Between Ollie’s Bargain Outlet and Amazon.com, Which Stock Looks Set to Break Out?
Amazon.com fell -5.6% during the past Day. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Ollie’s Bargain Outlet gives you more. Ollie’s Bargain Outlet (OLLI) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Amazon.com (AMZN) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in OLLI
- OLLI’s quarterly revenue growth was 18.6%, vs. AMZN’s 13.6%.
- In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 12.6%, ahead of AMZN’s 12.4%.
- OLLI leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 12.0% and 3-year average of 11.6%.
These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how AMZN’s fundamentals stack up against those of OLLI on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.
Valuation & Performance Overview
| AMZN | OLLI | Preferred | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | |||
| P/EBIT Ratio | 28.2 | 22.7 | OLLI |
| Revenue Growth | |||
| Last Quarter | 13.6% | 18.6% | OLLI |
| Last 12 Months | 12.4% | 12.6% | OLLI |
| Last 3 Year Average | 11.7% | 12.6% | OLLI |
| Operating Margins | |||
| Last 12 Months | 11.2% | 12.0% | OLLI |
| Last 3 Year Average | 9.4% | 11.6% | OLLI |
| Momentum | |||
| Last 3 Year Return | 105.8% | 100.4% | AMZN |
Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See more revenue details: AMZN Revenue Comparison | OLLI Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: AMZN Operating Income Comparison | OLLI Operating Income Comparison
See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell OLLI Stock and Buy or Sell AMZN Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.
Historical Market Performance
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | Avg | Best | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||||
| AMZN Return | 2% | -50% | 81% | 44% | 5% | -4% | 37% | ||
| OLLI Return | -37% | -8% | 62% | 45% | -0% | -3% | 31% | ||
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 81% | <=== | |
| Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||||
| AMZN Win Rate | 50% | 25% | 83% | 75% | 42% | 50% | 54% | ||
| OLLI Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 83% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 54% | ||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | 62% | <=== | |
| Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||||
| AMZN Max Drawdown | -9% | -51% | -1% | -5% | -24% | -4% | -16% | ||
| OLLI Max Drawdown | -43% | -26% | -0% | -10% | -12% | -3% | -16% | ||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | -7% | <=== | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/6/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read OLLI Dip Buyer Analyses and AMZN Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.
Still not sure about AMZN or OLLI? Consider portfolio approach.
Stock Picking Falls Short Against Multi Asset Portfolios
Stocks can jump or crash but different assets move on different cycles. A multi asset portfolio helps you stay invested while cushioning swings in equities.
The asset allocation framework of Trefis’ Boston-based, wealth management partner yielded positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P lost more than 40%. Our partner’ strategy now includes Trefis High Quality Portfolio, which has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices