What The Latest FOMC Announcement Means For Gold Prices

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The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged in its latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, a move that is likely to provide a short term boost to gold prices. The following chart illustrates how spot gold prices reacted to the FOMC announcement at 2 pm EDT yesterday.

FOMC announcement gold prices

Source: Kitco

Gold is considered a safe-haven asset from an investment point of view, with macroeconomic uncertainty tending to increase investor interest in the metal. In addition, since investments in gold offer only capital gains (with no interest/coupon component), rising interest rates tend to negatively impact gold prices. Moreover, with rising interest rates usually indicative of improving economic conditions, the investment demand for safe-haven assets such as gold tends to decline.

With low energy and import prices keeping inflation below the Fed’s long-run inflation objective of 2% and the labor market still improving, the Federal Reserve has decided to maintain the target range for the Federal Funds rate at 0.25-0.50%. [1] Though the announcement to keep interest rates steady will support gold prices going forward, steady improvements in the labor market have boosted the case for an interest rate hike. [1] The timing and the pace of future Fed interest rate hikes will certainly influence the trajectory of gold prices going forward, with future rate hikes expected to negatively impact prices. However, with uncertainty abounding in the wake of the UK’s June 23 EU referendum amid subdued global economic conditions, gold prices are likely to remain elevated in the near term. Check out our forecasts for gold prices.

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Notes:

1) The purpose of these analyses is to help readers focus on a few important things. We hope such lean communication sparks thinking, and encourages readers to comment and ask questions on the comment section, or email content@trefis.com
2) Figures mentioned are approximate values to help our readers remember the key concepts more intuitively. For precise figures, please refer to our complete analysis for Newmont Mining
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Notes:
  1. Press Release, Federal Reserve Website [] []