Subscriber Pressure To Impact Dish’s Q4 Revenues

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DISH Network

Dish Network (NASDAQ:DISH) is set to report its Q4 2017 earnings on February 21. In the previous quarter, the company’s revenue declined by 5% to $3.58 billion as it lost 129,000 Pay-TV subscribers on a net basis. Users are actively shifting to over the top (OTT) streaming services such as Netflix, and Pay-TV companies such as Dish are losing subscribers rapidly. For Q4, we expect that the company’s earnings will be once again marked by a loss of subscribers. However, the company continues to offer “skinny bundles” to lure customers back to its Pay TV services through its streaming service Sling TV, which is helping offset some of the secular pressure. We expect the company to report a 4-5% decline in revenues to around $3.5 billion. Additionally, we expect average revenue per user (ARPU) to decline marginally compared to ARPU in Q4’16. We have created an interactive dashboard that illustrates our Q4 expectation for Dish network. You can modify the number of subscribers, average revenue per user and net income margin expectations to see how the EPS will be affected in Q4 2018.

 

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At present, our $50 price estimate for Dish network is marginally above the current market price.

See our full analysis for Dish Network

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