Where Is Microsoft’s Stock Headed?

by Trefis Team
+9.57%
Upside
330
Market
361
Trefis
MSFT
Microsoft
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Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), declined by 1.3% in the last twenty-one trading days. Meanwhile, the broader S&P500 declined by 1.6% over the last twenty-one trading days. As per Trefis’ Microsoft’s valuation of $323, there is around a 10% upside potential from the current price. Now, is MSFT stock poised to grow? Based on our machine learning analysis of trends in the stock price over the last ten years, there is a 69% chance of a rise in MSFT stock over the next month (twenty-one trading days). See our analysis on Microsoft’s Stock Chance Of Rise for more details.

Five Days: MSFT -1.3%, vs. S&P500 -3.1%; Underperformed market

(26% event probability)

  • Microsoft’s stock declined 1.3% over a five day trading period ending 9/17/2021, compared to the broader market (S&P500) which declined by 3.1%
  • A change of -1.3% or more over five trading days has a 26% event probability, which has occurred 666 times out of 2516 in the last ten years

Ten Days: MSFT -2.7%, vs. S&P500 -4.5%; Outperformed market

(13% event probability)

  • Microsoft’s stock declined -2.7% over the last ten trading days (two weeks), compared to the broader market (S&P500) which declined by -4.5%
  • A change of -2.7% or more over ten trading days has a 13% event probability, which has occurred 332 times out of 2517 in the last ten years

Twenty-One Days: MSFT -1.3%, vs. S&P500 -1.6%; Outperformed market

(26% event probability)

  • Microsoft’s stock declined 1.3% over the last twenty-one trading days (one month), compared to the broader market (S&P500) which declined by 1.6%
  • A change of -1.3% or more over twenty-one trading days has a 26% event probability, which has occurred 643 times out of 2516 in the last ten years
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