What Percentage of Sirius XM’s Stock Price Can Be Attributed To Growth?

+21.89%
Upside
3.16
Market
3.85
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Sirius XM

Sirius XM’s stock has been rather stable over the past year so it’s worthwhile to figure out what portion of its value can be attributed to growth

We know that a stock’s valuation can be highly influenced by future expectations of earnings growth. However, in theory, if a company sees no growth opportunities it should distribute all its earnings as dividends to its shareholders. The only capital expenditure required in such a case will be equal to the amount required to replace or maintain existing assets.

Mathematically, (capital expenditure + change in net working capital + change in net operating assets) = (depreciation and amortization).

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We assume that this amount of capital expenditure will be sufficient for the company to retain its market share and keep margins constant. In this case, if the company pays all earnings as dividends for the rest of the period, we can calculate Present Value of Growth Opportunity (PVGO) of a stock from the formula given below:

PVGO = Current Stock Price – (Forecasted Earnings for the next period / Cost of Equity)

Sirius stock attributed to growth part

sirius stock attributed to growth

Have more questions about Sirius XM? See the links below:

Notes:

1) The purpose of these analyses is to help readers focus on a few important things. We hope such lean communication sparks thinking, and encourages readers to comment and ask questions on the comment section, or email content@trefis.com
2) Figures mentioned are approximate values to help our readers remember the key concepts more intuitively. For precise figures, please refer to our complete analysis for Sirius XM
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