Has Twitter’s Stock Peaked?

by Trefis Team
+9.05%
Upside
65.40
Market
71.32
Trefis
TWTR
Twitter
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Twitter’s stock (NYSE: TWTR) fell by 3.7% to $66 in the last five trading days. In comparison, the broader S&P500 fell by 1% over the last five trading days. The company reports Q2 2021 earnings on Thursday, July 22. As per Trefis’ Twitter Valuation, the share price is above its near-term potential of $62. Now, is TWTR stock poised to grow? Based on our machine learning analysis of trends in the stock price over the last ten years, there is a 51% chance of a near term decline in TWTR stock over the next month (twenty-one trading days). See our analysis on Twitter’s Stock Chances Of Rise for more details.

Five Days: TWTR -3.7%, vs. S&P500 -1%; Underperformed market

(21% event probability)

  • Twitter’s stock declined 3.7% over a five day trading period ending 7/16/2021, compared to the broader market (S&P500) which declined 1%
  • A change of -3.7% or more over five trading days has a 21% event probability, which has occurred 402 times out of 1930 in the last eight years

Ten Days: TWTR -2.5%, vs. S&P500 0.2%; Underperformed market

(37% event probability)

  • Twitter’s stock declined 2.5% over the last ten trading days (two weeks), compared to the broader market (S&P500) rise of 0.2%
  • A change of -2.5% or more over ten trading days has a 37% event probability, which has occurred 711 times out of 1925 in the last eight years

Twenty-One Days: TWTR 11%, vs. S&P500 2.2%; Outperformed market

(24% event probability)

  • Twitter’s stock rose 11% over the last twenty-one trading days (one month), compared to the broader market (S&P500) rise of 2.2%
  • A change of 11% or more over twenty-one trading days has a 24% event probability, which has occurred 468 times out of 1914 in the last eight years

What if you’re looking for a more balanced portfolio instead? Here’s a high-quality portfolio that’s beaten the market since 2016.

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