Coronavirus Recovery Watch: Expedia’s Stock Gained 23% Last Week, But Still Down 45% YTD

by Trefis Team
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Our travel portfolio of 3 stocks shows an average return of 14% in the last five trading days compared with a comparable 14% return in the Dow during the same period. This portfolio reflects one set of possible stocks that will very likely perform similar to the broader market if there’s a reasonably quick Coronavirus-recovery.

The top performers within the portfolio in the last five trading days were:

  • Expedia (23.o% return)
  • TripAdvisor (13.4% return)
  • Booking Holdings (6.6% return)

Portfolio Summary (at market close on Friday, March 27)

Ticker Market Cap Stock Price Return
EXPE $8.4 Bil $60.03 1D: -6.8% 5D: 23% YTD: -44.5%
TRIP $2.4 Bil $17.96 1D: -9.2% 5D: 13.4% YTD: -40.9%
BKNG $51.5 Bil $1,255.15 1D: -10.7% 5D: 6.6% YTD: -38.9%

Financial Highlights for Top Performer Expedia

Expedia’s market cap has declined by $7.5 billion from about $15.9 billion on 12/31/2019 to $8.4 billion now. The company had $12.1 billion in revenue in 2019, from which it derived $565 million in net income and $3.84 in earnings per share.

As a comparison, Booking Holdings had $15.1 billion in revenue in 2019, from which it derived $4.9 million in net income and $112.93 in earnings per share. It also saw its market cap decline from $88.5 billion on 12/31/2019 to a current level of $51.5 billion.

See the Travel portfolio for more financial highlights on each portfolio company.

Reminder: Portfolio Performance Hinges on Speedy Recovery

Our dashboard forecasting US COVID-19 cases with cross-country comparisons analyzes expected recovery time-frames and possible spread of the virus.

Further, our dashboard -28% Coronavirus crash vs. 4 Historic crashes builds a complete macro picture and complements our analyses of the coronavirus outbreak’s impact.

See all Trefis Price Estimates and Download Trefis Data here

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