Market Movers | Winners: FRVO, CRK, MMED | Losers: ALMS, ENOV, FBYD

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A day of broad market declines saw extreme moves in individual stocks, raising questions about which trends have staying power.

Alumis (ALMS) was the weakest Market stock of the day, returning -56.6%. The move came as the S&P 500 returned -0.7%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average returned -0.8%, and the Nasdaq-100 returned -1.3%.

The day’s extremes raise a familiar question for any disciplined investor: is a single, sharp move the beginning of a story, or the end of one? The names below show both patterns at work.

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Tuesday’s Market Winners

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The 10 stocks with the highest returns on the last trading day:

# Ticker Company Name 1-D
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 FRVO Fervo Energy 28.4% n/a
2 CRK Comstock Resources 11.0% -30.9%
3 MMED Minimed 10.7% n/a
4 MRNA Moderna 9.9% 423.1%
5 ARCT Arcturus Therapeutics 9.9% 164.7%
6 CTMX CytomX Therapeutics 9.2% -13.8%
7 EIX Edison International 8.9% 1.8%
8 LMB Limbach 8.7% -42.5%
9 CBIO Crescent Biopharma 8.0% 51.2%
10 NVAX Novavax 8.0% 50.6%

Tuesday’s Market Losers

And the 10 stocks with the lowest returns:

# Ticker Company Name 1-D
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 ALMS Alumis -56.6% -3.0%
2 ENOV Enovis -16.5% -22.9%
3 FBYD Falcons Beyond Global -16.2% -50.1%
4 RPD Rapid7 -10.8% -21.0%
5 OSW OneSpaWorld -10.4% 7.9%
6 PS Pershing Square -10.3% n/a
7 IE Ivanhoe Electric -9.3% -37.2%
8 BW Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises -9.3% 7.9%
9 SN SharkNinja -9.1% 56.3%
10 EVCM EverCommerce -9.0% -33.4%

Today’s biggest loser has been losing for weeks.

Alumis (ALMS) appears on both the one-day and one-month losers lists. Its one-month return is -63.7%, and its weakness has been building for weeks; excluding today it still lost 16.5% over the other sessions. The company’s revenue declined 63.1% over the last twelve months, and its market value is about $1.2 billion.

Movers Over The Last Week

Widening the window to five trading days, these are the strongest and weakest Market names:

# Ticker Company Name 1-W
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 ANF Abercrombie & Fitch 29.2% 11.8%
2 OKTA Okta Inc. 27.4% 92.5%
3 CRM Salesforce 25.5% -2.1%
4 CAPR Capricor Therapeutics 20.7% -65.3%
5 CNXC Concentrix 20.1% -19.2%
6 FRVO Fervo Energy 20.1% n/a
7 MMED Minimed 18.5% n/a
8 KVYO Klaviyo 17.3% -36.4%
9 CRWD CrowdStrike 16.0% 83.5%
10 ESTC Elastic 14.9% 22.5%

 

# Ticker Company Name 1-W
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 ALMS Alumis -60.5% -3.0%
2 FBYD Falcons Beyond Global -33.5% -50.1%
3 LPTH LightPath Technologies -31.3% -12.3%
4 PCG PG&E -23.4% -12.0%
5 FRMI Fermi -23.0% -42.1%
6 BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop -22.8% -49.7%
7 GENB Generate Biomedicines -22.5% n/a
8 TRON TRON Inc. -22.3% 32.3%
9 EIX Edison International -21.4% 1.8%
10 AEHR Aehr Test Systems -19.9% 279.3%

Movers Over The Last Month

And over the last 21 trading days:

# Ticker Company Name 1-M
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 MRNA Moderna 179.8% 423.1%
2 ARCT Arcturus Therapeutics 170.4% 164.7%
3 CYPH Cypherpunk Technologies 168.5% 47.4%
4 CAPR Capricor Therapeutics 138.3% -65.3%
5 QMCO Quantum 128.9% 274.7%
6 OABI OmniAb 126.5% 140.0%
7 RCEL AVITA Medical 118.0% 191.9%
8 ABCL AbCellera Biologics 93.5% 229.8%
9 IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics 91.9% 203.3%
10 HTFL HeartFlow 88.5% 73.0%

 

# Ticker Company Name 1-M
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 ALMS Alumis -63.7% -3.0%
2 EYPT EyePoint -63.1% -74.9%
3 TDUP ThredUp -59.4% -60.6%
4 UTI Universal Technical Institute -49.5% -20.2%
5 AHCO AdaptHealth -49.1% -44.7%
6 PLTK Playtika -45.8% -44.3%
7 LINC Lincoln Educational Services -43.7% 0.6%
8 GOGO Gogo Inc. -43.1% -45.3%
9 CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure -42.9% 48.9%
10 LASR nLight -42.5% 7.5%

A movers list is a map of attention, not a set of instructions.

The weekly and monthly tables earlier in this report show how quickly leadership can change, or how a trend can persist. A large move in either direction is simply information about risk and investor focus. The appearance of names like Moderna (MRNA) or Arcturus Therapeutics (ARCT) on both daily and monthly winner lists shows a trend, not an instruction. The disciplined follow-up is the same for any name, winning or losing: check the business behind the move.

The next step is never to trade the list; it is to test it. Our Guidance Momentum screen shows which risers have management raising guidance behind them, and our Buy the Dip screen shows which of the fallers still generate the growth and cash that make a recovery plausible.

Today’s Winner Is Tomorrow’s Loser Often Enough

The movers list is the most honest picture of single-stock risk the market prints each day: the same volatility that makes the winners column also fills the losers column, and no one reliably knows which side a stock lands on next.

That is the case for owning a disciplined basket instead of chasing the tape. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio holds roughly 30 businesses selected for consistent cash generation, strong margins, and resilient balance sheets, sized and rebalanced with rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the three major indices – the S&P 500, S&P Mid-cap, and Russell 2000. Watch the movers for information; let the portfolio do the compounding.