Forecast Of The Day: UPS International Export Package Revenue

UPS: United Parcel Service logo
United Parcel Service


UPS (NYSE:UPS) International Export Package Revenue per Piece declined from around $29 in 2019 to about $28.5 in 2020. Trefis expects the metric to rise to about $32.5 in 2021 and to about $32.8 in 2022.


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We expect long-term growth to be driven by an increase in base rates on packages shipped and an increase in surcharges.

So What?

We think the projected growth in UPS revenue isn’t fully priced into the stock yet. We value UPS at about $238, about 10% ahead of the current market price.

See Our Complete Analysis For UPS

What if you’re looking for a more balanced portfolio instead? Here’s a high-quality portfolio that’s beaten the market consistently since the end of 2016.

 Returns Jan 2022
MTD [1]
YTD [1]
Total [2]
 UPS Return 2% 2% 90%
 S&P 500 Return -1% -1% 110%
 Trefis MS Portfolio Return -6% -6% 271%

[1] Month-to-date and year-to-date as of 1/9/2022
[2] Cumulative total returns since the end of 2016

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