What Can Produce 10% Downside For Sirius XM’s Stock In The Next 1-2 Years?

+20.55%
Upside
3.19
Market
3.85
Trefis
SIRI: Sirius XM logo
SIRI
Sirius XM

The stock of Sirius XM (NASDAQ:SIRI) can fall ~10% next year, if a couple of positive factors reverse. Weak growth in new car sales and inefficient progress in ‘independent dealers’ and ‘private deals’ segment of the used car market could lead to a contraction of 5% in EV/EBITDA multiple and 2.5% decline in 2016 EBITDA. For reduced growth will likely compress valuation metrics. We present this scenario in the following tabular fashion. See the links below for additional information.

SIRI Upside Downside 1

SIRI Upside Downside 2

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SIRI Upside Downside 3

Have more questions about Sirius XM? See the links below:

Notes:

1) The purpose of these analyses is to help readers focus on a few important things. We hope such lean communication sparks thinking, and encourages readers to comment and ask questions on the comment section, or email content@trefis.com
2) Figures mentioned are approximate values to help our readers remember the key concepts more intuitively. For precise figures, please refer to our complete analysis for Sirius XM
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