% | -1.8% | 0.3% |
| 10/31/2024 | -1.3% | 0.7% | 6.2% |
| 8/1/2024 | 0.7% | -2.3% | 5.0% |
| 5/2/2024 | 6.0% | 6.7% | 12.3% |
| 2/1/2024 | -0.5% | 0.8% | -6.2% |
| 11/2/2023 | -0.5% | 2.7% | 6.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 15 | 16 |
| # Negative | 14 | 9 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% |
| Median Negative | -1.7% | -4.1% | -6.1% |
| Max Positive | 10.5% | 18.4% | 30.0% |
| Max Negative | -5.6% | -7.4% | -14.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1312025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-K 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2022024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2032023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-K 9/24/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/25/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/26/2022 |
| 12312021 | 1282022 | 10-Q 12/25/2021 |
| 9302021 | 10292021 | 10-K 9/25/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | LEVINSON ARTHUR D | 8292025 | Sell | 232.07 | 90,000 | 20,886,300 | 944,426,502 | Form | |
| 1 | O'BRIEN DEIRDRE | Senior Vice President | 8122025 | Sell | 223.20 | 34,821 | 7,772,047 | 30,508,538 | Form |
| 2 | KONDO CHRIS | Principal Accounting Officer | 5142025 | Sell | 208.19 | 4,486 | 933,955 | 3,233,867 | Form |
| 3 | Parekh Kevan | Senior Vice President, CFO | 4252025 | Sell | 206.00 | 4,570 | 941,420 | 941,214 | Form |
| 4 | WILLIAMS JEFFREY E | COO | 12182024 | Sell | 248.61 | 13,925 | 3,461,894 | 118,343,084 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
