Shopify vs Western Digital: Which Stock Could Rally?

SHOP: Shopify logo
SHOP
Shopify

Shopify fell -17% during the past Month. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Western Digital gives you more. Western Digital (WDC) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Shopify (SHOP) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in WDC

  • WDC’s quarterly revenue growth was 45.5%, vs. SHOP’s 34.3%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 32.0%, ahead of SHOP’s 31.8%.
  • WDC leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 31.2% and 3-year average of 12.7%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how SHOP’s fundamentals stack up against those of WDC on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Trefis: SHOP Stock Insights

Valuation & Performance Overview

  SHOP WDC Preferred
     
Valuation      
P/EBIT Ratio 63.8 45.1 WDC
     
Revenue Growth      
Last Quarter 34.3% 45.5% WDC
Last 12 Months 31.8% 32.0% WDC
Last 3 Year Average 28.0% 25.5% SHOP
     
Operating Margins      
Last 12 Months 17.0% 31.2% WDC
Last 3 Year Average 12.4% 12.7% WDC
     
Momentum      
Last 3 Year Return 66.0% 1595.3% WDC

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell WDC Stock and Buy or Sell SHOP Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

  2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
SHOP Return 22% -75% 124% 36% 51% -35% -7%    
WDC Return 18% -52% 66% 14% 288% 183% 1080%   <===
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 9% 98%    
Monthly Win Rates [3]
SHOP Win Rate 67% 25% 67% 50% 67% 20%   49%  
WDC Win Rate 50% 42% 58% 67% 92% 80%   65% <===
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 60%   64%  
Max Drawdowns [4]
SHOP Max Drawdown -29% -81% -34% -42% -41% -43%   -45%  
WDC Max Drawdown -32% -55% -29% -30% -43% -21%   -35%  
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -5% -25% -10% -8% -19% -9%   -13% <===

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/22/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read WDC Dip Buyer Analyses and SHOP Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about SHOP or WDC? Consider portfolio approach.

Portfolios Beat Stock Picking

Individual stocks can soar or tank, but one thing matters: staying invested. The right portfolio can help you stay invested, capture upside, and mitigate the downside associated with any individual stock.

Why settle for average market returns? The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio invests in a diverse group of 30 stocks that have collectively delivered stronger upside with reduced volatility compared to the broader indices. Discover the methodology behind these smoother, higher returns by checking the HQ Portfolio performance data.