Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -20%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.1%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
2   Key risks
AA key risks include [1] acute operational vulnerability to high energy costs and supply interruptions, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -20%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.1%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
5 Key risks
AA key risks include [1] acute operational vulnerability to high energy costs and supply interruptions, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Alcoa (AA) stock has gained about 35% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Beat and Positive 2026 Outlook.

Alcoa reported robust fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.26, significantly surpassing the consensus analyst estimate of $0.95 by $0.31, representing a 35.48% surprise. The company also reported revenues of $3.4 billion, exceeding the projected $3.28 billion. Furthermore, Alcoa issued a positive outlook for 2026, forecasting increased alumina production between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons and aluminum output ranging from 2.4 to 2.6 million metric tons, both higher than 2025 figures, driven by supportive aluminum market fundamentals and continued operational improvements.

2. Surge in Aluminum Prices Due to Global Supply Concerns.

Global aluminum prices experienced a significant surge, reaching a four-year high of approximately $3,500 per tonne by March 2026. This increase was primarily driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East causing supply chain disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. Additional factors contributing to tighter supply included China nearing its annual output capacity limit in 2025 and the announced shutdown of South32's Mozal smelter in Mozambique by March 2026. Alcoa's earnings significantly benefit from these price increases, with a $100 rise in the aluminum spot price translating to a $237 million tailwind for its EBITDA.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 35.5% change in AA stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 34.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253202026Change
Stock Price ($)41.6756.4535.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,86812,831-0.3%
Net Income Margin (%)8.9%9.0%1.3%
P/E Multiple9.412.634.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2592590.0%
Cumulative Contribution35.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AA35.5% 
Market (SPY)-4.8%43.7%
Sector (XLB)5.1%46.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 76.1% change in AA stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 52.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253202026Change
Stock Price ($)32.0556.4576.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,77712,8310.4%
Net Income Margin (%)7.9%9.0%14.8%
P/E Multiple8.312.652.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2592590.0%
Cumulative Contribution76.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AA76.1% 
Market (SPY)1.1%47.5%
Sector (XLB)2.3%48.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 72.2% change in AA stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 1687.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820253202026Change
Stock Price ($)32.7856.4572.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,89512,8317.9%
Net Income Margin (%)0.5%9.0%1687.7%
P/E Multiple140.412.6-91.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)257259-0.8%
Cumulative Contribution72.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AA72.2% 
Market (SPY)10.4%59.8%
Sector (XLB)7.4%62.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 19.8% change in AA stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 69.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233202026Change
Stock Price ($)47.1256.4519.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,45112,8313.1%
P/S Multiple0.71.169.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)178259-31.3%
Cumulative Contribution19.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AA19.8% 
Market (SPY)70.3%52.5%
Sector (XLB)21.1%62.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AA Return159%-23%-24%12%42%11%167%
Peers Return28%-18%39%0%69%13%180%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-3%76%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AA Win Rate75%42%42%50%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate54%44%54%48%73%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AA Max Drawdown-22%-43%-48%-25%-40%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-39%-14%-22%-20%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-3% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CSTM, CENX, KALU, RS. See AA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/20/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-75.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven306.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-74.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven292.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven256 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-72.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven260.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven860 days120 days

Compare to CSTM, CENX, KALU, RS

In The Past

Alcoa's stock fell -75.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/24/2022. A -75.4% loss requires a 306.1% gain to breakeven.

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About Alcoa (AA)

Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Iceland, Norway, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum. It engages in bauxite mining operations; and processes bauxite into alumina and sells it to customers who process it into industrial chemical products, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company offers primary aluminum in the form of alloy ingot or value-add ingot to customers that produce products for the transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire, and other industrial markets. In addition, it owns hydro power plants that generates and sells electricity in the wholesale market to traders, large industrial consumers, distribution companies, and other generation companies. The company was formerly known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation and changed its name to Alcoa Corporation in October 2016. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

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The ExxonMobil of aluminum.

Like Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) for the aluminum industry.

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  • Bauxite: This is the raw ore mined by Alcoa, which is then processed into alumina.
  • Alumina: An intermediate product derived from bauxite, sold to customers who process it into industrial chemical products or further into aluminum.
  • Primary Aluminum: Offered in forms such as alloy ingot and value-add ingot, serving industries like transportation, building and construction, packaging, and wire.
  • Electricity: Generated from Alcoa's owned hydropower plants and sold in the wholesale market to various consumers and companies.

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William F. Oplinger, President and Chief Executive Officer

William F. Oplinger joined Alcoa in 2000 and has served as President, Chief Executive Officer, and a director since September 2023. Prior to his current role, he was Chief Operating Officer from February to September 2023, and Chief Financial Officer for Alcoa Corporation from 2016 to February 2023, and for Alcoa Inc. from 2013 to 2016. Mr. Oplinger has extensive experience leading Alcoa's finance function, overseeing treasury, pension, tax, controllership, financial planning and analysis, audit, investor relations, and transformation. He also served as Chief Operating Officer for Alcoa Global Primary Products, where he was responsible for the daily operations of its mining, refining, smelting, casting, and energy businesses, and oversaw significant restructuring efforts and the optimization of centers of excellence. Before joining Alcoa, he held engineering and management positions at Westinghouse and Emerson Electric.

Molly S. Beerman, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Molly S. Beerman was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective February 1, 2023. Prior to this, she served as Vice President and Controller for Alcoa Corporation since December 2016. Ms. Beerman is a seasoned financial executive known for her expertise in technical accounting, process improvement, and technology. She held various leadership roles with Alcoa Inc. from 2001 to 2012, including Director of Global Procurement Center of Excellence and Manager of North America Financial Accounting Services. She also served as Director of Global Shared Services Strategy and Solutions. From 2012 to 2015, she was Vice President of Finance and Administration for The Pittsburgh Foundation, a non-profit organization, and returned to Alcoa in 2015 in a consulting capacity for the finance department related to the separation transaction. Earlier in her career, she held financial management positions at Carnegie Mellon University, PNC Bank, and Deloitte.

Matthew T. Reed, Executive Vice President and Chief Operations Officer

Matthew T. Reed serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Operations Officer, responsible for the daily operations of Alcoa's global bauxite, alumina, and aluminum assets. He joined Alcoa in June 2023 as Vice President Operations, Australia and President, Alcoa of Australia.

Andrew Hastings, Executive Vice President and General Counsel

Andrew Hastings is the Executive Vice President and General Counsel, overseeing Alcoa's global legal, security, compliance, and governance matters. Before joining Alcoa in September 2023, he served as Senior Vice President and General Counsel at Lundin Mining Corporation from February 2019 to August 2023.

Renato Bacchi, Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer

Renato Bacchi is the Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, leading the company’s sales and trading, marketing, supply chain, commercial operations, procurement, and transformation initiatives. He also oversees Alcoa's global energy assets and breakthrough technology programs. He was promoted to Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy Officer effective February 1, 2022, and previously held the position of Senior Vice President of Corporate Development and Treasurer.

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The key risks to Alcoa's business include the volatility of commodity prices and energy costs, geopolitical factors and trade policies, and increasing environmental regulations.

  1. Commodity Price Volatility and High Energy Costs

    Alcoa's profitability is highly sensitive to the volatile market prices of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum, its primary products. As an energy-intensive industry, aluminum production is also significantly impacted by fluctuations in electricity and natural gas prices, which represent a substantial portion of Alcoa's production costs. This dual exposure to both input and output price volatility makes the company vulnerable to market swings.

  2. Geopolitical Risks, Trade Restrictions, and Tariffs

    Geopolitical issues, trade sanctions, and tariffs pose a significant risk to Alcoa's global operations. Such factors can disrupt supply chains for raw materials like bauxite and alumina, lead to increased transportation costs, and affect market access. For example, US tariffs on imported aluminum can directly increase costs for the company's Aluminum segment.

  3. Environmental Regulations and Compliance Costs

    The aluminum industry faces mounting scrutiny regarding its environmental footprint, particularly concerning greenhouse gas emissions from its energy-intensive production processes. Alcoa is subject to evolving environmental regulations, which necessitate substantial capital expenditure for compliance and asset optimization. Adherence to stricter environmental policies, including those related to water pollution and land use from mining activities, can lead to increased operating expenses and impact profitability.

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Alcoa Corporation operates in three main segments: Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum. The addressable markets for these products are global.

  • Bauxite: The global bauxite market size was estimated at approximately USD 16.18 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach about USD 20.45 billion by 2034. Another estimate places the global bauxite market size at USD 17.1 billion in 2025, with a projection to reach USD 21.5 billion by 2034. Asia-Pacific is the dominating region in the bauxite market.
  • Alumina: The global alumina market size was estimated at over USD 40 billion in 2020 and is anticipated to grow to USD 46.53 billion by 2030. More recent estimates indicate the global alumina market size was approximately USD 46.83 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach around USD 70.8 billion by 2034. Smelter-grade alumina (SGA), which Alcoa produces, accounts for over 92% of global alumina demand. The Asia Pacific region is expected to lead the alumina market.
  • Aluminum: The global aluminum market size was estimated at USD 178.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach approximately USD 315.5 billion by 2034. Other estimations include a market size of USD 199.83 billion in 2024, growing to USD 307.36 billion by 2033, and USD 190.98 billion in 2025, increasing to approximately USD 347.29 billion by 2035. The Asia Pacific region accounts for the largest share of the global aluminum market.

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Alcoa Corporation (AA) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors:

  1. Increasing Global Aluminum Demand: The demand for aluminum is expected to grow significantly due to global trends in electrification, decarbonization, and digital infrastructure. Aluminum is a critical component in electric vehicles, renewable energy systems (like solar panels and wind turbines), modern power grids, and data centers. Additionally, traditional sectors such as transportation, building and construction, and packaging continue to drive demand.
  2. Enhanced Production Capacity and Shipments: Alcoa anticipates increased aluminum production and shipment volumes resulting from the restart of key smelters. Notably, the San Ciprián smelter in Spain is on track for a full restart by mid-2026, contributing to higher output. Increased production from other facilities, such as Alumar in Brazil and Lista in Norway, is also expected to boost overall capacity.
  3. Favorable Aluminum Pricing and Premiums: Positive market dynamics, including strong aluminum prices and regional premiums, are projected to contribute to revenue growth. Factors such as U.S. Section 232 tariffs and the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) in Europe are expected to support higher Midwest premiums and overall aluminum pricing. Geopolitical tensions have also played a role in recent increases in global aluminum prices.
  4. Strategic Monetization of Non-Core Assets: Alcoa is actively pursuing a strategy to monetize its closed or curtailed industrial sites, including selling them to data center developers. The company expects to complete the first sale of these sites by June 2026, creating a new revenue stream by repurposing legacy assets for emerging digital infrastructure needs.

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Share Repurchases

  • In July 2022, Alcoa announced an additional $500 million share repurchase program, with $275 million utilized in the second quarter of 2022.
  • As of October 2025, approximately $500 million remained in the share repurchase plan, contingent on the availability of excess cash.
  • Over the five-year period ending December 2025, Alcoa's 5-Year Share Buyback Ratio was -8.00%, indicating a net increase in outstanding shares despite repurchase authorizations.

Share Issuance

  • In August 2024, Alcoa completed an all-stock acquisition of Alumina Limited, resulting in a significant issuance of Alcoa shares.
  • As part of this transaction, 2,760,056,014 Alumina Limited shares were exchanged for 78,772,422 shares of Alcoa common stock on August 1, 2024.
  • The company's shares outstanding increased by 20.22% in 2024 to 0.214 billion and by 22.06% in 2025 to 0.261 billion, largely due to the Alumina Limited acquisition.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2024, Alcoa acquired the remaining 40% interest in Alumina Limited, consolidating 100% ownership of the Alcoa World Alumina and Chemicals (AWAC) joint venture, for an implied consideration of approximately $2.7 billion in an all-stock transaction.
  • In July 2025, Alcoa sold its 25.1% ownership interest in the Ma'aden Joint Venture to the Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden) for approximately $1.35 billion, comprising 86 million Ma'aden shares (valued at $1.2 billion) and $150 million in cash.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for the full year 2024 were $580 million.
  • For the full year 2025, Alcoa's capital expenditures were $618 million, primarily focused on operational efficiency and strategic asset management.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be $750 million, with a focus on smelter restarts and modernization efforts, including approximately $60 million through 2028 for the anode baking furnace at the Massena smelter.

Better Bets vs. Alcoa (AA)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to AA.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IP_1312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K01312026IPInternational PaperInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
9.1%9.1%0.0%
B_1302026_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%01302026BBarrick MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
11.7%11.7%-4.0%
AMR_12312025_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K12312025AMRAlpha Metallurgical ResourcesInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
-18.6%-18.6%-18.6%
EMN_12262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12262025EMNEastman ChemicalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
18.9%18.9%0.0%
AMCR_12122025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V212122025AMCRAmcorInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
19.2%19.2%-0.5%
AA_9302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09302022AAAlcoaDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
27.0%-12.8%-22.4%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AACSTMCENXKALURSMedian
NameAlcoa Constell.Century .Kaiser A.Reliance  
Mkt Price56.4522.3848.97107.04290.5656.45
Mkt Cap14.63.14.71.715.14.7
Rev LTM12,8318,4492,5283,37314,2948,449
Op Inc LTM7584811581911,004481
FCF LTM56715985-26502159
FCF 3Y Avg5647-41090147
CFO LTM1,185489185111831489
CFO 3Y Avg633419891631,311419

Growth & Margins

AACSTMCENXKALURSMedian
NameAlcoa Constell.Century .Kaiser A.Reliance  
Rev Chg LTM7.9%15.2%13.9%11.5%3.3%11.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.8%-1.2%-2.0%-0.1%-5.4%-1.2%
Rev Chg Q-1.1%27.9%0.4%21.4%11.9%11.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%6.0%0.1%5.1%2.7%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM5.9%5.7%6.3%5.7%7.0%5.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.6%4.8%4.1%4.6%9.0%4.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.5%1.4%-0.1%0.4%-0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM9.2%5.8%7.3%3.3%5.8%5.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.1%5.3%3.7%5.2%9.1%5.2%
FCF/Rev LTM4.4%1.9%3.4%-0.8%3.5%3.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.2%0.5%-0.3%0.3%6.3%0.3%

Valuation

AACSTMCENXKALURSMedian
NameAlcoa Constell.Century .Kaiser A.Reliance  
Mkt Cap14.63.14.71.715.14.7
P/S1.10.41.90.51.11.1
P/EBIT12.06.394.28.713.312.0
P/E12.611.2113.515.420.515.4
P/CFO12.36.325.615.618.215.6
Total Yield8.6%8.9%0.9%7.2%6.6%7.2%
Dividend Yield0.7%0.0%0.0%0.7%1.7%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.9%0.9%-1.0%1.1%5.9%0.9%
D/E0.20.60.10.60.10.2
Net D/E0.10.60.10.60.10.1

Returns

AACSTMCENXKALURSMedian
NameAlcoa Constell.Century .Kaiser A.Reliance  
1M Rtn-6.1%-12.7%-2.5%-23.2%-13.3%-12.7%
3M Rtn10.3%19.3%35.2%-5.7%0.3%10.3%
6M Rtn74.7%45.0%77.6%40.6%1.8%45.0%
12M Rtn63.8%90.3%143.5%60.4%5.0%63.8%
3Y Rtn39.6%53.5%435.2%81.5%21.5%53.5%
1M Excs Rtn-0.1%-8.1%-1.5%-10.6%-5.7%-5.7%
3M Excs Rtn23.9%27.1%55.7%0.1%1.2%23.9%
6M Excs Rtn75.2%38.7%83.9%39.6%3.8%39.6%
12M Excs Rtn47.0%72.0%133.6%42.8%-10.3%47.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-20.0%-5.8%373.3%17.1%-41.4%-5.8%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Alumina6,1386,1535,8594,3854,333
Aluminum6,1295,8546,3586,2516,214
Cash and cash equivalents 9441,3631,8141,607
Corporate fixed assets, net 392364374453
Corporate goodwill 142141140141
Deferred income taxes 333296506655
Elimination of intersegment receivables -159-126-261-193
Other 371355222182
Pension assets 125146164 
Bauxite   1,4301,468
Total12,26714,15514,75615,02514,860


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$56.45 
Market Cap ($ Bil)14.6 
First Trading Date10/07/2014 
Distance from 52W High-15.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$61.55$42.11
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-8.3%34.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility58.3%56.3%
Downside Capture202.43193.54
Upside Capture332.79216.51
Correlation (SPY)41.2%58.8%
AA Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.852.102.262.341.751.81
Up Beta3.493.213.302.981.611.61
Down Beta1.37-0.68-0.311.041.551.70
Up Capture395%440%583%586%466%949%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days10203065128370
Down Capture237%222%177%177%140%112%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days11213159123379

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AA
AA62.0%56.2%1.06-
Sector ETF (XLB)9.4%20.8%0.3362.6%
Equity (SPY)15.8%18.9%0.6459.0%
Gold (GLD)48.2%27.0%1.4529.9%
Commodities (DBC)17.8%17.4%0.8337.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.0%16.4%-0.1135.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-19.0%44.2%-0.3535.9%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AA
AA13.8%56.4%0.45-
Sector ETF (XLB)5.6%18.9%0.2061.7%
Equity (SPY)11.8%17.0%0.5449.0%
Gold (GLD)20.7%17.5%0.9724.1%
Commodities (DBC)10.9%19.0%0.4641.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%18.8%0.0636.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.7%56.7%0.3024.7%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AA
AA9.9%55.6%0.41-
Sector ETF (XLB)9.9%20.6%0.4361.4%
Equity (SPY)14.2%17.9%0.6851.8%
Gold (GLD)13.3%15.7%0.7018.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%17.6%0.3941.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2138.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.9%66.8%1.0619.3%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2272026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2152026-7.2%
Average Daily Volume5.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity259.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/22/2026-1.5%-4.0%-5.3%
10/22/202512.6%9.1%0.8%
7/16/20252.9%12.4%10.1%
4/16/2025-7.0%5.5%17.3%
1/22/2025-3.7%-9.4%-11.3%
10/16/2024-4.1%-0.5%-1.8%
7/10/20241.9%-4.3%-20.4%
4/17/2024-0.2%1.5%12.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81515
# Negative1699
Median Positive3.2%6.0%17.3%
Median Negative-4.3%-9.4%-10.4%
Max Positive15.2%14.8%31.0%
Max Negative-16.9%-19.5%-28.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202307/27/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/25/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q