The Year That Was For Volkswagen’s Audi
Volkswagen AG (OTCMKTS:VLKAY) might be going through a tough time viz-a-viz the dieselgate scandal, and the continual poor operational performance of its namesake brand of passenger vehicles, but despite being embroiled in the scandal, the group’s largest luxury brand, Audi, finished 2016 holding its lead in China and Europe, and managed to grow in the U.S. Audi’s image has also been marred in the U.S., where Volkswagen is likely to pay over $20 billion in relation to the fines and penalties, settlements, and recall and fixes. However, the brand has managed to grow in a market which remained relatively flat through 2016, as demand weakened following the years after the recession where re-fueling of fleet took place at an aggressive rate.
Audi forms almost 13% of the company’s value as per our estimates, and this doesn’t include its Chinese business, which is accounted for using the equity method of accounting. The biggest fuel to Audi’s growth has been its biggest market, China, which accounted for approximately 32% of all Audi vehicle deliveries in 2016. Demand for the compact premium sedan A3 and the SUV Q3 have remained high, allowing Audi to report solid results in China. However, the brand is facing stiff competition from Mercedes and BMW in the country, as both these brands are catching up to Audi. Although the Chinese passenger vehicle market grew solidly last year, this was mainly as the government halved the 10% purchase tax on cars equipped with 1.6-liter engines or smaller engines in October 2015, in response to a period of slow growth in the country’s vehicle market. The year-over-over growth rate is expected to slow down in the new year in China.
Luxury brands are important for Volkswagen, whose operating margin of 5-6% is almost half of that reported by Toyota, its chief competitor in the global vehicle market. Through the first three quarters, while Audi and Porsche combined formed 21% of the vehicle deliveries for Volkswagen, the divisions formed 38% of the net revenue and a much larger 60% of the operating profit. This is because the average unit pricing of a luxury car is somewhere close to $44,000, compared to just over $20,000 for the average price of vehicles overall. Given the high fixed cost of manufacturing and distributing a car, a higher purchase price is the biggest guarantor of profitability.
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Although the Volkswagen brand of passenger cars forms a majority of profits for the company, rising volumes for the luxury units means that their proportion in profits, and subsequently, overall profits, get a boost. This means that continual growth in Audi volumes could spur Volkswagen’s profitability going forward.
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