Twitter’s stock (NYSE: TWTR) has fallen by 50% in the last twelve months due to various factors like lower user growth than market expectations, a new CEO, and earnings falling short of consensus estimates. In recently announced FY 2021 results, the company posted revenue of $5.08 billion, up by 37%, but an operating loss was recorded at $493 million, which includes a one-time litigation-related net charge of $766 million and ongoing investments.
The share price has fallen rapidly in 2022 similar to all growth stocks, as U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted that an increase in interest rates will be sooner rather than later, which has shifted investors toward safer assets. Though the increase expected is lower now than before the war broke out between Russia and Ukraine last week.
Overall, we expect Twitter to continue to add new users and improve Twitter‘s revenues to $5.6 billion in FY 2022 while net income is expected to be $73 million. We expect the revenue per share (RPS) to be $6.97 which coupled with the P/S multiple of 6.4x will lead to Twitter’s valuation of $45, about 28% upside compared to the current market price.
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|S&P 500 Return||0%||-8%||96%|
|Trefis MS Portfolio Return||0%||-10%||254%|
 Month-to-date and year-to-date as of 3/1/2022
 Cumulative total returns since the end of 2016
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